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Mobile Payments & Commerce

       September 2012
           @ogillin
Agenda
•   Market overview
•   Competitive landscape
•   Region analysis
•   Value chain
Mobile Payment Transactions Value
                    by Region
                       700
                                                          Latin
                                                         America
                       600


                       500                                EMEA*

                                            42%
         Billion US$




                       400
                                           CAGR
                                                          Asia/
                       300                                Pacific

                       200
                                                          North
                                                         America
                       100
                                                         Western
                        0
                                                         Europe
                             2011                 2012     2016

Gartner (May 2012) *EMEA without West EU
Top countries in M-Payments
                                  2011 - 2016
               30                                                                                                  100
 Billion US$




                                                                                                                   90
               25
                                                                                                                   80




                                                                                                                         % CAGR 2011 - 2016
                                                                                                                   70
               20
                                                                                                                   60

               15                                                                                                  50

                                                                                                                   40
               10
                                                                                                                   30
                                  6.4
                                                                                                                   20
               5
                                                                         1.0               1.8                     10
                                                                                                 0.4   0.1   0.0
               0                                                                                                   0
                    USA   Japan   France Philippines   China   India   Germany    Norway   UK    ES    NL    BE




Euromonitor.com, July 2012, Tablet traffic and Money Transfer transactions not included
Forecast assumptions
                                West EU                 US               Africa/SEA
                               Web/WAP              Web/WAP                  SMS
      Technology
                                 80%                  88%
                              E-commerce            E-commerce         Money Transfer
      Main usage             (eBay, A9, Apple)   In-store purchase    & Airtime Top-Ups
                         In-store purchase        (Starbucks, etc.)        Ticketing
     Merchandise                   $53                  $43                $10/$20
     Money trans.                  $93                  $80                $68/$60
                      East-EU fastest growth                          Africa top in Value
       Comment
                      in user but small base                           APAC top # users

     Still fragmented for the next 2 years
     Opportunities for regional players to meet local requirements
     NFC to max 10% of transactions by 2015 and pick up in 2016
     NFC requires change in behavior and multiple stakeholders

Source: Gartner (May 2011)
M-Commerce Overview
                                     M-Commerce (Est.)
                300

                250

                200                                                  West EU (+17%)
  Billion US$




                             CAGR 27%                                North America (+78%)
                150                                                  MEA (+8%)
                                                                     LATAM (+38%)
                100
                                                                     East EU (+12%)
                50                                                   APAC (+1%)

                 0
                        2011                        2016

Euromonitor.com, July 2012, Tablet and Money transfer not included
M-Commerce by Region
              APAC                        West EU                          North America
90                               40                                  160

80                                                  Denmark                           Canada
                                 35                                  140
                                                     Spain
70                    China                         Norway
                                 30                                  120
                      India
60                                                  Germany
                     Philippin   25                  United          100
                        es                          Kingdom
50
                                 20                                   80
40
                                                                                       USA
                                 15                                   60
30
                                                     France
                      Japan      10                                   40
20

10                                5                                   20


 0                                0                                    0
       2011           2016             2011           2016                  2011       2016




Euromonitor.com, July 2012, Tablet and Money transfer not included
Factors of market growth
Source: Sapient Nitro (May 2012)
US/world Fast moving Competitive landscape
                    Business                         Consumers
Payor / A Party




                      Transaction    Issuers             Online           Content     P2P
                        Services




                                    Networks
Service / Players




                                     Acquirers/
                                     Processors




                                       POS
  Payee/ B party




                    Government       F2F retailers         e- / m- retailers        Consumers

                     Enterprise
EU Fast moving Competitive landscape
                    Business                                Consumers
Payor / A Party




                      Transaction    Issuers                     Online            Content                  P2P
                        Services




                                    Networks
Service / Players




                                     Acquirers/
                                     Processors




                                       POS
  Payee/ B party




                                          Quick Tap

                    Government       F2F retailers                  e- / m- retailers                    Consumers

                     Enterprise                       Top 400 EU e-retailer: http://www.internetretailer.com/europe400/list/
Square disruption with Mobile POS

                  $100                       $97.4
                  Principal                  Transferred



      $1.9 Card issuer        $0.2 Network        $0.5 Acquirer




                                                                  deltapartnersgroup.com
The value is in the services and
         customer data
                   Account control
                                        Service/user
                         (sign
                                          interface
                  on, identity, custo
                      mer data)
                                          Google
                        Google



   Devices                                                  Advertising &
Google Nexus S                                               Promotions
 smartphone                                                 Google Offers
                                                           Google Shopper




Card acceptance           Payment                           Bearer/
                                         Trusted Service
   network             instruments                          connection tech.
                                            Manager
                      Citi Mastercard                       Sprint, Google
  Mastercard          Google prepaid                        (via NFC enabled
                                           First Data
   Paypass                  card                            Nexus S)
Where Do you want to be?




            http://www.deltapartnersgroup.com/blog/archives/490
Appendix
Electronic payment value chain
Low margins in Processing / Acceptance areas
                           Typical payments value chain and margins


         1. Issuance
         1                                2 Processing / Acceptance
                                          2.                                          3 Acquiring
                                                                                      3.


            Payment
                               Payment                          Merchant    Gateway         Merchant
           Instrument                          Settle
                               Process                          Process      / POS          Acquire
            Issuance

Online        1.1%                                                                 0.9%


F2F           1.1%                                      0.40%                               0.5%

                       Closed Model like Amex
                                                        2.00%
Mobile
wallet        0.8%                                                                 0.8%
                                                        0.40%

      • Associate          •   Third Party Processors (TPP) focus                         • Bank focus
        focus - own        •   Processing requires high volumes to be profitable            – regulation
        customer           •   Acquiring merchant accounts directly builds scale            generally
        relationship       •   Gateway / POS an important aspect of building                stipulates
                               merchant relationships quickly                               must be a
                                                                                            bank
http://8.mshcdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/GLG_Goodbye_Wallets_FINAL-L_1841.png
Top countries in M-Payments
                160                                                                                                             100

                                                                                                                                90
                140




                                                                                                                                      % CAGR 2011 - 2016
                                                                                                                                80
                120
                                                                                                                                70
  Billion US$




                100
                                                                                                                                60

                 80                                                                                                             50

                                                                                                                                40
                 60
                                                                                                                                30
                 40
                                                                                                                                20
                 20
                                                                                                                                10

                  0                                                                                                             0
                      USA    Japan   France Philippines   China   India   Germany Argentina Norway    United   Brazil   Spain
                                                                                                     Kingdom

                                               2016 M-commerce                % CAGR 2011-2016




Euromonitor.com, July 2012, Tablet traffic and Money Transfer transactions not included
Initiatives in various countries
Mobile POS: Square, Izettle, Intuit




+ US Verifone SAIL, US TapPay & TapWallet   + NL GlobalCollect’s BOKU (Phone # + SMS)
+ DE Rocket Internet payelen                + UK Sage Pay, Mpowa
+ DE Wirecard w/ Deutsche Telekom           + IE BoxPay for carrier billing
+ DE StreetPay w/ E-Plus                                                    paymentobserver.com
                                            +…

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Mobile Payments and Mobile Commerce

  • 1. Mobile Payments & Commerce September 2012 @ogillin
  • 2. Agenda • Market overview • Competitive landscape • Region analysis • Value chain
  • 3.
  • 4. Mobile Payment Transactions Value by Region 700 Latin America 600 500 EMEA* 42% Billion US$ 400 CAGR Asia/ 300 Pacific 200 North America 100 Western 0 Europe 2011 2012 2016 Gartner (May 2012) *EMEA without West EU
  • 5. Top countries in M-Payments 2011 - 2016 30 100 Billion US$ 90 25 80 % CAGR 2011 - 2016 70 20 60 15 50 40 10 30 6.4 20 5 1.0 1.8 10 0.4 0.1 0.0 0 0 USA Japan France Philippines China India Germany Norway UK ES NL BE Euromonitor.com, July 2012, Tablet traffic and Money Transfer transactions not included
  • 6. Forecast assumptions West EU US Africa/SEA Web/WAP Web/WAP SMS Technology 80% 88% E-commerce E-commerce Money Transfer Main usage (eBay, A9, Apple) In-store purchase & Airtime Top-Ups In-store purchase (Starbucks, etc.) Ticketing Merchandise $53 $43 $10/$20 Money trans. $93 $80 $68/$60 East-EU fastest growth Africa top in Value Comment in user but small base APAC top # users Still fragmented for the next 2 years Opportunities for regional players to meet local requirements NFC to max 10% of transactions by 2015 and pick up in 2016 NFC requires change in behavior and multiple stakeholders Source: Gartner (May 2011)
  • 7. M-Commerce Overview M-Commerce (Est.) 300 250 200 West EU (+17%) Billion US$ CAGR 27% North America (+78%) 150 MEA (+8%) LATAM (+38%) 100 East EU (+12%) 50 APAC (+1%) 0 2011 2016 Euromonitor.com, July 2012, Tablet and Money transfer not included
  • 8. M-Commerce by Region APAC West EU North America 90 40 160 80 Denmark Canada 35 140 Spain 70 China Norway 30 120 India 60 Germany Philippin 25 United 100 es Kingdom 50 20 80 40 USA 15 60 30 France Japan 10 40 20 10 5 20 0 0 0 2011 2016 2011 2016 2011 2016 Euromonitor.com, July 2012, Tablet and Money transfer not included
  • 10.
  • 11. Source: Sapient Nitro (May 2012)
  • 12. US/world Fast moving Competitive landscape Business Consumers Payor / A Party Transaction Issuers Online Content P2P Services Networks Service / Players Acquirers/ Processors POS Payee/ B party Government F2F retailers e- / m- retailers Consumers Enterprise
  • 13. EU Fast moving Competitive landscape Business Consumers Payor / A Party Transaction Issuers Online Content P2P Services Networks Service / Players Acquirers/ Processors POS Payee/ B party Quick Tap Government F2F retailers e- / m- retailers Consumers Enterprise Top 400 EU e-retailer: http://www.internetretailer.com/europe400/list/
  • 14. Square disruption with Mobile POS $100 $97.4 Principal Transferred $1.9 Card issuer $0.2 Network $0.5 Acquirer deltapartnersgroup.com
  • 15. The value is in the services and customer data Account control Service/user (sign interface on, identity, custo mer data) Google Google Devices Advertising & Google Nexus S Promotions smartphone Google Offers Google Shopper Card acceptance Payment Bearer/ Trusted Service network instruments connection tech. Manager Citi Mastercard Sprint, Google Mastercard Google prepaid (via NFC enabled First Data Paypass card Nexus S)
  • 16. Where Do you want to be? http://www.deltapartnersgroup.com/blog/archives/490
  • 18. Electronic payment value chain Low margins in Processing / Acceptance areas Typical payments value chain and margins 1. Issuance 1 2 Processing / Acceptance 2. 3 Acquiring 3. Payment Payment Merchant Gateway Merchant Instrument Settle Process Process / POS Acquire Issuance Online 1.1% 0.9% F2F 1.1% 0.40% 0.5% Closed Model like Amex 2.00% Mobile wallet 0.8% 0.8% 0.40% • Associate • Third Party Processors (TPP) focus • Bank focus focus - own • Processing requires high volumes to be profitable – regulation customer • Acquiring merchant accounts directly builds scale generally relationship • Gateway / POS an important aspect of building stipulates merchant relationships quickly must be a bank
  • 20. Top countries in M-Payments 160 100 90 140 % CAGR 2011 - 2016 80 120 70 Billion US$ 100 60 80 50 40 60 30 40 20 20 10 0 0 USA Japan France Philippines China India Germany Argentina Norway United Brazil Spain Kingdom 2016 M-commerce % CAGR 2011-2016 Euromonitor.com, July 2012, Tablet traffic and Money Transfer transactions not included
  • 22. Mobile POS: Square, Izettle, Intuit + US Verifone SAIL, US TapPay & TapWallet + NL GlobalCollect’s BOKU (Phone # + SMS) + DE Rocket Internet payelen + UK Sage Pay, Mpowa + DE Wirecard w/ Deutsche Telekom + IE BoxPay for carrier billing + DE StreetPay w/ E-Plus paymentobserver.com +…

Editor's Notes

  1. http://www.slideshare.net/sapient/future-of-money-infographic
  2. http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=2028315Forecast: Mobile Payments, Worldwide, 2008-2015 (Published: 12 May 2011) Gartner defines mobile payments as transactions conducted using a mobile device and payment instruments that include: Bank instruments, such as cash, bank accounts or debit/credit cards Prepaid accounts, such as transport cards, gift cards, PayPal accounts or mobile wallets. And which exclude transactions that use: Carrier billing using the telco's billing system and existing prepaid or postpaid mobile phone accounts. Telebanking in which a mobile phone is used to call the service center via an interactive voice response (IVR) system. The exception is an IVR system used in combination with other mobile channels such as Short Message Service (SMS) or Unstructured Supplementary Service Data (USSD) for enhanced security. We have excluded carrier billing because it doesn't have the sophisticated risk management and fraud prevention mechanisms needed to handle large numbers of financial transactions. Prepaid accounts are included because alternative payment methods are playing an increasing role in consumer's daily transactions, and have sufficient security features built in to ensure secure transactions. We acknowledge that some of these transactions, such as transport ticketing, are not defined as payments by banks, as they are conducted offline by drawing on a prepaid account, but they are included in our definition. As for media tablets, we split payments into those carried out using mobile clients (which are counted as mobile payments because they provide a mobile experience) and those done via a browser (which are excluded from the scope of mobile payments because they have a very similar user experience to PC-based online payment).
  3. Tablet and Money tansfer not included
  4. Mobile phone, smartphone, internet penetration, e-commerce
  5. http://www.slideshare.net/sapient/future-of-money-infographic
  6. http://www.deltapartnersgroup.com/blog/archives/490
  7. Source: OVUM
  8. http://www.deltapartnersgroup.com/blog/archives/490
  9. Source: EuroMonitor – Passport The Mobile Wallet: Global Opportunities and Challenges of Making M-Payment Mainstream (July 2012)
  10. Competitor: NL http://www.adyen.com/contact-us
  11. http://www.paymentobserver.com/tag/square