Buy the hook in nfl betting facts

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Should one buy a half-point, AKA "Buy the hook" in football betting? We break down how often it pays off overall and on key numbers relative to how much it costs. Though the study uses NFL, college football offered the same conclusion.

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Buy the hook in nfl betting facts

  1. 1. Buying a Half-Point OffshoreInsiders.com
  2. 2. OffshoreInsiders.com • Buy from: All lines cumulative • Cost: 10-20 % juice • Number of games in sample: 7023 • Percent it pays off: 2.6 • Result: Epic fail
  3. 3. OffshoreInsiders.com • Buy from: +10 to 10.5 or -10 to -9.5 • Cost: 10-15% • Number of games in sample: 177 • Percent it pays off: 3.9 • Result: Epic fail
  4. 4. OffshoreInsiders.com • Buy from: +7 to +7.5 or -7 to -6.5 • Cost: 15-20% • Number of games in sample: 185 • Percent it pays off: 5.5 • Result: Epic fail
  5. 5. OffshoreInsiders.com • Buy from: +3 to +3.5 or -3 to -2.5 • Cost: 20% (some books 25%) • Number of games in sample: 1041 • Percent it pays off: 9.5 • Result: Epic fail
  6. 6. OffshoreInsiders.com • Buy from: +2.5 to +3 • Cost: 20% • Number of games in sample: 434 • Percent it pays off: 7.6 • Result: Epic fail
  7. 7. OffshoreInsiders.com • Buy from: -3.5 to -3 • Cost: 20% • Number of games in sample: 563 • Percent it pays off: 7.2 • Result: Epic fail

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