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Key Mexico
Statistics
Oct – Dec 2013

Nuricumbo + Partners
Audit • Finance • Risk • Strategy • Business Development
Outline

1

Exchange Rates

2

Country Risk

3

Mexican Stock Exchange

4

Securities Market

5

Inflation Rate

6

Investment Unit (UDI)

7

Economic Confidence Indicator (IMCE)

8

International Reserves
Exchange Rates

31/10/13
$13.0067

29/11/13
$13.1101

31/12/13
$ 13.0843

31/10/13
$17.7358

29/11/13
$17.8271

31/12/13
$18.0079

October

November

December

29/11/13
$12.3716

31/12/13
$12.3168

November

December

$14.15

€18.30

$13.65

€17.80

$13.15

€17.30

$12.65
$12.15

€16.80

October

31/10/13
$21.1971

November

December

29/11/13
$21.7059

31/12/13
$21.9648

£22.40

€16.30

$14.00

31/10/13
$12.4642

$13.50

£21.60

$13.00

£20.80

$12.50

£20.00

$12.00

£19.20

October

November

December

Note: Mexican Pesos per Currency
Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2013

$11.50

October
Country Risk

The Country Risk indicates the possibilities
that an emerging country has to fail on the
fulfillment of its obligations over external
debt payments, whether for capital or
interests. The higher the Country Risk, the
higher the possibility to get a “default”.
It is composed of three main sources:
• Sovereign Risk
• Transfer Risk

• Generic Risk
It is measured through the use of the
Emerging Markets Bond Index
(EMBI)
created by J.P. Morgan Chase.
Source: www.economia.com.mx, 2013

Country Risk
190
185
180
175
170
165
160
155
150
145
140

184
172

156

October November December
Note: Basis points
Mexican Stock Exchange

The Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV) is a
public institution that operates under a
concession granted by the Ministry of
Finance (SHCP), observing the Mexican
Securities Law.

Price and Market Rates Index
(IPC)
43,000

Given the world tendencies and legislation
changes, the BMV has already started its
demutualization process, but up to this date
its shareholders are authorized brokerage
firms, which own one share each.

42,499.13

42,500

Marketable Securities
• Capitals Market (Stocks, Fibras)
• Capital Development Market (CKDes)
• Debt
Market
(Government, Short, Medium and Long
Term Debt).

42,727.09

40,500

Source: Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV), http://www.bmv.com.mx/, 2013

42,000
41,500
41,000

41,038.65

40,000
October November December
31st
29th
31st
Securities Market

The Mexican Central Bank (Banxico) carries
out operations in the securities market in
order to regulate the liquidity of Mexico’s
financial system.
It also undertakes primary auctions of
securities for the government and other
public sector entities, and issues regulations
on several financial operations of financial
intermediaries.
Cetes 28
Zero coupon bonds denominated in Mexican
Pesos issued by the Mexican Government, in a
28-days period.

Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2013

Government Securities
Auction’s Monthly Results
(Cetes 28-days)
3.45%
3.40%
3.35%
3.30%
3.25%
3.20%
3.15%
3.10%
3.05%
3.00%

3.38%

3.40%

3.16%

October 31st
November 29th
December 31st
Inflation Rate

Yearly Inflation Rates per
Month

Inflation can be defined as a continuous and

widespread increase in goods and services
prices.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the
statistical instrument that calculates inflation
by continuously measuring the price changes
of households’ representative basket of
goods and services.

3.65%
3.60%
3.55%
3.50%
3.45%
3.40%
3.35%
3.30%
3.25%
3.20%

3.62%

3.39%

3.36%

October November December

Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2013
Investment Unit (UDI)

Investment Unit (UDI)
The

Investment

Unit

(Unidad

de

Inversion, UDI) is the factor (value) to be
applied to the acquisition of mortgages.

5.080000
5.058731

5.060000
5.040000
5.018606

5.020000

The Mexican Central Bank is the responsible

5.000000

authority to publish at the Mexico’s Official

4.980000

Gazette its value in Mexican Pesos for each

4.960000

day of the month.

4.940000

4.987942

October November December
31st
29th
31st

Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx and Ministry of Finance, www.sat.gob.mx, 2013
Economic Confidence Indicator (IMCE)

The Economic Confidence Indicator, IMCE, is
a diffusion indicator which aims to quantify
the expectation of the perceived business
climate through more than 20,000 registered
public accounting to nearly 60 colleges
affiliated to Public Accountants Mexican
Institute, IMCP.
The index can become one of the key leading
indicators to get a better overview of the
situation of the Mexican economy.

The indicator is divided into two main
components, which presents the current
perception in the business climate as well as
future perspectives. Its score is measured
through a range of 0 to 140 points, being
higher values optimistic and lower values
pessimistic.
Source: Public Accountants Mexican Association, IMCP, http://imcp.org.mx/, 2013

Economic Confidence
Indicator
$72

71.43

70.69

$71
$70

$69

68.22

$68
$67
$66
October

November December
International Reserves

Known as financial assets invested abroad by
the Mexican Central Bank that can easily be
converted in means of payment.
According to the Mexican Central Bank, the
following concepts are considered as
International Reserves:
• Foreign banknotes and coins;
• Deposits, securities and stocks payable
outside of Mexico;

• Loans by Central Banks payable at no
longer than six months;
• The Special Drawing Rights at the
International Monetary Fund.

Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2013

International Reserves
(Million USD)
$177,000
$176,500
$176,000
$175,500
$175,000
$174,500
$174,000
$173,500
$173,000

$176,579
$175,882

$174,262

October
31st

November December
29th
31st
Contact

Address: Plateros 16 – 504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City
Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839
Mobile: + 52 (55) 5453 6309
E-mail: armando@nuricumbo.com Web: www.nuricumbo.com
Skype: nuricua BB Pin: 21BD8276

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Key Mexico Statistics Oct - Dec 2013

  • 1. Key Mexico Statistics Oct – Dec 2013 Nuricumbo + Partners Audit • Finance • Risk • Strategy • Business Development
  • 2. Outline 1 Exchange Rates 2 Country Risk 3 Mexican Stock Exchange 4 Securities Market 5 Inflation Rate 6 Investment Unit (UDI) 7 Economic Confidence Indicator (IMCE) 8 International Reserves
  • 4. Country Risk The Country Risk indicates the possibilities that an emerging country has to fail on the fulfillment of its obligations over external debt payments, whether for capital or interests. The higher the Country Risk, the higher the possibility to get a “default”. It is composed of three main sources: • Sovereign Risk • Transfer Risk • Generic Risk It is measured through the use of the Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) created by J.P. Morgan Chase. Source: www.economia.com.mx, 2013 Country Risk 190 185 180 175 170 165 160 155 150 145 140 184 172 156 October November December Note: Basis points
  • 5. Mexican Stock Exchange The Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV) is a public institution that operates under a concession granted by the Ministry of Finance (SHCP), observing the Mexican Securities Law. Price and Market Rates Index (IPC) 43,000 Given the world tendencies and legislation changes, the BMV has already started its demutualization process, but up to this date its shareholders are authorized brokerage firms, which own one share each. 42,499.13 42,500 Marketable Securities • Capitals Market (Stocks, Fibras) • Capital Development Market (CKDes) • Debt Market (Government, Short, Medium and Long Term Debt). 42,727.09 40,500 Source: Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV), http://www.bmv.com.mx/, 2013 42,000 41,500 41,000 41,038.65 40,000 October November December 31st 29th 31st
  • 6. Securities Market The Mexican Central Bank (Banxico) carries out operations in the securities market in order to regulate the liquidity of Mexico’s financial system. It also undertakes primary auctions of securities for the government and other public sector entities, and issues regulations on several financial operations of financial intermediaries. Cetes 28 Zero coupon bonds denominated in Mexican Pesos issued by the Mexican Government, in a 28-days period. Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2013 Government Securities Auction’s Monthly Results (Cetes 28-days) 3.45% 3.40% 3.35% 3.30% 3.25% 3.20% 3.15% 3.10% 3.05% 3.00% 3.38% 3.40% 3.16% October 31st November 29th December 31st
  • 7. Inflation Rate Yearly Inflation Rates per Month Inflation can be defined as a continuous and widespread increase in goods and services prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the statistical instrument that calculates inflation by continuously measuring the price changes of households’ representative basket of goods and services. 3.65% 3.60% 3.55% 3.50% 3.45% 3.40% 3.35% 3.30% 3.25% 3.20% 3.62% 3.39% 3.36% October November December Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2013
  • 8. Investment Unit (UDI) Investment Unit (UDI) The Investment Unit (Unidad de Inversion, UDI) is the factor (value) to be applied to the acquisition of mortgages. 5.080000 5.058731 5.060000 5.040000 5.018606 5.020000 The Mexican Central Bank is the responsible 5.000000 authority to publish at the Mexico’s Official 4.980000 Gazette its value in Mexican Pesos for each 4.960000 day of the month. 4.940000 4.987942 October November December 31st 29th 31st Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx and Ministry of Finance, www.sat.gob.mx, 2013
  • 9. Economic Confidence Indicator (IMCE) The Economic Confidence Indicator, IMCE, is a diffusion indicator which aims to quantify the expectation of the perceived business climate through more than 20,000 registered public accounting to nearly 60 colleges affiliated to Public Accountants Mexican Institute, IMCP. The index can become one of the key leading indicators to get a better overview of the situation of the Mexican economy. The indicator is divided into two main components, which presents the current perception in the business climate as well as future perspectives. Its score is measured through a range of 0 to 140 points, being higher values optimistic and lower values pessimistic. Source: Public Accountants Mexican Association, IMCP, http://imcp.org.mx/, 2013 Economic Confidence Indicator $72 71.43 70.69 $71 $70 $69 68.22 $68 $67 $66 October November December
  • 10. International Reserves Known as financial assets invested abroad by the Mexican Central Bank that can easily be converted in means of payment. According to the Mexican Central Bank, the following concepts are considered as International Reserves: • Foreign banknotes and coins; • Deposits, securities and stocks payable outside of Mexico; • Loans by Central Banks payable at no longer than six months; • The Special Drawing Rights at the International Monetary Fund. Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2013 International Reserves (Million USD) $177,000 $176,500 $176,000 $175,500 $175,000 $174,500 $174,000 $173,500 $173,000 $176,579 $175,882 $174,262 October 31st November December 29th 31st
  • 11. Contact Address: Plateros 16 – 504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839 Mobile: + 52 (55) 5453 6309 E-mail: armando@nuricumbo.com Web: www.nuricumbo.com Skype: nuricua BB Pin: 21BD8276