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Encuesta Global de Resiliencia de Negocios. Global Business Resilience Survey. Nuricumbo + Partners. Sep 2020

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COMPRENDER LA PROBLEMÁTICA DEL SECTOR EMPRESARIAL DENTRO Y FUERA DE MEXICO ANTE LA PANDEMIA COVID-19. IDENTIFICAR PRINCIPALES TENDENCIAS, ASÍ COMO RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES.

TO UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEMS OF THE BUSINESS SECTOR IN AND OUTSIDE MEXICO CAUSED BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. IDENTIFY THE MAIN TRENDS, RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES.

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Encuesta Global de Resiliencia de Negocios. Global Business Resilience Survey. Nuricumbo + Partners. Sep 2020

  1. 1. ENCUESTA GLOBAL DE RESILIENCIA DE NEGOCIOS BUSINESS RESILIENCE GLOBAL SURVEY SEPTIEMBRE / SEPTEMBER 2020
  2. 2. ENCUESTA ELABORADA POR: EN ALIANZA CON:
  3. 3. OBJETIVO COMPRENDER LA PROBLEMÁTICA DEL SECTOR EMPRESARIAL DENTRO Y FUERA DE MÉXICO ANTE LA PANDEMIA COVID-19. IDENTIFICAR PRINCIPALES TENDENCIAS, ASÍ COMO RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES. NÚMERO DE EMPRESAS QUE CONTESTARON LA ENCUESTA 113 SEGMENTACIÓN POR TAMAÑO DE EMPRESA 62% PEQUEÑA 29% MEDIANA 10% GRANDE PERFIL DE LA ENCUESTA SURVEY PROFILE OBJECTIVE TO UNDERSTAND THE PROBLEMS OF THE BUSINESS SECTOR IN AND OUTSIDE MEXICO CAUSED BY THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC. IDENTIFY THE MAIN TRENDS, RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES. NUMBER OF COMPANIES THAT RESPONDED THE SURVEY 113 SEGMENTATION BY COMPANY SIZE 62% SMALL 29% MEDIUM 10% LARGE
  4. 4. EN DÓNDE OPERAN LAS EMPRESAS QUE CONTESTARON LA ENCUESTA 26% NORTE, CENTRO Y SUDAMÉRICA 12% OPERACIONES GLOBALES 56% SOLO MÉXICO 2% EUROPA 2% ASIA 2% ÁFRICA SECTORES ECONÓMICOS 29% SERVICIOS PROFESIONALES 13% FINANCIERO 12% COMERCIO 10% MANUFACTURA 6% TECNOLOGÍAS DE LA INFORMACIÓN 5% BIENES RAÍCES 5% EDUCACIÓN 4% AGRICULTURA 2% SALUD 2% ENERGÍA 2% TURISMO 10% OTROS PERFIL DE LA ENCUESTA SURVEY PROFILE WHERE DO THE COMPANIES THAT RESPONDED OUR SURVEY OPERATE 26% AMERICAS 12% GLOBAL OPERATIONS 56% MEXICO ONLY 2% EUROPE 2% ASIA 2% AFRICA ECONOMIC SECTORS 29% PROFESSIONAL SERVICES 13% FINANCIAL 12% TRADE 10% MANUFACTURING 6% INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 5% REAL ESTATE 5% EDUCATION 4% AGRICULTURE 2% HEALTH 2% ENERGY 2% TOURISM 10% OTHER
  5. 5. RESULTADOS RESULTS
  6. 6. 1: ¿Cómo calificaría el entorno comercial ACTUAL en el que opera su empresa? 1: How would you rate the CURRENT business environment in which your company operates? 51% de las empresas encuestadas encuentran las condiciones ACTUALES de negocio como MALAS o MUY MALAS. Este indicador empeoró, pasando de 47% en el mes anterior. 51% of surveyed companies find the CURRENT business conditions as BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator worsened, moving from 47% in the previous month.
  7. 7. 2: ¿Cómo calificaría el entorno de negocios PROSPECTIVO hacia los próximos seis a doce meses? 2: How would you rate the PROSPECTIVE business environment towards the next six to twelve months? 47% de las empresas encuestadas encuentran las condiciones de los PRÓXIMOS 6 a 12 MESES como MALAS o MUY MALAS. Este indicador empeoró, pasando de 42% en el mes anterior. 47% of surveyed companies find the conditions of the NEXT 6 TO 12 MONTHS as BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator worsened, moving from 42% in the previous month.
  8. 8. 3: En comparación con el MES ANTERIOR, la condición general de su empresa es: 3: Compared to the PREVIOUS MONTH, the overall condition of your company is: 29% de las empresas encuestadas reportan condiciones de negocio PEORES que el mes anterior. Este indicador empeoró ligeramente, pasando de 28% en el mes anterior. 29% of surveyed companies report WORSE business conditions than the previous month. This indicator slightly worsened, moving from 28% in the previous month. 32% de las empresas encuestadas reportan condiciones de negocio MEJORES que el mes anterior. Este indicador empeoró ligeramente, pasando de 33% en el mes anterior. 32% of surveyed companies report BETTER business conditions than the previous month. This indicator slightly worsened, moving from 33% in the previous month.
  9. 9. 4: ¿Cuál es el MAYOR RETO para su empresa en los próximos seis a doce meses? 4: What is the BIGGEST CHALLENGE for your company in the next six to twelve months? Tres principales riesgos reportados por las empresas encuestadas: • Falta de demanda • Falta de liquidez • Falta de rentabilidad Three main risks reported by surveyed companies: • Lack of liquidity • Lack of demand • Lack of profitability
  10. 10. 5: ¿Cuál es la MAYOR OPORTUNIDAD para su empresa en los próximos seis a doce meses? 5: What is the BIGGEST OPPORTUNITY for your company in the next six to twelve months? Tres principales oportunidades reportadas por las empresas encuestadas: • Nuevos Mercados / Nuevos Productos • Menor Competencia a Causa de la Crisis • Mejora en capacidades digitales y de TI Three main opportunities reported by surveyed companies: • New Markets / New Products • Less Competition Due to the Crisis • Improved digital IT capabilities
  11. 11. 6: ¿Qué tan probable es que su compañía considere ADQUIRIR un negocio o entrar en una ALIANZA ESTRATÉGICA en los próximos seis a doce meses? 6: How likely is that your company will consider ACQUIRING a business or entering into a JOINT VENTURE in the next six to twelve months? 35% de las empresas encuestadas reportan que SÍ ESPERAN ENTRAR en alguna transacción de M&A o Joint Venture en los próximos 6 a 12 meses. Este indicador mejoró, pasando de 33% en el mes anterior. 35% of surveyed companies report that they DO EXPECT TO ENTER into some M&A or Joint Venture transaction in the next 6 to 12 months. This indicator improved, moving from 33% in the previous month.
  12. 12. 7: ¿Cuánto tiempo cree que pasará hasta que regresemos a la normalidad? 7: How much time do you think will pass until we go BACK TO NORMAL? 57% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el regreso a la normalidad tardará ENTRE UNO Y DOS AÑOS. Este indicador empeoró, pasando de 42% en el mes anterior. 57% of surveyed companies think that the return to normality will take BETWEEN ONE AND TWO YEARS. This indicator worsened, moving from 42% in the previous month.
  13. 13. 8: ¿Cómo calificaría la gestión de esta crisis por parte de sus OFICIALES GUBERNAMENTALES? (Promedie su respuesta para considerar niveles federales, estatales y municipales) 8: How would you rate the management of this crisis by your ELECTED GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS? (Average your answer to consider federal, state and municipal levels) 91% de las empresas encuestadas piensan que el desempeño de las autoridades federales, estatales y municipales ha sido MALO o MUY MALO. Este indicador empeoró, pasando de 85% el mes anterior. 91% of surveyed companies think that the performance of federal, state and municipal authorities has been BAD or VERY BAD. This indicator worsened, moving from 85% the previous month.
  14. 14. 9: ¿Qué posibilidades hay de que su empresa no cumpla con algunas obligaciones contractuales en el futuro cercano debido a la crisis pandémica (por ejemplo, no pague el alquiler, no pague un préstamo o no entregue ciertos productos o servicios)? 9: How likely is it that your company will fail to comply with some contractual obligations in the near future because of the pandemic crisis (for example, miss a rent payment, default on a loan, or fail to deliver certain products or services)? 40% de las empresas encuestadas estiman caer en incumplimiento de obligaciones contractuales debido a la pandemia. Este indicador empeoró, pasando de 26% el mes pasado. 40% of surveyed companies estimate that they will breach some contractual obligations due to the pandemic. This indicator worsened, moving from 26% the prior month.
  15. 15. Las empresas encuestadas ven muchos más riesgos que oportunidades actualmente: RIESGOS • DESCONFIANZA EN REGRESO A NORMALIDAD • EXCESO DE TRABAJO DESDE HOME OFFICE • DESCONFIANZA EN POLÍTICAS PÚBLICAS • VOLATILIDAD ELECCIONES EN EEUU • MENOR FLUJO DE EFECTIVO • MENOR NUEVO NEGOCIO • CARTERA VENCIDA OPORTUNIDADES • REINVENTAR LA EMPRESA PRINCIPALES RIESGOS Y OPORTUNIDADES MAIN RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES The surveyed companies see far more risks than opportunities today: RISKS • DISTRUST IN RETURN TO NORMALITY • EXCESS WORK FROM HOME OFFICE • DISTRUST IN PUBLIC POLICIES • ELECTION VOLATILITY IN THE US • LOWER CASH FLOWS • REDUCED NEW BUSINESS • PAST DUE PORTFOLIO OPPORTUNITIES • REINVENT THE COMPANY
  16. 16. SOMOS NURICUMBO + PARTNERS
  17. 17. COMPANY PROFIT Our Firm at a glance Key Facts Industries • 50 CONSULTANTS • MULTIDISCIPLINARY • BIG 4 BACKGROUND • INTERNATIONAL EXPOSURE • ACTIVE ACROSS MEXICO • ABLE TO TRAVEL IN LATAM • FLEXIBILITY • BILINGUAL / BICULTURAL Professional Organizations Our Service Portfolio • MANUFACTURING • FINANCIAL SERVICES • PROFESSIONAL SERVICES • TRADING • RETAIL • ADVERTISING • EDUCATION • PRIVATE EQUITY • FAMILY BUSINESS • MEXICAN INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC ACCOUNTANTS • MEXICO CITY ACCOUNTANCY BOARD • MEXICAN INSTITUTE OF FINANCIAL EXECUTIVES • ILLINOIS ACCOUNTANCY BOARD • AMERICAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE • EXTERNAL AUDIT • INTERNAL AUDIT • PART TIME CFO’S • INTERIM MANAGEMENT • FORENSIC • TAX • TRANSFORMATIONS • ADVISORY BOARD For more information: www.nuricumbo.com EY PWC. BBVA / BANAMEX ZIMAT CIT METLIFE LESAFFRE KPMG DELOITTE. INTERPUBLIC BOMBARDIER +GF+ GM KANDEO 1990 1995 2000 2004 2005 2010 2015 2020 Formal launch as independent consultancy Professional Experience as Employees History Some of our interventions as Consultants
  18. 18. Managing Partner of Nuricumbo + Partners. His career started as Audit Manager with PWC Mexico. After a few years, he moved into the advertising industry where he held Internal Audit positions with Y&R and IPG, two international advertising groups, working in New York City for five years. He returned to Mexico as CFO for the New Business division of McCann Group Worldwide. Started his career as independent consultant delivering audit work for several multinationals in Latam and leading several fraud investigations in Mexico. Won a contract with Bombardier Transportation to work for three years in Canada and Europe on a financial transformation initiative. Worked with the American Consultancy RGP as their Country Manager. Today, Nuricumbo + Partners is specialized on subjects such as financial due diligence for M&A, internal and external audit, independent process assessments, debt/equity solutions, on-demand financial talent, anti-corruption initiatives, enterprise risk management, and corporate governance. Nuricumbo + Partners have become trusted business advisors for companies of all sizes, providing direct support to CEOs and CFOs in special or confidential projects. Armando has held different positions at the Mexican Institute of Public Accountants, including Vice President of the Business Sector, President of the International Affairs Committee, and Member of the Audit Quality Control Committee. He is member of Editorial Committees at Mundo Ejecutivo and AAPAUNAM. He is Treasurer and Board Member at the British Chamber of Commerce, as well as the Anglo-Mexican Foundation. He was President of the charity Amistad Británico-Mexicana. He is member of the Mexican Institute of Financial Executives. He has been Board Member or Comisario at many companies. His opinions have been referenced by El Financiero, Reforma and Canal 40. Armando graduated as a public accountant, Summa Cum Laude, from the National University of Mexico (UNAM). He is certified in Mexico by the Mexican Institute of Public Accountants and in the U.S. by the Illinois Accountancy Board. He has a Masters Degree in Asian Studies by the University of Tamkang in Taiwan. He recently completed the program “Leading Professional Service Firms” at Harvard Business School. Armando Nuricumbo Managing Partner
  19. 19. COMPANY PROFIT Armando NuricumboRodrigo Llanos Miguel Amador Guillermo Lagos Former CFO / AuditorFormer Investment Banking Former Controller / Auditor Former CEO Jesus Bush PWC. IPG. Bombardier. RGP. 25 years of experience. Valmex. Inverlat. Arka. 30 years of experience. Whirlpool. Banco Azteca. 30 years of experience. EY. Smurfit. Maxcom. Devlyn. 25 years of experience. 3M. Imperial Chemical. IMEF 30 years of experience. Some members of our consulting team Alejandro Rico Tax Advisor / Auditor KPMG. Confies. 25 years of experience. Jose Trevino Former NAFTA Negotiator Colmex. Comce. Cancham. 30 years of experience. Oscar Becerril Former Banker / Credit VP Scotiabank. Citi. Fonatur. 30 years of experience. Roberto Fernandez Former CIO AT&T Capital. CIT. Alta. 30 years of experience. Enrique Ugarte Former CEO ProMexico. CCE. Edomex. 30 years of experience. Former CIO Marisol Baca Former PMO CFE. BID. Real Financiera. 25 years of experience. José A. Ventura Former CFO / Auditor PWC. Truper. BristolMyers. 30 years of experience.
  20. 20. WHAT WE THINK Fear and Euphoria The Lebanese Mirror How is a pension system like a dinosaur? Zombieland Welcome USMCA. Now what? The New Battlefield Reinvention Process The Double Valley of Death OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL Historic Lessons of the 1918 Pandemic Willingness to Pay & Value Stick James Francum – Perspective from Germany Juan Carlos García: Perspectivas 2020 Toshiyuki Yasui: Chief Happiness Officer Antonio Prida: Mediación Max Zimmermann: Relación con Inversionistas Oscar Becerril: Cómo superar COVID-19 OTHER Mexico’s Top 25 CFO’s of 2017 ¿Por qué medir la confianza económica? Interview with Ana Maria Salazar (ADN40) Entrevista con el Embajador de España en México Entrevista con Pedro Ferriz de Con – I Entrevista con Pedro Ferriz de Con - II Nuricumbo + Partners in the Media
  21. 21. Estamos a la orden para profundizar sobre cualquier aspecto relacionado con la encuesta. We are at your service in case you require more information about any aspect of the survey. contacto@nuricumbo.com Muchas gracias Thank you very much

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