Thank you for attending this presentation. Here I’ll be looking at what the future job market will be comprised of in 20 yrs. The jobs that have become extinct, the new jobs that have been created and the jobs that remain the same. I’ll also be looking at how will we as educators will teach generation Alpha to prepare them for this future and what this means for learning environments and teaching strategies. Education strategies focus on 3-5 year plans, but what will the tertiary education sector look like in 20 years.
I’d like you to think for a minute about jobs that have become extinct. Think back to 20 years ago, what jobs existed then that don’t now. For example do you remember rushing out to get Whitney Houstons ‘I will always love you’ or UB40s ‘I can’t help falling in Love with you’ singles on cassette or vinyl from the record store. Where are those stores now? What about hunting for loose change when putting the bottles out for the milk run. As Forbes magazine point out in just two decades the jobs people do now now probably won’t exist in the same form
Take another minute now. This time look around the room at the things that surround us. The technology that has become so integrated into our lives that we don’t realise that its there or for that matter call it technology. For example the next time you’re in an elevator, just think, you are in a steel box that is suspended over a shaft, the only control you have are the few buttons on a panel, yet we trust this box and the winches or hydraulics the electrical switches the motors the relays the brakes that they will deliver us safely without a second thought. Now consider that everyone of these things started their existence as a thought. With that in mind, it’s 2030, you’ve just parked your flying car and arrived at your paperless office. As the Guardian describe, the economy will be more globalised, India and Chinas rapid development have put a huge strain on resources and the transition from fossil fuel to alternative energy will be will under way. This could be a snapshot of different sectors and their jobs.
During my readings on this topic I came across a fun factiode which I thought I’d include. There is a lot of speculation as to how many Elvis impersonators are out there, with experts reckoning that the number of Elvis Presley impersonators has reached an all-time record high. "There are now at least 85,000 Elvi around the world, compared to only 170 in 1977 when Elvis died. At this rate of growth, experts predict that by 2019 Elvis impersonators will make up a third of the world population." - The Naked Scientists 3 December 2000.“
Clearly for accurate trend forecasts a multi factorial approach is needed.
For Generations X,Y and onwards these are generalisations. Statistics New Zealand state there are no standard definitions as they are less obviously tied to an observable demographic phenomenon. However each generational group do share a set of common values and perspectives that separate them from the others .
Consistent with trends with personalisation the teaching strategy will be a student centred model. Students driving the learning as something meaningful to the student.
Considering the world the student needs to be prepared for, we need to consider what does success look like for the student What does this mean for my role as educator
They need to know who they are and how they fit into the world.
They live within a whanau context, with that they learn certain skills, have certain experiences have certain roles.
They live within and probably plan to work in a region. That region will have particular industry needs. The student may choose to train in those skills that meet that needs.
They live in NZ so need the skills to live within a bicultural society and an ever growing multicultural society. There are industries in NZ that may not exist in their current region, they may want to train for. Eg tourism, extreme sports, wildlife conservation, earthquake readiness, building for Christchurch and Auckland.
Global participation. Alignment of National and international qualifications to make the qual internationally transportable. Access to MOOCs to pick and choose which courses they wish to do. They need to be able to operate within a global economy. Either through the internet or Nzers travelling and working so they need to have the training and education to be able to exist in all spheres
NTLT 2013 - Michael Few
2nd October 2013
Jobs that Won’t Exist in 20 Years’ Time
Grocery Store Cashier Miner
CD Store Manager
Call Centre Representative
Jobs that Will Be New in 20 Years’ Time
Environmental Traceability manager
Renewable energy Hydrogen fuel station manager
Advanced manufacturing Metal skin consultant
Augmented reality Digital architect
Avatar design-security consultant
Robots and artificial intelligence Personal Bot mechanic
Powered exoskeleton engineer
Business Simplicity consultant
Nanotech and biotech Bioinformationist
Social services Experimental therapist
Education Online education broker
Space tour guide
Food Farmer (Vertical)
Personal food shopper
Jobs that Will Be New in 20 Years’ Time
Ten Jobs that Won’t Change in 20 Years’ Time
Politician Tax Collector
Mortician Religious Leader
Description born Age Range Yrs Age in 20 Yrs
Boomers 1946 – 1964 67 – 48 87 – 68
Generation X 1965 – 1979 47 – 34 67 – 54
Generation Y 1980 – 1994 33 – 19 53 – 39
Generation Z 1995 – 2009 18 – 4 38 – 24
2010 – 2024 3 - 23 - 9
Adapted from ABS Population Pyramid 2006 & McCrindle Research
Demography, not technology creating the
Generation Alphas will enter an educational
environment where the Government has rising
costs of an aging population
They will be the most educated generation as
education inflation continues
The aging population will create more
employment opportunities by the time they
start to enter their 20s
Relationship based teaching
Creating a family like context for learning
Building on students prior knowledge
Opportunities for feedback, feedforward and co-
constructing of learning.
Self regulating –exemplars, formative assessment
Application of technology
Web based tools