Mark N. MaurielloDirector of Environmental Affairs and Planning             Edgewood Properties
FACTS RELATIVE SEA LEVEL IS RISING (MORE THAN  ONE FOOT OVER THE PAST CENTURY) SEDIMENT SUPPLIES ARE DIMINISHING DEVELO...
MORE FACTS HIGH DENSITY OF DEVELOPMENT PUTS  MANY PEOPLE AND PROPERTIES AT RISK TENDENCY TO UNDERESTIMATE HAZARDS  AND V...
WARMING TREND (IPCC, 2007)
ESTIMATES OF RELATIVE SEA LEVEL RISEALONG THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES (NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL, 1987)
NEGATIVE     SEDIMENT BUDGETSSEA ISLE CITY   MONMOUTH BEACH
HOLGATE OVERWASHBARRIER ISLAND MIGRATION?
MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDSTOMS RIVER TOWNSHIP   BRICK TOWNSHIP
MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS          SEA BRIGHTDRIFTWOOD CABANA   SINGLE FAMILY HOME      CLUB
BAYSIDE FLOODING/SURGE      SEASIDE PARK
URBAN AREA CHALLENGES      HOBOKEN
DEBRIS MANAGEMENT   6.2 MILLION CUBIC YARDSLONG BRANCH      SEASIDE HEIGHTS
LESSONS LEARNED?    Belmar to Spend $20 Million Rebuilding Wrecked Boardwalk                   (Source: Bergen Record, 12/...
BEYOND STAFFORD ACT ASSISTANCE:       FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS TO NFIP Katrina and other 2005 hurricanes left $18.75  billi...
Frequency – Recurrence IntervalNatural Hazard Probabilities During Periods of Various Lengths                       (FEMA,...
WHAT IS OUR GOAL?            DISASTER RESILIENCE!The capacity of a community that is exposed tohazards to adapt, by resist...
DISASTER RESILIENCE THROUGH        HAZARD MITIGATION COMPREHENSIVE PLANNING ACQUISITION/RELOCATION HIGHER STANDARDS RE...
COMPREHENSIVE MULTI-HAZARDS             PLANNING IDENTIFY VULNERABILITY AND RANGE OF    MITIGATION OPTIONS   PRE-STORM P...
ACQUISITION/RELOCATION THE MOST COST-EFFECTIVE LONG-TERM    MITIGATION OPTION   REPRESENTS A PERMANENT SOLUTION TO    PE...
HIGHER STANDARDS ELEVATE STRUCTURES ABOVE THE BASE FLOOD    ELEVATION (BFE) AND INCLUDE FREEBOARD   USE ADVISORY BFEs  ...
REGULATIONS RESCIND EXECUTIVE ORDER #2 ADOPT REGULATIONS THAT EXCEED FEDERAL  MINIMUM STANDARDS APPLY A STRICT PROHIBIT...
LAND USE MANAGEMENT INCORPORATE DEVELOPMENT SETBACKS FROM    BEACHES, DUNES AND WETLANDS   DESIGNATE SETBACK AREAS FOR N...
NATURAL RESOURCE PROTECTION          AND RESTORATION REQUIRE DUNE CREATION AND    ENHANCEMENT…EVERYWHERE!   CONDITION ST...
FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING AN IMPORTANT TOOL FOR HEAVILY DEVELOPED    URBAN AREAS   ELEVATE STRUCTURES WHERE POSSIBL...
LEGISLATION CAFRA LEGISLATIVE FINDINGS: OVERSIGHT? RE-EVALUATE CAFRA ABSOLUTE RIGHT TO REBUILD    STRUCTURES DESTROYED B...
THE BAD NEWS DESPITE BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SPENT TO “CONTROL”  FLOODING AND REDUCE RISK, STATISTICS SHOW THAT EACH DECADE S...
THE GOOD NEWS          WE KNOW WHAT WORKS    WE HAVE A BROAD RANGE OF PROVEN      MITIGATION STRATEGIES AVAILABLE SANDY...
THE $34 BILLION QUESTION… CAN NEW JERSEY’S LEADERS SUMMON THE    POLITICAL WILL TO IMPLEMENT BOLD,DECISIVE AND COST-EFFECT...
Resilient NJ Shore 12 7-12 mauriello
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Resilient NJ Shore 12 7-12 mauriello

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Former NJDEP commissioner focuses on high density, lots of impervious cover, inadequate building standards and post-storm costs as reasons for communities to consider bold measures, some controversial, in order to be ready for NJ's next severe weather event.

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Resilient NJ Shore 12 7-12 mauriello

  1. 1. Mark N. MaurielloDirector of Environmental Affairs and Planning Edgewood Properties
  2. 2. FACTS RELATIVE SEA LEVEL IS RISING (MORE THAN ONE FOOT OVER THE PAST CENTURY) SEDIMENT SUPPLIES ARE DIMINISHING DEVELOPMENT AND IMPERVIOUS COVER ARE INCREASING FLOOD HAZARD AREAS ARE EXPANDING FLOOD HEIGHTS ARE INCREASING EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS ARE OCCURRING MORE FREQUENTLY
  3. 3. MORE FACTS HIGH DENSITY OF DEVELOPMENT PUTS MANY PEOPLE AND PROPERTIES AT RISK TENDENCY TO UNDERESTIMATE HAZARDS AND VULNERABILITY…AND REGULATE ACCORDINGLY MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS ARE INSUFFICIENTLY PROTECTIVE LACK OF COORDINATED PLANNING RESULTS IN MISSED OPPORTUNITIES (NOAA, FEMA, ACOE, NJDEP, NJDCA, NJDOT)
  4. 4. WARMING TREND (IPCC, 2007)
  5. 5. ESTIMATES OF RELATIVE SEA LEVEL RISEALONG THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES (NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL, 1987)
  6. 6. NEGATIVE SEDIMENT BUDGETSSEA ISLE CITY MONMOUTH BEACH
  7. 7. HOLGATE OVERWASHBARRIER ISLAND MIGRATION?
  8. 8. MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDSTOMS RIVER TOWNSHIP BRICK TOWNSHIP
  9. 9. MINIMUM REGULATORY STANDARDS SEA BRIGHTDRIFTWOOD CABANA SINGLE FAMILY HOME CLUB
  10. 10. BAYSIDE FLOODING/SURGE SEASIDE PARK
  11. 11. URBAN AREA CHALLENGES HOBOKEN
  12. 12. DEBRIS MANAGEMENT 6.2 MILLION CUBIC YARDSLONG BRANCH SEASIDE HEIGHTS
  13. 13. LESSONS LEARNED? Belmar to Spend $20 Million Rebuilding Wrecked Boardwalk (Source: Bergen Record, 12/4/12)BELMAR – One of New Jersey’s most popular beach towns is moving swiftlyto rebuild its boardwalk that was destroyed by Superstorm Sandy. Belmar isscheduled to vote Monday night on a $20 million spending plan to pay for anew boardwalk, as well as some of the cost of cleaning up the ruins of the oldone.Mayor Doherty said the Federal Emergency Management Agency shouldpay for at least 75 percent of the cost of boardwalk repairs, and said NewJersey’s Congressional delegation is working to have the agency approve a 90percent reimbursement rate. To help pay for the Borough’s share of the cost,Belmar will help pay for the work by increasing daily beach badge fees from $7to $8, and seasonal fees from $50 to $55.The Monmouth County community is also considering building a sea wallto help protect against future storms.
  14. 14. BEYOND STAFFORD ACT ASSISTANCE: FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS TO NFIP Katrina and other 2005 hurricanes left $18.75 billion in debt to the U.S. Treasury Nationally: 5.53 million policies in force with an insured exposure of $1.27 trillion NJ Policies in force: 235,654 NJ Insurance in force: $54,386,729,100 NJ Losses (1/78 - 9/12): 111,963 NJ Payments (1/78 - 9/12): $1,617,544,537
  15. 15. Frequency – Recurrence IntervalNatural Hazard Probabilities During Periods of Various Lengths (FEMA, 2001)(The percentages shown represent the probabilities of one or more occurrences of anevent of a given magnitude or larger within the specified period. As the length of theperiod increases, so does the probability that floods of a given magnitude or greaterwill occur.) 10 – Year 25 – Year 50 – Year 100 – Year 500 – Year Event Event Event Event Event Length Of Period 1 Year 10% 4% 2% 1% 0.2% 10 Years 65% 34% 18% 10% 2% 20 Years 88% 56% 33% 18% 5% 25 Years 93% 64% 40% 22% 5% 30 Years 96% 71% 45% 26% 6% 50 Years 99+% 87% 64% 39% 10% 70 Years 99.94+% 94% 76% 50% 13% 100 Years 99.99+% 98% 87% 63% 18%
  16. 16. WHAT IS OUR GOAL? DISASTER RESILIENCE!The capacity of a community that is exposed tohazards to adapt, by resisting or changing, in order toreach and maintain an acceptable level of functioning andstructure. Resilience is determined by the degree to whichthe community is capable of organizing itself to increaseits capacity for learning from past disasters.Disaster resilience means that communities can withstandthe impacts of floods and storms and readily recover, whichin turn, contributes to long-term sustainability ofcommunities for the enjoyment of all, both now and forfuture generations. (Subcommittee on Disaster Reduction, 2005)
  17. 17. DISASTER RESILIENCE THROUGH HAZARD MITIGATION COMPREHENSIVE PLANNING ACQUISITION/RELOCATION HIGHER STANDARDS REGULATIONS LAND USE MANAGEMENT NATURAL RESOURCE RESTORATION FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING LEGISLATION
  18. 18. COMPREHENSIVE MULTI-HAZARDS PLANNING IDENTIFY VULNERABILITY AND RANGE OF MITIGATION OPTIONS PRE-STORM PLANNING FOR POST-STORM MITIGATION AND RESPONSE ACTIONS ALIGN AGENCY PLANNING, PROGRAMS, PRIORITIES AND FUNDING TO MAXIMIZE BENEFITS PROMOTE LONG-TERM COST-BENEFICIAL ACTIONS PLAN AND IMPLEMENT REGIONAL SEDIMENT MANAGEMENT ACTIONS EMPLOY A BROAD RANGE OF SOLUTIONS COMMUNITY RATING SYSTEM (CRS)
  19. 19. ACQUISITION/RELOCATION THE MOST COST-EFFECTIVE LONG-TERM MITIGATION OPTION REPRESENTS A PERMANENT SOLUTION TO PERSISTENT PROBLEMS BREAKS THE CYCLE OF REPETITIVE DAMAGES FACILITATES RESTORATION AND ENHANCEMENT OF PROTECTIVE NATURAL RESOURCES TDR PROVIDES AN ALTERNATIVE MECHANISM TO SUPPORT RELOCATION
  20. 20. HIGHER STANDARDS ELEVATE STRUCTURES ABOVE THE BASE FLOOD ELEVATION (BFE) AND INCLUDE FREEBOARD USE ADVISORY BFEs REQUIRE V ZONE (COASTAL HIGH HAZARD AREA) STANDARDS IN COASTAL A ZONES CONSIDER V ZONE STANDARDS FOR SURGE- PRONE BAYFRONT AREAS CONSIDER NEW REQUIREMENTS TO ADDRESS POTENTIAL FOUNDATION FAILURE IN A ZONES
  21. 21. REGULATIONS RESCIND EXECUTIVE ORDER #2 ADOPT REGULATIONS THAT EXCEED FEDERAL MINIMUM STANDARDS APPLY A STRICT PROHIBITION OF DEVELOPMENT ON BEACHES, DUNES AND COASTAL WETLANDS PROHIBIT ENLARGEMENT OF EXISTING STRUCTURES IN V ZONES AND EROSION HAZARD AREAS APPLY COASTAL HIGH HAZARD AREA AND EROSION HAZARD AREA CZM RULES TO ALL DEVELOPMENT
  22. 22. LAND USE MANAGEMENT INCORPORATE DEVELOPMENT SETBACKS FROM BEACHES, DUNES AND WETLANDS DESIGNATE SETBACK AREAS FOR NATURAL RESOURCE RESTORATION ADOPT CONSERVATION ZONING ALONG OCEAN AND BAY SHOREFRONTS LIMIT DEVELOPMENT DENSITY IN V ZONES AND EROSION HAZARD AREAS ELIMINATE NON-CONFORMING USES IN POST- STORM SCENARIO
  23. 23. NATURAL RESOURCE PROTECTION AND RESTORATION REQUIRE DUNE CREATION AND ENHANCEMENT…EVERYWHERE! CONDITION STATE & FEDERAL AID ACCORDINGLY USE CZM STANDARD FOR OPTIMAL DUNE VOLUME PROHIBIT LOWERING OF DUNES PROVIDE INCREASED BUFFERS TO ALLOW FOR COASTAL WETLAND MIGRATION OVER TIME CONSIDER SHALLOW WATER FILL FOR WETLANDS RESTORATION IN BAYS
  24. 24. FLOODPROOFING AND RETROFITTING AN IMPORTANT TOOL FOR HEAVILY DEVELOPED URBAN AREAS ELEVATE STRUCTURES WHERE POSSIBLE UPGRADE STORMWATER MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS…INCLUDE BACKFLOW PREVENTION FLOODPROOF DOORS AND WINDOWS ELEVATE UTILITIES AND APPLIANCES UTILIZE WATER RESISTANT BUILDING MATERIALS
  25. 25. LEGISLATION CAFRA LEGISLATIVE FINDINGS: OVERSIGHT? RE-EVALUATE CAFRA ABSOLUTE RIGHT TO REBUILD STRUCTURES DESTROYED BY STORMS CONSIDER DEVELOPMENT PROHIBITION FOR STORM DAMAGED STRUCTURES IN V ZONES AND EROSION HAZARD AREAS LINK DEVELOPMENT PROHIBITION TO BLUE ACRES FUNDING TO COMPENSATE PROPERTY OWNERS ESTABLISH COASTAL COMMISSION TO FACILITATE REGIONAL PLANNING IN COASTAL ZONE? DUNE AND SHOREFRONT PROTECTION ACT?
  26. 26. THE BAD NEWS DESPITE BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SPENT TO “CONTROL” FLOODING AND REDUCE RISK, STATISTICS SHOW THAT EACH DECADE SINCE 1900 HAS WITNESSED MORE FLOOD LOSSES THAN THE PREVIOUS DECADE  WE CONTINUE ON THE SAME PATH AND REPEAT PAST MISTAKES WITHOUT MAJOR CHANGES IN POLICY AND REGULATION SANDY DEMONSTRATED THAT WE CANNOT AFFORD A “BUSINESS AS USUAL” ATTITUDE
  27. 27. THE GOOD NEWS  WE KNOW WHAT WORKS  WE HAVE A BROAD RANGE OF PROVEN MITIGATION STRATEGIES AVAILABLE SANDY PROVIDES A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO IMPLEMENT ACTIONS THAT WILL MITIGATE DAMAGES, COSTS AND MISERY OF FUTURE STORM EVENTS
  28. 28. THE $34 BILLION QUESTION… CAN NEW JERSEY’S LEADERS SUMMON THE POLITICAL WILL TO IMPLEMENT BOLD,DECISIVE AND COST-EFFECTIVE ACTIONS NOW,TO ENSURE MORE RESILIENT COMMUNITIES IN THE FUTURE? ( LET’S MAKE SURE THAT THEY DO! )

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