Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.

NJ Future Redevelopment Forum 13 Pirani

476 views

Published on

A look at a framework within which coastal communities can plan for resilience.

Published in: News & Politics
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

NJ Future Redevelopment Forum 13 Pirani

  1. 1. Weathering the ImpactsRobert PiraniVice President for Energy and EnvironmentRegional Plan Association 1
  2. 2. Hurricane Sandy
  3. 3. Resiliency:The capacity of asystem tomaintain itspurpose andintegrity in theface of changingcircumstance.
  4. 4. Coastal Zone Adaptation StrategiesRegionalNeighborhoodSite Retreat
  5. 5. HUD SCI Livability Principles1. Provide more transportation choices.2. Promote equitable, affordable housing.3. Enhance economic competitiveness.4. Support existing communities.5. Coordinate policies and leverage investment.6. Value communities and neighborhoods.
  6. 6. Climate Uncertainty 10
  7. 7. FEMAPredictedExtent of100 – YearStorm Event
  8. 8. ActualExtent ofHurricaneSandyStorm Surge
  9. 9. Monthly Maximum Water Levels at the Battery 15 14 Sandy North American Vertical Datum 1988 (feet) 13 12 9:24 PM – Manhattan Battery 11 Previous • 13.88 feet 10 Record December Hurricane Mean Lower Low Water March 1962 1992 Irene 9 • 11.10 feet 8 North American Vertical Datum 1988 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Monthly High Water 0 -1 -2 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 YearsCourtesy AECOM
  10. 10. Market Uncertainty 14
  11. 11. OverAge65inSandyInundationArea25.0% New York New Jersey20.0% Connecticut15.0%10.0% 5.0% 0.0%
  12. 12. Jobs in Hurricane Sandy Inundation Area120,000100,000 New York 80,000 New Jersey 60,000 Connecticut 40,000 20,000 0
  13. 13. New Advisory Base Flood Elevations People and Homes in Existing and New 100-year Floodplain600,000400,000 Additional in New ABFE Designation In Existing 100-year200,000 Floodplain Population Household
  14. 14. Government Uncertainty 18
  15. 15. Decision-Makers• FEMA • State of NY • Joint Field Office• HUD • State of NJ • Inter-Agency Task Forces• DHS • State of CT • Rebuilding Task Force• USDA • Municipalities • NYS2100 • Senate• USDOT Bipartisan Task Force• NOAA • Housing Recovery• SBA Office• FWS
  16. 16. Funding for Hazard Mitigation and Rebuilding Federal Transit Administration Army Corps of Engineers Community Development Block Grant EPA Grants NOAA Other
  17. 17. Addressing Uncertainty 21
  18. 18. Scenario Planning
  19. 19. ConstantsFactors that are unlikely to changesubstantially between now and 2035.•Demographic Trends•Climate Change•Aging Coastal Infrastructure
  20. 20. TrendsDriving forces or long term trends thatcontribute to change in each scenario.•Coastal Storms•Regional Economic Growth
  21. 21. AgentsThe prime movers, decision-makers, oragents of change within a scenario.•Local Residents and Businesses•Financial and Insurance Sector•Government
  22. 22. UncertaintiesFactors that could significantly impacthow alternative futures actually unfold.•Frequency and Severity of Coastal Storms•Community and Market Response•Government Response
  23. 23. Addressing Uncertainty 27
  24. 24. Criteria for Evaluation•Resilient•Redundant•Robust•Regional 28
  25. 25. Weathering the ImpactsRobert PiraniVice President for Energy and EnvironmentRegional Plan Association 29

×