NJ Future Forum 2012 Energizing Redevelopment Sturm
Fork in the Road for Solar Energy in NJ:Redevelopment or Open Lands?New Jersey Future Redevelopment Forum March 9, 2012 Chris Sturm
Solar Energy is “White Hot” in New Jersey600500 Installed Capacity (MW) Total Installed Capacity (MW)400300200100 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total Photovoltaic Capacity, 2008-2011 1600 1400 1200 2008Cumulatie Installed Capacity (MW) 1000 2009 800 2010 600 2011 400 200 0 California New Jersey Colorado Arizona Nevada Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory; Solar Energy Industries Associatiion. Data as of September 30, 2011
Density of Photovoltaic Capacity, 2008-2011 70 60Capacity per Square Mile (kW) 50 2008 40 2009 30 2010 2011 20 10 0 California New Jersey Colorada Arizona Nevada Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory; Solar Energy Inudustries Association; United States Census. Data as of September 30, 2011
Solar Capacity by Mounting Type (MW) 12/13/2011 13 17 Roof (70%) Ground (23%)98 Pole (3%) Unknown (4%) 297
Solar Targets from the Renewable Portfolio Standard: 4,005 MW needed by 2026 Source: Advance & Rutgers Report: Solar Power in the Garden State
Meeting 2026 solar goals could consume a lotof land...Ground-mounted systems:• 20,600 acres or 32 square miles needed• Over 3.5% of farmland• Equivalent to 70% of Hudson County land areaNotes: Piers installed for 53,200 panels at Oak Solar Site inAcres are estimated based on a conversion factor of 5.15 Megawatts per Fairfield Township, NJ. (NJ.com. 10-5-2011)acre, derived from existing data for ground-mounted solar projects in New Jersey.
What about “redevelopment options”:rooftops, parking, etc.?Rooftop systems: 319 million square feetneeded – Northern NJ industrial space estimated at 800 million square feet – Total commercial and industrial impervious surfaces (buildings, parking lots, etc.) estimated at 156,400 acres or 6.8 billion square feet.Notes:• Square footage estimates are based on a conversion factor of 12.54 MW per million square feet, typical of rootop systems.• Industrial space: Weichert Commercial Brokerage Update, Fourth Quarter, 2011 – NJ 5 MW installation at Toys R Us in Wayne, NJ.• Impervious surface estimates: New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection, 2007; (Reepedia.com, 8/11) Parking canopy at Morris Rowan Geospatial Research Lab, 2012. Estimates derived from commercial, industrial, and County administration parking garage. institutional parcels.
...And also brownfields and landfillsBrownfields:• Over 10,000 in NJ• More than 300 “Brownfield Development Areas” on 3,300 Source: “Brownfields Economic Development.” NJTPA – NJIT. acresLandfills – a DEP priority• 5 operating solar facilities (17.9 MW)• 24 proposed or in development (73.1 MW) 1.09 MW system at the Pennsauken Sanitary Landfilll. Source: Pfisterenergy.com.
Uncertainty re: Future Solar Locations• Unresolved: SREQ price & demand• Energy Master Plan policy on solar siting – Will incentives be tiered to favor rooftops, landfills, brownfields?• Legislation to ease solar access to the grid – Any review for land use implications?
Thank you! Chris Sturm Senior Director for State Policy email@example.com