NITLE Shared Academics: An Open Discussion of the 2014 Horizon Report


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At a time of rapid, systemic change, decision-makers must be skilled at recognizing patterns that point to the future of higher education. Many resources exist that follow, describe, and analyze trends. One such resource is the NMC Horizon Report. The 2014 Higher Education Edition is a collaborative effort between the New Media Consortium (NMC) and the EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative (ELI). For more than a decade, the NMC Horizon Project has been researching emerging technologies with the potential to affect teaching, learning, research, creative inquiry, and information management. How might you use this research to make the best possible strategic decisions to ensure mission-driven integration of pedagogy and technology? These NMC Horizon Report slides were used during an discussion led by NITLE Senior Fellow Bryan Alexander in which participants reviewed the Horizon Report, identified local patterns that supported or contradicted the projections described, and evaluated their potential impact for individual programs or institutions.

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NITLE Shared Academics: An Open Discussion of the 2014 Horizon Report

  1. 1. NMC Horizon Report 2013 Higher Education Edition å
  2. 2. 32 Editions 10 reports in 2013 40+ translations 38 Editions 50+ Translations 12 Years of Global Research into Emerging Technology Uptake The NMC Horizon Project
  3. 3. Horizon Reports Higher Education K12 Education Museums European Union (K12) Latin America (Higher Ed) Regional/Sector Technology Outlooks Australia / New Zealand / Brazil UK / Norway / Singapore Training / eLearning STEM / Community Colleges
  4. 4. The research behind the NMC Horizon Report: 2014 Higher Education Edition is jointly conducted by the New Media Consortium (NMC) and the EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative (ELI), an EDUCAUSE Program. The ELI’s critical participation in the production of this report and their strong support for the NMC Horizon Project is gratefully acknowledged. Acknowledgements The NMC Horizon Report: 2014 Higher Education Edition Edition is a publication of the New Media Consortium and is made possible via a grant from the World Bank.
  5. 5. Slow: 5 yrs or more Mid: 3-4 yrs Fast: 1-2 yrs Fast vs Slow Trends Policy Practice Leadership
  6. 6. Fast trends • Growing ubiquity of social media • Integration of online, hybrid, collaborative learning
  7. 7. Mid-range trends • Rise of data-driven learning and assessment • Students as consumers -> students as creators
  8. 8. Long-range trends • Agile approaches to change • Evolution of online learning
  9. 9. Challenges Solvable to Wicked Understandable Solvable Policy Practice Leadership
  10. 10. Solvable challenges • Faculty’s low level of digital fluency • Relative lack of rewards for teaching
  11. 11. Difficult challenges • Competition from new education models • Scaling teaching innovations
  12. 12. Wicked challenges •Expanding access •Keeping education relevant
  13. 13. Badging / Microcredit Learning Analytics Mobile Learning MOOCs Online Learning Open Content Open Licensing Personal Learning Environment Remote Labs Virtual Labs Learning Technologies
  14. 14. Mobile Apps 3D Video Tablet Computing Telepresence Quantified Self BYOD Digital Preservation Flipped Classroom Gamification Location Intelligence Consumer Technologies Digital Strategies
  15. 15. Collaborative Environments Crowd Funding Digital Identity Crowd Sourcing Tacit Intelligence Collective Intelligence Social Media Technologies Social Graph
  16. 16. Internet of Things Cloud Computing Real-Time Translation Semantic Applications Single Sign On RSS 3D Printing InfoViz Visual Data Analysis Volumetric Displays Internet Technology Visualization Technology
  17. 17. Open Hardware Next-Gen Batteries Speech-to-Speech Virtual Assistants Wireless Power Affective Computing Cellular Networks Electrovibration Flexible Displays Geolocation Location-Based Services Machine Learning Mobile Broadband Natural User Interfaces Near Field Communications Enabling Technologies
  18. 18. Technologies to Watch 2014 ONE YEAR OR LESS: • Learning Analytics • Flipped Classroom • BYOD • Massive Open Online Courses
  19. 19. Technologies to Watch 2014 TWO TO THREE YEARS: • 3D Printing • Games and Gamification • The Internet of Things • Wearable Technology
  20. 20. Technologies to Watch 2014 FOUR TO FIVE YEARS: • Virtual Assistants • Quantified Self • Affective Computing • Flexible Displays
  21. 21. NMCHorizonReport 2013K12Edition NMCHorizonReport 2014HigherEducationEdition NMCHorizonReport 2013MuseumEdition Time-to-AdoptionHorizon:OneYearorLess Time-to-AdoptionHorizon:TwotoThreeYears Time-to-AdoptionHorizon:FourtoFiveYears
  22. 22. #NMCHz
  23. 23. Bryan Alexander, the blog On the Twitters The email