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The Construction Pivot - Building Future Communities (BILD)

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Nikolas was the keynote for BILD's annual conference in Banff, AB, Canada in 2018.

Cities and towns are changing. Now, more than ever before, we are seeing more densely populated urban areas, changes in real estate development, shifts in societal values and behaviour, and the rise of ‘smart’ technologies. These factors, paired with the need for social equality and environmental balance, present unique challenges and great opportunity for our communities.

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The Construction Pivot - Building Future Communities (BILD)

  1. 1. Nikolas Badminton Futurist & Researcher @nikolasfuturist The Construction Pivot Building Future Communities
  2. 2. 2 Kongō Gumi, a Japanese construction co, was founded in 578 AD is still operating. They are 1,439 years old.
  3. 3. 3 The global construction industry is expected to reach an estimated $10.5 trillion by 2023, and it is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 4.2% from 2018 to 2023.
  4. 4. 4 Growth Changing Cities Smarter Cities Playful Cities
  5. 5. 5 Growth.
  6. 6. Early settlements and construction began at the beginning of ‘civilization’
  7. 7. Electrification was the trigger point for exponential growth
  8. 8. Source: United Nations, 2015 6 billion
  9. 9. http://www.visualcapitalist.com/chart-largest-companies-market-cap-15-years/
  10. 10. 14 Data is the new oil.
  11. 11. 1997 2011 2017 2017
  12. 12. 16 “A.I. is th e n ew e lectricit y”
  13. 13. 17 Changing cities.
  14. 14. Tokyo
  15. 15. 19 1950 - Tokyo & NYC 1980 - Mexico City, Sao Paulo, & Osaka 2010 - 20 Megacities 2017 - 32 Megacities
  16. 16. 20 1. Trends in workspace configurations. 2. Large and diverse talent pools. 3. Ecosystems of advisers and services. 4. Maintaining a competitive edge. Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2016/07/14/the-future-of-cities-green-building-to-driverless-cars-at-a-glance/
  17. 17. 21 “By 2030 nearly 9% of the world will live in 41 megacities” The Economist
  18. 18. 22 Smarter cities.
  19. 19. 23 Solar and electrification.
  20. 20. http://breakingenergy.com/2015/05/11/thin-film-solar-cell-industry-in-transition-knockout-phase-is-over-profitability-and-vertical-integration-next/http://www.vox.com/2015/6/9/8748081/us-100-percent-renewable-energy
  21. 21. http://breakingenergy.com/2015/05/11/thin-film-solar-cell-industry-in-transition-knockout-phase-is-over-profitability-and-vertical-integration-next/
  22. 22. http://breakingenergy.com/2015/05/11/thin-film-solar-cell-industry-in-transition-knockout-phase-is-over-profitability-and-vertical-integration-next/
  23. 23. http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/brooks-solar-newell-elemental-energy-1.4458277 Brooks, AB - 78 acre solar farm
  24. 24. http://energy.mit.edu/news/transparent-solar-cells/
  25. 25. https://inhabitat.com/german-scientists-double-the-efficiency-of-black-silicon-for-use-in-solar-cells/ Researchers at Finland’s Aalto University have achieved a record-breaking 22.1% efficiency for a nanostructured silicon, or black, solar cell
  26. 26. http://www.businessinsider.com/china-panda-solar-power-plant-2017-7 248 acre solar farm
  27. 27. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/2017/07/06/panda-power-china-building-worlds-cutest-solar-station/ 70,000 per hour
  28. 28. https://newatlas.com/geidco-global-interconnected-energy-grid/46411/#gallery
  29. 29. 35 Mobility.
  30. 30. “ We a re a p p ro a c h i n g t h e e n d o f t h e a u t o m o t i v e e ra .” B o b Lu t z Fo r m e r Vi c e C h a i r m a n o f G M 36
  31. 31. http://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-ev-oil-crisis/
  32. 32. 455K pre-orders
  33. 33. http://www.visualcapitalist.com/tesla-worlds-4th-largest-auto-maker/
  34. 34. N i s s a n Le a f C h e v y B o l t B M W M i n i E S u b a r u Vo l v o Vo l k s w a g e n I . D. C ro z z 40
  35. 35. 41 $90 billion https://www.reuters.com/article/us-autoshow-detroit-electric/global-carmakers-to-invest-at-least-90-billion-in-electric-vehicles-idUSKBN1F42NW
  36. 36. 1 , 2 0 4 k m s o n a s i n g l e c h a r g e
  37. 37. Ru ra l v s . U r b a n a n d 0 ° C t o - 4 0 ° C ? 43
  38. 38. 44 Autonomous
  39. 39. 45 Sensor cities.
  40. 40. 46
  41. 41. 47http://www.businessinsider.com/how-the-internet-of-things-market-will-grow-2014-10
  42. 42. 49 Worldwide smart cities market will grow from its current $622 billion, to $3.48 trillion by 2026. http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/global-smart-cities-market-to-reach-us-3482-trillion-by-2026-apej-to-outpace-north-america-609626355.html
  43. 43. Bristol
  44. 44. Toronto
  45. 45. 52 Barcelona
  46. 46. 53 • Saving $95 million annually through smart lighting and water management • Increased parking revenues by $50 million per year. • Generated 47,000 new jobs. Barcelona’s business case
  47. 47. 54 Over 1,000 smart city pilot projects are ready for or are under construction worldwide and China is home to about 500 of them, covering big and small cities. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/china-has-highest-number-of-smart-city-pilot-projects-report/articleshow/62998738.cms
  48. 48. 55 Smart buildings.
  49. 49. 59 1 2 , 0 0 0 + e m p l o y e e s . 1 , 0 0 0 p e r s o n a u d i t o r i u m . 8 0 % g r e e n s p a c e . 1 0 0 % r e n e w a b l e e n e r g y. N a t u r a l v e n t i l a t i o n s y s t e m .
  50. 50. 60
  51. 51. 61 The blackwater technology will reduce the tower's drain on the local drinking water supply by 7.8 million gallons annually or 30,000 gallons daily. The system will result in a 76 percent reduction in the building's water footprint. https://www.greenbiz.com/article/salesforce-dives-headfirst-water-recycling-new-hq
  52. 52. 62 Really smart buildings.
  53. 53. 63 “Food production must increase with 60% to be able to fe ed the growing po pulation expected to hit 9 billion in 2050.” United Natio ns
  54. 54. "We're growing in 16 days what o therwise takes 30 days in a field - using 95% less water, a bout 50% less fertilizers, zero pesticides, h erb icides, fungicid e s" Dav id Rosenb erg, CEO, AeroFarms
  55. 55. 65 Princi p les for the modern city.
  56. 56. 66 H:E:A:R:T
  57. 57. 67 Human-Centric Design Entrepreneurial Spirit Asset Development For The Greater Good Renewable, Repeatable, Replicable Technology Enabled Connections https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2018/04/13/smart-cities-need-h-e-a-r-t/#6639ba621893
  58. 58. 68 Bigger ideas.
  59. 59. https://www.fastcompany.com/3059264/this-new-car-free-neighborhood-redesigns-suburbia Mannheim - car free
  60. 60. 70 B a rc e l o n a w a n t s t o re d u c e c a r u s e b y 2 1 % o v e r t h e n e x t t w o y e a r s a n d i n c re a s e m o b i l i t y b y f o o t , b i ke a n d p u b l i c t ra n s p o rt . https://theconversation.com/chinas-sponge-cities-aim-to-re-use-70-of-rainwater-heres-how-83327
  61. 61. Cape Town
  62. 62. 73 São Paulo Banga lore Beijing Cairo Jaka rta Moscow Istanbu l Mexico City Lon don Tokyo Miami
  63. 63. Sponge Cities
  64. 64. 75 China’s spon ge city initiative has an ambitious goal: by 2020, 80% o f u rban areas sh ou ld absorb and re-use at lea st 70% o f rain water. https://theconversation.com/chinas-sponge-cities-aim-to-re-use-70-of-rainwater-heres-how-83327
  65. 65. 76 Curious configurations.
  66. 66. Smart Forests = 275 trees https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/08/this-smart-tree-has-the-environmental-benefits-of-a-small-forest
  67. 67. W350 - 350m and 90% wood https://cleantechnica.com/2018/03/15/bold-plan-worlds-tallest-wooden-skyscraper-tokyo/
  68. 68. Waste https://newatlas.com/world-first-biological-house-farming-waste/52417/
  69. 69. https://boingboing.net/2016/06/17/18-of-the-worlds-cargo-ship.html Modular
  70. 70. Micro Apartments
  71. 71. 2.5m diameter water pipes https://newatlas.com/opod-tube-housing/52835/#gallery
  72. 72. OPod Tube Housing https://newatlas.com/opod-tube-housing/52835/#gallery
  73. 73. Tiny Homes
  74. 74. #vanlife http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/van-life-van-dwellers-vancouver-growing-pains-1.4519679
  75. 75. https://boingboing.net/2016/06/17/18-of-the-worlds-cargo-ship.html 18%
  76. 76. https://boingboing.net/2016/06/17/18-of-the-worlds-cargo-ship.html Lake Eerie
  77. 77. https://boingboing.net/2016/06/17/18-of-the-worlds-cargo-ship.htmlhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cju7HnyJA8k Sea Steading
  78. 78. https://www.cnn.com/travel/article/aurora-station-luxury-space-hotel/index.html Space Hotels - $9.5m a week
  79. 79. 91 Exponential Construction.
  80. 80. 1,000 bph
  81. 81. 3D Printing
  82. 82. 3D Printing
  83. 83. https://www.dezeen.com/2017/05/19/pod-vending-machine-haseef-rafiei-3d-printed-housing-modular-homes-mini-living-movies/
  84. 84. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170601005952/en/Meta-Introduces-AR-Workspace-Augmented-World-Expo Vision
  85. 85. https://www.3dprint.com/205907/meta-interview-immersive-ar/
  86. 86. 98 Playful cities.
  87. 87. 99 “ C u r i o s i t y h a s b e e n n o t e d b y b e h a v i o u r a l p s y c h o l o g i s t s a s g i v i n g r i s e t o m e n t a l s t a t e s o f f a s c i n a t i o n a n d e x p l o r a t i o n . T h i s h a s b e e n f o u n d b y N e u r o s c i e n t i s t s t o e n g a g e t w o c r i t i c a l l y i m p o r t a n t p a r t s o f t h e b r a i n f u n c t i o n k n o w n a s t h e S o c i a l E n g a g e m e n t a n d t h e P l a y A c t i o n s y s t e m s .” R i c h a r d B o y d , ‘ T h e R o l e o f P l a y a n d E x p l o r a t i o n i n H u m a n H a p p i n e s s ’ http://www.energeticsinstitute.com.au/page/role_of_play_and_exploration_in_human_happiness.html
  88. 88. We need to create a holistic ‘citizen architecture’
  89. 89. Humans
  90. 90. 105 Certainty Variety Significance Connection/Love Growth Contribution
  91. 91. 106
  92. 92. Being Happy
  93. 93. Create Emotional Infrastructure
  94. 94. 109 “The global city is a distributed phenomenon. There is only one global city, and it floats on top of the others like lace.” Manuel Castells, Sociologist
  95. 95. 110 Welcome to the future.
  96. 96. Nikolas Badminton Futurist & Researcher @nikolasfuturist The Construction Pivot Building Future Communities

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