Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.

Autonomous Vehicles Workshop (BILD)

85 views

Published on

Nikolas ran an engaging workshop for attendees on autonomous vehicles at BILD's annual conference in Banff, AB, Canada in 2018.

Drive into the future as we look at autonomous vehicles. Let’s dive deeper into changes in the automobile industry, AV development, deployment scenarios, ethics, and potential socio-economic and land development impacts of a driverless future.

For more of Nikolas' insights go to www.nikolasbadminton.com

To book Nikolas go to www.nikolasbadminton.com/booking

Published in: Technology
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

Autonomous Vehicles Workshop (BILD)

  1. 1. Nikolas Badminton Futurist & Researcher @nikolasfuturist Autonomous vehicles workshop.
  2. 2. A r t i f i c i a l I n t e l l i g e n c e . A u t o n o m o u s V e h i c l e s . T h e C i t y . E t h i c s , S a f e t y , a n d O u r F u t u r e . 2
  3. 3. 3 Artificial Intelligence.
  4. 4. 1997 2011 2017 2017
  5. 5. By 2030, AI is expected to provide a $15.7 trillion boost to GDP worldwide. 5http://www.businessinsider.com/infographic-ai-effect-on-economy-2017-8
  6. 6. Who is excited at the prospect of Artificial Intelligence revolutionizing mobility? 6 Q.
  7. 7. 7 Autonomous vehicles.
  8. 8. A v e h i c l e t h a t c a n g u i d e i t s e l f w i t h o u t h u m a n c o n d u c t i o n . 8
  9. 9. 10
  10. 10. 2021
  11. 11. 13https://www.theatlas.com/charts/BJLv3Z5ub
  12. 12. 14 City considerations.
  13. 13. B y 2 0 2 0 , i t i s e s t i m a t e d t h a t 1 0 m i l l i o n c a r s w i t h a u t o n o m o u s f e a t u r e s w i l l b e o n t h e r o a d . 15http://bigthink.com/articles/how-self-driving-cars-will-transform-urban-living-for-the-better
  14. 14. B y 2 0 3 0 , c o m p l e t e l y a u t o n o m o u s v e h i c l e s w i l l b e p e r v a s i v e a n d w i l l t r a n s f o r m o u r c i t i e s a n d l i f e s t y l e s . 16http://bigthink.com/articles/how-self-driving-cars-will-transform-urban-living-for-the-better
  15. 15. 17https://qz.com/1146038/at-least-47-cities-around-the-world-are-piloting-self-driving-cars/
  16. 16. 18https://avsincities.bloomberg.org/global-atlas Edmonton Calgary
  17. 17. 19
  18. 18. S i n c e t h e n , C a l g a r y h a s p a r t n e r e d w i t h t h e U n i v e r s i t y o f A l b e r t a a n d t h e c i t y o f E d m o n t o n o n a m u l t i - c i t y A V p i l o t , c r e a t i n g a n i n f o r m a t i o n s h a r i n g n e t w o r k b e t w e e n t h e t w o l a r g e s t c i t i e s i n t h e p r o v i n c e o f A l b e r t a . 20
  19. 19. C a l g a r y ’ s p l a n n e d t e s t s i n v o l v e a m o n t h - l o n g l a s t - m i l e d r i v e r l e s s s h u t t l e l i n k b e t w e e n T E L U S S p a r k , t h e c i t y ’ s r e c e n t l y r e n o v a t e d s c i e n c e c e n t e r , a n d t h e C a l g a r y Z o o t r a i n s t a t i o n . T h e p r o j e c t i s s l a t e d t o l a u n c h i n 2 0 1 8 . 21
  20. 20. 22https://avsincities.bloomberg.org/global-atlas/americas/ca/edmonton-ca
  21. 21. T h e c i t y i s m o v i n g f o r w a r d i n p a r t n e r s h i p w i t h A l b e r t a Tr a n s p o r t a t i o n , F a i r m o n t H o t e l s , a n d t h e C i t y o f C a l g a r y t o e s t a b l i s h a n A V t e s t t r a c k a t t h e U n i v e r s i t y o f A l b e r t a . T h e f a c i l i t y w i l l b e t a s k e d w i t h e v a l u a t i o n o f a d r i v e r l e s s m i n i b u s s h u t t l e f o r f u t u r e o n - r o a d p i l o t s i n t h e t w o c i t i e s . 23
  22. 22. 24https://qz.com/1146038/at-least-47-cities-around-the-world-are-piloting-self-driving-cars/
  23. 23. 25https://avsincities.bloomberg.org/global-atlas The Villages, FL
  24. 24. 26
  25. 25. W h a t a r e s o m e o f t h e i m p a c t s o n w o r k a n d c i t i e s ? 27
  26. 26. M o r e w o r k p r o d u c t i v i t y d u e t o w a s t e d c o m m u t i n g t i m e i n c a r s . 28
  27. 27. L o n g e r c o m m u t i n g w i l l b e l e s s s t r e s s f u l . 29
  28. 28. I n c r e a s e d d a i l y m i g r a t i o n f r o m f u r t h e r a f i e l d , a n d s h a r e d v e h i c l e s u s e d a s m e e t i n g r o o m s b y c o m p a n i e s . 30
  29. 29. M o r e h o u s i n g , m o r e p a r k s , l e s s e x p e n d i t u r e , i m p r o v e d h e a l t h a n d w e l l b e i n g . 31
  30. 30. F e w e r v e h i c l e s . 32
  31. 31. 1 5 : 1 34
  32. 32. LY F T h a s o f f e r e d a o n e a l l - a c c e s s p a s s o f f e r e d u p t o 3 0 s t a n d a r d L y f t r i d e s f o r $ 1 9 9 a m o n t h , a n o t h e r w a s p r i c e d a t $ 3 0 0 , a n d a n o t h e r a t $ 3 9 9 f o r 6 0 r i d e s . 35 h t t p s : / / w w w . t h e v e r g e . c o m / 2 0 1 8 / 3 / 1 5 / 1 7 1 2 7 0 0 2 / l y f t - a l l - a c c e s s - m o n t h l y - s u b s c r i p t i o n
  33. 33. 36
  34. 34. T h a t m e a n s l e s s p a r k i n g r e q u i r e d a n d t h e a b i l i t y t o c o m p l e t e l y r e d e s i g n h o w d o w n t o w n c o r e s o f c i t i e s w i l l w o r k . 37
  35. 35. 38
  36. 36. 39
  37. 37. 40 Ethics, safety, and our future.
  38. 38. 41 FEAR
  39. 39. 42 1 person5 people The Trolley problem
  40. 40. W e d o n ’ t d r i v e t r o l l e y s a r o u n d t h e r o a d s , a n d t h e c a m e r a s a n d L I D A R w i l l d e t e c t t h i s s i t u a t i o n a h e a d o f t i m e a n d j u s t s t o p . O l d e t h i c a l d i s c u s s i o n s d o n o t f i t i n t o t h e n e w w o r l d . 43
  41. 41. F r o m c a r c o m p a n i e s t o p l a t f o r m c o m p a n i e s . 44
  42. 42. http://www.visualcapitalist.com/tesla-worlds-4th-largest-auto-maker/
  43. 43. 46
  44. 44. 47https://www.nanalyze.com/2017/03/8-electric-car-startups/
  45. 45. 48https://www.cbinsights.com/research/startups-drive-auto-industry-disruption/
  46. 46. 49
  47. 47. S p e e d o f d e p l o y m e n t . 50
  48. 48. “ W e d o n ’ t n e e d r e d u n d a n t b r a k e s & s t e e r i n g , o r a f a n c y n e w c a r , w e n e e d b e t t e r s o f t w a r e . To g e t t o t h a t b e t t e r s o f t w a r e f a s t e r w e s h o u l d d e p l o y t h e f i r s t 1 0 0 0 c a r s A S A P. I d o n ’ t u n d e r s t a n d w h y w e a r e n o t d o i n g t h a t . P a r t o f o u r t e a m s e e m s t o b e a f r a i d t o s h i p .” G o o g l e e n g i n e e r A n t h o n y L e v a n d o w s k i , i n 2 0 1 6 51
  49. 49. Hands up who thinks we’re ready? And, in 3 years? 5 years? 52 Q.
  50. 50. S a f e t y . 53
  51. 51. 2000 deaths per year http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/rob-commentary/how-autonomous-vehicles-will-transform-economies/article28931855/
  52. 52. 56
  53. 53. S e l f - d r i v i n g A u t o P i l o t 57
  54. 54. " T h e r e a l i t y i s t h e r e w i l l b e m i s t a k e s a l o n g t h e w a y . A h u n d r e d o r 5 0 0 o r a t h o u s a n d p e o p l e c o u l d l o s e t h e i r l i v e s i n a c c i d e n t s l i k e w e ’ v e s e e n i n A r i z o n a .” To y o t a N o r t h A m e r i c a C E O J i m L e n t z 58
  55. 55. 60
  56. 56. W e e m p a t h i z e w i t h M r . H u a n g ' s f a m i l y , w h o a r e u n d e r s t a n d a b l y f a c i n g l o s s a n d g r i e f , b u t t h e f a l s e i m p r e s s i o n t h a t A u t o p i l o t i s u n s a f e w i l l c a u s e h a r m t o o t h e r s o n t h e r o a d . N H T S A f o u n d t h a t e v e n t h e e a r l y v e r s i o n o f Te s l a A u t o p i l o t r e s u l t e d i n 4 0 % f e w e r c r a s h e s a n d i t h a s i m p r o v e d s u b s t a n t i a l l y s i n c e t h e n . T h e r e a s o n t h a t o t h e r f a m i l i e s a r e n o t o n T V i s b e c a u s e t h e i r l o v e d o n e s a r e s t i l l a l i v e . 61http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5607627/Grieving-widow-Tesla-crash-victim-plans-sue.html
  57. 57. L a w s , R u l e s a n d r e g u l a t i o n s . 62
  58. 58. 63 1. A car always opts for property damage over personal injury; 2. It never distinguishes between humans based on categories such as age or race; 3. If a human removes his or her hands from the steering wheel the car’s manufacturer is liable if there is a collision. Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg23130923-200-germany-to-create-worlds-first-highway-code-for-driverless-cars/ 3 l a w s o f d r i v e r l e s s c a r s .
  59. 59. D a t a o w n e r s h i p . 65
  60. 60. 66
  61. 61. R o a d r a g e , r e d e f i n e d . 67
  62. 62. 68
  63. 63. 70
  64. 64. https://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/robotics-hardware/shelly-robotic-tortoise-helps-kids-learn-that-robot-abuse-is-a-bad-thing Shelly
  65. 65. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h1E-FlguwGw&feature=youtu.be
  66. 66. S e c u r i t y . 73
  67. 67. 74 “ W h a t i s t h e b i g g e s t r i s k o f h a c k i n g ? I n a d a t a c e n t r e i t i s l o s s o f d a t a . W i t h t h e c a r i t i s l o s s o f l i f e . T h e s t a k e s a r e s o m u c h h i g h e r .” D a v i d B a r z i l a i , K a r a m b a S e c u r i t y
  68. 68. T h e e n d o f d r i v i n g ? 75
  69. 69. 76
  70. 70. 77https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_experience “Most people travel the same routes at the same times of day over and over again and are interested in using their travel time for something other than looking at whatever is currently visible out of the vehicle’s windows,” the applications state. Basically, Uber says, your daily commute equates to time wasted, even in an autonomous car that theoretically requires you to do nothing.
  71. 71. 79
  72. 72. 80 Big questions.
  73. 73. 1. W h o w i l l o w n o u r c i t i e s t r a n s p o r t a t i o n i n f r a s t r u c t u r e ? 2. W h a t r o l e w i l l c i t i e s a n d c i t i z e n s p l a y ? 3. H o w w i l l t h i s c h a n g e t h e w a y w e b u i l d a n d c r e a t e n e w i n f r a s t r u c t u r e ? 81 Q.
  74. 74. Nikolas Badminton Futurist & Researcher Autonomous vehicles discussion
  75. 75. 85 https://www.engadget.com/2017/06/13/waymo-retires-self-driving-bubble-cars/
  76. 76. It took AlphaZero 4 hours to learn chess from scratch. 86
  77. 77. 87 The future?
  78. 78. 88
  79. 79. 89

×