Secrets and surprises of high performance: What the data says

Nicole Forsgren
Nicole ForsgrenPartner at Microsoft Research
@nicolefv
Secrets and Surprises of
High Performance:
What the Data Says
Nicole Forsgren, PhD
@nicolefv
@nicolefv
@nicolefv
“IT doesn’t matter.”
-- Nicholas Carr, 2003
@nicolefv
“IT doesn’t matter.”
-- Nicholas Carr, 2003
@nicolefv
Technology matters
@nicolefv
@nicolefv
You’re doing it wrong.
There is no
”DevOps in a box”
@nicolefv
10 Deploys per day
Dev & ops cooperation at Flickr
John Allspaw & Paul Hammond
Velocity 2009
@nicolefv
@nicolefv
DevOps is
Technical Practices
and
Lean Processes
and
Culture
These drive performance outcomes
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/152950521@N07/37622864031
@nicolefv
But intuition falls short
So we need data
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
DevOps is good for
Technology
Software delivery performance
- Deploy frequency (when business demands)
- Lead Time for Changes
- Mean Time to Recover (MTTR)
- Change Fail Rate
@nicolefv
High Performing DevOps teams
More agile
More frequent
Code deployments
46x
That’s the difference between multiple
times per day and once a week or less.
Faster lead time from
commit to deploy
440x
That’s the difference between less than
an hour and more than a week.
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv
High Performing DevOps teams
More reliable
Faster mean time to
recover from downtime
96x
That means high performers recover in
less than an hour instead of several days
As likely that changes
will fail
1/5x
That means high performer’s changes fail 0-15%
of the time, compared to 31-45% of the time.
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv
DevOps is
good for organizations
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv
High Performing tech organizations are
twice as likely to meet or exceed
Commercial Goals
• Productivity
• Profitability
• Market Share
• # of customers
2x
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv
High Performing tech organizations are
twice as likely to meet or exceed
Commercial Goals
• Productivity
• Profitability
• Market Share
• # of customers
Non-commercial Goals
• Quantity of products or
services
• Operating efficiency
• Customer satisfaction
• Quality of products or
services
• Achieving organizational
or mission goals
2x
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv
High Performing tech organizations are
twice as likely to meet or exceed
Commercial Goals
• Productivity
• Profitability
• Market Share
• # of customers
Non-commercial Goals
• Quantity of products or
services
• Operating efficiency
• Customer satisfaction
• Quality of products or
services
• Achieving organizational
or mission goals
50% Higher market cap
growth over 3 years
2x
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv
Software Delivery Performance is
comprised of throughput and stability,
and both are possible without tradeoffs
@nicolefv@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv
How do we get there?
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/fantascapes/4530372648
@nicolefv
Maturity Models
@nicolefv
Maturity Models
don’t work
@nicolefv
Maturity models are for CHUMPS
@nicolefv
@nicolefv
Maturity models are for CHUMPS
@nicolefv
@nicolefv@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/nanpalmero/9313659376
Maturity models tell us
we are done once we reach a
certain destination…
and then the world
passes us by
@nicolefv
Maturity models tell us
(and leaders) to stop
dedicating resources
once we have arrived.
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/volvob12b/9988822123/
@nicolefv
Maturity models tell us
we all follow the same
path to success
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/mortaupat/6410006785
@nicolefv
Maturity models tell us
technology is a checklist to be
completed and not an exciting
journey to continually explore
and improve.
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/pebb/42467336382
@nicolefv
Architecture matters…
technology doesn’t
@nicolefv
Technology stack doesn’t matter
•Low performers are more likely to:
• be working with outsourced software
• be working on a mainframe system
BUT
• Working on a mainframe system was not correlated
with performance.
• Working on greenfield or brownfield (or any other
system) was not correlated with performance, either.
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/serenasoftware/3288275568
@nicolefv
Architectural outcomes matter
Can my team
•Change the design of its system
•Test the system
•Deploy the system
... without communication and coordination with
people outside the team?
@nicolefv https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:BalticServers_data_center.jpg
@nicolefv
Conway’s Law
“organizations which design systems …
are constrained to produce designs which
are copies of the communication
structures of these organizations”
@nicolefv
We can make work better
@nicolefv
@nicolefv
Smart investments in tech and
practices make our work better
•The work?
•Less deployment pain
•Less burnout
•Higher employee Net Promoter Score
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/151876933@N04/38992268995/
@nicolefv
Microsoft Engineering
Thiago Almeida -- DevOps Days London, 2016
Work/Life
Scores
Before CD:
38%
After CD:
75%
https://vimeo.com/165184757
@nicolefv
Employees in high performing
organizations are 2.2 times
more likely to recommend
their organization as a
great place to work
@nicolefv https://www.flickr.com/photos/thomashawk/17383831292
@nicolefv
Some of my other favorite
misconceptions
Some of my other
favorite data findings!
@nicolefv
Some of my other favorite
misconceptions
Some of my other
favorite data findings!
• Change advisory boards are useless*
• Integration times and branch lifetimes
lasting hours are better than days
@nicolefv
You can help
@nicolefv
Some of my other favorite
misconceptions
Intuition is good, but we need to
confirm with data & science
bit.ly/DORA-ASODR
@nicolefv
TL;DR
•Technology matters
•Maturity models don’t work
•Architecture > technology
•We can make work better
•You can help! bit.ly/DORA-ASODR
@nicolefv
Thank you!
nicolefv@devops-research.com
nicolefv.com
@nicolefv
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Secrets and surprises of high performance: What the data says

Editor's Notes

  1. I just wrote a book called Accelerate. It summarizes 4 years of research. But WHYYYYYY? I don’t like writing. I’d much rather sit around drinking Diet Coke.
  2. Our story begins with Harvard Business Review. BUT WHAT IS HARVARD BUSINESS REVIEW? HBR is a magazine that managers and executives read that presents research in an short, easy-to-read format. This is where management gets all of their ideas from.
  3. In the year of our lord 2003, Nicholar Carr wrote an article TITLED Who is Nicholas Carr? He is a Pulitzer Prize nominated writer. So his ideas count even more!
  4. Well, this idea can die in a fire. IT, and technology, DOES matter. But we need more than stories and intuition to tell us that. We need data. We need proof to tell management so that we can get our work and our initiatives funded.
  5. So let’s get started. After working in tech and building systems, I pivoted to research. I’ve been digging into data on tech impacts for a decade, and studying DevOps for four years.
  6. That whole “IT doesn’t matter” thing? Nicholas Carr had a point. He was making his case based on the way companies were doing tech in the 80s and 90s. …
  7. … but I don’t believe you OR … but I’m not going to invest in it. What good does it do for me? OR … why should I care?
  8. b/c if we don’t invest the right way, it’s a missed opportunity
  9. Data backs our intuition… it’s factual
  10. Okay… but “SO WHAT?”??”
  11. This is important, and something that we could only verify with data. Our intuition told us this was possible. But others have told us it wasn’t so. Who here works in highly regulated fields, or government? ITIL and groups in Europe have said for over a decade that we have to slow down to be safe and stable. Four years of data show that this isn’t the case at all. High performers… IN FACT.. It might be the opposite.
  12. But… how are we going to get there?
  13. Let me explain to you: Maturity Models. These are a rubric, invented by someone, that explain how to go from sucking at technology, to being amazing at technology.
  14. At one point, World of Warcraft came out and Level 60 was amazing and as high as you could go. A Level 60 mage or warlock was awesome and it was freaking HARD to get there. So this was a serious GOAL. So if you use a maturity model…. 40 is moderate, 50 is super high, 60 is epic. And once you achieve this, you are amazing and you are set. (go)
  15. OH WAIT. Except the world changed. The competition changed…. And now you can get to level 110. Suddenly being a Level 60 just isn't’ very cool anymore, and frankly, it isn’t good enough. Technology is the same way. And so is business. The best, most innovative companies know this. Their competition is getting better, the world is changing, and customers demand more. So instead of picking a destination, like in a maturity model, they point in a a direction, As engineers, we know that abstractions never fully map to the world.
  16. MORE fun things we found in the data that debunked myths!
  17. Change approvals OTHER – days of time to have branch active We can only do this with data. With math, we need a proof Intuition is great, but we need to know for sure. You’re a part of this thing
  18. We can only do this with data. With math, we need a proof Intuition is great, but we need to know for sure. You’re a part of this thing
  19. Change approvals OTHER – days of time to have branch active We can only do this with data. With math, we need a proof Intuition is great, but we need to know for sure. You’re a part of this thing