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Navin Kabra
             http://punetech.com

@ngkabra and @punetech on twitter
Navin Kabra: @ngkabra &

                 @punetech on twitter

    Currently: On a break for an year

    Previously: Symantec, Veritas, dotcom startup

    Education: PhD (CS, Wisconsin), B.Tech (IIT-B)



    Recent activities: PuneTech, Pune OpenCoffee

    Club
Not about technology

    Not about open source ideology



    About Economics

Free IT
       
               CPU: Google App Engine
           ◦
               Storage: Yahoo! Mail
           ◦
               Bandwidth: YouTube
           ◦
               Software Services
           ◦
                Most dotcom/web-2.0 sites
           Other free
       
           ◦ Music, movies
           ◦ Phone, video-conferencing
           ◦ Information, lessons, tutorials, tutors
           List goes on…
       
           How does this work?
       
           Who pays? Who benefits?
       
           How should you survive?
       




http://punetech.com
Ghoda Ghaas se dosti karega to
               khaayega kyaa




 If a horse befriends the grass, what will he eat?
i.e. everybody still has to make money. How to do it?
                                 Picture courtesy: Francisco M. Marzoa Alonso,
                  http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ErcinaLakeHorse2.JPG
quot;When you have a working knowledge of
 economics, it’s like having a mild super
 power.“

    - Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert
Free(gratis)
       
           ◦ Don’t have to pay
           ◦ (as in “free beer”)
           ◦ e.g. Internet Explorer

           Free(libre)
       
           ◦ Liberty to do what you want
           ◦ (as in “free speech”)
           ◦ e.g. Mozilla Firefox




http://punetech.com
Free(gratis) vs. Free(libre)
       
                                           You are here
           The economics of Free(libre)
       
           ◦ Who’s paying? Why?
           ◦ Who’s making money? How?
           ◦ What should you do?
           The economics of Free(gratis)
       
           ◦ Why does this work?
           ◦ Types of free
           ◦ Money isn’t everything
           Recession and Free
       




http://punetech.com
Free & Open Source = FOSS = Free(libre)
       


           Who is writing FOSS? Why?
       
           Who is paying for FOSS? Why?
       
           Who is earning from FOSS? How?
       
           What you should know?
       




http://punetech.com
Two types of developers
       
               In free time
           ◦
               Hobby
           ◦
               Passion
           ◦
               Ideology
           ◦

           OR

           ◦ As part of job
           ◦ Paid by company that benefits from FOSS



http://punetech.com
Gifts n Grants
       
           ◦ Academic projects
           ◦ Government



           (For profit) Businesses
       
           ◦ Pay for development / customization
           ◦ Closer look in later slides




http://punetech.com
Proprietary          Open
    Costs                         In-house
                      Software             Source
    Cost of     Vendor           Customer Customer
    Development pays             pays     shares
    Cost per          Customer
                                 N.A.     Free
    installation      pays
    Cost of
                      Non-trivial None    Negligible
    Sales/Mktg



http://punetech.com
Software isn’t your business
       
           ◦ It enables your business
           ◦ Is it a differentiating or non-differentiating enabler?
           ◦ Is it a Cost Center or a Profit Center

           Differentiating software
       
           ◦ Amazon’s recommendation service
           ◦ Profit center

           Non-differentiating software
       
           ◦ Barnes & Noble’s website
           ◦ Cost center



http://punetech.com
Use FOSS for non-differentiating software
       
           You don’t care if competitor gets a copy
       
           Reduces your “cost”
       




           Build in-house for differentiation
       
           Keep secret
       
           Don’t mind spending
       




http://punetech.com
Companies distributing FOSS packages
       
           ◦ Free version & Paid proprietary version with better
             features (e.g. MySQL)
           ◦ Free core + paid proprietary “accessories” (e.g.
             XenSource)
           ◦ Free software + paid services (e.g. RedHat)
           ◦ Hardware vendors (make money from hardware)


           End-user businesses (or contractors)
       
           Service businesses (integrators)
       




http://punetech.com
Type of Business            Suggestion

      Main income from selling    FOSS might not be right
      shrinkwrapped software      for you
      Selling software            Use FOSS for your core
      “solutions”                 components
                                  FOSS makes it easy +
      Selling software services
                                  cheap to do business
                                  Use FOSS for non-
      Anything else
                                  differentiating software


http://punetech.com
Contribute to FOSS for free
       
           Get hired by someone who values this
       




http://punetech.com
?
           FOSS isn’t the right
       
           solution for all
           situations

           FOSS works when
       
           ◦ Cost of design is high
           ◦ Cost of manufacturing & distribution low




http://punetech.com
Free(gratis) vs. Free(libre)
       
           The economics of Free(libre)
       
           ◦ Who’s paying? Why?
           ◦ Who’s making money? How?
           ◦ What should you do?
                                           You are here
           The economics of Free(gratis)
       
           ◦ Why does this work?
           ◦ Types of free
           ◦ Money isn’t everything
           Recession and Free
       




http://punetech.com
Lots of free stuff being given away in the
       
           world today:
           ◦ Hardware, software, entertainment, info, services

           Why does this make sense?
       


           (in other words: show me the money)
       




http://punetech.com
Moore’s Law alternative formulation:
       
           Cost halves every 18 months
       


           Exponential race towards zero
       
           ◦ CPU, Network, Disk
                                        Cost
           Many more users per server
       


           Cost per user = negligible
       


                                                  Time
http://punetech.com
FOSS reduces software cost
     
         ◦ For non-differentiating software

         “Cloud” and “SaaS” to amortize software cost
     
         ◦ For differentiating software

                                              Cost per user
         ◦ Develop once for millions of users

         Cost per user = negligible
     




                                                    Users
http://punetech.com
Huge difference between Re.1 & Re. 0
       
           ◦ Psychological difference
           ◦ Charge Re. 1 and very few
              customers
           ◦ Make it free and lots
              of customers
           ◦ In today’s world you
             can’t charge even if you want to

           Someone’s getting rich
       
           ◦ How?


                                          ?
http://punetech.com
Someone else pays
                  
                      ◦ e.g. Advertisements
                      ◦ (Not very viable as a pure online business in India)
                      Cross-subsidy:
                  
                      ◦ X is free, but customer pays for Y
                      ◦ e.g. Cheap razor and expensive blades
                      Freemium
                  
                      ◦ Basic free, charge for premium services
                      ◦ Premium customers subsidize free
                      ◦ e.g. Flickr charges $30 p.a. if more than 200 photos
                      Labor Exchange
                  
                      ◦ Do X and get Y free (and vendor makes money from X)
                      ◦ e.g. Porn for CAPTCHA
                      Gift Economy
                  
                      ◦ Altruism still exists
                      ◦ e.g. Wikipedia
                      ◦ (Still not clear if this is really sustainable in the long term)




http://punetech.com
(Didn’t they teach you this?)
       


           Economics is management of scarcity
       


           The attention economy
       


           The reputation economy
       




http://punetech.com
Reputation -> Attention
           
               ◦ e.g. Google pagerank (reputation) converts to traffic
                 (attention)


               Attention -> Money
           
               ◦ e.g. Traffic (attention) converts to money (google
                 adsense)


               Reputation -> Money
           
               ◦ e.g. Get a job based on contributions to a FOSS project



http://punetech.com
Effect of recession
       
           ◦ Fewer paying customers
           ◦ Less funding


           Cheaper than ever to run a business
       
           ◦ Infrastructure is cheap: Cloud zindabad
           ◦ Software is easy(ier): Develop on top of FOSS
           ◦ Co-founders easier and cheaper
               (Who wants a big company job now?!)
           ◦ VC funding no longer that important



http://punetech.com
The emerging economics of open source

    business – Bruce Perens

    Why $0.00 is the future of Business – Chris

    Anderson

    Paul Graham – Essays



    (Search in Google to find the above references)

 navin@punetech.com


        @punetech     on twitter

        navin.kabra   on gTalk




http://punetech.com

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FREEconomics: The economics of Free Stuff

  • 1. Navin Kabra http://punetech.com @ngkabra and @punetech on twitter
  • 2. Navin Kabra: @ngkabra &  @punetech on twitter Currently: On a break for an year  Previously: Symantec, Veritas, dotcom startup  Education: PhD (CS, Wisconsin), B.Tech (IIT-B)  Recent activities: PuneTech, Pune OpenCoffee  Club
  • 3. Not about technology  Not about open source ideology  About Economics 
  • 4. Free IT  CPU: Google App Engine ◦ Storage: Yahoo! Mail ◦ Bandwidth: YouTube ◦ Software Services ◦  Most dotcom/web-2.0 sites Other free  ◦ Music, movies ◦ Phone, video-conferencing ◦ Information, lessons, tutorials, tutors List goes on…  How does this work?  Who pays? Who benefits?  How should you survive?  http://punetech.com
  • 5. Ghoda Ghaas se dosti karega to khaayega kyaa If a horse befriends the grass, what will he eat? i.e. everybody still has to make money. How to do it? Picture courtesy: Francisco M. Marzoa Alonso, http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ErcinaLakeHorse2.JPG
  • 6. quot;When you have a working knowledge of economics, it’s like having a mild super power.“ - Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert
  • 7. Free(gratis)  ◦ Don’t have to pay ◦ (as in “free beer”) ◦ e.g. Internet Explorer Free(libre)  ◦ Liberty to do what you want ◦ (as in “free speech”) ◦ e.g. Mozilla Firefox http://punetech.com
  • 8. Free(gratis) vs. Free(libre)  You are here The economics of Free(libre)  ◦ Who’s paying? Why? ◦ Who’s making money? How? ◦ What should you do? The economics of Free(gratis)  ◦ Why does this work? ◦ Types of free ◦ Money isn’t everything Recession and Free  http://punetech.com
  • 9. Free & Open Source = FOSS = Free(libre)  Who is writing FOSS? Why?  Who is paying for FOSS? Why?  Who is earning from FOSS? How?  What you should know?  http://punetech.com
  • 10. Two types of developers  In free time ◦ Hobby ◦ Passion ◦ Ideology ◦ OR ◦ As part of job ◦ Paid by company that benefits from FOSS http://punetech.com
  • 11. Gifts n Grants  ◦ Academic projects ◦ Government (For profit) Businesses  ◦ Pay for development / customization ◦ Closer look in later slides http://punetech.com
  • 12. Proprietary Open Costs In-house Software Source Cost of Vendor Customer Customer Development pays pays shares Cost per Customer N.A. Free installation pays Cost of Non-trivial None Negligible Sales/Mktg http://punetech.com
  • 13. Software isn’t your business  ◦ It enables your business ◦ Is it a differentiating or non-differentiating enabler? ◦ Is it a Cost Center or a Profit Center Differentiating software  ◦ Amazon’s recommendation service ◦ Profit center Non-differentiating software  ◦ Barnes & Noble’s website ◦ Cost center http://punetech.com
  • 14. Use FOSS for non-differentiating software  You don’t care if competitor gets a copy  Reduces your “cost”  Build in-house for differentiation  Keep secret  Don’t mind spending  http://punetech.com
  • 15. Companies distributing FOSS packages  ◦ Free version & Paid proprietary version with better features (e.g. MySQL) ◦ Free core + paid proprietary “accessories” (e.g. XenSource) ◦ Free software + paid services (e.g. RedHat) ◦ Hardware vendors (make money from hardware) End-user businesses (or contractors)  Service businesses (integrators)  http://punetech.com
  • 16. Type of Business Suggestion Main income from selling FOSS might not be right shrinkwrapped software for you Selling software Use FOSS for your core “solutions” components FOSS makes it easy + Selling software services cheap to do business Use FOSS for non- Anything else differentiating software http://punetech.com
  • 17. Contribute to FOSS for free  Get hired by someone who values this  http://punetech.com
  • 18. ? FOSS isn’t the right  solution for all situations FOSS works when  ◦ Cost of design is high ◦ Cost of manufacturing & distribution low http://punetech.com
  • 19. Free(gratis) vs. Free(libre)  The economics of Free(libre)  ◦ Who’s paying? Why? ◦ Who’s making money? How? ◦ What should you do? You are here The economics of Free(gratis)  ◦ Why does this work? ◦ Types of free ◦ Money isn’t everything Recession and Free  http://punetech.com
  • 20. Lots of free stuff being given away in the  world today: ◦ Hardware, software, entertainment, info, services Why does this make sense?  (in other words: show me the money)  http://punetech.com
  • 21. Moore’s Law alternative formulation:  Cost halves every 18 months  Exponential race towards zero  ◦ CPU, Network, Disk Cost Many more users per server  Cost per user = negligible  Time http://punetech.com
  • 22. FOSS reduces software cost  ◦ For non-differentiating software “Cloud” and “SaaS” to amortize software cost  ◦ For differentiating software Cost per user ◦ Develop once for millions of users Cost per user = negligible  Users http://punetech.com
  • 23. Huge difference between Re.1 & Re. 0  ◦ Psychological difference ◦ Charge Re. 1 and very few customers ◦ Make it free and lots of customers ◦ In today’s world you can’t charge even if you want to Someone’s getting rich  ◦ How? ? http://punetech.com
  • 24. Someone else pays  ◦ e.g. Advertisements ◦ (Not very viable as a pure online business in India) Cross-subsidy:  ◦ X is free, but customer pays for Y ◦ e.g. Cheap razor and expensive blades Freemium  ◦ Basic free, charge for premium services ◦ Premium customers subsidize free ◦ e.g. Flickr charges $30 p.a. if more than 200 photos Labor Exchange  ◦ Do X and get Y free (and vendor makes money from X) ◦ e.g. Porn for CAPTCHA Gift Economy  ◦ Altruism still exists ◦ e.g. Wikipedia ◦ (Still not clear if this is really sustainable in the long term) http://punetech.com
  • 25. (Didn’t they teach you this?)  Economics is management of scarcity  The attention economy  The reputation economy  http://punetech.com
  • 26. Reputation -> Attention  ◦ e.g. Google pagerank (reputation) converts to traffic (attention) Attention -> Money  ◦ e.g. Traffic (attention) converts to money (google adsense) Reputation -> Money  ◦ e.g. Get a job based on contributions to a FOSS project http://punetech.com
  • 27. Effect of recession  ◦ Fewer paying customers ◦ Less funding Cheaper than ever to run a business  ◦ Infrastructure is cheap: Cloud zindabad ◦ Software is easy(ier): Develop on top of FOSS ◦ Co-founders easier and cheaper  (Who wants a big company job now?!) ◦ VC funding no longer that important http://punetech.com
  • 28. The emerging economics of open source  business – Bruce Perens Why $0.00 is the future of Business – Chris  Anderson Paul Graham – Essays  (Search in Google to find the above references) 
  • 29.  navin@punetech.com  @punetech on twitter  navin.kabra on gTalk http://punetech.com