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Nef fisheries

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Nef fisheries

  1. 1. Economic benefits of healthy fisheries aniol.esteban@neweconomics.org rupert.crilly@neweconomics.org www.neweconomics.org
  2. 2. One key message “Restoring fish stocks is good for UK/EU economy”
  3. 3. Can the EU/UK meet fish demand from its own waters? What would be the revenue/jobs gains if EU stocks were at sustainable levels? How much would it cost to get there?
  4. 4. Fish Dependence Compares fish production vs consumption. Estimates at when in the year calendar a country starts depending on fish from non-EU waters. Fish production (supply): EU catch + Aquaculture Fish Consumption (demand): Total catch + Aquac. + Imports – Exports Self-sufficiency: Supply / Demand
  5. 5. Fish Dependence
  6. 6. Fish dependence has increased over time – stable over past 3 years Aquaculture marginal impact to reduce increasing dependence on non-EU fish UK is a net importer – but could be a net exporter if fish stocks at MSY
  7. 7. What are the economic gains of fish stock restoration? (i.e. How much are we losing by keeping EU stocks overfished?)
  8. 8. Jobs lost at sea Our report compares current performance of 43 fish stocks with their potential if they were at MSY. 1) Catches 2) Revenues 3) Employment Note: there are 150 commercial fish stocks in EU
  9. 9. Where we are VS. where we could be Figure 3: The current value of catches from 54 fish stocks are shown relative to their sustainable maximum. Source: MSY estimates from Froese & Proelß and current value of catches are own calculations based on ICES stock assessments and the AER.
  10. 10. Potential additional catch (43 stocks) MSY landings 2010 landings Additional catch (tonnes) (tonnes) (tonnes) 9,756,519 6,230,564 3,525,955 Catches in 2010 were 64% of their potential 3.53 million tonnes is enough to meet the annual demand for fish for 155 million EU citizens
  11. 11. Additional revenue (43 stocks) MSY landings 2010 landings Additional value (million €) (million €) (million €) 7,137 3,949 3,188 €3.2 billion (£2.7bn) is more than five times annual fisheries subsidies paid to EU states
  12. 12. Employment potential Fishing Processing Total 31,802 68,988 100,790 32,000 full-time fishing jobs, and 69,000 (full- and part-time) processing jobs every year. About 83,000 of these are in the EU27.
  13. 13. With every passing year that our stocks remain overfished we are losing out on 2.7 billion pounds and the potential to support 100,000 jobs.
  14. 14. How can we halt this drain? and how much would it cost?
  15. 15. No Catch Investment Profitability of restoring fish stocks Recovery time for EU “overfished” fish stocks Benefits of doing so (i.e. Like Jobs Lost at Sea) Investment needed to compensate fishermen for “forgone” revenues during the moratoria period.
  16. 16. How long to MSY? Most stocks would be rebuilt within 5 years
  17. 17. No Catch Investment In just 4 years: higher and + sustainable fish supply. €10-12 billion investment recovered in 4.6 years. From thereafter we would get positive returns on investment of 50% after 10yrs up to 1400% after 40yrs. Investing £9.16 billion in restoring fish stocks would generate £4.43 billion profit by 2023 Investment from private funds. Public funding targeted towards delivering MSY.
  18. 18. Source: www.neweconomics.org/sites/neweconomics.org/files/NoCatch_web.pdf
  19. 19. Final (unquestionable) points EU fish stocks are not delivering as much as they could if they were at MSY. Keeping fish stocks below MSY levels is synonymous with loss of revenues and jobs. The quickest way to restore fish stocks (bMSY) is to stop fishing stocks which are below MSY
  20. 20. Within the current context: Fish stock restoration is the most important thing that that the fishing sector can do to reduce vulnerability and increase resilience to external shocks. It is also the main (only) variable we can control.
  21. 21. THANK YOU Reports available at: ww.neweconomics.org Email: aniol.esteban@neweconomics.org rupert.crilly@neweconomics.org

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