the present condition
of the book industry:
a new threshold, for industry-wide
no dominant paradigm for product
the automotive industry:
imagine planes vs. cars
(what if planes offered personal
commuting alternative – wow!)
ebook characterization is happening
in shadow of historical print pattern
the efforts to build
a new market stasis-
determine the primary
“axis of competition”:
product | pricing | services
fields that have become disrupted
are naturally subject to the formation
of new emergent biases in conduct.
(there is no existing practice)
any newly introduced stresses
produce unexpected outcomes
evolving by positive feedbacks,
counters are weak.
such as a tendency for
progressive furthering of
emerging monopolies
international rights will force
new emergent practices
uncertainties are easily introduced
for digital books vs. print products
National historical book price fixing laws
subject to stress from international firms
because digital stresses different vectors
tensions exacerbated by complexities
international vs national legal regime –
changes in law difficult to negotiate
something could emerge in
EU or GATT / WTO context
this does not even touch on
definition of redistribution or
secondary markets national
or international in context!
e.g. consider digital first sale!
an issue common to software
(shrink wrap licensing) less an
issue for music, movies in the
past (although might change)
the core publishing
industry dependencies
established a rich set
of interactions:
author / agent / publisher / selling-agent
as historical patterns erode
the early stage survivors of
market disruption to rebuild
using existing networks
(e.g., R_Nash’s Cursor Books)
author / agent / publisher / selling-agent
increasingly subject not to redefinition
but re-articulation
Not “what is a publisher”
Now “what is publishing”
as industry, publishing is lucky
it has laid claim to an obvious
higher-goal:
disseminating information
networks alter dramatically when
powerful new entrants impact a
disrupted organizational field –
1) technologies have changed, and
2) new domains have entered field
New entrants are not bound
by any extant dependencies.
Network “damage” occurs when
new org field actors first interact.
Odds of engendering wholly unexpected
consequences is dramatically multiplied.
New actors predominately occupy distinct
organizational networks, in different fields
It is this “asteroid from outer space”
characteristic that makes the industry
raw and exposed for the first time in
decades
out of field (technology) disruption
demands engagement with different
industrial sectors, for radical change.
transmedia and web based delivery
are examples where new entrants
better able to produce, distribute
trying to mold oneself
like plastic sheet wrap
around disrupting agents
(Absorb the Mongols!)
is not a strategy for long term survival
Google's entrance into vending books
(as opposed to mining them for data)
is only part of a larger product portfolio
to convenience its existing partners and
to place pressure on valley competitors.
on the bright side ...
we have stunning new range
of opportunities to build new
services
peter brantley
co-founder, open books alliance
director, bookserver project
internet archive
the presidio, san francisco, ca
@naypinya (twitter) peter@archive.org