Power hour power point 12.01.2010potd


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Power hour power point 12.01.2010potd

  1. 1. Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, stocks or options on the same. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN > EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE DISCUSSED WITHIN THIS SITE, SUPPORT AND TEXTS. OUR COURSE(S), PRODUCTS AND SERVICES SHOULD BE USED AS LEARNING AIDS ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE USED TO INVEST REAL MONEY. IF YOU DECIDE TO INVEST REAL MONEY, ALL TRADING DECISIONS SHOULD BE YOUR OWN. CFTC/NFA Disclaimer
  2. 3. <ul><li>Daily Market Analysis </li></ul><ul><li>Daily Strategy Analysis (Live FxAlerts) </li></ul><ul><li>Forex Indicators – TRIX Momentum Indicator </li></ul><ul><li>Marcello Ducille’s Underground System Demonstration </li></ul><ul><li>Question & Answer Session </li></ul>
  3. 4. TRIX is a momentum indicator that displays the percent rate-of-change of a triple exponentially smoothed moving average of closing price. It was developed in the early 1980's by Jack Hutson, an editor for Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine. Oscillating around a zero line, TRIX is designed to filter out price movements that are insignificant to the larger trend. The user selects a number of periods (such as 15) with which to create the moving average, and those cycles that are shorter than that period are filtered out. The TRIX is a leading indicator and can be used to anticipate turning points in a trend through its divergence with the current price. Likewise, it is common to plot a moving average with a smaller period (such as 9) and use it as a &quot;signal line&quot; to anticipate where the TRIX is heading. TRIX line crossovers with its &quot;signal line&quot; can be used as buy/sell signals as well. Courtesy of google images Introduction
  4. 5. <ul><li>To calculate TRIX, you must first pick a period with which to create an exponential moving average of the closing prices. For a 15-day period: </li></ul><ul><li>Calculate the 15-day exponential moving average of the closing price. </li></ul><ul><li>Calculate the 15-day exponential moving average of the moving average calculated in step #1. </li></ul><ul><li>Calculate the 15-day exponential moving average of the moving average calculated in step #2. You now have triple exponentially smoothed the moving average of closing prices, greatly reducing volatility. </li></ul><ul><li>Finally, calculate the 1-day percent change of the moving average calculated in step #3. </li></ul>Courtesy of google images Calculation
  5. 6. Courtesy of Google images Since TRIX measures the rate-of-change of closing prices, a positive TRIX value is interpreted as a steady rise in the closing price of a security. A positive TRIX is thus akin to a positive trending price, allowing the indicator to act as a buy signal whenever it crosses up above the zero line. Similarly, crossing below the zero line suggests the price is tending to close down at the end of each period, which can be a sell signal. The &quot;signal line&quot; mentioned earlier is also a useful buy/sell indicator. Since the signal line period is shorter, a cross above it suggests that recent stock prices are closing much higher. A buy signal is triggered when TRIX crosses above its signal line, and a sell signal is triggered when TRIX crosses below its signal line. This method can generate false signals during sideways price movements, so it works best when prices are trending. It is therefore wise to use TRIX in tandem with other indicators for confirmation. How you can use TRIX?
  6. 7. Two main advantages of TRIX over other trend-following indicators are its excellent filtration of market noise and its tendency to be a leading rather than lagging indicator. It filters out market noise using the triple exponential average calculation, thus eliminating the minor short-term cycles that indicate a change in market direction. It has the ability to lead a market because it measures the difference between each bar's &quot;smoothed&quot; version of the price information. When interpreted as a leading indicator, TRIX is best used in conjunction with another market-timing indicator to minimizes false indications. Closing Notes