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Going Places Phase I Summary


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Going Places Phase I Summary

  1. 1. Summary of Phase I Existing Conditions Assessment Board of Directors May 7, 2009 Martin Kim, Director of Regional Planning
  2. 2. Urbanization Trends <ul><li>Population: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>346,864 </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Urbanized Area: </li></ul><ul><li>66.2 sq miles </li></ul><ul><li>Population Density: </li></ul><ul><li>5,236 pop/sq mi </li></ul>
  3. 3. Urbanization Trends <ul><li>Population: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>723,955 </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Urbanized Area: </li></ul><ul><li>327.6 sq miles </li></ul><ul><li>Population Density: </li></ul><ul><li>2,210 pop/sq mi </li></ul>
  4. 4. How do you envision the Region in 2040? ?
  5. 5. Going Places – An Integrated Land Use Vision of the Miami Valley Region is to bring the Miami Valley Region TOGETHER and to make this Region a BETTER PLACE to live, work, and play with a Shared Land Use Vision
  6. 6. Planning Process <ul><li>3 Phase process with an estimated timeline of 4 years </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Phase I – Existing Condition Assessment: Physical and Non-Physical Condition Evaluation </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Phase II – Future Landscape Exploration: Future Land Use Scenario Development and Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Phase III – Building a Clear and Shared Regional Growth Framework </li></ul></ul>
  7. 7. Phase I Structure <ul><li>Physical Condition Evaluation – Land Supply </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Evaluate the Region’s land development suitability based on both natural and built environment factors </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Examine the existing uses of land, including land use intensities in the Region </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Identify developable land in the Region </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Non-Physical Condition Evaluation – Land Demand </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Identify how much land is devoted to different types of land uses </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Identify socio-economic trends and develop projections </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Translate these projections into future land demand </li></ul></ul>
  8. 8. Completed Studies <ul><li>Physical Condition Evaluation - Land Supply </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Open Space Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Land Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment Factors </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Land Suitability Assessment – Built Environment Factors </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Land Development Suitability Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Non – Physical Condition Evaluation - Land Demand </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Economic Base Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Housing Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Industrial Development Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Commercial Development Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Land Use Demand Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Study reports available on MVRPC’s Going Places website at </li></ul>
  9. 9. What have we found out?
  10. 10. Geographically, development has been uneven Commercial GLA Concentration: 2007 Housing Unit Change: 1990 - 2000
  11. 11. Development has been shifting among land use types Land Use Percentage Change: 1975 - 2000
  12. 12. The Region contains varying degrees of potential for future land development <ul><li>Not all of our land is equal in terms of development potential – some areas are better suited for physical development than others </li></ul><ul><li>Assessment of Region’s landscape from natural and built environment perspectives provided a comprehensive overview of where developmental constraints and/or opportunities exist </li></ul>
  13. 13. Land Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment Natural Environment Suitability Composite Map Regional Land by Development Potential Classification
  14. 14. Land Suitability Assessment – Built Environment Residential Suitability Composite Map Non-Residential Suitability Composite Map
  15. 15. Comprehensive Land Suitability Measure
  16. 16. Land Development Condition Measure
  17. 17. Land Developability Measure
  18. 18. The Region is in the process of a demographic and economic shift <ul><li>Population is aging and household size has been decreasing </li></ul><ul><li>The Region is shifting from a production-based economy to a service-based economy </li></ul><ul><li>Household income has remained stagnant </li></ul><ul><li>Number of households who pay more than 30% of their income on housing-related cost has been increasing </li></ul>
  19. 19. Land development not tied to population change <ul><li>Population in the Region remained relatively stable between 1970 and 2000 </li></ul><ul><li>Between 1975 and 2000, total developed land (res/com/ind) in the Region increased by 44.6% </li></ul><ul><li>Vacancy Rates have increased </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Residential vacancy rate has risen from 6.34% in 1980 to 6.98% in 2000 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>14.6% of the Region’s commercial space is vacant* </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>19.3% of the Region’s industrial space is vacant* </li></ul></ul><ul><li>* Estimates were calculated based on Gem Real Estate Group’s sample data from their Retail, Office, and Industrial studies </li></ul>
  20. 20. If current development trends continue, a moderate amount of additional developed land will be required Regional Population Projections Regional Employment Projections
  21. 21. The Region has enough developable land to accommodate future needs Supply Vs. Demand
  22. 22. The entire Region will benefit if.. <ul><li>Development is planned and executed in a manner that takes advantage of existing infrastructure before paying for new construction </li></ul><ul><li>Development takes advantage of the Region’s natural resources without threatening their quality </li></ul>