Economic Development in Information and AI Era: Experiences and Expectations

Chinnasamy Muthuraja
Chinnasamy MuthurajaAssociate Professor and Head, Post Graduate and Research Department of Economics
Economic Development in Information and AI Era
Experiences and Expectations
Dr.C.Muthuraja, M.A., M.Phil., PhD
Head, Post Graduate and Research Department of Economics
The American College, Madurai - 625 002, TAMIL NADU
(cmuthuraja@gmail.com) - (M-09486373765)
(Presented at Refresher Course (ONLINE MODE) in Economics on the theme of "Economics and Social Development in
Information and A-I Era" from 13-26 September 2023 organised by UGC – HRDC, Madurai Kamaraj University, Madurai,
SINCE 1881
OUTLINE
 Introduction
 World Economic Forum
 AI – Basics and Benefits
 AI – Benefits
 AI – Economic Benefits
 AI – Cautions and Concerns
 AI- Efficiency and Equity
 AI and Economic Growth
 AI and Information Economics
 AI on Society - Exciting and Challenging
 Towards AI Ready India
SINCE 1881
Introduction
 AI - powerful tool that can help our society
 UN calls “decent work,” which includes job security
and equal pay for equal work
 Income-generating employment opportunities for all
help support sustainable economic growth.
 AI has played a major role in the digitalization of
Society
 Enabled us to collect, process, and analyze large
amounts of data at a faster rate than ever before
 Creation of new technologies, improved business
processes and greater efficiency in many industries
 AI can help improve access to education, healthcare,
and clean water, and can also aid in the fight against
climate change, poverty, and hunger
SINCE 1881
Economic Process and Progress
SINCE 1881
World Economic Forum
While AI would likely take away
85 million jobs globally by 2025
It would also generate 97 million
new jobs in fields ranging from big
data and machine learning to
information security and digital
marketing
SINCE 1881
AI Illustrations
SINCE 1881
AI – Basics and Benefits
 AI algorithms are data-driven and learn how data
behaves over time
 Makes them very suitable in forecasting these
economic indicators
 Accurate predictions of these indicators are of
prime importance
 it can help Policymakers even predict the next
financial crisis
 AI Enhances Labour and Capital
 AI enhances the quality of labour as well as the
quality of capital
 Total Factor Productivity (TFP) - determine the
development dynamics of the Economy
SINCE 1881
India and Industrial Revolutions
SINCE 1881
Knowledge Economy
SINCE 1881
AI – Benefits
 Automation is one of the most common benefits of AI
 Great impact on transportation, communications, service
industries, and consumer products
 With automation, businesses can enjoy increased
productivity and higher production rates in the sectors
 Modernize many technological and social processes
making them more effective
 Increasing labour productivity and expanding human
capabilities
 Restructuring management processes and putting forward
new requirements
 Improve both data quality and analysis by applying
techniques such as data cleansing, data integration, data
mining, machine learning, natural language processing,
and computer vision
SINCE 1881
Information Economics
SINCE 1881
AI – Economic Benefits
 In financial economics in making decisions of
trading in financial securities like stocks and
bonds based on prediction of their prices
 Making decisions of entering interest rate
derivative contracts with speculative or hedging
motives based on prediction of benchmark interest
 Boost worker productivity by 14% in certain
cases, as demonstrated by a study involving
customer support agents
 Employees using generative AI are likely to
replace those who do not upskill, leading to
overall improved productivity
SINCE 1881
General Purpose Technology (GPT)
SINCE 1881
AI – Contributions Sectors Economy
SINCE 1881
Emerging Technologies and Indian Economy
SINCE 1881
AI – Cautions and Concerns
 Likely to displace middle-class, white-collar jobs
compared to earlier technological advancements that
shifted workers from lower-paid farm jobs to higher-paid
factory floor jobs
 Lead to increased job disruption in these sectors
 AI raises ethical issues, including data privacy, algorithm
bias, and potential misuse of AI technologies
 AI lacks human qualities like creativity and empathy,
limiting its ability to understand emotions or produce
original ideas
 Costly implementation, potential human job loss, and lack
of emotion and creativity
 AI is developed and used in an ethical and responsible
manner, to avoid any unintended negative consequences
SINCE 1881
AI- Efficiency and Equity
 AI - ability to automate many tasks that were previously
done by humans, leading to increased efficiency and
productivity in various industries
 Healthcare sector - AI is being used to develop new
methods of treatment, analyse medical data, and improve
diagnostic accuracy
 Boost our workplaces, which will benefit people by
enabling them to do more work
 AI replaces tedious or dangerous tasks, the human
workforce is liberated to focus on tasks for which they are
more equipped, such as those requiring creativity and
empathy
SINCE 1881
 The estimate suggests that a unit increase in AI
intensity will increase the TFP growth by 0.05%
 The growth co-efficient suggests that on average a
unit increase in AI intensity, measured as the ratio of
AI to total sales, can return USD 67.25 billion or 2.5%
of GDP to the Indian economy in the immediate term
 The IT-BPM (Information technology and Business
Process Management) sector of India has a share of
9.3% of the country's GDP, making it one of the
biggest sectors to contribute to India's economic
growth
 The IT sector captures 56% of the global outsourcing
market
SINCE 1881
AI and Economic Growth
Information Economics and AI
SINCE 1881
AI and Information Economics
 Information has a very important role to play in the market
for better customer services
 As information can be substituted for man, material and
land for reason it can bring down the cost of production of
goods
 IT revolution opened up new possibilities of economic and
social transformation
 The IT and IT enabled business process outsourcing (ITES-
BPO) services continue to be on a robust growth path
 Indian software industry has emerged as one of the fastest
growing sectors in the economy
 In addition to e-commerce and financial services,
digitalization has significantly impacted manufacturing
 Helped increase manufacturing efficiency and productivity
 Enabling to compete more effectively in global markets
SINCE 1881
Information Economics
SINCE 1881
Information Economics and AI Era
SINCE 1881
AI on Society - Exciting and Challenging
 AI has the potential to transform the way we work,
communicate, and interact with technology
 It raises concerns about the displacement of jobs,
bias and discrimination, and the potential for
misuse or abuse
 At all levels of education, AI will likely be
transformative
 Students will receive educational content and
trainings tailored to their specific needs
 AI will determine optimal educational strategies
based on students' individual learning styles
 By 2028, the education system could be barely
recognizable
SINCE 1881
Expectations….Economy India
SINCE 1881
Expectations….G20 and Economy India
SINCE 1881
Towards AI Ready India
• AI professionals in India is rapidly increasing
• Job roles like AI Research Scientist, Machine Learning
Engineer, Data Scientist, NLP Expert, and Computer
Vision Engineer are in high demand
• Must have the right skills and expertise in the domain
Role of
 INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS - UNION/STATE/LOCAL GOVENMENTS -
CORPORATE INDIA - NON-GOVERNMENT ORGANISATIONS -
VOLUNTARISM - YOUTH IDEAS & POWER (DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND)
APPEAL
TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE AI INDIA
PLEASE : EACH ONE IDEA ONE
IF NOT
EACH ONE MEET ONE AND IDEA ONE
(QUESTIONS PLEASE)
SINCE 1881
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Economic Development in Information and AI Era: Experiences and Expectations

  • 1. Economic Development in Information and AI Era Experiences and Expectations Dr.C.Muthuraja, M.A., M.Phil., PhD Head, Post Graduate and Research Department of Economics The American College, Madurai - 625 002, TAMIL NADU (cmuthuraja@gmail.com) - (M-09486373765) (Presented at Refresher Course (ONLINE MODE) in Economics on the theme of "Economics and Social Development in Information and A-I Era" from 13-26 September 2023 organised by UGC – HRDC, Madurai Kamaraj University, Madurai, SINCE 1881
  • 2. OUTLINE  Introduction  World Economic Forum  AI – Basics and Benefits  AI – Benefits  AI – Economic Benefits  AI – Cautions and Concerns  AI- Efficiency and Equity  AI and Economic Growth  AI and Information Economics  AI on Society - Exciting and Challenging  Towards AI Ready India SINCE 1881
  • 3. Introduction  AI - powerful tool that can help our society  UN calls “decent work,” which includes job security and equal pay for equal work  Income-generating employment opportunities for all help support sustainable economic growth.  AI has played a major role in the digitalization of Society  Enabled us to collect, process, and analyze large amounts of data at a faster rate than ever before  Creation of new technologies, improved business processes and greater efficiency in many industries  AI can help improve access to education, healthcare, and clean water, and can also aid in the fight against climate change, poverty, and hunger SINCE 1881
  • 4. Economic Process and Progress SINCE 1881
  • 5. World Economic Forum While AI would likely take away 85 million jobs globally by 2025 It would also generate 97 million new jobs in fields ranging from big data and machine learning to information security and digital marketing SINCE 1881
  • 7. AI – Basics and Benefits  AI algorithms are data-driven and learn how data behaves over time  Makes them very suitable in forecasting these economic indicators  Accurate predictions of these indicators are of prime importance  it can help Policymakers even predict the next financial crisis  AI Enhances Labour and Capital  AI enhances the quality of labour as well as the quality of capital  Total Factor Productivity (TFP) - determine the development dynamics of the Economy SINCE 1881
  • 8. India and Industrial Revolutions SINCE 1881
  • 10. AI – Benefits  Automation is one of the most common benefits of AI  Great impact on transportation, communications, service industries, and consumer products  With automation, businesses can enjoy increased productivity and higher production rates in the sectors  Modernize many technological and social processes making them more effective  Increasing labour productivity and expanding human capabilities  Restructuring management processes and putting forward new requirements  Improve both data quality and analysis by applying techniques such as data cleansing, data integration, data mining, machine learning, natural language processing, and computer vision SINCE 1881
  • 12. AI – Economic Benefits  In financial economics in making decisions of trading in financial securities like stocks and bonds based on prediction of their prices  Making decisions of entering interest rate derivative contracts with speculative or hedging motives based on prediction of benchmark interest  Boost worker productivity by 14% in certain cases, as demonstrated by a study involving customer support agents  Employees using generative AI are likely to replace those who do not upskill, leading to overall improved productivity SINCE 1881
  • 13. General Purpose Technology (GPT) SINCE 1881
  • 14. AI – Contributions Sectors Economy SINCE 1881
  • 15. Emerging Technologies and Indian Economy SINCE 1881
  • 16. AI – Cautions and Concerns  Likely to displace middle-class, white-collar jobs compared to earlier technological advancements that shifted workers from lower-paid farm jobs to higher-paid factory floor jobs  Lead to increased job disruption in these sectors  AI raises ethical issues, including data privacy, algorithm bias, and potential misuse of AI technologies  AI lacks human qualities like creativity and empathy, limiting its ability to understand emotions or produce original ideas  Costly implementation, potential human job loss, and lack of emotion and creativity  AI is developed and used in an ethical and responsible manner, to avoid any unintended negative consequences SINCE 1881
  • 17. AI- Efficiency and Equity  AI - ability to automate many tasks that were previously done by humans, leading to increased efficiency and productivity in various industries  Healthcare sector - AI is being used to develop new methods of treatment, analyse medical data, and improve diagnostic accuracy  Boost our workplaces, which will benefit people by enabling them to do more work  AI replaces tedious or dangerous tasks, the human workforce is liberated to focus on tasks for which they are more equipped, such as those requiring creativity and empathy SINCE 1881
  • 18.  The estimate suggests that a unit increase in AI intensity will increase the TFP growth by 0.05%  The growth co-efficient suggests that on average a unit increase in AI intensity, measured as the ratio of AI to total sales, can return USD 67.25 billion or 2.5% of GDP to the Indian economy in the immediate term  The IT-BPM (Information technology and Business Process Management) sector of India has a share of 9.3% of the country's GDP, making it one of the biggest sectors to contribute to India's economic growth  The IT sector captures 56% of the global outsourcing market SINCE 1881 AI and Economic Growth
  • 19. Information Economics and AI SINCE 1881
  • 20. AI and Information Economics  Information has a very important role to play in the market for better customer services  As information can be substituted for man, material and land for reason it can bring down the cost of production of goods  IT revolution opened up new possibilities of economic and social transformation  The IT and IT enabled business process outsourcing (ITES- BPO) services continue to be on a robust growth path  Indian software industry has emerged as one of the fastest growing sectors in the economy  In addition to e-commerce and financial services, digitalization has significantly impacted manufacturing  Helped increase manufacturing efficiency and productivity  Enabling to compete more effectively in global markets SINCE 1881
  • 22. Information Economics and AI Era SINCE 1881
  • 23. AI on Society - Exciting and Challenging  AI has the potential to transform the way we work, communicate, and interact with technology  It raises concerns about the displacement of jobs, bias and discrimination, and the potential for misuse or abuse  At all levels of education, AI will likely be transformative  Students will receive educational content and trainings tailored to their specific needs  AI will determine optimal educational strategies based on students' individual learning styles  By 2028, the education system could be barely recognizable SINCE 1881
  • 26. Towards AI Ready India • AI professionals in India is rapidly increasing • Job roles like AI Research Scientist, Machine Learning Engineer, Data Scientist, NLP Expert, and Computer Vision Engineer are in high demand • Must have the right skills and expertise in the domain Role of  INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS - UNION/STATE/LOCAL GOVENMENTS - CORPORATE INDIA - NON-GOVERNMENT ORGANISATIONS - VOLUNTARISM - YOUTH IDEAS & POWER (DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND) APPEAL TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE AI INDIA PLEASE : EACH ONE IDEA ONE IF NOT EACH ONE MEET ONE AND IDEA ONE (QUESTIONS PLEASE) SINCE 1881