BC School Trustees Dec10th 2011

Stephen Murgatroyd, PhD FBPsS FRSA
Stephen Murgatroyd, PhD FBPsS FRSAPresident and CEO at futureTHINK Press
Trustee
 Leadership for
       the 21st
       Century
Stephen
Murgatroyd, PhD FBPsS
FRSA
Six Challenges That Will Reshape
         Schooling in British Columbia
• Demographics
• Technology
• Economic competitiveness and the demand for
  creative skills and problem solving
• The reform of education world-wide and the
  recognition of teachers as the drivers of
  innovation
• Austerity and resource constraints
• First Nations and their right to educational
  equity

12/10/2011                                       2
Demographics
• In 1986 there were 8 persons aged 15-65 for every senior in Canada; in
  2006 there were 5 for each senior and in 2056 there will be 2.2 for each
  senior. By 2056, the median age is expected to reach 46.9 years, or 20
  years more than it was in 1956. British Columbia is the province which, in
  2004, had the highest life expectancy with 78.5 years for males and 83.1
  for females. It continues to rise and is expected to be 80 for males and 85
  for females by 2030. The grey tsunami.
• Canada’s birth rate is declining (1.39 per birth-woman in BC) – we are
  dependent on immigration for our socio-economic well being. The
  immigration imperative.
• Fastest growing segment of the population are First Nations and
  immigrants. The equity challenge in terms of literacy and skills.
• There is a continued shift from rural to urban and from urban to Metro –
  Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal. Less than 8% of Canada’s population
  in 2006 was living in areas where direct metropolitan influence was low
  or non-existent. The mega-City challenge matched with rural decline.


12/10/2011                                                                  3
Technology
• By 2015, some 350 million tablets will have been sold world-wide
  – 16 million shipped last quarter. Tablets are now outselling
  Notebooks. Ubiquitous devices.
• Machine intelligence, embodied in products like Knewton, change
  how the user accessing knowledge and resources in response to
  how they are using their device. Intelligent machines.
• Content is key – Pearson are linking Knewton and their massive
  library in a new way for access to knowledge K-PhD. They are also
  leveraging their ownership of schools to demonstrate efficacy.
  Smart technology leverage.
• Our K-12 students are homo-zapiens. For them technology is a
  utility, not a novelty. Smart users demanding smart use.




12/10/2011                                                            4
Economic Competitiveness
• Canada’s share of global GDP is declining and will continue to do
  so as the BRIC’s economies grow. We will be economically
  challenged to grow throughout the 21st century. 60% of world GDP
  will come from developing countries by 2030. The growth
  challenge.
• Globalization is changing how we do business and impacting our
  core industries – look at BC forest sector for a case study. We need
  to move up the value chain and become nimble, innovative and
  competitive to stay in the game. The innovation imperative.
• We are essentially looking at having to rebuild our economy
  around faster, more value added products and services and to
  grow new industries from the “shells” of old. It’s a major
  transition, requiring new skills and competencies – especially
  creativity, imagination, teamwork, cross-boundary knowledge and
  an ability to take risks. The creativity imperative.


12/10/2011                                                           5
Educational Reform
• Change is occurring across the developed world’s education
  systems. Key to these changes are a focus on literacy, technology
  and numeracy. PISA and TIMSS is driving some of these changes.
  Ubiquitous change.
• Not all change works. No evidence that high stakes testing
  produces sustained learning; no evidence that targets set by
  Government or a Board produce lasting results; no evidence that
  spending more produces better outcomes. Reform has to be
  local, owned and focused on enabling teachers to do their work
  well. Evidence based reform through empowerment seems to be
  the key. No magic bullets.
• Some reforms are misguided. Ranking schools and the use of
  “special measures” (UK), teacher pay linked to school
  performance on standardized tests (UK, Australia, US), enforced
  curriculum standards occupying 95% of the school year
  (Alberta, UK). Unintended consequences.

12/10/2011                                                            6
The Age of Austerity
• US total sovereign indebtedness is $211 trillion. Canada’s debt
  levels are (app.) $570 billion and rising - Federal and Provincial
  governments have a combined deficit of $67.7 billion this
  year, with the provinces alone on the hook for $27.2 billion. BC
  debt is $53.5 billion and is expected to rise to $60.4 billion by
  2014. A growing debt burden.
• Debt markets are fluid and uncertain. Costs of debt management
  likely to rise, making situation worse – look at Italy. Increasing
  debt risk and uncertainty.
• Deficits, debt and risk will lead to severe austerity in Canada
  which will affect all aspects of public service. A decade of
  austerity.
• Taxes will rise to pay for fewer services – even Alberta is
  considering a sales tax. Tax challenges.
• Wage constraint now leads to wage demands later that cannot be
  met and will speed exit from teaching. The Catch 22 Problem.
• Public will be challenging, demanding and resistant. “Taxpayers
  are revolting”.
12/10/2011                                                             7
First Nations and Metis –
                 Educational Equity
• “In years to come, we expect to see Aboriginal people in every valued
  occupation and profession in the country. … The preparation of human
  resources for Aboriginal governments must accelerate. The persistent
  gap between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal people in access to post-
  secondary education completion must be erased. [But] without
  adequate student funding, that gap could increase rather than diminish
  as a larger number of Aboriginal youth come of working age and
  proportionally fewer have access to post-secondary education” Royal
  Commission on Aboriginal Peoples, 1996. The challenge and opportunity.
• The proportion of working-age Aboriginal peoples with trade or college
  qualifications is now close to that of the non-Aboriginal population, but
  the proportion of working-age Aboriginal people with a university
  education in BC (4.5 percent) still lags far behind that of the non-
  Aboriginal population (25 percent). The equity imperative.
• The % of aboriginal students graduating with a Dogwood Diploma in BC
  in 2009/10 was 49% compared to 72% of the non-aboriginal population.
  The equity imperative.

12/10/2011                                                                8
12/10/2011   9
The Nature of Your Challenge
• There are five challenges a trustee has in Canada
      – To be responsible for the fiscal health of the systems you are
        responsible for
      – To enable teachers to do what they do best and make sure you
        recruit, develop and retain high quality teachers
      – To develop means by which you see schools as the focus for
        the work and not the Superintendent or Central office –
        schools are where change and innovation take place and
        where learning occurs
      – To develop the leadership within schools at all levels that will
        enable change to take place
      – To develop a simple system of assurance for the public that
        their investments in their communities future through
        education make sense


12/10/2011                                                             10
WHY CHANGE AT ALL ?


12/10/2011               11
After All, Canada Scores Well on PISA!
• It is precisely because Canada is currently a high
  performer that we need to change:
      – Other countries (especially Asian) are catching up and will
        surpass..
      – We only perform well on certain things, but other aspects
        of our systems are weak..
      – As austerity bites, so performance will be affected..
      – Technology demands change
      – Student engagement remains problematic
      – As a nation, we are poor at innovation and productivity –
        it starts with learning
      – As a nation, we are becoming increasingly less
        competitive..

12/10/2011                                                       12
Andy Hargreaves and Dennis Shirley / J C Couture and Stephen
    Murgatroyd
    CHANGE THAT MAKE SENSE
    TOP TEN LIST
12/10/2011                                                         13
1: Public Assurance
• Put responsibility before accountability
      – Rather than increasing
        measures, reporting, controls and supervision of
        schools – be focused on building systems of
        public assurance that meet your needs while
        simplifying the work of the school.
      – Develop systematic, school based planning and
        enable and support school based development
        plans.
      – Shift from top down to bottom up thinking.

12/10/2011                                                 14
2. Eliminate Standardized Tests Connected
    to Systems Evaluation and Targets.
• Join other systems that are eliminating these
      – Some of the jurisdictions who undertake the most systems
        testing in the world (e.g. Alberta and England) are getting out of
        this business.
      – Sample populations for performance indications.
      – Focus instead on continuous formative assessments that
        facilitate learning and development
      – Get out of “unintended consequences” – e.g. teaching to the
        test – and get back to intended consequences – real learning.
• Trust schools to assess themselves
      – School development plans, when done well, require evidence
        based decision making and effective analysis of performance
        using evidence.


12/10/2011                                                               15
3. Develop Teachers Assessment
                  Capabilities
• Focus on diagnostic, developmental
  assessment
      – Assessment should have an immediate or near
        term impact on an individuals learning and skills
        development
      – Engage students in self-assessment and involve
        their parents
      – Assess engagement – the best predictor of
        student learning outcomes

12/10/2011                                                  16
4. Abandon the Obsession with Technology – Focus on
   How Students Learn and What They Are Learning

• Recognize that investing in technology to improve
  learning outcomes has not been seen to produce
  improved outcomes easily.
   – Think problem solving and critical thinking…
   – Think of work-based and community based
     learning….
   – Think different learning styles and different
     intelligences..
   – Then ask what technology (if any) could help…let
     teachers make “buy” decisions…

12/10/2011                                          17
5. Focus on Teaching Quality
• Develop teachers through teacher based
  professional development
      – Support communities of practice and peer
        learning networks
      – Invest in teacher led innovation
      – Support teacher learning at the Masters and PhD
        level
      – See schools as requiring ever increasing levels of
        teacher skills and competencies

12/10/2011                                               18
6. Don’t be Seduced by Promises that
      Seem Too Good to Be True
• There are no “magic” purchases you can make to achieve
  substantially better results – it’s the work of teachers that
  make the difference
      – Technology isn't a solution (if it is, what’s the problem it
        solves)
      – 21st Century Skills are not a solution – in fact, they can be a
        problem
      – Personalized learning isn't a solution, in fact it can be a
        mistake
      – Smaller class sizes aren't a solution in and of themselves
• All success stories come down to effective educational
  leadership at the level of the school and the
  empowerment of skilled teachers to innovate and be
  nimble…

12/10/2011                                                                19
7. Don’t Import a “Solution” from
                Another Place
• Your community, your schools and your staff
  have to own their solutions – imposing one
  doesn’t help..
      – See school based reform and development as being
        rooted in community
      – Focus on glocal thinking and responses
      – Demand rigorous, critical thinking locally
      – Support local planning processes
      – Demand evidence based decision making
      – Remember – “less is more”

12/10/2011                                                 20
8. Connect to the World
• Forge links with other jurisdictions that are
  innovating in ways you find attractive
      – Link at the level of schools, teachers and areas of
        program
      – Support teacher exchange
      – Focus on co-creation, not the import-export of “best
        practices” (sic)
      – Enable student : student links across the jurisdictions
      – Focus on understanding process not just outcomes

12/10/2011                                                    21
9. See the BC Teacher Federation as the Key
        Partner for Learning, not the Enemy
• Teacher organizations can inspire, enable, encourage and
  empower – make sure they can do this..
      – “Get issues of pay and compensation off the table as fast as
        possible so as to focus on what matters most – learning”
        (Minister of Education, Singapore)
      – Teacher organizations can shape the mind-set of teachers –
        how do you want teachers to understand their role and their
        future?
      – Teacher recruitment, development and retention are major
        issues that need to be addressed through partnership –
        otherwise, we will have another demographic challenge.
      – A failure to partner will be a prescription for a failure to
        innovate in the future



12/10/2011                                                             22
10. Celebrate all the Time
• Recognition is as important as reward for
  students, teachers and schools
      – Celebrate successful learning
      – Celebrate school based innovation
      – Celebrate creativity and imagination
      – Celebrate science and technology
      – Celebrate community engagement
      – Recognize successful teaching every time..

12/10/2011                                           23
FIVE AREAS OF FOCUS


12/10/2011               24
Five Areas for Change
•   Early childhood experiential learning and play
•   Student engagement at every level
•   Securing Level 3 literacy for every student
•   Rethinking the high school
      – Abandon age based structures and move towards
        credit completion
      – Enable choice
      – Personalize learning
• Focus on apprenticeship and trades as a route
  through school – university is not for everyone.

12/10/2011                                              25
12/10/2011   26
12/10/2011   27
www.stephenmurgatroyd.com
             Stephen.murgatroyd@shaw.ca
             Slides are at slideshare



12/10/2011                                28
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BC School Trustees Dec10th 2011

  • 1. Trustee Leadership for the 21st Century Stephen Murgatroyd, PhD FBPsS FRSA
  • 2. Six Challenges That Will Reshape Schooling in British Columbia • Demographics • Technology • Economic competitiveness and the demand for creative skills and problem solving • The reform of education world-wide and the recognition of teachers as the drivers of innovation • Austerity and resource constraints • First Nations and their right to educational equity 12/10/2011 2
  • 3. Demographics • In 1986 there were 8 persons aged 15-65 for every senior in Canada; in 2006 there were 5 for each senior and in 2056 there will be 2.2 for each senior. By 2056, the median age is expected to reach 46.9 years, or 20 years more than it was in 1956. British Columbia is the province which, in 2004, had the highest life expectancy with 78.5 years for males and 83.1 for females. It continues to rise and is expected to be 80 for males and 85 for females by 2030. The grey tsunami. • Canada’s birth rate is declining (1.39 per birth-woman in BC) – we are dependent on immigration for our socio-economic well being. The immigration imperative. • Fastest growing segment of the population are First Nations and immigrants. The equity challenge in terms of literacy and skills. • There is a continued shift from rural to urban and from urban to Metro – Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal. Less than 8% of Canada’s population in 2006 was living in areas where direct metropolitan influence was low or non-existent. The mega-City challenge matched with rural decline. 12/10/2011 3
  • 4. Technology • By 2015, some 350 million tablets will have been sold world-wide – 16 million shipped last quarter. Tablets are now outselling Notebooks. Ubiquitous devices. • Machine intelligence, embodied in products like Knewton, change how the user accessing knowledge and resources in response to how they are using their device. Intelligent machines. • Content is key – Pearson are linking Knewton and their massive library in a new way for access to knowledge K-PhD. They are also leveraging their ownership of schools to demonstrate efficacy. Smart technology leverage. • Our K-12 students are homo-zapiens. For them technology is a utility, not a novelty. Smart users demanding smart use. 12/10/2011 4
  • 5. Economic Competitiveness • Canada’s share of global GDP is declining and will continue to do so as the BRIC’s economies grow. We will be economically challenged to grow throughout the 21st century. 60% of world GDP will come from developing countries by 2030. The growth challenge. • Globalization is changing how we do business and impacting our core industries – look at BC forest sector for a case study. We need to move up the value chain and become nimble, innovative and competitive to stay in the game. The innovation imperative. • We are essentially looking at having to rebuild our economy around faster, more value added products and services and to grow new industries from the “shells” of old. It’s a major transition, requiring new skills and competencies – especially creativity, imagination, teamwork, cross-boundary knowledge and an ability to take risks. The creativity imperative. 12/10/2011 5
  • 6. Educational Reform • Change is occurring across the developed world’s education systems. Key to these changes are a focus on literacy, technology and numeracy. PISA and TIMSS is driving some of these changes. Ubiquitous change. • Not all change works. No evidence that high stakes testing produces sustained learning; no evidence that targets set by Government or a Board produce lasting results; no evidence that spending more produces better outcomes. Reform has to be local, owned and focused on enabling teachers to do their work well. Evidence based reform through empowerment seems to be the key. No magic bullets. • Some reforms are misguided. Ranking schools and the use of “special measures” (UK), teacher pay linked to school performance on standardized tests (UK, Australia, US), enforced curriculum standards occupying 95% of the school year (Alberta, UK). Unintended consequences. 12/10/2011 6
  • 7. The Age of Austerity • US total sovereign indebtedness is $211 trillion. Canada’s debt levels are (app.) $570 billion and rising - Federal and Provincial governments have a combined deficit of $67.7 billion this year, with the provinces alone on the hook for $27.2 billion. BC debt is $53.5 billion and is expected to rise to $60.4 billion by 2014. A growing debt burden. • Debt markets are fluid and uncertain. Costs of debt management likely to rise, making situation worse – look at Italy. Increasing debt risk and uncertainty. • Deficits, debt and risk will lead to severe austerity in Canada which will affect all aspects of public service. A decade of austerity. • Taxes will rise to pay for fewer services – even Alberta is considering a sales tax. Tax challenges. • Wage constraint now leads to wage demands later that cannot be met and will speed exit from teaching. The Catch 22 Problem. • Public will be challenging, demanding and resistant. “Taxpayers are revolting”. 12/10/2011 7
  • 8. First Nations and Metis – Educational Equity • “In years to come, we expect to see Aboriginal people in every valued occupation and profession in the country. … The preparation of human resources for Aboriginal governments must accelerate. The persistent gap between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal people in access to post- secondary education completion must be erased. [But] without adequate student funding, that gap could increase rather than diminish as a larger number of Aboriginal youth come of working age and proportionally fewer have access to post-secondary education” Royal Commission on Aboriginal Peoples, 1996. The challenge and opportunity. • The proportion of working-age Aboriginal peoples with trade or college qualifications is now close to that of the non-Aboriginal population, but the proportion of working-age Aboriginal people with a university education in BC (4.5 percent) still lags far behind that of the non- Aboriginal population (25 percent). The equity imperative. • The % of aboriginal students graduating with a Dogwood Diploma in BC in 2009/10 was 49% compared to 72% of the non-aboriginal population. The equity imperative. 12/10/2011 8
  • 10. The Nature of Your Challenge • There are five challenges a trustee has in Canada – To be responsible for the fiscal health of the systems you are responsible for – To enable teachers to do what they do best and make sure you recruit, develop and retain high quality teachers – To develop means by which you see schools as the focus for the work and not the Superintendent or Central office – schools are where change and innovation take place and where learning occurs – To develop the leadership within schools at all levels that will enable change to take place – To develop a simple system of assurance for the public that their investments in their communities future through education make sense 12/10/2011 10
  • 11. WHY CHANGE AT ALL ? 12/10/2011 11
  • 12. After All, Canada Scores Well on PISA! • It is precisely because Canada is currently a high performer that we need to change: – Other countries (especially Asian) are catching up and will surpass.. – We only perform well on certain things, but other aspects of our systems are weak.. – As austerity bites, so performance will be affected.. – Technology demands change – Student engagement remains problematic – As a nation, we are poor at innovation and productivity – it starts with learning – As a nation, we are becoming increasingly less competitive.. 12/10/2011 12
  • 13. Andy Hargreaves and Dennis Shirley / J C Couture and Stephen Murgatroyd CHANGE THAT MAKE SENSE TOP TEN LIST 12/10/2011 13
  • 14. 1: Public Assurance • Put responsibility before accountability – Rather than increasing measures, reporting, controls and supervision of schools – be focused on building systems of public assurance that meet your needs while simplifying the work of the school. – Develop systematic, school based planning and enable and support school based development plans. – Shift from top down to bottom up thinking. 12/10/2011 14
  • 15. 2. Eliminate Standardized Tests Connected to Systems Evaluation and Targets. • Join other systems that are eliminating these – Some of the jurisdictions who undertake the most systems testing in the world (e.g. Alberta and England) are getting out of this business. – Sample populations for performance indications. – Focus instead on continuous formative assessments that facilitate learning and development – Get out of “unintended consequences” – e.g. teaching to the test – and get back to intended consequences – real learning. • Trust schools to assess themselves – School development plans, when done well, require evidence based decision making and effective analysis of performance using evidence. 12/10/2011 15
  • 16. 3. Develop Teachers Assessment Capabilities • Focus on diagnostic, developmental assessment – Assessment should have an immediate or near term impact on an individuals learning and skills development – Engage students in self-assessment and involve their parents – Assess engagement – the best predictor of student learning outcomes 12/10/2011 16
  • 17. 4. Abandon the Obsession with Technology – Focus on How Students Learn and What They Are Learning • Recognize that investing in technology to improve learning outcomes has not been seen to produce improved outcomes easily. – Think problem solving and critical thinking… – Think of work-based and community based learning…. – Think different learning styles and different intelligences.. – Then ask what technology (if any) could help…let teachers make “buy” decisions… 12/10/2011 17
  • 18. 5. Focus on Teaching Quality • Develop teachers through teacher based professional development – Support communities of practice and peer learning networks – Invest in teacher led innovation – Support teacher learning at the Masters and PhD level – See schools as requiring ever increasing levels of teacher skills and competencies 12/10/2011 18
  • 19. 6. Don’t be Seduced by Promises that Seem Too Good to Be True • There are no “magic” purchases you can make to achieve substantially better results – it’s the work of teachers that make the difference – Technology isn't a solution (if it is, what’s the problem it solves) – 21st Century Skills are not a solution – in fact, they can be a problem – Personalized learning isn't a solution, in fact it can be a mistake – Smaller class sizes aren't a solution in and of themselves • All success stories come down to effective educational leadership at the level of the school and the empowerment of skilled teachers to innovate and be nimble… 12/10/2011 19
  • 20. 7. Don’t Import a “Solution” from Another Place • Your community, your schools and your staff have to own their solutions – imposing one doesn’t help.. – See school based reform and development as being rooted in community – Focus on glocal thinking and responses – Demand rigorous, critical thinking locally – Support local planning processes – Demand evidence based decision making – Remember – “less is more” 12/10/2011 20
  • 21. 8. Connect to the World • Forge links with other jurisdictions that are innovating in ways you find attractive – Link at the level of schools, teachers and areas of program – Support teacher exchange – Focus on co-creation, not the import-export of “best practices” (sic) – Enable student : student links across the jurisdictions – Focus on understanding process not just outcomes 12/10/2011 21
  • 22. 9. See the BC Teacher Federation as the Key Partner for Learning, not the Enemy • Teacher organizations can inspire, enable, encourage and empower – make sure they can do this.. – “Get issues of pay and compensation off the table as fast as possible so as to focus on what matters most – learning” (Minister of Education, Singapore) – Teacher organizations can shape the mind-set of teachers – how do you want teachers to understand their role and their future? – Teacher recruitment, development and retention are major issues that need to be addressed through partnership – otherwise, we will have another demographic challenge. – A failure to partner will be a prescription for a failure to innovate in the future 12/10/2011 22
  • 23. 10. Celebrate all the Time • Recognition is as important as reward for students, teachers and schools – Celebrate successful learning – Celebrate school based innovation – Celebrate creativity and imagination – Celebrate science and technology – Celebrate community engagement – Recognize successful teaching every time.. 12/10/2011 23
  • 24. FIVE AREAS OF FOCUS 12/10/2011 24
  • 25. Five Areas for Change • Early childhood experiential learning and play • Student engagement at every level • Securing Level 3 literacy for every student • Rethinking the high school – Abandon age based structures and move towards credit completion – Enable choice – Personalize learning • Focus on apprenticeship and trades as a route through school – university is not for everyone. 12/10/2011 25
  • 28. www.stephenmurgatroyd.com Stephen.murgatroyd@shaw.ca Slides are at slideshare 12/10/2011 28