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Fire, feral and native animal
interactions: perspectives from
central Australia
Chris Dickman, Aaron Greenville and
Glenda Wardle
Aims
• Describe population fluctuations of rodents
and small marsupials in Australian desert
(‘boom’ and ‘bust’) environments: pulses of
food, pulses of fear?
• Explore patterns and processes:
• Effects of rainfall on populations
• Effects of fire
• Rainfall × fire × feral predator interactions
• How to manage these interactions for
conservation goals; effects of climate change
Arid Australia
Hummock (spinifex) grassland
Simpson Desert
Simpson Desert study region
• NE Simpson Desert, Qld
• Spinifex-dominated
dunefields
• Rainfall 150 – 200 mm
year-1
• Temperatures -7 to >50°C
• Fire return interval: was
~25 years, now 10 – 12
years
• Long-term data 1990-
present
• > 28,000 mammal
captures, ~24,000 lizard
captures, ~10,000 frogs
Simpson Desert study region
• 12 main sites
over 8,000 km2
• 2–5 sampling
plots / site
• Small
vertebrates,
invertebrates,
plants, weather
data sampled
• Many
experiments
• 3–6 visits / year
Simpson Desert study region
1990 – drought
‘bust’
2012 – post rain
‘boom’
Study species + methods
Photo by Bobby Tamayo
Sandy inland mouse Pseudomys
hermannsburgensis
Ningaui
Dunnart Mulgara
Hopping-mouse
Boom and bust dynamics
Average of Pseudomys hermannsburgensis
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1990
1991
1993
1999
2001
2002
2006
2008
2011
Captures(100trapnights)
Sandy inland mouse
Average of Notomys alexis
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1990
1991
1993
1999
2001
2002
2006
2008
2011
Captures(100trapnights)
Spinifex hopping-mouse
Photo by Bobby Tamayo
Sandy inland mouse Pseudomys
hermannsburgensis
Effects of rain
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1990
1990
1990
1991
1991
1992
1992
1992
1993
1993
1994
1994
1995
1995
1995
1996
1996
1997
1997
1997
1998
1998
1999
1999
2000
2000
2000
2001
2001
2002
2002
2002
2003
2003
2004
2004
2005
2005
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
2010
2010
2011
2011
Rainfall(mm)
Long-term annual ‘average’ rainfall
Average of Pseudomys hermannsburgensis
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1990
1991
1993
1999
2001
2002
2006
2008
2011
Captures(100trapnights)
Sandy inland mouse, r = 0.66***
6-month lag
Photo by Bobby Tamayo
Sandy inland mouse Pseudomys
hermannsburgensis
Effects of rain
Long-term annual ‘average’ rainfall
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1990
1990
1990
1991
1991
1992
1992
1992
1993
1993
1994
1994
1995
1995
1995
1996
1996
1997
1997
1997
1998
1998
1999
1999
2000
2000
2000
2001
2001
2002
2002
2002
2003
2003
2004
2004
2005
2005
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
2010
2010
2011
2011
Rainfall(mm)
Average of Dasycercus cristicauda
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
1990
1991
1993
1999
2001
2002
2006
2008
2011
Captures(100trapnights)
Long-term annual ‘average’ rainfall
Brush-tailed mulgara, r = 0.58***
10-month lag
Effects of rain
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1990
1990
1990
1991
1991
1992
1992
1992
1993
1993
1994
1994
1995
1995
1995
1996
1996
1997
1997
1997
1998
1998
1999
1999
2000
2000
2000
2001
2001
2002
2002
2002
2003
2003
2004
2004
2005
2005
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
2010
2010
2011
2011
Rainfall(mm)
Long-term annual ‘average’ rainfall
Average of Sminthopsis youngsoni
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1990
1991
1993
1999
2001
2002
2006
2008
2011
Captures(100trapnights)
Lesser hairy-footed
dunnart, r = -0.33**
2-6 month lag
Wildfire follows rain
Annual rainfall (mm) for years 1913 - 2001/02
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010
Marion Downs
Glenormiston
Fire
1917
Fire
2001
Fire
1951
Fire
1974
Wildfire: Simpson Desert
• Wildfire in 2001-
02 burnt
254,400 ha of
study area,
mostly spinifex,
some woodland
• Elsewhere, ~3
million ha burnt
• Wildfire in 2011
burnt >25,000
ha of study area
• Mean fire return
interval = 25
years; declining
Effects of wildfire
Effects of wildfire: spinifex cover
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Apr.00
Jun.00
Aug.00
Oct.00
Nov.00
Mar.01
Apr.01
Jun.01
Sep.01
Dec.01
Feb.02
Mar.02
Apr.02
May.02
Jun.02
Jul.02
Aug.02
Sep.02
Oct.02
Nov.02
Dec.02
Feb.03
May.03
Jun.03
Dec.03
Feb.04
May.04
Aug.04
Nov.04
Feb.05
Apr/May.05
Aug.05
O/N/D.05
Feb.06
May.06
Aug/Sept.06
Nov.06
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Mean%SpinifexCoverpergrid
Spinifex cover
Burnt
Unburnt
Wildfire
Effects of wildfire: small mammal nos
Small mammal abundance
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Apr.00
Jun.00
Aug.00
Oct.00
Nov.00
Apr.01
Jun.01
Sept.01
Dec.01
Feb.02
Mar.02
May.02
Jul.02
Aug.02
Sept.02
Oct.02
Nov.02
Dec.02
Feb.03
May.03
Jun.03
Dec.03
May.04
Aug.04
Nov.04
Feb.05
Apr/May.05
Aug.05
O/N/D.05
Feb.06
May.06
Aug/Sep.06
Nov.06
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Meancapturespergridnight
Burnt
UnburntWildfire
Introduced predators
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1990
1991
1993
1996
1999
2000
2002
2003
2005
2007
2008
2009
Sighting/100km
Feral cat
Red fox
Red fox
Introduced predators and prey
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1990
1991
1993
1996
1999
2000
2002
2003
2005
2007
2008
2009
Sighting/100km
Feral cat
Red fox
Average of Pseudomys hermannsburgensis
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1990
1991
1993
1999
2001
2002
2006
2008
2011
Captures(100trapnights)
Feral cat
Red fox
Capture rate: Sandy inland mouse
Predator diets: foxes and cats
Time period /
population phase
of mammal prey
% frequency of small mammals
in diet of:
Fox, n = 1245 Cat, n = 743
Bust 24 – 66% 45 – 82%
Increase 50 – 87% 73 – 95%
Peak 98 – 100% 100%
Decrease 95 – 100% 98 – 100%
Predator impacts
Average of Pseudomys hermannsburgensis
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1990
1991
1993
1999
2001
2002
2006
2008
2011
Captures(100trapnights)
Capture rate: Sandy inland mouse
Heavy summer rains
Intense per capita predation
Rains
Predation
Wildfire × predator interactionsTransectswithprints
Feral cats
Red foxes
Transects
Unburnt Burnt
EcEcotone
Wildfire × predator interactions
• Experiment: GUD
dishes set in burnt
(open) and unburnt
(spinifex-covered)
habitats
• Three treatments: under fox and cat-proof
fencing (n = 7), under open fencing (fence
control, n = 7), and in open sand (n = 7)
• 20 seeds / night provided for rodents
Giving-up densities (GUDs)
Wildfire × predator interactionsGiving-updensity
Exclusion cage
Cage control
Open control
Sandy inland mouse, predation × fire,
F = 16.15***
Spinifex hopping-mouse, predation ×
fire, F = 9.81***
Burnt Unburnt
Wildfire × predator interactions
Scaling up: 250 m2 of predator-free shelter per 1-ha plot
Annual rainfall – last 100 years
Conclusions
• Rainfall: Increases productivity, increases populations of
rodents and other consumers
• Wildfire: natural, lightning ignition, follows heavy rain
events; decreases animal populations
• Invasive predators: reduce prey by direct consumption
• These factors interact: heavy rains increase rodents, risk
of fire and numerical response by predators; the fire ×
predation interaction drives mammal populations to low
levels; predation, webs of fear come and go in pulses
• Climate change will exacerbate boom-bust cycles and
wildfires; irruptive rodent species will be at most risk, and
then carnivorous marsupials
• Management: strategic (time, place) reduction of
invasive predators, or increased protection for
vulnerable prey – is there a broader role for predator-
proof shelters in fire-prone landscapes?
Acknowledgements
• TERN and LTERN
• Desert Ecology Research
Group, esp. Bobby Tamayo,
Chin-Liang Beh
• > 1000 volunteers + students
• Bedourie community
• Bush Heritage Australia
• Australian Research Council

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BushfireConf2017 – 23. Fire, feral and native animal interactions: perspectives from central Australia.

  • 1. Fire, feral and native animal interactions: perspectives from central Australia Chris Dickman, Aaron Greenville and Glenda Wardle
  • 2. Aims • Describe population fluctuations of rodents and small marsupials in Australian desert (‘boom’ and ‘bust’) environments: pulses of food, pulses of fear? • Explore patterns and processes: • Effects of rainfall on populations • Effects of fire • Rainfall × fire × feral predator interactions • How to manage these interactions for conservation goals; effects of climate change
  • 3. Arid Australia Hummock (spinifex) grassland Simpson Desert
  • 4. Simpson Desert study region • NE Simpson Desert, Qld • Spinifex-dominated dunefields • Rainfall 150 – 200 mm year-1 • Temperatures -7 to >50°C • Fire return interval: was ~25 years, now 10 – 12 years • Long-term data 1990- present • > 28,000 mammal captures, ~24,000 lizard captures, ~10,000 frogs
  • 5. Simpson Desert study region • 12 main sites over 8,000 km2 • 2–5 sampling plots / site • Small vertebrates, invertebrates, plants, weather data sampled • Many experiments • 3–6 visits / year
  • 6. Simpson Desert study region 1990 – drought ‘bust’ 2012 – post rain ‘boom’
  • 7. Study species + methods Photo by Bobby Tamayo Sandy inland mouse Pseudomys hermannsburgensis Ningaui Dunnart Mulgara Hopping-mouse
  • 8. Boom and bust dynamics Average of Pseudomys hermannsburgensis 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1990 1991 1993 1999 2001 2002 2006 2008 2011 Captures(100trapnights) Sandy inland mouse Average of Notomys alexis 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1990 1991 1993 1999 2001 2002 2006 2008 2011 Captures(100trapnights) Spinifex hopping-mouse Photo by Bobby Tamayo Sandy inland mouse Pseudomys hermannsburgensis
  • 9. Effects of rain 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 1990 1990 1990 1991 1991 1992 1992 1992 1993 1993 1994 1994 1995 1995 1995 1996 1996 1997 1997 1997 1998 1998 1999 1999 2000 2000 2000 2001 2001 2002 2002 2002 2003 2003 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 Rainfall(mm) Long-term annual ‘average’ rainfall Average of Pseudomys hermannsburgensis 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1990 1991 1993 1999 2001 2002 2006 2008 2011 Captures(100trapnights) Sandy inland mouse, r = 0.66*** 6-month lag Photo by Bobby Tamayo Sandy inland mouse Pseudomys hermannsburgensis
  • 10. Effects of rain Long-term annual ‘average’ rainfall 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 1990 1990 1990 1991 1991 1992 1992 1992 1993 1993 1994 1994 1995 1995 1995 1996 1996 1997 1997 1997 1998 1998 1999 1999 2000 2000 2000 2001 2001 2002 2002 2002 2003 2003 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 Rainfall(mm) Average of Dasycercus cristicauda 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 1990 1991 1993 1999 2001 2002 2006 2008 2011 Captures(100trapnights) Long-term annual ‘average’ rainfall Brush-tailed mulgara, r = 0.58*** 10-month lag
  • 12. Wildfire follows rain Annual rainfall (mm) for years 1913 - 2001/02 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 Marion Downs Glenormiston Fire 1917 Fire 2001 Fire 1951 Fire 1974
  • 13. Wildfire: Simpson Desert • Wildfire in 2001- 02 burnt 254,400 ha of study area, mostly spinifex, some woodland • Elsewhere, ~3 million ha burnt • Wildfire in 2011 burnt >25,000 ha of study area • Mean fire return interval = 25 years; declining
  • 15. Effects of wildfire: spinifex cover 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Apr.00 Jun.00 Aug.00 Oct.00 Nov.00 Mar.01 Apr.01 Jun.01 Sep.01 Dec.01 Feb.02 Mar.02 Apr.02 May.02 Jun.02 Jul.02 Aug.02 Sep.02 Oct.02 Nov.02 Dec.02 Feb.03 May.03 Jun.03 Dec.03 Feb.04 May.04 Aug.04 Nov.04 Feb.05 Apr/May.05 Aug.05 O/N/D.05 Feb.06 May.06 Aug/Sept.06 Nov.06 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Mean%SpinifexCoverpergrid Spinifex cover Burnt Unburnt Wildfire
  • 16. Effects of wildfire: small mammal nos Small mammal abundance 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Apr.00 Jun.00 Aug.00 Oct.00 Nov.00 Apr.01 Jun.01 Sept.01 Dec.01 Feb.02 Mar.02 May.02 Jul.02 Aug.02 Sept.02 Oct.02 Nov.02 Dec.02 Feb.03 May.03 Jun.03 Dec.03 May.04 Aug.04 Nov.04 Feb.05 Apr/May.05 Aug.05 O/N/D.05 Feb.06 May.06 Aug/Sep.06 Nov.06 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Meancapturespergridnight Burnt UnburntWildfire
  • 18. Introduced predators and prey 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1990 1991 1993 1996 1999 2000 2002 2003 2005 2007 2008 2009 Sighting/100km Feral cat Red fox Average of Pseudomys hermannsburgensis 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1990 1991 1993 1999 2001 2002 2006 2008 2011 Captures(100trapnights) Feral cat Red fox Capture rate: Sandy inland mouse
  • 19. Predator diets: foxes and cats Time period / population phase of mammal prey % frequency of small mammals in diet of: Fox, n = 1245 Cat, n = 743 Bust 24 – 66% 45 – 82% Increase 50 – 87% 73 – 95% Peak 98 – 100% 100% Decrease 95 – 100% 98 – 100%
  • 20. Predator impacts Average of Pseudomys hermannsburgensis 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1990 1991 1993 1999 2001 2002 2006 2008 2011 Captures(100trapnights) Capture rate: Sandy inland mouse Heavy summer rains Intense per capita predation Rains Predation
  • 21. Wildfire × predator interactionsTransectswithprints Feral cats Red foxes Transects Unburnt Burnt EcEcotone
  • 22. Wildfire × predator interactions • Experiment: GUD dishes set in burnt (open) and unburnt (spinifex-covered) habitats • Three treatments: under fox and cat-proof fencing (n = 7), under open fencing (fence control, n = 7), and in open sand (n = 7) • 20 seeds / night provided for rodents Giving-up densities (GUDs)
  • 23. Wildfire × predator interactionsGiving-updensity Exclusion cage Cage control Open control Sandy inland mouse, predation × fire, F = 16.15*** Spinifex hopping-mouse, predation × fire, F = 9.81*** Burnt Unburnt
  • 24. Wildfire × predator interactions Scaling up: 250 m2 of predator-free shelter per 1-ha plot
  • 25. Annual rainfall – last 100 years
  • 26. Conclusions • Rainfall: Increases productivity, increases populations of rodents and other consumers • Wildfire: natural, lightning ignition, follows heavy rain events; decreases animal populations • Invasive predators: reduce prey by direct consumption • These factors interact: heavy rains increase rodents, risk of fire and numerical response by predators; the fire × predation interaction drives mammal populations to low levels; predation, webs of fear come and go in pulses • Climate change will exacerbate boom-bust cycles and wildfires; irruptive rodent species will be at most risk, and then carnivorous marsupials • Management: strategic (time, place) reduction of invasive predators, or increased protection for vulnerable prey – is there a broader role for predator- proof shelters in fire-prone landscapes?
  • 27. Acknowledgements • TERN and LTERN • Desert Ecology Research Group, esp. Bobby Tamayo, Chin-Liang Beh • > 1000 volunteers + students • Bedourie community • Bush Heritage Australia • Australian Research Council