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Open
  Source
 Adoption
and Use in
 the Real
  World
Summing up data warehousing & business intelligence:
 Transaction processing is a commodity. Analysis is not.


                                        1
                               100
                          15                    2
                                   80
                14                                      3
                                   60

                                   40
          13                                                    4
                                   20                               Smooth
                                    0
          12                                                    5   Chunky

               11                                           6

                     10                             7
                               9            8

                          Margin of error: +/- 100 points
Cautionary Tale: Visions of Yesterday’s Future
Cautionary Tale: Visions of Yesterday’s Future
Cautionary Tale: Visions of Yesterday’s Future
Cautionary Tale: Visions of Yesterday’s Future
“Prediction is very
difficult, especially
about the future.”
          Niels Bohr
Where the analysts are
                             on the adoption curve




“Open source is not worth paying attention to.”
   A Gartner analyst I don’t want to make too much fun of, January 2006
“The future is the present projected.”
                            Aldous Huxley
What is the state of the enterprise
software market today?
Any Industry This Big is Maturing
    Annual US software sales

             150
             130
             110
             90
             70
             50
             30
             10
             -10
                   70   75   80         85          90           95          00
                                                   Source: US Dept. of Commerce
March 2009                        Mark R. Madsen
Evolution of the Software Market 1987




                                         Source: John Prendergast
March 2009
                                        (data: Bloomberg, Factset)
                       Mark R. Madsen
Evolution of the Software Market 1997




                                         Source: John Prendergast
March 2009
                                        (data: Bloomberg, Factset)
                       Mark R. Madsen
Evolution of the Software Market 2007




                                         Source: John Prendergast
March 2009
                                        (data: Bloomberg, Factset)
                       Mark R. Madsen
The DW & BI Software Market Today
    According to IDC, the
    analytics and data
    warehouse software
    market is growing at                                31,595
    10.3% CAGR         28,682
                                        26,001
                               23,601
                      21,408
             19,342
  17,386




    2005      2006     2007     2008     2009    2010    2011


March 2009                                                 Mark R. Madsen
How to predict like an analyst.
Moore’s Law via the Lens of the Industry Analyst




                                         CPU
                                        Speed




                  Time
Moore’s Law: Power Consumption




                              Power
                               Use




          Time         2019
Moore’s Law: Heat Generation




                               CPU
                               Temp




        Time           2019
Conclusion #1: Your own nuclear reactor by 2019




                                         Power
                                          Use




                  Time            2019
Conclusion #2: You will need a new desk in 2019




                                         CPU
                                         Temp




                  Time            2019
“If the automobile had followed     Reality
the same development as the
computer, a Rolls-Royce would
today cost $100, get a million
miles per gallon, and explode
once a year killing everyone
inside.”                                      Anything
                  Robert Cringely




                 Time
The Real State of Enterprise Software?




March 2009              Mark R. Madsen
Software Revenue = Corporate IT Cost
             IT costs as a percent of equipment investment

             50

             40

             30

             20

             10

             0
                  68   72   76   80   84           88   92     96       00       04
                                                        Source: US Dept. of Commerce
March 2009                            Mark R. Madsen
Enterprise Software Economics
   The enterprise software model
   is breaking down. Some facts:
  • 70% - 80% of sales & marketing is
    for new sales
  • 76% of new license revenue goes
    to sales & marketing
  • Maintenance makes up 45% of
    revenues and this number is
    increasing
  • 75% of R&D for mature products is
    for updates, bug fixing, and non-
    revenue enhancements
  • Maintenance and support is
    becoming the biggest factor is
    software company profitability.
                                               Sources Godman-Sachs, Tech Strategy Partners, Forrester
March 2009                    Mark R. Madsen
BI is Entering Mainstream Adoption
    This means the BI market is entering a period
    of commodification: demand up, supply up,
    prices and margins down. Door open for OSS.

         Reporting                        Databases
         & Analysis
                                               Platforms
           Data
     Integration

    Predictive
     analytics




March 2009               Mark R. Madsen
Technology Priorities in IT




                                             Source: CIO Insight




Informing the business trumps automating the business.
This held true for three years in a row.

March 2009               Mark R. Madsen
Spending Priorities in IT




    In 2007 and 2008 IT budgeted most new project
    money for databases and business intelligence.
Sources: CIO Insight
March 2009               Mark R. Madsen
Open Source Disruption
    “Which sector of the industry is most vulnerable to
     disruption by open source in the next five years?”

         1. Web publishing and content management
         2. Social software
         3. Business Intelligence




     Source: North Bridge Venture Partners

March 2009                                   Mark R. Madsen
Signs of Maturity




                  Source: Open Source Index 2008, Red Hat, Inc.
March 2009                       Mark R. Madsen
Use of OSS BI/OLAP tools worldwide




March 2009            Mark R. Madsen
Open Source BI Use Looks Like Proprietary BI Use




March 2009            Mark R. Madsen
Rationale When Evaluating OSS




March 2009          Mark R. Madsen
Good News: It Works




March 2009          Mark R. Madsen
State of Adoption & Use of Open Source BI
      None   Considering   Completed Evaluation   Using in Production
50%
45%
40%
35%           33%
30%
25%                         21%
20%                                      18%

15%                                                   12%
                                                                        9%
10%
 5%
 0%
        Database /   Reporting       Data     Embedded /     Advanced
       DW platform   and OLAP     integration application    analytics
                                    and ETL     reports
Data size for all survey respondents including those
using proprietary databases.

50%
      45%            81% of the
45%                 sample < 1TB
40%
35%
30%
25%           22%
20%
15%
                                       9%
10%                   7%      7%                 7%
5%                                                        3%

0%
      0‐49   50‐100 100‐499 500‐999   1‐5 TB   5‐25 TB   >25 TB
Why did BI software evaluations fail?

             Missing or incomplete features                                              56%



                       Scalability problems                                    41%



                Lack of available consulting                           27%



   Difficulty integrating into environment                             26%



Required more expertise than expected                                  25%


                                               0%          10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%
March 2009                                Mark R. Madsen
There’s still work to be done
Data is the future
“When a new technology rolls over you, you're either part of
  Questions?
the steamroller or part of the road.” – Stewart Brand




March 2009                  Mark R. Madsen
We Could Use Your Help
 If you evaluated open
 source software for any
 aspect of the BI or data
 warehouse environment,
 please fill out the online
 open source adoption
 survey at
 http://bitly.com/scRhF



 The survey is running until
 May 30, 2009.




March 2009                     Mark R. Madsen
Creative Commons
    Thanks to the people who made their images available via creative commons:
    highway storm.jpg - http://flickr.com/photos/areyoumyrik/235230688
    firemen not noticing fire.jpg - http://flickr.com/photos/oldonliner/1485881035/
    godzilla_vs_bhudda_big.jpg - http://flickr.com/photos/olivander/262293544/
    acapluco_cliff_divers_cc.jpg - http://flickr.com/photos/raveller/




March 2009                                               Mark R. Madsen
Creative Commons
    This work is licensed under the Creative Commons
    Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United
    States License. To view a copy of this license, visit
    http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/ or send
    a letter to Creative Commons, 543 Howard Street, 5th Floor,
    San Francisco, California, 94105, USA.




March 2009                      Mark R. Madsen
‘

MySQL Conference & Expo
    Bruce Belvin
Company Mission



Monolith Software Solutions is dedicated to providing
scalable business intelligence for multi-unit QSR
restaurant operations.
Open Source Components




SUSE Linux Enterprise
Overview


3000+ disparate data sources
4500 users
Complex organizational structures / hierarchy
Multi tenant environment
Segregated data bases per individual organization
Same data used for various business functions
Granular data
Vertical Landscape


I. Fragmented ownership
II. Legacy hardware/various data sources
III. Hesitancy to adopt Open Source
IV. Small margin industry
Why SaaS Works


• Subscription business model fits segment price
  pressures
• Unlimited users solves user heavy structure
• Initial price / on going maintenance
• Low barrier to entry
• Pay as you go for additional integration/modules
Keys to SaaS Success

•   Educate multiple decision making groups within organization

•   Utilize support from technology partners and open source
    community

•   Be aware of impact on IT/political past decisions

•   Prove open source solution

•   Develop silver bullet strategies to over come open source
    perceptions
Background


    President / COO of
    Consorte Media
    Formerly CTO of
    BlueLithium, Adteractive,
    Fathom Online, and
    Cybernautics
    13 years as a technical
    executive in the online
    advertising industry




                                54
Scope of Online Advertising



                                      Delivers the right
    Dynamically                        ad to the right
  builds pages for                         person
     visitor using
  predictive models



                              Collect Metrics for
                                performance
                              measurement and
                                   analytics


                                                           55
Business Challenges


                       Web API




                                 Internal Applications

    Revised Models




           Analytics
        Data Mining
  Model Development
                                 Performance Reports



                                                         56
Our Stack

  CentOS
  MySQL
  BIRT
  Hibernate
  Apache
  Camel
  Kettle
  Hadoop
Best Practices


 •   Use analytics to design and test
      advertising models using only
           relevant dimensions
 •   Gather and determine business
     requirements before embarking
              on the journey
 •   Build an infrastructure plan that
     will support the data collection
          and analytics platform




                                         58
The Role of Open Source

                   •   Several important innovations in data
                     processing have been driven largely by
                                 online advertising
                    • Industry needs software and tools to

                        match pace of innovation and fast-
                            changing business climate
                  • Proprietary software vendors unable to

                      respond quickly enough to support the
                                      industry
                   • Open Source has provided innovative

                     solutions and flexibility to support new
                               business requirements

                                                            59
Jay Webster
   President and COO
jayw@consortemedia.com
  415.677.4431 ext 248
Q&A: Bruce Belvin, Jay Webster, Mark Madsen
We Could Use Your Help
 If you evaluated open
 source software for any
 aspect of the BI or data
 warehouse environment,
 please fill out the online
 open source adoption
 survey at
 http://bitly.com/scRhF



 The survey is running until
 May 30, 2009.




March 2009                     Mark R. Madsen

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The State of Open Source BI Adoption

  • 1. Open Source Adoption and Use in the Real World
  • 2. Summing up data warehousing & business intelligence: Transaction processing is a commodity. Analysis is not. 1 100 15 2 80 14 3 60 40 13 4 20 Smooth 0 12 5 Chunky 11 6 10 7 9 8 Margin of error: +/- 100 points
  • 3. Cautionary Tale: Visions of Yesterday’s Future
  • 4. Cautionary Tale: Visions of Yesterday’s Future
  • 5. Cautionary Tale: Visions of Yesterday’s Future
  • 6. Cautionary Tale: Visions of Yesterday’s Future
  • 7. “Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.” Niels Bohr
  • 8.
  • 9. Where the analysts are on the adoption curve “Open source is not worth paying attention to.” A Gartner analyst I don’t want to make too much fun of, January 2006
  • 10. “The future is the present projected.” Aldous Huxley
  • 11. What is the state of the enterprise software market today?
  • 12. Any Industry This Big is Maturing Annual US software sales 150 130 110 90 70 50 30 10 -10 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 Source: US Dept. of Commerce March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 13. Evolution of the Software Market 1987 Source: John Prendergast March 2009 (data: Bloomberg, Factset) Mark R. Madsen
  • 14. Evolution of the Software Market 1997 Source: John Prendergast March 2009 (data: Bloomberg, Factset) Mark R. Madsen
  • 15. Evolution of the Software Market 2007 Source: John Prendergast March 2009 (data: Bloomberg, Factset) Mark R. Madsen
  • 16. The DW & BI Software Market Today According to IDC, the analytics and data warehouse software market is growing at 31,595 10.3% CAGR 28,682 26,001 23,601 21,408 19,342 17,386 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 17. How to predict like an analyst.
  • 18. Moore’s Law via the Lens of the Industry Analyst CPU Speed Time
  • 19. Moore’s Law: Power Consumption Power Use Time 2019
  • 20. Moore’s Law: Heat Generation CPU Temp Time 2019
  • 21. Conclusion #1: Your own nuclear reactor by 2019 Power Use Time 2019
  • 22. Conclusion #2: You will need a new desk in 2019 CPU Temp Time 2019
  • 23. “If the automobile had followed Reality the same development as the computer, a Rolls-Royce would today cost $100, get a million miles per gallon, and explode once a year killing everyone inside.” Anything Robert Cringely Time
  • 24. The Real State of Enterprise Software? March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 25. Software Revenue = Corporate IT Cost IT costs as a percent of equipment investment 50 40 30 20 10 0 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 00 04 Source: US Dept. of Commerce March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 26. Enterprise Software Economics The enterprise software model is breaking down. Some facts: • 70% - 80% of sales & marketing is for new sales • 76% of new license revenue goes to sales & marketing • Maintenance makes up 45% of revenues and this number is increasing • 75% of R&D for mature products is for updates, bug fixing, and non- revenue enhancements • Maintenance and support is becoming the biggest factor is software company profitability. Sources Godman-Sachs, Tech Strategy Partners, Forrester March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 27. BI is Entering Mainstream Adoption This means the BI market is entering a period of commodification: demand up, supply up, prices and margins down. Door open for OSS. Reporting Databases & Analysis Platforms Data Integration Predictive analytics March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 28. Technology Priorities in IT Source: CIO Insight Informing the business trumps automating the business. This held true for three years in a row. March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 29. Spending Priorities in IT In 2007 and 2008 IT budgeted most new project money for databases and business intelligence. Sources: CIO Insight March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 30. Open Source Disruption “Which sector of the industry is most vulnerable to disruption by open source in the next five years?” 1. Web publishing and content management 2. Social software 3. Business Intelligence Source: North Bridge Venture Partners March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 31. Signs of Maturity Source: Open Source Index 2008, Red Hat, Inc. March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 32. Use of OSS BI/OLAP tools worldwide March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 33. Open Source BI Use Looks Like Proprietary BI Use March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 34. Rationale When Evaluating OSS March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 35. Good News: It Works March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 36. State of Adoption & Use of Open Source BI None Considering Completed Evaluation Using in Production 50% 45% 40% 35% 33% 30% 25% 21% 20% 18% 15% 12% 9% 10% 5% 0% Database / Reporting Data Embedded / Advanced DW platform and OLAP integration application analytics and ETL reports
  • 37. Data size for all survey respondents including those using proprietary databases. 50% 45% 81% of the 45% sample < 1TB 40% 35% 30% 25% 22% 20% 15% 9% 10% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 0% 0‐49 50‐100 100‐499 500‐999 1‐5 TB 5‐25 TB >25 TB
  • 38.
  • 39. Why did BI software evaluations fail? Missing or incomplete features 56% Scalability problems 41% Lack of available consulting 27% Difficulty integrating into environment 26% Required more expertise than expected 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 40. There’s still work to be done
  • 41. Data is the future
  • 42. “When a new technology rolls over you, you're either part of Questions? the steamroller or part of the road.” – Stewart Brand March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 43. We Could Use Your Help If you evaluated open source software for any aspect of the BI or data warehouse environment, please fill out the online open source adoption survey at http://bitly.com/scRhF The survey is running until May 30, 2009. March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 44. Creative Commons Thanks to the people who made their images available via creative commons: highway storm.jpg - http://flickr.com/photos/areyoumyrik/235230688 firemen not noticing fire.jpg - http://flickr.com/photos/oldonliner/1485881035/ godzilla_vs_bhudda_big.jpg - http://flickr.com/photos/olivander/262293544/ acapluco_cliff_divers_cc.jpg - http://flickr.com/photos/raveller/ March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 45. Creative Commons This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/ or send a letter to Creative Commons, 543 Howard Street, 5th Floor, San Francisco, California, 94105, USA. March 2009 Mark R. Madsen
  • 46. ‘ MySQL Conference & Expo Bruce Belvin
  • 47. Company Mission Monolith Software Solutions is dedicated to providing scalable business intelligence for multi-unit QSR restaurant operations.
  • 48. Open Source Components SUSE Linux Enterprise
  • 49. Overview 3000+ disparate data sources 4500 users Complex organizational structures / hierarchy Multi tenant environment Segregated data bases per individual organization Same data used for various business functions Granular data
  • 50. Vertical Landscape I. Fragmented ownership II. Legacy hardware/various data sources III. Hesitancy to adopt Open Source IV. Small margin industry
  • 51. Why SaaS Works • Subscription business model fits segment price pressures • Unlimited users solves user heavy structure • Initial price / on going maintenance • Low barrier to entry • Pay as you go for additional integration/modules
  • 52. Keys to SaaS Success • Educate multiple decision making groups within organization • Utilize support from technology partners and open source community • Be aware of impact on IT/political past decisions • Prove open source solution • Develop silver bullet strategies to over come open source perceptions
  • 53.
  • 54. Background President / COO of Consorte Media Formerly CTO of BlueLithium, Adteractive, Fathom Online, and Cybernautics 13 years as a technical executive in the online advertising industry 54
  • 55. Scope of Online Advertising Delivers the right Dynamically ad to the right builds pages for person visitor using predictive models Collect Metrics for performance measurement and analytics 55
  • 56. Business Challenges Web API Internal Applications Revised Models Analytics Data Mining Model Development Performance Reports 56
  • 57. Our Stack CentOS MySQL BIRT Hibernate Apache Camel Kettle Hadoop
  • 58. Best Practices • Use analytics to design and test advertising models using only relevant dimensions • Gather and determine business requirements before embarking on the journey • Build an infrastructure plan that will support the data collection and analytics platform 58
  • 59. The Role of Open Source • Several important innovations in data processing have been driven largely by online advertising • Industry needs software and tools to match pace of innovation and fast- changing business climate • Proprietary software vendors unable to respond quickly enough to support the industry • Open Source has provided innovative solutions and flexibility to support new business requirements 59
  • 60. Jay Webster President and COO jayw@consortemedia.com 415.677.4431 ext 248
  • 61. Q&A: Bruce Belvin, Jay Webster, Mark Madsen
  • 62. We Could Use Your Help If you evaluated open source software for any aspect of the BI or data warehouse environment, please fill out the online open source adoption survey at http://bitly.com/scRhF The survey is running until May 30, 2009. March 2009 Mark R. Madsen