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Balkan Monitor - Hrvatska umorna od EU reformi


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Presentation of findings done for European fund for Balkans about climate in balkan countries about accession to EU.

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Balkan Monitor - Hrvatska umorna od EU reformi

  1. 1. Voices of the Balkans: between hope and disenchantment Robert Manchin Gallup Europe
  2. 2. What is the Gallup Balkan Monitor? <ul><li>A multi-year comparative project in 7 countries </li></ul><ul><li>A stratified random sample of 1000 in each country </li></ul><ul><li>Fieldwork September-October 2008 </li></ul><ul><li>Oversampling regions </li></ul><ul><li>Face to face methodology </li></ul><ul><li>Comparative questions </li></ul><ul><li>Dedicated web-page </li></ul><ul><li>Data dashboard / interactive </li></ul><ul><li> </li></ul>AL HR BIH SRB KS MK ME
  3. 3.
  4. 4. Emotional energy in new countries vs. BiH and Croatia
  5. 5. Strong feelings: Identification with “own country” (% very & extremely strongly) 65 58 33 76 61 65 52 42 79 10 51
  6. 6. % of people who can not identify at all or only a little with “Balkans ” 60 34 41 47 10 23 21 32
  7. 7. Less emotional strength in identification with “Europe” (% very & extremely strongly) 26 22 15 67 49 35 25
  8. 8. Staying home or moving elsewhere? Ideally, would you like to move (permanently or temporarily) to another country, or would you prefer to continue living in [COUNTRY/ENTITY] ?
  9. 9. Subjective momentum – getting better or worse
  10. 10. Corruption – getting around, finding solutions
  11. 11. Organized crime – popular pressure is particularly high in Croatia
  12. 12. <ul><li>On the road to the European Union </li></ul>
  13. 13. The majority feels welcomed by the EU Do you think that the European Commission wants [COUNTRY] to join the European Union?
  14. 14. No perceived difficulties in the form of popular support of further enlargement… Do you think that people in the European Union want s [COUNTRY] to join the European Union?
  15. 15. As Croats get closer to the date see more balanced costs and benefits Generally speaking, do you think that [COUNTRY]’s membership of the European Union WOULD BE a good thing, a bad thing, or neither good or bad?
  16. 16. Croats convinced that personally they would not benefit from the accession
  17. 17. <ul><li>The view of international community </li></ul>
  18. 18. Role of the international community over last 15-20 years Thinking of the last 15-20 years taking everything into account overall how would you describe the International community’s role in [COUNTRY]?
  19. 19. Relative (dis)TRUST IN INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS <ul><li>NATO > EU </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Albania, </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Kosovo </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Macedonia </li></ul></ul><ul><li>EU > NATO </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Serbia </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Croatia </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Montenegro </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>BiH </li></ul></ul>
  20. 20. Deep divisions within Macedonia
  21. 21. The reputation of the ICTY in the region In your views what best describes the proceedings of the ICTY?
  22. 22. Satisfaction with government performance
  23. 23. Majority sees a need for a new Constitution in Bosnia
  24. 24. But they mean different outcomes:
  25. 25. WWW.BALKAN-MONITOR.EU <ul><li>Thank you and happy browsing: </li></ul>