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Thinking Beyond the Status Quo

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How to think beyond the status quo to deal with the strategic uncertainty
Presentation to Tertiary Education Management Conference, August, 2011.

Published in: Education, Business, Technology

Thinking Beyond the Status Quo

  1. 1. Thinking beyond the status-quoto deal with strategic uncertainty Maree Conway Thinking Futures Tertiary Education Management Conference August 2011
  2. 2. #temc11
  3. 3. http://catherinescareercorner.com/2011/07/26/12-reasons-why-employees-resist-change-in-the-workplace
  4. 4. http://eqawu.wordpress.com/2010/06/25/the-status-quo-trap/
  5. 5. Making VU 2016: Current until A Statement of 2016 Purpose Internal & External Planning Strategic vision Inputs and objectives Ongoing environmental scanning •Educational & societal trends •Government policy drivers University •Legislation Priorities •University cross-sectoral Reviewed each 2008-2010 Outcomes & strategies year in first half Strategies to •Other University Plans (eg of year implement OHS, Disability, Staff Equity etc) Unit Strategic Plans University Budget Process 2008-2010 Iterative process to align Reviewed and Faculties, Schools budgets and plans updated in & Service areas Budget sign-off at endAugust/September; Implementation of University September finalised following Priority strategies Quarterly Budget ReviewsQIRs in November Department Plans Improvement action identified/changes to plans identified SPDP: individual Staff Plans QIR Inputs Organisational Unit QIR Quality Improvement Reviews Portfolios Held in (QIRs) Approval of operational plans Faculty Review Outcomes November each Review of current year’s Annual Course Reporting year performance Course Review Subject Evaluation Outcomes AQTF outcomes AUQA Follow up
  6. 6. Think tomorrowis going to bemore of today
  7. 7. Can’t copewith theunexpected
  8. 8. Usually don’t explorelong term alternative futures
  9. 9. Prefer quantitativeover qualitativeinformation
  10. 10. Don’tchallengeassumptions
  11. 11. Downplay or dismiss staff beliefs,hopes and fears about the future
  12. 12. http://eqawu.wordpress.com/2010/06/25/the-status-quo-trap/
  13. 13. Environmental Scanning What can we see today? Seeking Information Strategic ThinkingWhat might happen in the Generating Options future?Strategic Decision MakingWhere will go in the future? Making Decisions Strategic Planning What will we do today? Taking Action
  14. 14. Environmental Scanning Environmental Scanning Provides the raw information to inform your strategic thinking. Both internal and external to your organisation.
  15. 15. Strategic Thinking 1: Analysing Looking for patterns and themes relevant for your organisation. Trend analysis Emerging Issues Analysis Forecasting Delphi
  16. 16. Strategic Thinking 2: Interpreting System structure and dynamics What’s driving the trends? And what does it mean for us? How will they develop? Futures Wheel Cross Impact Analysis Causal Layered Analysis
  17. 17. Strategic Thinking 3: Prospecting How will the trends evolve over the next 10-20 years? How might we respond? What are our options? Scenario planning Visioning Backcasting
  18. 18. Interior Exterior Individual Collective
  19. 19. Environmental Scanning What can we see today? Seeking Information Strategic ThinkingWhat might happen in the Generating Options future?Strategic Decision MakingWhere will go in the future? Making Decisions Strategic Planning What will we do today? Taking Action
  20. 20. Reactive Futures Questions Proactive Futures QuestionsWhat has happened? What is happening?What caused it to happen? What is driving the trends that will influence how this might evolve over time? What are alternative possible outcomes?How do we respond? How might we respond? What would be the long term consequences of action we take today?What will we do? What will we do? After the event Anticipating the event
  21. 21.  Recognise that the way we do things around here is no longer useful Re-label your reactions Reflect on your expectations and values Refocus your behaviour Respond with repetition Revalue your choices in real time
  22. 22.  Recognise that the way we do things around here is no longer useful Re-label your reactions Reflect on your expectations and values Refocus your behaviour Respond with repetition Revalue your choices in real time
  23. 23. Ourassumptionsencase us inthe past
  24. 24. Environmental Scanning What can we see today? Seeking Information Strategic ThinkingWhat might happen in the Generating Options future?Strategic Decision MakingWhere will go in the future? Making Decisions Strategic Planning What will we do today? Taking Action
  25. 25. Interior Exterior Individual Collective
  26. 26.  Seek to understand the strategic uncertainty in the external environment. Provide spaces, time, information and opportunities for staff to be involved in strategy Support staff to change the way they think about strategy uncertainty Build a futures focused culture by changing “the way we do things around here”
  27. 27. Contact Details Maree Conway http://www.thinkingfutures.net maree.conway@thinkingfutures.net Tel: 03 9016 9506 Mobile: 0425 770 181 Skype: mkconway1 More information andBuilding Strategic Futures Guides: Getting Started with Futures Environmental Scanning http://thinkingfutures.net

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