Prof. Triin Vihalemm: What factors divide and consolidate Russian population in Estonia?

What factors divide and	consolidate
Russian population in	Estonia?
Prof.	Triin	Vihalemm
University of	Tartu,	Estonia
International	conference „Integration Challenges in	a	Radicalizing World“
29	– 30	November	2016,	Tallinn,	Estonia
Intro:
Solidarity grounds in	Estonian	society
85
20
13
26
22
27
19
30
34
48
67
48
45
84
68
91
39 38
56
12 12
96
16
13
30
25
17
34 34
39
43
58
63
46
83
74
90
25
31
46
9 7
19
56
52
19
42
19
29
12 12
28
31
42
33
47
66 64
75
43
28
50
16
6
14
75
52
18
41
16
13
28
7
18
24 23
35
45
60
70 71
13 15
21
9
2
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Est	2002* Est	2014
Est.	Rus	2002* Est.	Rus.	2014
*	For	some	categories	the	first	data	is	from	2005	(Ukrainians	etc;	
religion;	party	supporters;	lifestyle followers)
With whom do you feel	certain togetherness?
Questions for discussion
• What are	the patterns of	social involvementamong Estonian	
Russian population?
• Patterns – combinationsof	several features
• How transnational are	the members of	clusters of	social
involvement?	
• What are	the prospects for further developmentof	solidarity,	
common values and	civic thinkingamong the groups of	
involvement?
Dimensions of	social involvement
60
53
49
76
65
20
47
54
14
32
29
17
22
51
32
29
26
15
22
7
13
29
21
17
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
POLITICAL	INVOLVEMENT	(citizenship,	elections,	solidarity	with	
co-citizens)
NGO	INVOLVEMENT	(NGO	member;	trust	in	NGOs;	elected	to	a	
representative	body,	 	voluntary	work)
TRUST	IN	INSTITUTIONS	(parliament,	president,	government,	
mass	media,	churches,	courts,	the	police,	the	educational	…
ALTERNATIVE	DEMOCRATIC	PARTICIPATION	(meetings;	
demonstrations;	protests;	petitions;	political	"wearables").
ECONOMIC	INVOLVEMENT	(entrepreneur;	business/EU	
projects,	lifelong	learning;	real	estate;	sufficiency	of	money)
PARTICIPATION	IN	PUBLIC	SPACE	(following	of	local	news;		public	
(mass)	sports	and	culture	activities,	commemorations	etc)
USE	OF	ESTONIAN	(multifunctional	Est.	language	use	
(incl.media);	solidarity	with	Estonians)	
ETHNO-CULTURAL	IDENTITY	(folk	holidays;	ethno-cultural	
associations;	religiosity;	feeling	of	belonging)
missing/weak moderate strong
Source:	Me.	The World.	Media	2014
Patterns of	social involvement
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
participation	 in	public	
space
economic	involvement
political	involvement
NGO	involvement
trust	in	institutions
alternative	democratic	
participation
networking	in	Estonian
ethno-cultural	 identity
DIASPORA CIVIC/ETHNIC SOCIALLY	PASSIVE SOCIALLY	ACTIVE
Source:	Me.	The World.	Media	2014
Patterns of	social involvement
SOCIALLY	ACTIVE	19%
• 83%	citizens;	Est knowledge
• active (foreign)	 media use
• mobile
• multifarious solidarities
• 67%	females
• 48%	higher education
CIVIC/ETHNIC	35%
• 78%	citizens;	moderate Est
knowledge
• active (foreign)	 media use
• (pan)regional solidarities
• immobile
• 34%	higher education
DIASPORA	26%
• Russian/undetermined cc
• 90%	do not speak Est
• 80%	in	NGOs
• 49%	are	religious
• 20%	basic education
• oldest cluster
SOCIALLY	PASSIVE	21%
• undetermined /Russian cc
• voluntary &	structurally
precsribed non-participation
• few resources:	educational,	
financial and	social network
• older cluster
Current status,	further prospects
SOCIALLY	ACTIVE
• high individual mobility plus social
capitals
• flexible practical and	discursive
consciousness,	prone for new
ideologies and	lifestyle changes
• high expectations,	„voice“
• negotiating reception of	legitimizing
narratives
CIVIC/ETHNIC
• stability as norm
• accepatence of	major	legitimizing
narratives
• silence as communication
• high mediating potential
(employment in	service sector,	
counceling jobs)
DIASPORA
• low agency as employee and	national
electorate member,	limited
possibilities to respond to lifestyle
changes
• oppositionalreception of	legitimizing
narratives
• good civic competences to influence
politics via NGOs and	activism
• clear value set,	value-driven
rationality
SOCIALLY	PASSIVE
• the institutional channelsand	forms
to communicate are	practically
missing
• passivityas a	protectingbuffer
against larger mobilization;	„sleeping“	
anxieties ?
Transnationalism
Aggregated index
variable:
• following
foreign media
channels;
• social media
contacts
abroad;
• visits abroad;
• acquaintances
abroad
52%	
34%	
34%	
13%	
18%	
22%	
22%	
12%	
30%	
44%	
44%	
74%	
0%	 10%	 20%	 30%	 40%	 50%	 60%	 70%	 80%	 90%	 100%	
Socially	passive
Diaspora
Civic/Ethnic
Socially	active
missing/weak moderate strong
Thank you!
triin.vihalemm@ut.ee
Presentation given at	International	conference
Integration Challenges in	a	Radicalising World
29	– 30	November	2016	in	Tallinn,	Estonia
For	more	conference	materials	and	presentations
please	visit www.misakonverents.ee
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Prof. Triin Vihalemm: What factors divide and consolidate Russian population in Estonia?

  • 1. What factors divide and consolidate Russian population in Estonia? Prof. Triin Vihalemm University of Tartu, Estonia International conference „Integration Challenges in a Radicalizing World“ 29 – 30 November 2016, Tallinn, Estonia
  • 2. Intro: Solidarity grounds in Estonian society 85 20 13 26 22 27 19 30 34 48 67 48 45 84 68 91 39 38 56 12 12 96 16 13 30 25 17 34 34 39 43 58 63 46 83 74 90 25 31 46 9 7 19 56 52 19 42 19 29 12 12 28 31 42 33 47 66 64 75 43 28 50 16 6 14 75 52 18 41 16 13 28 7 18 24 23 35 45 60 70 71 13 15 21 9 2 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Est 2002* Est 2014 Est. Rus 2002* Est. Rus. 2014 * For some categories the first data is from 2005 (Ukrainians etc; religion; party supporters; lifestyle followers) With whom do you feel certain togetherness?
  • 3. Questions for discussion • What are the patterns of social involvementamong Estonian Russian population? • Patterns – combinationsof several features • How transnational are the members of clusters of social involvement? • What are the prospects for further developmentof solidarity, common values and civic thinkingamong the groups of involvement?
  • 4. Dimensions of social involvement 60 53 49 76 65 20 47 54 14 32 29 17 22 51 32 29 26 15 22 7 13 29 21 17 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT (citizenship, elections, solidarity with co-citizens) NGO INVOLVEMENT (NGO member; trust in NGOs; elected to a representative body, voluntary work) TRUST IN INSTITUTIONS (parliament, president, government, mass media, churches, courts, the police, the educational … ALTERNATIVE DEMOCRATIC PARTICIPATION (meetings; demonstrations; protests; petitions; political "wearables"). ECONOMIC INVOLVEMENT (entrepreneur; business/EU projects, lifelong learning; real estate; sufficiency of money) PARTICIPATION IN PUBLIC SPACE (following of local news; public (mass) sports and culture activities, commemorations etc) USE OF ESTONIAN (multifunctional Est. language use (incl.media); solidarity with Estonians) ETHNO-CULTURAL IDENTITY (folk holidays; ethno-cultural associations; religiosity; feeling of belonging) missing/weak moderate strong Source: Me. The World. Media 2014
  • 5. Patterns of social involvement 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 participation in public space economic involvement political involvement NGO involvement trust in institutions alternative democratic participation networking in Estonian ethno-cultural identity DIASPORA CIVIC/ETHNIC SOCIALLY PASSIVE SOCIALLY ACTIVE Source: Me. The World. Media 2014
  • 6. Patterns of social involvement SOCIALLY ACTIVE 19% • 83% citizens; Est knowledge • active (foreign) media use • mobile • multifarious solidarities • 67% females • 48% higher education CIVIC/ETHNIC 35% • 78% citizens; moderate Est knowledge • active (foreign) media use • (pan)regional solidarities • immobile • 34% higher education DIASPORA 26% • Russian/undetermined cc • 90% do not speak Est • 80% in NGOs • 49% are religious • 20% basic education • oldest cluster SOCIALLY PASSIVE 21% • undetermined /Russian cc • voluntary & structurally precsribed non-participation • few resources: educational, financial and social network • older cluster
  • 7. Current status, further prospects SOCIALLY ACTIVE • high individual mobility plus social capitals • flexible practical and discursive consciousness, prone for new ideologies and lifestyle changes • high expectations, „voice“ • negotiating reception of legitimizing narratives CIVIC/ETHNIC • stability as norm • accepatence of major legitimizing narratives • silence as communication • high mediating potential (employment in service sector, counceling jobs) DIASPORA • low agency as employee and national electorate member, limited possibilities to respond to lifestyle changes • oppositionalreception of legitimizing narratives • good civic competences to influence politics via NGOs and activism • clear value set, value-driven rationality SOCIALLY PASSIVE • the institutional channelsand forms to communicate are practically missing • passivityas a protectingbuffer against larger mobilization; „sleeping“ anxieties ?
  • 8. Transnationalism Aggregated index variable: • following foreign media channels; • social media contacts abroad; • visits abroad; • acquaintances abroad 52% 34% 34% 13% 18% 22% 22% 12% 30% 44% 44% 74% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Socially passive Diaspora Civic/Ethnic Socially active missing/weak moderate strong
  • 10. Presentation given at International conference Integration Challenges in a Radicalising World 29 – 30 November 2016 in Tallinn, Estonia For more conference materials and presentations please visit www.misakonverents.ee