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The State of CBD in the
Natural Products Industry
Live Webinar
October 10, 2017
Organizer: Sean Murphy
Panelists: Tim Gordon, Sarah Syed, Steve Hoffman
Farm Photo Credit
1. CBD Market Overview – Data & Intel
2. Natural Products: Past, Present & Future
3. Vertical Integration & Product Quality
4. Marketing Best Practices
5. Q&A
Webinar Learning Topics
The CBD Webinar Series
1. The State of CBD in Natural Products | Today
2. CBD Regulatory and Legal Environment | December, 2017
3. 2018: Natural Product Industry Insights | March, 2018
4. Hemp-Derived CBD: Market Opportunities | April, 2018
5. Listeners’ Choice | To be scheduled
U.S. Retail Hemp Industry (5 Year CAGR)
22% Growth
U.S. Hemp Industry (2020)
$1.8B
Hemp-Derived CBD Industry (2016)
$130M
Methodology – Point of Purchase
Hemp as an Agricultural Commodity
Seed Fiber Cannabidiol
Extract Isolate
De-hulled
Non-viable Whole
Viable Whole
Bast Hurd
Primary Secondary Lignin
CBD (Cannabinoids) Seed
55%
30%
15%
U.S. Cultivation By Type (2017 estimates)
Fiber
5,922 7,500
State Acreage Growth Rates (2016/2017)
+27%
2,525 3,000
+18%
+2,262%
51 1,205
500 3,649 30 3,020
+629% +9,966%
225 200
-11%
U.S. Domestic
Production (2016)
143,880 Kilograms
U.S. Imported (2016)
24,726 Kilograms
Canada: Land of M&A
Labeling Trend: CBD vs. Hemp Extract, Oil & Complex
“By the end of November” is the
expected submission of the NDA.
The New Drug Application is the
vehicle in the U.S. which drug
sponsors formally propose that the
FDA approve a new pharmaceutical
for sale and marketing.
End of Year, 2017:
The FDA has 60 days to
review the NDA and accept
or reject it. The Epidiolex
NDA is “robust and well-
written.” HBJ anticipates it
will be accepted.
The Prescription Drug User Action
(PDUFA) outlines the timeline and
protocol by which drug companies
submit fees and the FDA approves drug
applications. PDUFA is typically a one
year timeline unless the drug is “fast
tracked,” and then it’s 6 months.
Epidiolex will likely be fast tracked. GW
management has stated a June, 2018
PDUFA date.
Upon the FDA’s approval
under PDUFA, the DEA has
up to 90 days to reschedule
a drug. HBJ estimates
Epidiolex will be re-
scheduled on the CSA as a
Schedule IV drug in October
or November 2018.
HBJ estimates an
initial wave of pent
up demand at the
end of 2018. Sales
may not begin until
early 2019.
End of 2018 or
beginning of 2019. The
hemp industry should
watch for increased FDA
action, regulation or GW
litigation to enforce CBD
as a drug given Epidiolex
commercialization.
Epidiolex sales
ramp-up.
Continued
regulatory clashes
between FDA, DEA
and cannabis
companies (hemp
and marijuana)
concerning
labeling, marketing
and scheduling.
Note: If the DEA reschedules (to Schedule
II) or de-schedules marijuana from the
Controlled Substances Act, it will have an
impact on this timeline. HBJ estimates no
such scheduling action will occur – until at
the earliest - Epidiolex becomes a
scheduled drug and pharmaceutical
interests are ‘in play’ across regulatory
agencies and markets.
Following the U.S.
submission, we expect
the E.U. drug filing to
following shortly
thereafter.
2018 2019
Epidiolex Commercialization Timeline
This timeline is based on Hemp Business Journal estimates, forecasts and public statements from GW
Pharmaceutical’s management (“”). It contains forward looking statements and is not investment advice.
®
As a new Managing Editor back in 1986 with the
Natural Foods Merchandiser, I was charged with
conducting, analyzing and reporting on the natural
products industry’s annual retail market overview
survey. I recall spending late evenings pouring over
data with New Hope Network founder Doug
Greene to determine overall sales, growth
categories and emerging trends. That was when the
industry was just breaking $5 billion in sales – a
fraction of what it is today.
Thirty years later, the natural and organic products
industry is maturing, reaching $141 billion in sales
on growth of 7.4% in 2016, according to the 2017
Market Overview, published in the July/August
2017 edition of Natural Foods Merchandiser (NFM)
in partnership with Nutrition Business Journal, with
additional data provided by SPINS and the Organic
Trade Association’s annual organic industry survey.
Steven Hoffman
Director
Tim Gordon
President
Research &
Genetics
Cultivatio
n
Processing Wholesale Retail Lifecycle & Reinvestment
Vertical Integration
Wholesale
Important Takeaways
Dates & Event to Watch – End of 2017 & 2018
1. Introduction of Senate Bill (and leadership support)
2. NDA for Epidiolex® and successive FDA actions
3. HIA, RMH, Centuria (Hoban Law) vs. DEA: Oral Arguments
4. Farm Bill 2018
5. Clarification on Statement of Principles
Upcoming Surveys
1. Hemp Cultivation
2. CBD Consumers: Product Use, Types, Dosing
3. Practitoners: What they’re recommending
Upcoming Market Reports
1. The CBD Report, Second Annual
2. The State of Hemp 2018
The CBD Report &
2017 Mid-Year Updates
Go to HempBizJournal.com and use coupon
code “webinar20” for 20% off.

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Hemp CBD in the Natural Products Industry

  • 1. The State of CBD in the Natural Products Industry Live Webinar October 10, 2017 Organizer: Sean Murphy Panelists: Tim Gordon, Sarah Syed, Steve Hoffman Farm Photo Credit
  • 2.
  • 3. 1. CBD Market Overview – Data & Intel 2. Natural Products: Past, Present & Future 3. Vertical Integration & Product Quality 4. Marketing Best Practices 5. Q&A Webinar Learning Topics
  • 4. The CBD Webinar Series 1. The State of CBD in Natural Products | Today 2. CBD Regulatory and Legal Environment | December, 2017 3. 2018: Natural Product Industry Insights | March, 2018 4. Hemp-Derived CBD: Market Opportunities | April, 2018 5. Listeners’ Choice | To be scheduled
  • 5.
  • 6. U.S. Retail Hemp Industry (5 Year CAGR) 22% Growth U.S. Hemp Industry (2020) $1.8B Hemp-Derived CBD Industry (2016) $130M Methodology – Point of Purchase
  • 7. Hemp as an Agricultural Commodity Seed Fiber Cannabidiol Extract Isolate De-hulled Non-viable Whole Viable Whole Bast Hurd Primary Secondary Lignin
  • 8. CBD (Cannabinoids) Seed 55% 30% 15% U.S. Cultivation By Type (2017 estimates) Fiber
  • 9.
  • 10. 5,922 7,500 State Acreage Growth Rates (2016/2017) +27% 2,525 3,000 +18% +2,262% 51 1,205 500 3,649 30 3,020 +629% +9,966% 225 200 -11%
  • 11. U.S. Domestic Production (2016) 143,880 Kilograms U.S. Imported (2016) 24,726 Kilograms
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. Labeling Trend: CBD vs. Hemp Extract, Oil & Complex
  • 22. “By the end of November” is the expected submission of the NDA. The New Drug Application is the vehicle in the U.S. which drug sponsors formally propose that the FDA approve a new pharmaceutical for sale and marketing. End of Year, 2017: The FDA has 60 days to review the NDA and accept or reject it. The Epidiolex NDA is “robust and well- written.” HBJ anticipates it will be accepted. The Prescription Drug User Action (PDUFA) outlines the timeline and protocol by which drug companies submit fees and the FDA approves drug applications. PDUFA is typically a one year timeline unless the drug is “fast tracked,” and then it’s 6 months. Epidiolex will likely be fast tracked. GW management has stated a June, 2018 PDUFA date. Upon the FDA’s approval under PDUFA, the DEA has up to 90 days to reschedule a drug. HBJ estimates Epidiolex will be re- scheduled on the CSA as a Schedule IV drug in October or November 2018. HBJ estimates an initial wave of pent up demand at the end of 2018. Sales may not begin until early 2019. End of 2018 or beginning of 2019. The hemp industry should watch for increased FDA action, regulation or GW litigation to enforce CBD as a drug given Epidiolex commercialization. Epidiolex sales ramp-up. Continued regulatory clashes between FDA, DEA and cannabis companies (hemp and marijuana) concerning labeling, marketing and scheduling. Note: If the DEA reschedules (to Schedule II) or de-schedules marijuana from the Controlled Substances Act, it will have an impact on this timeline. HBJ estimates no such scheduling action will occur – until at the earliest - Epidiolex becomes a scheduled drug and pharmaceutical interests are ‘in play’ across regulatory agencies and markets. Following the U.S. submission, we expect the E.U. drug filing to following shortly thereafter. 2018 2019 Epidiolex Commercialization Timeline This timeline is based on Hemp Business Journal estimates, forecasts and public statements from GW Pharmaceutical’s management (“”). It contains forward looking statements and is not investment advice. ®
  • 23. As a new Managing Editor back in 1986 with the Natural Foods Merchandiser, I was charged with conducting, analyzing and reporting on the natural products industry’s annual retail market overview survey. I recall spending late evenings pouring over data with New Hope Network founder Doug Greene to determine overall sales, growth categories and emerging trends. That was when the industry was just breaking $5 billion in sales – a fraction of what it is today. Thirty years later, the natural and organic products industry is maturing, reaching $141 billion in sales on growth of 7.4% in 2016, according to the 2017 Market Overview, published in the July/August 2017 edition of Natural Foods Merchandiser (NFM) in partnership with Nutrition Business Journal, with additional data provided by SPINS and the Organic Trade Association’s annual organic industry survey. Steven Hoffman Director
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 28.
  • 29. Research & Genetics Cultivatio n Processing Wholesale Retail Lifecycle & Reinvestment Vertical Integration Wholesale
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 34. Dates & Event to Watch – End of 2017 & 2018 1. Introduction of Senate Bill (and leadership support) 2. NDA for Epidiolex® and successive FDA actions 3. HIA, RMH, Centuria (Hoban Law) vs. DEA: Oral Arguments 4. Farm Bill 2018 5. Clarification on Statement of Principles
  • 35. Upcoming Surveys 1. Hemp Cultivation 2. CBD Consumers: Product Use, Types, Dosing 3. Practitoners: What they’re recommending Upcoming Market Reports 1. The CBD Report, Second Annual 2. The State of Hemp 2018
  • 36.
  • 37. The CBD Report & 2017 Mid-Year Updates Go to HempBizJournal.com and use coupon code “webinar20” for 20% off.

Editor's Notes

  1. Estimates from other sources have begun circulating as CBD popularity has increased in recent years. A recent paper published by the Canadian Hemp Trade Alliance4 (CHTA) regarding the legal status of CBD extraction in Canada stated that “a field of hemp is estimated to produce over 12 kg CBD per hectare”5 (4.86 kg per acre). Using this yield estimate along with the number of harvested acreages produces a potential CBD production of 247,315 kg of CBD if current crops were extracted for their CBD contents. Considering that CBD extraction is currently prohibited in Canada, little research is conducted on CBD yields within the country. However, research institutes within the United States are beginning to conduct these trials. As one of the first institutions in the United States to launch hemp agronomic research projects, the University of Kentucky is one of the leaders when it comes to industrial hemp. While the growing conditions in Kentucky are different to those in Canada these scientific studies can help provide another estimate on potential CBD yields. David Williams, professor of plant and soils at the University of Kentucky and lead researcher in their industrial hemp program, noted that early, non-replicated information indicates yields of around 500 lbs6 of dry, high CBD plant material per acre with an average CBD concentration of 5%.7 This figure equates to 227 kg per acre of dry plant material which results in a yield of 11.35 kg of CBD per acre. While these results are early and need time for replication, they can give another estimation of potential CBD yields in North America. Applying this estimation to the Canadian hemp acreage gives a potential Canadian CBD harvest of 577,579 kg.
  2. Disclaimer: This timeline relies upon comments by GW Pharmaceuticals management and HBJ’s understanding of the drug approval process. It contains forward looking statements and represents an expected/anticipated course of events. Things may change or be delayed. This is not investment advice.