Presentation from a live webinar featuring Tim Gordon (Functional Remedies), Sarah Sayed (CV Sciences) and Steve Hoffman (Compass Natural). Webinar focusing on hemp data and market trends.
1. The State of CBD in the
Natural Products Industry
Live Webinar
October 10, 2017
Organizer: Sean Murphy
Panelists: Tim Gordon, Sarah Syed, Steve Hoffman
Farm Photo Credit
4. The CBD Webinar Series
1. The State of CBD in Natural Products | Today
2. CBD Regulatory and Legal Environment | December, 2017
3. 2018: Natural Product Industry Insights | March, 2018
4. Hemp-Derived CBD: Market Opportunities | April, 2018
5. Listeners’ Choice | To be scheduled
5.
6. U.S. Retail Hemp Industry (5 Year CAGR)
22% Growth
U.S. Hemp Industry (2020)
$1.8B
Hemp-Derived CBD Industry (2016)
$130M
Methodology – Point of Purchase
22. “By the end of November” is the
expected submission of the NDA.
The New Drug Application is the
vehicle in the U.S. which drug
sponsors formally propose that the
FDA approve a new pharmaceutical
for sale and marketing.
End of Year, 2017:
The FDA has 60 days to
review the NDA and accept
or reject it. The Epidiolex
NDA is “robust and well-
written.” HBJ anticipates it
will be accepted.
The Prescription Drug User Action
(PDUFA) outlines the timeline and
protocol by which drug companies
submit fees and the FDA approves drug
applications. PDUFA is typically a one
year timeline unless the drug is “fast
tracked,” and then it’s 6 months.
Epidiolex will likely be fast tracked. GW
management has stated a June, 2018
PDUFA date.
Upon the FDA’s approval
under PDUFA, the DEA has
up to 90 days to reschedule
a drug. HBJ estimates
Epidiolex will be re-
scheduled on the CSA as a
Schedule IV drug in October
or November 2018.
HBJ estimates an
initial wave of pent
up demand at the
end of 2018. Sales
may not begin until
early 2019.
End of 2018 or
beginning of 2019. The
hemp industry should
watch for increased FDA
action, regulation or GW
litigation to enforce CBD
as a drug given Epidiolex
commercialization.
Epidiolex sales
ramp-up.
Continued
regulatory clashes
between FDA, DEA
and cannabis
companies (hemp
and marijuana)
concerning
labeling, marketing
and scheduling.
Note: If the DEA reschedules (to Schedule
II) or de-schedules marijuana from the
Controlled Substances Act, it will have an
impact on this timeline. HBJ estimates no
such scheduling action will occur – until at
the earliest - Epidiolex becomes a
scheduled drug and pharmaceutical
interests are ‘in play’ across regulatory
agencies and markets.
Following the U.S.
submission, we expect
the E.U. drug filing to
following shortly
thereafter.
2018 2019
Epidiolex Commercialization Timeline
This timeline is based on Hemp Business Journal estimates, forecasts and public statements from GW
Pharmaceutical’s management (“”). It contains forward looking statements and is not investment advice.
®
23. As a new Managing Editor back in 1986 with the
Natural Foods Merchandiser, I was charged with
conducting, analyzing and reporting on the natural
products industry’s annual retail market overview
survey. I recall spending late evenings pouring over
data with New Hope Network founder Doug
Greene to determine overall sales, growth
categories and emerging trends. That was when the
industry was just breaking $5 billion in sales – a
fraction of what it is today.
Thirty years later, the natural and organic products
industry is maturing, reaching $141 billion in sales
on growth of 7.4% in 2016, according to the 2017
Market Overview, published in the July/August
2017 edition of Natural Foods Merchandiser (NFM)
in partnership with Nutrition Business Journal, with
additional data provided by SPINS and the Organic
Trade Association’s annual organic industry survey.
Steven Hoffman
Director
34. Dates & Event to Watch – End of 2017 & 2018
1. Introduction of Senate Bill (and leadership support)
2. NDA for Epidiolex® and successive FDA actions
3. HIA, RMH, Centuria (Hoban Law) vs. DEA: Oral Arguments
4. Farm Bill 2018
5. Clarification on Statement of Principles
35. Upcoming Surveys
1. Hemp Cultivation
2. CBD Consumers: Product Use, Types, Dosing
3. Practitoners: What they’re recommending
Upcoming Market Reports
1. The CBD Report, Second Annual
2. The State of Hemp 2018
36.
37. The CBD Report &
2017 Mid-Year Updates
Go to HempBizJournal.com and use coupon
code “webinar20” for 20% off.
Editor's Notes
Estimates from other sources have begun circulating as CBD popularity has increased in recent years. A recent paper published by the Canadian Hemp Trade Alliance4 (CHTA) regarding the legal status of CBD extraction in Canada stated that “a field of hemp is estimated to produce over 12 kg CBD per hectare”5 (4.86 kg per acre). Using this yield estimate along with the number of harvested acreages produces a potential CBD production of 247,315 kg of CBD if current crops were extracted for their CBD contents.
Considering that CBD extraction is currently prohibited in Canada, little research is conducted on CBD yields within the country. However, research institutes within the United States are beginning to conduct these trials. As one of the first institutions in the United States to launch hemp agronomic research projects, the University of Kentucky is one of the leaders when it comes to industrial hemp. While the growing conditions in Kentucky are different to those in Canada these scientific studies can help provide another estimate on potential CBD yields. David Williams, professor of plant and soils at the University of Kentucky and lead researcher in their industrial hemp program, noted that early, non-replicated information indicates yields of around 500 lbs6 of dry, high CBD plant material per acre with an average CBD concentration of 5%.7 This figure equates to 227 kg per acre of dry plant material which results in a yield of 11.35 kg of CBD per acre. While these results are early and need time for replication, they can give another estimation of potential CBD yields in North America. Applying this estimation to the Canadian hemp acreage gives a potential Canadian CBD harvest of 577,579 kg.
Disclaimer: This timeline relies upon comments by GW Pharmaceuticals management and HBJ’s understanding of the drug approval process. It contains forward looking statements and represents an expected/anticipated course of events. Things may change or be delayed. This is not investment advice.