CITI's Annual Conference on the State of Telecom:
       National Next-Generation Broadband Plans
Friday, 23 October 2009,...
The most important economic impact of broadband
                                    is not in the telecommunications secto...
The analysis of the impact of broadband on employment
                                           is a combination of three...
Case Study in Cornwall: the strongest impact
                                        occurs in the business services secto...
Real growth: Broadband is all about innovation

    The impact of broadband is stronger in the most advanced and innovativ...
Scenarios: best case, base case and worth case
                                                                More than 1...
Broadband is not just a technology. It is an opportunity.


The two hands of broadband development projects:


           ...
MICUS: who we are and what we do




    a consulting partner for private companies and the public sector in Germany and E...
Thank you for your attention




           Do not hesitate to contact us:
                     Dr. Martin Fornefeld
     ...
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The economic impact of broadband on EU countries

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The current study presents the impact of the development of the broadband infrastructure on the economical development. An economic growth of 0.7% can be expected, if a fast broadband infrastructure is consistently built in Germany and the other EU-countries.

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The economic impact of broadband on EU countries

  1. 1. CITI's Annual Conference on the State of Telecom: National Next-Generation Broadband Plans Friday, 23 October 2009, Columbia University, New York The economic impact of broadband on EU countries Stadttor 1 · D – 40219 Düsseldorf phone 0049 (0)211 – 3003 420 · fax 0049 (0)211 – 3003 200 www.micus.de · info@micus.de © 2008 MICUS Management Consulting GmbH – page 1
  2. 2. The most important economic impact of broadband is not in the telecommunications sector Broadband 23% 77% Public services enterprises Broadband impact (turnover), telecommunications sector individuals Broadband impact (GDP increase), rest of the economy © 2008 MICUS Management GmbH – page 2
  3. 3. The analysis of the impact of broadband on employment is a combination of three effects Impact on employment (jobs creation, jobs loss), absolute values „Real growth“: Innovation 31% Change in business structures 43% (mostly substitution effects) Direct improvement of labour productivity 26% Innovation is more important than productivity improvement © 2008 MICUS Management GmbH – page 3
  4. 4. Case Study in Cornwall: the strongest impact occurs in the business services sector Gross Value Added, Employment and Productivity growth in Cornwall and in the UK, in the business services sector Cornwall 2001-2005, with broadband project Cornwall 1998-2001 GVA growth GVA growth Employment growth Employment growth Productivity growth Productivity growth UK 1998-2001 UK 2001-2005 GVA growth GVA growth Employment growth Employment growth Productivity growth Productivity growth © 2008 MICUS Management GmbH – page 4
  5. 5. Real growth: Broadband is all about innovation The impact of broadband is stronger in the most advanced and innovative countries. Broadband impact, %GDP + 1,00% + 0,89% EU27: + 0,80% +0.71% + 0,70% + 0,63% + 0,60% + 0,47% + 0,40% + 0,20% + 0,00% Less Quickly Large Advanced developed developing industries knowledge broadband societies 70% of net jobs creation related to broadband is directly due to innovation! 5 © 2009 MICUS Management Consulting GmbH
  6. 6. Scenarios: best case, base case and worth case More than 1.5 million jobs can be created until 2015 Employment, EU27, 1000s jobs, cumulative 2006-2015 2.000 Best Case: make broadband development a priority Employment growth, 1000s jobs, 1.500 +1.5Mio jobs until 2015! year 2005 =0 1.000 Base Case: continue with no Best case change in broadband policy (2007) Base case 500 +1Mio jobs until 2015 Worst case 0 Worst Case: do not matter about broadband -500 - 400.000 jobs until 2015! 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Innovation drives the economy: staying behind innovation is not a sustainable option. © 2009 MICUS Management GmbH – page 6
  7. 7. Broadband is not just a technology. It is an opportunity. The two hands of broadband development projects: Foster the development of area-wide broadband telecommunications infrastructure. Actively support small enterprises, public services and individuals in using broadband internet technologies. Successful projects rely on those two hands; both are necessary. Broadband development has short-term positive effects and generates structural improvement: it is the best stimulus against the economic crisis! © 2008 MICUS Management GmbH – page 7
  8. 8. MICUS: who we are and what we do a consulting partner for private companies and the public sector in Germany and Europe. Market research and strategy development for public services and private companies Information and communication technologies Modernization of the public administration (the following studies can be downloaded free of charge from our website) • Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) applications in public services On behalf of the German Ministry of Circulation, Building and Urband Development, 2009 • Assessment of the Re-use of Public Sector Information (PSI) On behalf of the European Commission, 2008 • The impact of broadband on growth and productivity On behalf of the European Commission, 2007 8 © 2009 MICUS Management Consulting GmbH
  9. 9. Thank you for your attention Do not hesitate to contact us: Dr. Martin Fornefeld fornefeld@micus.de http://www.micus.de © 2008 MICUS Management Consulting GmbH – page 9

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