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M&OP Demand and Supply Planning Templates

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5-Step M&OP process for planning disaster response missions using supply chain simulations. Illustrated with data from scenario of humanitarian intervention in Syria Civil War.

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M&OP Demand and Supply Planning Templates

  1. 1. Operation Inherent Rescue 1 Operation Inherent Rescue: Syria Humanitarian Mission Tactical Mission Planning With Supply Chain Simulations Team: Supply Chain Challengers www.scmglobe.com
  2. 2. Table of Contents • Mission Orders ………………………..…………………………..….……….. 3 • Syria Conflict Map ……………………..……………………..…………….…. 5 • Mission & Operations Planning (M&OP) …………………….………….….. 6 • Step 1: Mission Forecasting ………………………………….………...……. 7 • Step 2: Demand Planning ………..…………......................……………….10 • Step 3: Supply Planning ……………………………………….……………..17 • Step 4: Reconcile Plans ………………………......................…………….. 20 • Step 5: Implement and Monitor …………………………………………….. 23 • Demand Planning Worksheets (Products and Facility) .....................….. 25 • Supply Planning Worksheets (Vehicles & Routes) …….……………..….. 39 The 5-Step M&OP process is illustrated here. Planning data and mission scenario come from the Humanitarian Supply Chain – Syria Evacuation scenario presented on the SCM Globe website http://blog.scmglobe.com/?page_id=4672 Contact us at info@scmglobe.com 2
  3. 3. Operation Inherent Rescue 3 Mission Orders • SITUATION: UN Security Council approved the “Munich Security Conference” – previously endorsed by 17-nation International Syria Support Group. A Chapter VII “Peace Enforcement” mission is authorized with participant nations committing Peace Keeping (PK) forces as part of the approved Peace Support Operations (PSO). • Since mobilization of aforementioned PK units will take 90-120 days from implementation, President of the United States (POTUS) has directed Secretary of Defense (SECDEF), in concert with Secretary of State (SECSTATE) to map out requirements to: 1) begin de-escalation of combat operations within specified corridors of the contested areas within Syria to allow the safe migration of refugees; 2) allow for the safe passage and transit of NGO (Non-Governmental Organizations) and medical support as part of the Humanitarian efforts within the contested zones; 3) set up ‘safe haven’ areas for refugees to be housed, clothed, fed and medically supported in a secure environment 4) act as advance logistics support force for pending arrival of the UN Chapter VII PSO • SECDEF ordered Commander, US Central Command (COMCENTCOM) to immediately begin planning and implementation of POTUS directive. Initial forces to be enroute to revised CENTCOM Area of Responsibility within 48 hours. Mission has been assigned code name “Inherent Rescue”. • COMCENTCOM designated Joint Task Force 51 (JTF-51) as organizational entity responsible for this operation. All US CENTCOM organic assets will be available for Commander, JTF-51’s disposal. US Navy Carrier Task Force (CTF) has been dispatched from 6th Fleet normal patrol duties in Mediterranean Sea to initially support Inherent Rescue.
  4. 4. Operation Inherent Rescue 4 Mission Orders (cont.) • MISSION: JTF-51 will deploy to the designated Area of Responsibility (AOR) for an Operating Base vicinity Hamah (grid ref: 123245) to establish a secure air and land bridge between CTF vicinity Tartus (grid ref: 123456), Operating Base Hamah and cities of Aleppo and Homs. • The standard Rules of Engagement (ROE) will apply and shall be published as an annex to this Mission Order. • REQUIREMENTS: Provide secure support, humanitarian assistance and in-country relocation support for refugees migrating from Aleppo into Homs/Tartus areas. 1) Construct refugee centers to be part of the UN Chapter VII mission once those forces arrive in theater. Main refugee center to be Safe Haven in and around Homs. 2) Provide identification, reunification of family, secure transport and orderly transition from Homs/Tartus to a destination outside of Syria – a TBD location. 3) On order, be prepared to support PK Operations as those forces arrive in theater. • Commander, JTF-51 will plan for a main support Operational Base (Hamah), a secondary Operational Base (Tartus) and Forward Operating Bases (FOBs) as required. Operational Base Homs will double as an airfield entrance and egress point for the beginning and end of mission while Operating Base Tartus will double as a port based entrance and egress point. • As required, JTF-51 will identify, confirm, occupy and defend the land corridor, strong points and areas of vulnerability within the AOR such that population migration, vehicular traffic, medical support, logistical support and other assorted relief operations are not negatively impacted. Air corridors shall be coordinated with the Government of Syria, as well as with the Russian forces headquartered in Latakia.
  5. 5. Operation Inherent Rescue 5 Syria Conflict Map
  6. 6. Operation Inherent Rescue 6 1. Mission Orders 2. Demand Planning 3. Supply Planning 4. Reconcile Plans (Run Simulations) 5. Implement and Monitor (Evaluate Options) DODAF Step 2: ID Mission Scope OV-5, OV-6c DODAF Step 3: Task Requirements and Data Needed DODAF Step 4: Product, Facility, Vehicle, Route DODAF Step 5: Effective logistics plan for 15+ days NOTES: • Process shown here is based on supply chain S&OP process, and modified by addition of DODAF V2.0 process steps and diagrams • Mission CONOP drives demand and supply planning. Supply chain simulations show how well these plans work. • Use simulation results to reconcile Supply Plan with Demand Plan, make adjustments to plan data so supply meets mission demand. DODAF Step 1: Analyze Mission CONOP OV-1 DODAF Step 6: Document results and best practices (Products, Facilities) (Vehicles, Routes) Mission and Operations Planning (M&OP) Process Modeling and Simulation
  7. 7. Mission Forecasting 7 STEP 1. Mission Forecasting (Concept of Operations)
  8. 8. Mission Forecasting 8 CONOPS: Inherent Rescue Tartus Port Homs Safe Haven Hamah Operating Base Marat Numan Idlib Aleppo Facilities: Refugee Camp Military Operating Base (FOB) Main Operating Base and Airport Carrier Task Force Humanitarian and military facilities constructed by JTF-51 to be turned over to UN and PK units CTF CTF DODAF CONOPS – OV-1 Concept diagram for mission
  9. 9. Mission Forecasting 9 CONOPS : Joint Task Force 51 (JTF-51) Tartus Port Homs Safe Haven Hamah Operating Base Marat Numan Idlib Aleppo CTF • 1 BN (1000 Marines) plus 1 Logistics BN (600 Marines) • Navy Special Warfare Team (SEAL Team 4 with assets from Special Boat Team 20) • 1 BN (700 Marines) plus 1 Logistics BN (600 Marines) plus HQ augmentation (150) • 7th Special Operations Wing (150 Aircrew & Maintenance Support) 3 C -130s • Marine Air Wing, 26 MEU (250 Marine/Crew/Maintenance) fixed and rotary – 12 • Navy Construction Battalion (600 sailors) • 82nd Airborne Div, 1st BDE plus Div HQ, Aviation, and Support BNs (4500 soldiers) • 1 BN (1500 soldiers) • 1 SF BN (300 soldiers) • 1 BN (1500 soldiers) • 1 SF BN (300 soldiers) • 1 BN plus HQ, Arty, Eng and Support BNs (2000 soldiers) • 1 SF BN (300 soldiers) • US Navy Carrier Task Force • USMC Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) • US Navy Construction Battalion • 82nd Airborne Division • US Navy Special Warfare Team • US Army Special Forces Group • USAF Para Rescue • USAF 7th Special Operations Wing • USAF Heavy Lift Transport (C-17/C-130) Initial ‘fly away’ package to consist of forces from:
  10. 10. Demand Planning 10 STEP 2. Demand Planning (Products and Facilities)
  11. 11. Demand Planning 11 Facility Locations Facility Type Capacity Rent Ops Cost CTF & Supply Ships Naval Task Force $200 million per day = $200,000/day ($000s) Tartus Port Warehouse (DC) (MIL and CIV) 0 refugees plus 1,760 military and supplies Rental rates for local warehouses $4,000 per military person = $6,400/day ($000s) Homs Safe Haven Housing and medical (MIL and CIV) 500,000 refugees plus 1,000 military and supplies Local rates for open land $4,000/day ($000s) Hamah Operating Base / Airport Main Operating Base (MIL and CIV) 15,000 refugees plus 5,950 military and supplies Use provided by Syrian Govt $23,800/day ($000s) Marat Numan Transit Camp Housing (MIL and CIV) 10,000 refugees plus 2,150 military and supplies Local rates for open land $8,600/day ($000s) Idlib Transit Camp Housing (MIL and CIV) 10,000 refugees plus 950 military and supplies Local rates for open land $3,800/day ($000s) Aleppo Transit Camp Housing (MIL and CIV) 10,000 refugees plus 950 military and supplies Local rates for open land $3,800/day ($000s) • Each facility except CTF & Supply Ships has a MILITARY and CIVILIAN component • Tracking military and civilian supply chains separately makes it easier to see what is happening in each one • Make changes to one supply chain without impacting the other supply chain
  12. 12. Inherent Rescue Mission Facilities – Military CTF & APS Supply Ships Tartus Port 1,760 Military Homs Safe Haven 1,000 Military Hamah Ops Base & Airfield 5,950 Military FOBs & Transit Camps Murat Numan 2,150 Soldiers Idlib 950 Soldiers Aleppo 950 Soldiers Military units at these facilities provide security and humanitarian assistance until UN and NGO personnel arrive Adequate supplies are needed every day at each facility to support the operations at those sites. See Product Demand Worksheets for each facility to review projected demand at these facilities (APPENDIX A) Demand Planning
  13. 13. Inherent Rescue Mission Facilities – Civilian Tartus Port Transit Only Homs Safe Haven 500,000 Refugees Hamah Triage Ctr 30,000 Refugees/Day Murat Numan 30,000 Refugees/Day Idlib 10,000 Refugees/Day Aleppo 10,000 Refugees/Day First phase of mission is to safely transport 500,000 refugees to Homs Safe Haven and provide adequate food, shelter and medical support. Adequate supplies are needed every day at each facility to support the refugees at those sites. See Product Demand Worksheets for each facility to review projected demand at these facilities (APPENDIX A) Demand Planning
  14. 14. 14 Products Needed for MILITARY Product Price Weight Size Comments Class I - Rations $38,400 9,500 kg / 7,300 kg cargo (container wt is 2,200 kg) 34 m3 20 ft. fully loaded container = 3,000 MREs Class II - Clothing And Equipment $24,000 10,500 kg / 8,300 kg (container wt is 2,200 kg) 34 m3 Avg for 20 ft fully loaded container (FLC) Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) $14,000 22,600 kg / 20,400 kg 34 m3 Transport in 20 ft. tank ctr - avg cost Class IV - Construction materials $34,000 18,500 kg / 16,300 kg 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC Class V - Ammunition of all types $65,000 20,200 kg / 18,000 kg 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC Class VI - Personal demand items $18,000 10,500 kg / 8,300 kg 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) $250,000 (need avg weight) (need avg size) Prod becomes a vehicle (see Vehicles data) Class VIII - Medical material $65,000 18,000 kg / 15,800 kg 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC Class IX - Repair parts $60,000 20,000 kg / 17,800 kg 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC Class X - Material to support nonmilitary $35,000 11,500 kg / 9,300 kg 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC Water Carrier makes fresh water - 100k gallons or 370 m3 daily 23,200 kg / 21,000 kg (container wt is 2,200 kg) 34 m3 (24 m3 storage capacity) Transport in 20 ft. tank ctr – both water and av fuel Aviation Fuel $15,000 22,200 kg / 20,000 kg (container wt is 2,200 kg) 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC Demand Planning
  15. 15. 15 Products Needed for CIVILIANS Product Price Weight Size Comments Food Mix (for 4,000 people/day) $22,500 10,500 kg (container wt is 2,200 kg) 34 m3 For a 20 ft. FLC – fully loaded container Blankets and Mats (for 5,000 refugees) $14,400 7,600 kg 34 m3 Blended avg cost for mix of blankets and mats Medical Supplies (for 5,000 refugees) $65,000 14,200 kg 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC Tents and Shelters (for 1,000 refugees) $36,000 10,200 kg 34 m3 20’ FLC with mix of tents (UNHCR data) Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) $14,000 22,600 kg 34 m3 (24 m3 storage capacity) 20’ tank ctr - Purchase locally Other Supplies (5,000 refugees) $35,000 11,500 kg 34 m3 Avg for 20’ FLC - purchase locally Water Carrier produces 100k gallons or 370 m3 daily 23,200 kg (container wt is 2,200 kg) 34 m3 (24 m3 storage capacity) Transport in 20 ft. tank ctr – 5,000 people per day Refugee -- 80 kg 2 m3 Weight and space requirements per person Demand Planning
  16. 16. 16 Products Needed per Person per Day Products per Military Person per Day Class I - Rations 4 kg Class VI - Personal demand items 2 kg All estimates can be changed as needed Class II - Clothing And Equipment 2 kg Class VIII - Medical material 2 kg Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) Record demand at facilities where vehicles are based Class IX - Repair parts Record demand at facilities where vehicles are based Class IV - Construction materials Record demand at facilities where building is happening Class X - Material to support nonmilitary see list of products below for nonmilitary supplies Class V - Ammunition of all types 12 kg (in combat only) Water 4 kg Assume water is sourced locally Products per Refugee per Day Food Mix 2 kg Other Supplies (same as Class X) 2 kg All estimates can be changed as needed Blankets and Mats 1 blanket and mat Water 3 kg Assume water is sourced locally Medical Supplies 2.5 kg Tents and Shelters 8 kg Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III POL) 0 kg Assume all fuel needs are meet by MIL supplies Demand Planning
  17. 17. Supply Planning 17 STEP 3. Supply Planning (Vehicles and Routes)
  18. 18. 18 Supply Plan – Vehicles Vehicle Type Carry Volume Max Weight Speed Ops Cost Medium Truck MIL 1 20’ctr – 60 m3 5 US Tons 5,530 kg 60 km/hr incl load time, road $60.00 per hour ~ $1.00 per km Large Truck MIL 2 20’ ctrs – 100 m3 10 US Tons 11,060 kg 60 km/hr incl load time, road $60.00 per hour ~ $1.50 per km Passenger Bus – 40 PAX CIV 80 m3 4,000 kg 60 km/hr incl load time, road $500.00 per day ~ 0.80 per km Rail Passenger – 80 PAX per car CIV 200 m3 6,000 kg 65 km/hr incl load time, etc $500.00 per day ~ 0.60 per km Rail Freight CIV 2 20’ ctrs – 100 m3 63,000 kg 65 km/hr incl load time, etc. $250.00 per day ~ 0.50 per km Air Passenger Jet CIV 450 m3 150,000 kg 800 km/hr $50K per day + (add to facility ops) Air Freight Jet CIV 600 m3 150,000 kg 800 km/hr $35K per day + ~ 10 per km Passenger Ship CIV 195,000 m3 82,300,000 kg 30 km/hr $20K per day + ~ 150 per km Freight Ship MIL 20,000 m3 30,000,000 kg 20 km/hr $15K per day + (add to facility ops) Black Hawk – Air Crew plus 12 PAX MIL 24 m3 1,200 kg 230 km/hr incl load time, etc. $1200.00 per hour ~ $5.20 per km C-130 Hercules MIL 101 m3 19,000 kg 360 km/hr incl load time, etc. $1900.00 per hour ~ $5.30 per km Supply Planning
  19. 19. Mission Route Map and Positioning of Vehicles Safely transport 500,000 refugees to Homs Safe Haven and provide adequate food, shelter and medical support. Six route segments are defined in this supply chain, they are numbered below. 1 2 3 4 5 6 200 Medium Trucks at Marat Numan FOB 200 Large Trucks at Hamah Ops Base, and Heavy Lift Aircraft at Hamah Airfield 50 Medium Trucks 200 Large Trucks at Homs FOB 150 Freight Rail Cars at Tartus 400 Buses contracted locally to move refugees from Aleppo, Idlib and Marat Numan to Hamah Triage Ctr and on to Homs Safe Haven See Vehicle and Route Worksheets for each facility to review daily product deliveries to these facilities (APPENDIX B) Supply Planning
  20. 20. Reconcile Plans 20 STEP 4. Reconcile Plans (Run Simulations)
  21. 21. 21 Build Supply Chain Models from Plan Data • Does Demand Plan and Supply Plan data accurately model the real mission? • Are all essential logistics functions and metrics identified in the mission essential task list (METL)? • Can measures of efficiency (MOEs) be documented from data generated by simulations and from metrics identified in the METL? • Can measures of performance (MOPs) be developed from simulation data and associated with facilities, vehicles and routes? • Define inventory needed on-hand on day one • Define inventory deliveries needed each day thereafter Supply Chain Model Simulation Results Reconcile Plans
  22. 22. 22 Simulate Different Supply Chain Options • Set 15 day limit in on-hand supplies at CTF to keep MIL product usage within high level constraints • Quickly explore different supply chain options to find which ones work best • Simulations identify effective supply chain practices in different tactical situaitons (TACSITs) • Do Functional Task Analysis and Job Task Analysis based on simulation data • Explore supply options to meet forecasted demand • Try different combinations of vehicles and routes Reconcile Plans
  23. 23. Implement & Monitor 23 STEP 5. Implement & Monitor (Evaluate Options)
  24. 24. 24 Implement Supply Plan and Monitor Performance • Repeat Steps 1 – 5 every 15 days or as new events cause TACSIT to change significantly • Monitor essential logistics functions identified in the mission essential task list (METL) • Track measures of efficiency (MOEs) based on data generated by simulations and from metrics identified in the METL • Track measures of performance (MOPs) based on simulation data associated with facilities, vehicles and routes Implement & Monitor
  25. 25. DEMAND PLANNING Product Demand Worksheets by Facility APPENDIX A
  26. 26. 26 Product Demand: MILITARY – CTF & Supply Ships Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand CTF & Supply Ships Class I - Rations CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand 60 Day Supply for all military personnel • Carrier Task Force (CTF) • USMC - Maritime Prepositioning Force (MPF) • Army Prepositioning Stock (APS-3) • Assume aviation fuel will be supplied by CTF for first two weeks and after that Syrian Government will deliver quality fuel Class II - Clothing And Equipment CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand 60 Day Supply for all military personnel Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand Government of Syria has agreed to supply fuel 30 Day Supply – Option to purchase locally Class IV - Construction materials CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand 60 Day Supply Class V - Ammunition of all types CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand 60 Day Supply Class VI - Personal demand items CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand 60 Day Supply for all military personnel Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand Armored vehicles staged at the port. Move to site by carrier/rail as required. Class VIII - Medical material CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand 60 Day Supply Class IX - Repair parts CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand 60 Day Supply Class X - Material to support nonmilitary CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand Water – Aviation Fuel – CTF is self-sufficient – no product demand Government of Syria has agreed to supply fuel. Demand Planning
  27. 27. 27 Product Demand: MILITARY – Tartus Port Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Tartus Port – 1,760 military Class I - Rations 7,200 kg/day or about 1 20’ ctr/ day 14 • 26th Marine Exp Unit (MEU) – 1 BN (1,000 Marines) plus 1 Logistics BN (600 Marines) plus Navy Special Warfare platoon etc. (60 SEALs) plus attachments (Special Boat Unit – 100 personnel) • Military and civilian supplies are delivered to large warehouse facility and distributed from there to other facilities as needed • Maximize use of rail transport to move supplies from port to large warehouse facility in Homs Safe Haven • Deliver products to port warehouse to meet local needs and also meet needs of rest of the facilities in the supply chain Class II - Clothing And Equipment 3,600 kg/day or round to 1 20’ ctr/day 12 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 1 20’ tank ctr Purchase locally? Add purch to ops cost 20 Class IV - Construction materials None Purchase locally? Add purch to ops cost 24 Class V - Ammunition of all types None 10 ctrs Class VI - Personal demand items 3,600 kg/day or 1 20’ ctr/day 12 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) As required, armored vehicles will be on standby. Artillery can be moved by rotary wing aircraft to sites as required. Artillery will be prepositioned at the Hamah Ops Base. Class VIII - Medical material 3,600 kg/day or 1 20’ ctr/day 5 Class IX - Repair parts None 14 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – Aviation Fuel – none 7,200 kg/day or 1 20’ tank ctr/day Purchase locally? Add purch to ops cost Aviation Fuel – 24 Demand Planning
  28. 28. 28 Product Demand: CIVILIAN – Tartus Port Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Tartus Port – 0 refugees Food Mix Follow-on mission to be executed “on order” Purchase locally? 100 • Civilian products are shown as daily production at the port to represent unloading those products from civilian supply ships arriving in the port • CFT is shown as a facility and a ship vehicle moves between CFT and Tartus Port to represent daily unloading of products from supply ships • Supplies move in 40’ Ctrs from ships to port warehouse and then to Homs Safe Haven also in 40’ ctrs. Assume two 20’ ctrs = one 40’ ctr. • Rail car or Large Truck can carry 2 20’ ctrs. Medium Truck carries one 20’ ctr. Blankets and Mats Follow-on mission to be executed “on order” 24 Medical Supplies Follow-on mission to be executed “on order” 70 Tents and Shelters Follow-on mission to be executed “on order” 50 Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Follow-on mission to be executed “on order” 0 Other Supplies (same as Class X) Follow-on mission to be executed “on order” 80 Water -- Purchase locally? 20 ctrs Refugee 0 Demand Planning
  29. 29. 29 Product Demand: MILITARY – Homs Safe Haven Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Homs Safe Haven – 1000 military Class I - Rations 6,000 kg/day 1 ctr/day 12 • 2nd MEU – 1 BN (-) (600 marines) • 1 Logistics BN (-) (100 marines) • HQ Company (-) (50 marines) • 3rd BN (-) 100 soldiers plus 150 for Civil Affairs • Supplies arrive in 40’ ctr or 20’ ctr loads from Tartus • Big warehouse facility supports buildup of supplies to meet needs of military and refugees here and in the other facilities • Assume daily demand to be a 15-day average Class II - Clothing And Equipment 1 ctr/day 10 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 2 tank ctrs/day 6 Class IV - Construction materials 5 ctrs/day 14 Class V - Ammunition of all types None 10 Class VI - Personal demand items 1 ctr/day 8 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material 1 ctr/day 2 Class IX - Repair parts 2 ctrs/day 10 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – Aviation Fuel – 1 water ctr/day 0 2 14 Demand Planning
  30. 30. 30 Product Demand: CIVILIAN – Homs Safe Haven Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Homs Safe Haven – 500,000 refugees Food Mix 500,000 kg/day 64 ctrs/day Purchase locally 80 • Assume daily demand to be a 30-day average generated by average of 250,000 refugees in the safe haven • Build up of food stocks in first 15 days is consumed in following 15 days. Easier to ship steady amounts each day than constantly change shipping amounts in this humanitarian situation. • Assume refugees are issued blankets and mats in transit camps and most keep them afterwards so new issues are not needed as refugees pass through other facilities. Blankets and Mats 5 ctrs/day are needed 24 Medical Supplies 500,000 kg/day 50 ctrs/day 70 Tents and Shelters 14 ctrs/day over 30 days houses about 400,000 40 Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Record demand in MIL faciity 10 Other Supplies (same as Class X) 400,000 kg/day 50 ctrs/day 68 Water 600,000 kg/day 30 ctrs/day 30 - Purchase locally 30 Refugee 1,000 per day 0 Demand Planning
  31. 31. 31 Product Demand: MILITARY – Hamah Ops Base Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Hamah Ops Base – 5,950 military Class I - Rations 3 ctrs/day 6 • 7th Special Operations Wing • USMC Aviation Combat Element (650 Marines) • 82nd Airborne 1st BDE plus Div HQ, Aviation, and Support BNs • Heavy Lift Transport (fly in supplies, refuel, fly out evacuees, based elsewhere) • On-hand amounts reflect deliveries from first airlift bringing in 82nd Airborne Div and three days of supply • Follow on supplies delivered via Tartus Port supply chain. • Per person estimates are increased to account for increased demand for fuel and spare parts. • Estimates for fuel and spare parts are reduced at other facilities. Class II - Clothing And Equipment 2 ctrs/day 4 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 2 20’Tank Ctrs 4 Class IV - Construction materials 10 ctrs/day 12 Class V - Ammunition of all types None unless combat happens – 1 ctr/day 8 Class VI - Personal demand items 2 ctrs/day 4 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Focus on wheeled and tracked transport vehicles 350 various Class VIII - Medical material 1 ctr/day 4 Class IX - Repair parts 5 ctrs/day 18 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – Aviation Fuel – 2 tank ctrs/day 10 tank ctrs/day Water and aviation fuel purchased locally? 4 12 Demand Planning
  32. 32. 32 Product Demand: CIVILIAN – Hamah Ops Base Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Hamah Ops Base – 30,000 refugees Food Mix 10,000 kg 8 ctrs/day 16 ctrs • Hamah Ops Base will be a medical triage facility where seriously ill refugees can be treated and flown out of country for treatment as needed • Refugees will get health check and screening before going on to Homs Safe Haven • Extra medical supplies needed to support these health services • Many refugees will have blankets and mats issued at transit camps • Assume daily demand to support up to 30,000 refugees per day Blankets and Mats 3 ctr/day 12 ctrs Medical Supplies 6 ctrs/day 15 Tents and Shelters 2 ctr/day 4 Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Record demand on MIL side 0 Other Supplies (same as Class X) 6 ctrs/day 15 Water 4 ctrs/day 4 - Purchased locally ? add purchase to ops cost 4 Refugee 0 Demand Planning
  33. 33. 33 Product Demand: MILITARY – Marat Numan Camp Name Product Demand Production On-Hand Marat Numan Transit Camp – 2,150 mil Class I - Rations 2/day 8 • 82nd Airborne - 1 BN plus HQ, Engineers and Support BNs (2,000 soldiers) • Special Forces – 1 BN (-) (100 soldiers) plus Civil Affairs (150 soldiers) • Use special heavy transport vehicles to carry tanks and other heavy equipment to accompany soldiers deployed at facilities Class II - Clothing And Equipment 1/day 4 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 1 2 Class IV - Construction materials -- -- Class V - Ammunition of all types -- -- Class VI - Personal demand items -- -- Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material -- 1 Class IX - Repair parts 1 2 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary -- Water – 1 water ctr/day 1 1 Demand Planning
  34. 34. 34 Product Demand: CIVILIAN – Marat Numan Camp Name Product Demand Production On-Hand Marat Numan Transit Camp – 10,000 ref Food Mix 3 ctr/day 12 • Assume up to 10,000 refugees come every day to this camp • Assume we can transfer up to 10,000 refugees per day to the safe haven facility. Blankets and Mats 2 ctr/day 8 Medical Supplies 2 ctr/day 8 Tents and Shelters 10 10 10 Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Record demand on MIL side 0 Other Supplies (same as Class X) 2 8 Water 3 3 - Purchase locally? 3 Refugee 10,000 per day Demand Planning
  35. 35. 35 Product Demand: MILITARY – Idlib Camp Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Idlib Transit Camp – 950 military Class I - Rations 1 2 • 82nd Airborne - 1 BN (-) (800 soldiers) • Special Forces – 1 BN (-) (100 soldiers) plus Civil Affairs (150 soldiers) Class II - Clothing And Equipment 1 2 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 1 2 Class IV - Construction materials -- 0 Class V - Ammunition of all types -- 2 Class VI - Personal demand items 1 2 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material 1 Class IX - Repair parts 0 0 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – 1 water ctr/day Purchase 1 ctnr per day 1 Demand Planning
  36. 36. 36 Product Demand: CIVILIAN – Idlib Camp Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Idlib Transit Camp – 10,000 refugees Food Mix 3 ctr/day 12 • Assume up to 10,000 refugees come every day to this camp • Assume we can transfer up to 10,000 refugees per day to the safe haven facility. Blankets and Mats 2 ctr/day 8 Medical Supplies 2 ctr/day 8 Tents and Shelters 10 10 10 Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Record demand on MIL side 0 Other Supplies (same as Class X) 2 8 Water 3 3 - Purchase locally? 3 Refugee 10,000 per day Demand Planning
  37. 37. 37 Product Demand: MILITARY – Aleppo Camp Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Aleppo Transit Camp 950 military Class I - Rations 1 2 • 82nd Airborne – 1 BN(-) (800 soldiers) • Special Forces – 1 BN (-) (100 soldiers) plus Civil Affairs (150 soldiers) Class II - Clothing And Equipment 1 2 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 1 2 Class IV - Construction materials -- 0 Class V - Ammunition of all types -- 2 Class VI - Personal demand items 1 2 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material 1 Class IX - Repair parts 0 0 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – 1 water ctr/day Purchase 1 ctnr per day 1 Demand Planning
  38. 38. 38 Product Demand: CIVILIAN – Aleppo Camp Facility Product Demand Production On-Hand Aleppo Transit Camp 10,000 refugees Food Mix 3 ctr/day 12 • Assume up to 10,000 refugees come every day to this camp • Assume we can transfer up to 10,000 refugees per day to the safe haven facility. Blankets and Mats 2 ctr/day 8 Medical Supplies 2 ctr/day 8 Tents and Shelters 10 10 10 Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Record demand on MIL side 0 Other Supplies (same as Class X) 2 8 Water 3 3 - Purchase locally? 3 Refugee 10,000 per day Demand Planning
  39. 39. SUPPLY PLANNING Vehicle and Route Worksheets by Facility APPENDIX B
  40. 40. 40 Sample Vehicles – Multiples and Assumptions Vehicle Type Carry Volume Max Weight Speed Ops Cost Medium Trucks – 10 Truck convoy 600 m3 55,300 kg 60 km/hr incl load time, road $600 per hour ~ $10.00 per km Large Trucks – 10 Truck convoy 1,000 m3 110,600 kg 60 km/hr incl load time, road $900 per hour ~ $15.00 per km Passenger Bus – 25 Buses for 1,000 people 2,000 m3 100,000 kg 60 km/hr incl load time, road $12,500 per day ~ 20.00 per km Rail Passenger – 25 Cars Rail Cars for 2,000 people 5,000 m3 150,000 kg 65 km/hr incl load time, etc $12,500.00 per day ~ 15.00 per km Rail Freight – 25 Cars Rail Car 2,500 m3 1,575,000 km 65 km/hr incl load time, etc. $10,000 per day ~12.50 per km Etc… • Assume vehicles travel average of 600 km (370 miles) per day to turn daily vehicle charges into estimated cost per km • Can also add vehicle costs to operating cost of the facility where vehicles are based • Speed of vehicles is adjusted down from vehicle top speed to account for road conditions and load/unload time at stops on routes that vehicles travel • Medium Trucks get about 8 mpg, Large Trucks get about 6 mpg. Assuming they travel 370 miles per day, each truck requires 50 – 60 gallons per day. • 60 gallons equals 0.22 m3. A standard 20’tank ctr holds 24 m3 of fuel. Therefore one 20’tank ctr can fuel 100 trucks for one day. Supply Planning
  41. 41. 41 Supply Plan – Routes Route Vehicle/Type Origin Facility Delay (Frequency) 1. CTF – Tartus Ship CTF Every 24 hrs. 2. Tartus – Homs Rail Tartus Port Every 24 hrs. 3. Homs – Hamah Large Truck, Bus Homs Safe Haven Every 24 hrs. 4. Hamah – Marat Nm Large Truck, Bus Hamah Operating Base Every 24 hrs. 5. Marat Nm – Idlib Medium Truck, Bus Marat Numan FOB Every 24 hrs. 6. Marat Nm – Aleppo Medium Truck, Bus Marat Numan FOB Every 24 hrs. • Each route except “1. CTF-Tartus” has a MIL and CIV component • Military route is labeled with a number only: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Civilian route is labeled with a number and the letter “A”: 2A, 3A, 4A, 5A, 6A • Each route segment takes about 2 hours for round trip. Initial delivery frequency on all these routes is set for once a day (24 hrs). So there is capacity on each route to make more frequent deliveries if needed. • Route segments are kept short to better manage risk and minimize overall supply chain disruption if one segment experiences problems. Supply Planning
  42. 42. 42 Route: 1. CTF-Tartus / Ship, MILITARY Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Tartus Port Class I - Rations 15 Show a ship traveling each day between CTF and Tartus to unload products Create vehicle: FREIGHT SHIP – 1 -- Vol: 20,000 m3 -- Wt: 300,000,000 kg -- Sp: 10 km/hr -- Cost: 0.00 per km Class II - Clothing And Equipment 13 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 18 Class IV - Construction materials 22 Class V - Ammunition of all types Class VI - Personal demand items 13 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material 8 Class IX - Repair parts 14 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – Aviation Fuel – none Supply Planning
  43. 43. 43 Route: 2. Tartus-Homs / Rail, MILITARY Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Homs Safe Haven Class I - Rations 12 Maximize use of rail for freight and passengers Create vehicle: FREIGHT CARS – 40 MIL -- Vol: 4,000 m3 -- Wt: 2,520,000 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 20.00 per km Class II - Clothing And Equipment 12 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 15 Class IV - Construction materials 20 Class V - Ammunition of all types Class VI - Personal demand items 10 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material 4 Class IX - Repair parts 12 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Aviation Fuel 22 Supply Planning
  44. 44. 44 Route: 2A. Tartus-Homs / Rail, CIVILIAN Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Homs Safe Haven Food Mix 80 Maximize use of rail for freight and passengers Create Vehicle: FREIGHT CARS – 100 CIV -- Vol: 100,000 m3 -- Wt: 63,000,000 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 50.00 per km Blankets and Mats 20 Medical Supplies 65 Tents and Shelters 40 Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Other Supplies (same as Class X) 70 Water Refugee Supply Planning
  45. 45. 45 Route: 3. Homs-Hamah / Truck, MILITARY Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Hamah Operating Base Class I - Rations 10 Create Vehicle: LARGE TRUCKS – 32 MIL -- Vol: 3,200 m3 -- Wt: 345,000 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 48.00 per km Class II - Clothing And Equipment 8 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 4 Class IV - Construction materials 12 Class V - Ammunition of all types Class VI - Personal demand items 8 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material 2 Class IX - Repair parts 8 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – Aviation Fuel – none Supply Planning
  46. 46. 46 Route: 3A. Homs-Hamah / Truck, CIVILIAN Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Hamah Operating Base Food Mix 15 Create Vehicle: LARGE TRUCKS – 50 -- Vol: 5,000 m3 -- Wt: 553,000 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 75.00 per km Blankets and Mats 10 Medical Supplies 12 Tents and Shelters 2 Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) 4 Other Supplies (same as Class X) 12 Water Refugee Supply Planning
  47. 47. 47 Route: 4. Hamah-Marat Numan / Truck, MILITARY Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Marat Numan Transit Camp Class I - Rations 5 Create Vehicle: LARGE TRUCKS – 10 -- Vol: 1,000 m3 -- Wt: 110,600 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 15.00 per km Class II - Clothing And Equipment 4 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 1 Class IV - Construction materials Class V - Ammunition of all types Class VI - Personal demand items 4 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material Class IX - Repair parts 1 Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – Aviation Fuel – none Supply Planning
  48. 48. 48 Route: 4A. Hamah-Marat Numan / Truck, CIVILIAN Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Marat Numan Transit Camp Food Mix 10 Create Vehicle: LARGE TRUCKS – 20 -- Vol: 2,000 m3 -- Wt: 221,200 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 30.00 per km Blankets and Mats 8 Medical Supplies 8 Tents and Shelters Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Other Supplies (same as Class X) 8 Water Refugee Supply Planning
  49. 49. 49 Route: 5. Hamah-Idlib / Truck, MILITARY Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Idlib Transit Camp Class I - Rations 1 Create Vehicle: MEDIUM TRUCKS – 5 -- Vol: 300 m3 -- Wt: 27,650 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 5.00 per km Class II - Clothing And Equipment 1 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 1 Class IV - Construction materials Class V - Ammunition of all types Class VI - Personal demand items 1 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material Class IX - Repair parts Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – Aviation Fuel – none Supply Planning
  50. 50. 50 Route: 5A. Hamah-Idlib / Truck, CIVILIAN Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Idlib Transit Camp Food Mix 3 Create Vehicle: MEDIUM TRUCKS – 10 -- Vol: 600 m3 -- Wt: 55,300 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 10.00 per km Blankets and Mats 2 Medical Supplies 2 Tents and Shelters Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Other Supplies (same as Class X) 2 Water Refugee Supply Planning
  51. 51. 51 Route: 6. Hamah-Aleppo / Truck, MILITARY Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Aleppo Transit Camp Class I - Rations 1 Create Vehicle: MEDIUM TRUCKS – 5 -- Vol: 300 m3 -- Wt: 27,650 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 5.00 per km Class II - Clothing And Equipment 1 Class III - Petroleum, Oil and Lubricants (POL) 1 Class IV - Construction materials Class V - Ammunition of all types Class VI - Personal demand items 1 Class VII - Major end items (tanks, vehicles) Class VIII - Medical material Class IX - Repair parts Class X - Material to support nonmilitary Water – Aviation Fuel – none Supply Planning
  52. 52. 52 Route: 6A. Hamah-Aleppo / Truck, CIVILIAN Facility (Stop) Product Drop Qty Pickup Qty Aleppo Transit Camp Food Mix 3 Create Vehicle: MEDIUM TRUCKS – 10 -- Vol: 600 m3 -- Wt: 55,300 kg -- Sp: 60 km/hr -- Cost: 10.00 per km Blankets and Mats 2 Medical Supplies 2 Tents and Shelters Fuel – Diesel (same as Class III) Other Supplies (same as Class X) 2 Water Refugee Supply Planning

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