UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights

300 views

Published on

Monthly hotel forecasts for key UK and German markets. New reports launched as result of predictive intelligence collaboration between e-forecasting.com and HotStats. Hotel market forecasts highlights for April for following markets: Berlin, Birmingham, Bristol, Cardiff, Frankfurt, Glasgow, Liverpool, London, Manchester, Munich, Newcastle, Provincial UK and Total UK. This month's new addtional focus feature is the 'myhotel' customization which provides property level forecasts.

Published in: Economy & Finance, Technology
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
300
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
2
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
2
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights

  1. 1. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next UK & German Monthly Hotel Market Forecast June Highlights Presented by E-forecasting.com
  2. 2. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 2 Monthly Hotel Forecasts  Launched in June 2013, e−forecasting.com released market Monthly Hotel Forecasts of key UK and German markets using HotStats historical data  More markets in Europe and MENA to follow in the coming months
  3. 3. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 3 Current Forecast Markets  Berlin  Birmingham  Bristol  Cardiff  Frankfurt  Glasgow  Liverpool  London  Manchester  Munich  Newcastle  Provincial UK  Total UK
  4. 4. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 4 Monthly Hotel Forecast Reports  Historic hotel market data from powerful HotStats database  24 month forecast, 8 quarters out, 2 years out  Key metrics: occupancy, ADR, RevPAR  Proprietary hotel metrics: – HIP - hotel industry pulse – HIL - hotel industry leading indicator – FTLI – foreign travel leading indicator – Monthly GDP  Additional econometric insights: – Labor market conditions – Inflation – Exchange and interest rates – Energy prices – Special events
  5. 5. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 5 Monthly Hotel Forecast Reports – UPDATED FEATURE  ‘myhotel’ add-on customization provides property level forecasts  Properties individual data is analyzed within market forecasts and each month clients receive these forecasts in addition to market level details
  6. 6. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 6 UK Hotel Market Forecast June Report Highlights  UK countrywide 2 year forecast: – Increase 2% in 2014 and 2.2% in 2015 – Long term economic growth = 2.2%  Monetary policy: no policy changes in previous month, all other key rates on hold  Oil prices: WTI & Brent prices lowering  Financial futures: US dollar and British Pound mixed
  7. 7. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 7 UK Hotel Market Forecast June Data Highlights  UK HIP – up 2.5%  UK HIL – up 0.1%  Probability of upcoming recession: 33.1%  UK Monthly GDP – up 0.2%  UK FTLI up 0.1%  Consumer prices up 2.9%  Unemployment rate at 7.8%  Consumer confidence up  Business executives less optimistic  Builders showing lower expectations
  8. 8. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 8 UK Hotel Forecast Highlights Market 2014 RevPAR Forecast 2015 RevPAR Forecast Birmingham (0.2%) 1.9% Bristol 0.2% 1.5% Cardiff 1.3% 2% Glasgow (1.8%) (4.2%) Liverpool 4.4% 0.2% London 0.2% (5.1%) Manchester (1.9%) (1.6%) Newcastle 6.9% 2.5% Provincial UK (0.2%) (1.2%) Total UK (2.3%) (1.7%)
  9. 9. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 9 German Hotel Market Forecast June Report Highlights  German countrywide 2 year forecast: – Increase 1.7% in 2014 and 1.9% in 2015 – Long term economic growth = 1.7%  Monetary policy: no policy changes in previous month, all other key rates on hold  Oil prices: WTI & Brent prices lowering  Financial futures: US dollar and Euro mixed
  10. 10. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 10 German Hotel Market Forecast June Data Highlights  German HIP – up 0.5%  German HIL – up 0.1%  Probability of upcoming recession: 22.5%  German Monthly GDP – up 0.4%  German FTLI up 0.2%  Consumer prices up 2%  Unemployment rate at 5.3%  Consumer confidence up  Business executives less optimistic  Builders showing lower expectations
  11. 11. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 11 German Hotel Forecast June Report Highlights Market 2014 RevPAR Forecast 2015 RevPAR Forecast Berlin (8.3%) 0.3% Frankfurt (4%) (1.1%) Munich (14.5%) 1.5%
  12. 12. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next 7/30/2013 12 For More Information  Monthly hotel forecast highlights were taken from the June issue of Monthly Hotel Forecasts, please visit: – http://www.e-forecasting.com or email info@e-forecasting.com for subscription rates and queries on additional markets

×