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EVM: a fresh look
What value are we earning?
Jurgen De Jonghe, CERN
EVA in the UK 21, June 2016
2
CERN: founded in 1954: 12 European States
“Science for Peace”
Today: 21 Member States
Member States: Austria, Belgium, B...
LHC ring:
27 km circumference
CMS
ALICE
LHCb
ATLAS
The study of LHC data will allow us to answer
some of the big questions ...
Will we find the particle(s) that make
up the ...
The Mission of CERN
 Push back the frontiers of knowledge
E.g. the secrets of the Big Bang …what was the matter like
with...
EVM
CV
Time
ResourceUsage
Now
SV
PV
AC
EV
% completed
Earned Value
*
Σ
PV Planned Value
EV Earned Value
AC Actual Cost
CV ...
Linear Scheduling
Integrated Luminosity
Earned
Schedule
Time
ResourceUsage
Now
PV
AC
EV
Earned Value
Earned Schedule
project
+ No additional data to be
gathered
+...
Earned
Duration
(macro level)
Time
Duration
Now
TPD
TAD
TED
% completed
Earned Duration
*
Σ
+ Effectively
decouples cost
&...
Example Project
SPI = 0.92 EDI = 0.75
SPI(t) ~ 13/14= 0.93 DPI ~ 11/14= 0.79
70,000
0.72
11/14 = 0.79
Incurred
Radiation
Dose
(ALARA)
DV
Time
RadiationDose
Now
WV
PD
AD
ID
% completed
Incurred Dose
*
Σ
PV PD Planned Dose μSv...
Towards an Earned Value Language …
EVM Earned Duration Incurred Radiation Dose
PV Planned Value TPD Total Planned Duration...
Earned Value Metrics
• Cost: ES completes (rather than opposes) EVM
• Earned Duration
• Incurred Radiation Dose
• …
If «m...
Thank you
June 2016 EVA in the UK, Jurgen De Jonghe
EVM & Earned Schedule: Cost Metric
PV
EV
ES Earned Schedule
AC
AT Actual Time
CV EV-AC
CPI EV / AC
SV EV - PV
SV(t) Schedu...
Medical Application as an Example of Particle Physics Spin-off
Combining Physics, ICT, Biology and Medicine to fight cance...
CERN EVM Tools
Progress Reporting Controlling the project
Periodic reports Data Quality reports
Linear Scheduling
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Jurgen de jonghe

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EVM: a fresh look - What value are we learning by Jurgen De Jonghe from CERN speaking at Bringing Projects to Life conference #eVa21

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  1. 1. EVM: a fresh look What value are we earning? Jurgen De Jonghe, CERN EVA in the UK 21, June 2016
  2. 2. 2 CERN: founded in 1954: 12 European States “Science for Peace” Today: 21 Member States Member States: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and United Kingdom Associate Member States: Pakistan, Turkey States in accession to Membership: Cyprus, Romania, Serbia Applications for Membership or Associate Membership: Brazil, Croatia, India, Lithuania, Russia, Slovenia, Ukraine Observers to Council: India, Japan, Russia, United States of America; European Union, JINR and UNESCO ~ 2300 staff ~ 1400 other paid personnel ~ 12500 scientific users Budget (2016) ~1000 MCHF
  3. 3. LHC ring: 27 km circumference CMS ALICE LHCb ATLAS
  4. 4. The study of LHC data will allow us to answer some of the big questions ... Will we find the particle(s) that make up the mysterious ‘dark matter’ in our Universe? Have we found “THE” Higgs particle that is responsible for giving mass to all elementary particles? Will we find the reason why antimatter and matter did not completely destroy each other? Will we understand the primordial state of matter after the Big Bang before protons and neutrons formed?
  5. 5. The Mission of CERN  Push back the frontiers of knowledge E.g. the secrets of the Big Bang …what was the matter like within the first moments of the Universe’s existence?  Develop new technologies for accelerators and detectors Information technology - the Web and the GRID Medicine - diagnosis and therapy  Train scientists and engineers of tomorrow  Unite people from different countries and cultures
  6. 6. EVM CV Time ResourceUsage Now SV PV AC EV % completed Earned Value * Σ PV Planned Value EV Earned Value AC Actual Cost CV Cost Variance EV-AC CPI Cost Performance Index EV / AC SV Schedule Variance EV - PV SPI Schedule Performance Index EV / PV IEAC Independent Estimate at Completion BAC / CPI AC + (BAC-EV)/PF TCPI To Complete Performance Index (BAC-EV) / (BAC-AC) (BAC-EV) / (EAC-AC) EVM + Cost Monitor, control & forecast - Schedule? SPI not reliable
  7. 7. Linear Scheduling
  8. 8. Integrated Luminosity
  9. 9. Earned Schedule Time ResourceUsage Now PV AC EV Earned Value Earned Schedule project + No additional data to be gathered + SPI(t) better for project schedule performance (Vanhoucke & Vandevoorde 2006/7) - Duration & cost profile generally not the same project Planned Value PV EV ES Earned Schedule AC AT Actual Time CV EV-AC CPI EV / AC SV EV - PV SV(t) Schedule Variance (t) ES - AT SPI EV / PV SPI(t) Schedule Performance Index (t) ES / AT IEAC BAC / CPI AC + (BAC-EV)/PF IEAC(t) (PD-ES) / (ED-AT) (PD-ES) / (PD-AT) TCPI (BAC-EV) / (BAC-AC) (BAC-EV) / (EAC-AC) TSPI (PD– ES) / (PD– AT) (PD– ES) / (ED– AT) To Complete Schedule Performance Index Independent Estimate at Completion EVM Earned Schedule ES AT
  10. 10. Earned Duration (macro level) Time Duration Now TPD TAD TED % completed Earned Duration * Σ + Effectively decouples cost & schedule + Simplicity ED(t) AD PV TPD Total Planned Duration EV TED Total Earned Duration ES ED(t) Earned Duration AC TAD Total Actual Duration AT AD Actual Duration CV EV-AC CPI EV / AC SV EV - PV TDV Total Duration Variance TED - TPD SV(t) ES - AT DV Duration Variance ED(t) - AD SPI EV / PV EDI Earned Duration Index TED / TPD SPI(t) ES / AT DPI Duration Performance Index ED(t) / AD EVM Earned Duration TDV H. Khamooshi, H. Golafshani, 2013
  11. 11. Example Project SPI = 0.92 EDI = 0.75 SPI(t) ~ 13/14= 0.93 DPI ~ 11/14= 0.79 70,000 0.72 11/14 = 0.79
  12. 12. Incurred Radiation Dose (ALARA) DV Time RadiationDose Now WV PD AD ID % completed Incurred Dose * Σ PV PD Planned Dose μSv EV ID Incurred Dose μSv ES AC AD Actual Dose μSv AT CV EV-AC DV Dose Variance ID - AD CPI EV / AC DPI Dose Performance Index ID / AD SV EV - PV WV Work Variance ID - PD SV(t) ES - AT SPI EV / PV WPI Work Performance Index ID / PD SPI(t) ES / AT EVM Incurred Radiation Dose Inspired from ALARA-EVM Pierre Bonnal (input from Thijs Wijnands) "Soixante Ans de Gestion de Projet au CERN (60 Years of Project Management at CERN)" Keynote address at 2e Conférence Internationale de Gestion de Projet, 28th May 2015, Trois-Rivières, Québec, Canada, slide 62, https://edms.cern.ch/document/1513315/LAST_RELEASED
  13. 13. Towards an Earned Value Language … EVM Earned Duration Incurred Radiation Dose PV Planned Value TPD Total Planned Duration PD Planned Dose μSv EV Earned Value TED Total Earned Duration ID Incurred Dose μSv ES Earned Schedule ED(t) Earned Duration AC Actual Cost TAD Total Actual Duration AD Actual Dose μSv AT Actual Time AD Actual Duration CV Cost Variance EV-AC DV Dose Variance ID - AD CPI Cost Performance Index EV / AC DPI Dose Performance Index ID / AD SV Schedule Variance EV - PV TDV Total Duration Variance TED - TPD WV Work Variance ID - PD SV(t) Schedule Variance (t) ES - AT DV Duration Variance ED(t) - AD SPI Schedule Performance Index EV / PV EDI Earned Duration Index TED / TPD WPI Work Performance Index ID / PD SPI(t) Schedule Performance Index (t) ES / AT DPI Duration Performance Index ED(t) / AD Earned Value Language PV Planned Value PVCost , PVDuration , PVDose … EV Earned Value EVCost , EVDuration , EVDose … ED Earned Duration AV Actual Value AVCost , AVDuration , AVDose … (Actual Cost, Actual Duration, Actual Dose) CD Current Duration VΔ Value Δ EV - AV VΔCost , VΔDuration , VΔDose … (Cost Δ, Duration Δ, Dose Δ) VPI Value Performance Index EV / AV VPICost , VPIDuration , VPIDose … (Cost PI, Duration PI, Dose PI) WΔ Work Δ EV - PV WΔCost , WΔDuration , WΔDose … WΔ(t) Work Δ (t) ED - CD WPI Work Performance Index EV / PV WPICost , WPIDuration , WPIDose … (Cost PI, Duration PI, Dose PI) WPI(t) Work Performance Index (t) ED / CD
  14. 14. Earned Value Metrics • Cost: ES completes (rather than opposes) EVM • Earned Duration • Incurred Radiation Dose • … If «multiple metrics» monitoring becomes mainstream, we need to unify the Earned Value language
  15. 15. Thank you
  16. 16. June 2016 EVA in the UK, Jurgen De Jonghe
  17. 17. EVM & Earned Schedule: Cost Metric PV EV ES Earned Schedule AC AT Actual Time CV EV-AC CPI EV / AC SV EV - PV SV(t) Schedule Variance (t) ES - AT SPI EV / PV SPI(t) Schedule Performance Index (t) ES / AT IEAC BAC / CPI AC +(BAC-EV)/PF IEAC(t) (PD-ES) / (ED-AT) (PD-ES) / (PD-AT) TCPI (BAC-EV) / (BAC-AC) (BAC-EV) / (EAC-AC) TSPI (PD–ES) / (PD–AT) (PD–ES) / (ED–AT) To Complete Schedule Performance Index Independent Estimate at Completion EVM Earned Schedule PV Planned Value EV Earned Value ES Earned Schedule AC Actual Cost AT Actual Time CV Cost Variance EV-AC CPI Cost Performance Index EV / AC SV Schedule Variance EV - PV SV(t) Schedule Variance (t) ES - AT SPI Schedule Performance Index EV / PV SPI(t) Schedule Performance Index (t) ES / AT IEAC Independent Estimate at Completion BAC / CPI AC + (BAC-EV)/PF IEAC(t) (PD-ES) / (ED-AT) (PD-ES) / (PD-AT) TCPI To Complete Performance Index (BAC-EV) / (BAC-AC) (BAC-EV) / (EAC-AC) TSPI (PD– ES) / (PD– AT) (PD– ES) / (ED– AT) EVM Independent Estimate at Completion To Complete Schedule Performance Index June 2016 EVA in the UK, Jurgen De Jonghe
  18. 18. Medical Application as an Example of Particle Physics Spin-off Combining Physics, ICT, Biology and Medicine to fight cancer Accelerating particle beams ~30’000 accelerators worldwide ~17’000 used for medicine Hadron Therapy Leadership in Ion Beam Therapy now in Europe and Japan Tumour Target Protons light ions >100’000 patients treated worldwide (45 facilities) >50’000 patients treated in Europe (14 facilities) X-ray protons Detecting particles Imaging PET Scanner Clinical trial in Portugal, France and Italy for new breast imaging system (ClearPEM)
  19. 19. CERN EVM Tools Progress Reporting Controlling the project Periodic reports Data Quality reports
  20. 20. Linear Scheduling

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