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ROADMAP 2050 – EARLY THOUGHTS (1)Energy security as key driver. 2009 cuts an element.Abundant, affordable and acceptable e...
ROADMAP 2050 – EARLY THOUGHTS (2)Where money comes from? “Maximize use of existing funds” or (forresearch to combat climat...
ROADMAP 2050 – ROAD IS BUMPY AND UNKNOWN       Key Drivers: Eu, Other Regions, Global.                                    ...
FUTURE FUEL MIX OF 2050 – WILL BE A KEY INVESTING ITEM. BUT    ITS SET TO BE “LOW CARBON”. THE ROAD TO FUEL MIX ANDITSMILE...
FUTURE FUEL MIX OF 2050 – WILL BE A KEY INVESTING ITEM. BUTITS SET TO BE “LOW CARBON”. THE ROAD TO FUEL MIX AND ITS 3-    ...
ENERGY EFFICIENCY (WHAT ARE THE KEY IMPLICATIONS)Non-binding target of 20%How to achieve?Buildings = 40% consumption/36% G...
ENERGY MARKET INTEGRITY PROPOSALS TARGET INSIDERS ACER Monitoring to prevent “manipulation”  and “insider trading”. Regu...
FRAMEWORK GUIDELINES POWER AND GAS INFLUENCE, ISON THE MOVE TILL MEMBER-STATES UP TO 2014 VOTED ON         CODES, BASED ON...
OTHER MULTIPLE REGULATIONS DEVELOPMENTS DESERVE          YOUR ATTENTION AS WELL IN 2011              ETS developments, to ...
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Presentation on Policy

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Presentation on Policy

  1. 1. http://tntinsuranceservices.com/constructionWorker.jpg
  2. 2. ROADMAP 2050 – EARLY THOUGHTS (1)Energy security as key driver. 2009 cuts an element.Abundant, affordable and acceptable energy as goal.“No national energy policy can (now) be achieved without aEuropean perspective”Creating incentives in regulation via cross border allocation of costsand allow include costs linked to socio-economic criteria (!)“Proper infrastructure”. “Set a target date (2015) for ending theisolation of all Member States from the gas and power networks”Finalize market integration through regions, “market coupling”.Market to invest with last resort central funding of projects “whereEuropean interest lies but fail the market test”. “10 YEDP” to play arole (in European?) projects choice. Not choose projects, but set“method to choose”. However some corridors like Offshore Windand connecting east Europe to West Europe in gas are still set. Page 2
  3. 3. ROADMAP 2050 – EARLY THOUGHTS (2)Where money comes from? “Maximize use of existing funds” or (forresearch to combat climate change) “use 50% of ETS revenues”.Innovation to energy: “few chosen large scale projects”; 4 grandexamples: “1. smart grids. 2.New storage technology, 3. biofuels, 4.energy saving for cities”.“No national energy policy can (now) be achieved without aEuropean perspective”“Renewables cross with decentral production is a must”.Push saving energy (target) via public procurement . Now only 10%of 20% achieved. Eco-design, energy labeling appliances and homes. Page 3
  4. 4. ROADMAP 2050 – ROAD IS BUMPY AND UNKNOWN Key Drivers: Eu, Other Regions, Global. Global CCS push (? Do not Climate accords forget Hydrogen as well ?). Global energy efficiency Infrastructure development Global renewable push Ff Nuclear renaissance (Global ) Price of fossils Public and economic demands change (power need, energy intensive industry changes; energy security; transport; competition; financing situation; solidarity; carbon pricing) Page 4
  5. 5. FUTURE FUEL MIX OF 2050 – WILL BE A KEY INVESTING ITEM. BUT ITS SET TO BE “LOW CARBON”. THE ROAD TO FUEL MIX ANDITSMILE“STONES” WILL BE MORE THE KEY POINT OF DISCUSSION. Drivers: Prices fuels Subsidies (Expectation of ) energy security Political decisions Extremely integrated internal market for energy Climate policy Public demand for renewables and (less) NIMBY http://www.roadmap2050.eu/attachments/files/Volume3_FullBook.pdf (Page # 139) Page 5
  6. 6. FUTURE FUEL MIX OF 2050 – WILL BE A KEY INVESTING ITEM. BUTITS SET TO BE “LOW CARBON”. THE ROAD TO FUEL MIX AND ITS 3- YEARLY MILE“STONES” WILL BE MORE THE KEY POINT OF DISCUSSION.Which “low carbon” road to choose?• Energy efficiency OR• More gas OR• Innovation OR• FOSSIL with CCS OR• NUKE OR• ETS and energy taxes http://www.roadmap2050.eu/attachments/files/Volume3_FullBook.pdf (Page # 138) Page 6
  7. 7. ENERGY EFFICIENCY (WHAT ARE THE KEY IMPLICATIONS)Non-binding target of 20%How to achieve?Buildings = 40% consumption/36% Gr. http://www.nec.com/global/solutions/nsp/nxtcomm08/exhibits.htmlEmissionsIndustry = 30 to 60% (for power http://www.experientia.com/blog/uploads/2007/07/urban.jpgconsumption) energy savings technologyexistingTransport = produces large part of Gr.EmissionsSources: EP push (15.12.2010) http://www.emea-solutions.com/aboutus.htm Page 7
  8. 8. ENERGY MARKET INTEGRITY PROPOSALS TARGET INSIDERS ACER Monitoring to prevent “manipulation” and “insider trading”. Regulation foreseen. 20 Platforms and 180 traders in EU affected according to Commission. A lot will depend on definitions of when advance knowledge significantly influences prices, and what is advance knowledge. http://rubbercat.net/archive/halloween2005/surprised_man.jpg Page 8
  9. 9. FRAMEWORK GUIDELINES POWER AND GAS INFLUENCE, ISON THE MOVE TILL MEMBER-STATES UP TO 2014 VOTED ON CODES, BASED ON THE GUIDELINES. Important indication comes from the respective target model discussions, so-called AHAG in power and Target model in gas. http://image.spreadshirt.com/image-server/image/composition/2958155/view/1/producttypecolor/39/type/png/width/378/height/378/im-a-moving-target_design.png Page 9
  10. 10. OTHER MULTIPLE REGULATIONS DEVELOPMENTS DESERVE YOUR ATTENTION AS WELL IN 2011 ETS developments, to influence value of power plantsinvestments Smart grid studies, to influence DSOs and developers.Powervalue Push for renewable de central competition to central power. Good for back up plants. Security of supply regulation roll-out will triggerinvestments additional investments in long term, subject to disputes on cost allocationvalueGas Storage regulation might develop based on GGPSSO.In parallel national governments are anticipating EU policy anddiscuss national measures as well. These developments can againhave influence on EU policy in 2011. Page 10
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