Got these things in it… Mix of high tech with local traditional stuff
If you look around our world for positive visions of sustainable future Naresh’s daughter work in film industry, asked film geek friends which films envision positive future Are there any? Fourth star treck film- first contact, one with racu Other than that they are mostly apocolyptic, 2 visions: Technofantasy- endless technological solutions Dystopic disaster scenario, mad max, post-apocolyptic vision of few straggling survivors fighting over last few drops of oil, Eco Doom
Start treck is the growth will never end Dilithium crystals, go into new galaxies
More recent Environmental cataclysm, Eco Doom Those are the main two
Anyone read it? Heavy going Good clips of naimi klein in you tube Journalist documented how capitalism works See disasters as good opportunity Opportunities for companies to go in and take out any local democracy or resilience which many be there e.g. Following hurricane katrina, lost a lot of valuable property held by working class people and education Creation of disasters cos good bus opportunity Iraq war, many failing american businesses profit from rebuilding iraq and the war REALLY IMPORTANT Q of when we have shocks to our system, who will beneift? Will it be the continued expansion of the global capital system or well-prepared transition initiative to create positive new community initiatives There will be key points of crisis, we need to be aware of these and the opportunities the present for both us and those who wish to continue with the existing system
One of the few future positive visions of what a post-transition world might look like Most of them are in feminist science fiction Really recommend it Anyone know of any more? Marge pearsey, woman on the edge of time Ursula le guin- The Dispossessed
This is the richard heinberg idea, we are probably at peak everything in the next decade or so We have climbed the curve, now at a climax This is a historical moment of choice, we need to choose our future Where are we going, what the possible futures?This slide maps out the four possible futures, taken from research and a number of different writers… Techno-fantasy - technical fix for every solution - every limit will be overcome by technology, if run out of oil use nuclear, tar sands - tremendous emotional and psychological investment in this - article in New Scientist re renewable energies, if we exploit all possible renewable energy then will be much more than ever with oil Green tech stability - have to reduce a little but then can stabilise at high level of material affluence - green fix, use far less energy and resources - radical- not continued growth Earth stewardship - permaculture & transition solution - say need to find way to come down it - reduce levels of consumption & energy use, different ways of organising society and our lives which are more sustainable - option is that we are not going to fall down or but to come down in sensible way Mad max - nothing in place to help us manage the descent - banking system, grow and grow and now falling apart Then do credibility monitor for each Interesting to look at these scenarios as psychological positions One bit of psychology of change as how do we respond to having significant change being forced on us Technofantasy is position of denial- technology as god Mad max is polarity- anger or despair, doesn’t matter if wiped off planet as we are violent anyway, lots of suffering involved in that, lots of denial in there too, angry and despairing position to take. E.g. in US resilience so low and disbelief Lots of people are caught between those two, only two they can see Green tech stability- Interesting position- changed light bulbs but now go on holiday to canaries and keep on buying bananas, bargaining, we can scrape thru without changing too much if we are very good- very attractive to business Earth stewardship Sane acceptance, we come down off this curve and use it as an opportunity to increase quality of life and social justice… At moment of choice, need to focus our vision, make it into a turning point, The Great Turning
Steven covey 7 habits of highly effective people Principle- start with the end in mind When you build a house you don’t just turn up with a bunch of materials and some builders You have a plan so that you know what you are going to do, so that everyone knows what they will do… Vision is central part of energy descent pathways
When put out a vision People get called to that vision Creates energy and motivation for people to start taking action Leadership role of Initiating Groups- about doing things which provide people with experiences which move them through an emotional transition where they feel motivated themselves to take action
Vision is so important that when Rob Hopkins wrote his Transition Handbook, he devoted a third of it to vision From rob’s book where he was doing some visioning himself Funny that some of the things he had Imagined for the future, some of those things now have already come into being This is from his book, building firm making hemp plaster Then when he came to plaster his kitchen he found that the product actually exists Even same name!
Article from hello magazine about the beckhams, downsizing, trendy thing to live in smallest house and grow heirloom vegetables TV presenter, Hello magazine
Lewes pound, they have just launched their pound
To hold a sense of possibility of sense that we can create something else is powerful thing to do Traditionally seen as a central part of the role of a leader, to create, and communicate an inspiring vision that will gain people’s committment Important part of job of people leading transition Initiating group initially hold the vision and then let it go
Transition Towns, the story so far...
TRANSITION TOWNS- ...the story so far Naresh Giangrande www.transitiontowns.org www.Livingonthecusp.org www.transitionculture.org “ The problems of the world cannot possibly be solved by sceptics or cynics whose horizons are limited by the obvious realities. We need people who can dream of things that never were” John F Kennedy Transition Forest of Dean: Transition Oxford
A community initiative with three essential components: <ul><li>A Vision </li></ul><ul><li>Plans or Pathways that create the transition from where we are now to our Vision </li></ul><ul><li>A set of principles that guide and inform the pathways and plans. </li></ul>Transition Training 2007
Visioning our Future…. <ul><li>What would a post carbon, energy scarce world look like? </li></ul>
We need to address our collective inability to vision the future we actually want…. Transition Training 2007
Industrial Ascent (Modernism) Energy & Resource Use Population Pollution Climax Techno-Fantasy Green-Tech Stability Earth stewardship Mad Max Great Grand Children Agriculture 10.000yrs BP Industrial Revolution Baby Boom Pre-industrial sustainable culture Historical Time Future Time Creative Descent ( Permaculture) Where are we going?
A positive vision creates its own call to action and self selects an initiating group
“ Hippy nonsense Vision can’t Create the Future???”
<ul><li>“ It will be a huge wrench to leave all this behind, but I have always wanted to live in the country. Our new house will be an eco-home. We are going from one extreme to another”. </li></ul><ul><li>Anna Ryder Richardson </li></ul><ul><li>Hello! magazine 1 st January 2008 </li></ul>
<ul><li>TT project leaders need to develop and constantly feed an unshakable belief (founded on actual examples and by living their transition) that we can create a new environmentally sustainable, spiritually fulfilling, and socially just world. </li></ul><ul><li>This is one of the keys </li></ul><ul><li>To creating a sustainable </li></ul><ul><li>Transition Initiative </li></ul>Transition Training 2007