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Analyzing fine tuning probability calculations

A basic math guide for examining probability calculations for the fine tuning argument (even the anthropic principle)

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Analyzing fine tuning probability calculations

  1. 1. Analyzing Fine Tuning Probability Calculations Mark Tabladillo Ph.D. December 19, 2014 @marktaborg
  2. 2. Introduction Some fine tuning arguments include probability calculations This presentation breaks down the questions to ask the original scientists about how they calculated their probabilities
  3. 3. What is a probability calculation? For the purpose of this video, we consider a simple probability calculation π‘ƒπ‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘π‘Žπ‘π‘–π‘™π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ = π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ ≀ π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ
  4. 4. Denominator: Three possibilities Zero: The calculation is infinite Infinite (or approaching infinite): The calculation is zero (or approaching zero) Some number representing the possible base range
  5. 5. Numerator: Three possibilities Zero: The calculation is zero Some number less than the denominator Equal to the denominator: The calculation is one Denominator Numerator
  6. 6. Two Questions to Ask How did you establish the denominator How did you establish the numerator π‘ƒπ‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘π‘Žπ‘π‘–π‘™π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ = π‘π‘’π‘šπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ π·π‘’π‘›π‘œπ‘šπ‘–π‘›π‘Žπ‘‘π‘œπ‘Ÿ Denominator Numerator
  7. 7. Thanks! Linked In @marktaborg Mark Tabladillo Atlanta, GA