May 27, 2014 Webinar: Macro RAN, Small Cells, and Backhaul Trends

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This unique webinar features two of the most prominent wireless analysts in the industry who will provide their respective views on the latest developments of small cells, macro RAN and wireless backhaul. Both Maravedis-Rethink and EJL Wireless will present highlights of their latest research on backhaul, microcells, base station markets and operator trends.

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  • Good morning or good afternoon everyone depending on where you are. My name is Adlane Fellah, founder of Maravedis and I Welcome you a2to today’s webinar entitled Macro RAN, Small Cells and Backhaul Trends. This is the first ever webinar to feature 2 of the most prominent wireless analysts in the industry on the same event. We appreciate your time and we know how everybody is busy so we introduced this shorter 30 minutes version instead of the typical 1 full hour webinar. So let’s get started!
  • Today’s webinar agenda include a brief housekeeping items followed by a recap of who we are. I will then pass it on to Carolien Gabriel, research director at MaRe for an overview of the latest RAN trends and forecasts. We will then hear Earl Lum from our partner EJL wireless present his views and RAN and Backhaul. We will then
  • Maravedis and Rethink were both Founded in 2002 and we Focus on Wireless Infrastructure with 3 main areas being the RAN including small cells and carrier wifi, the backhaul both ptp and PMP as well as areas of the core network
    Since 2012, Maravedis and Rethin have entered into a joint venture to combine their resources and better serve our customers. Then since 2014, we have expanded the partnerhisp to EJL wireless which complements our research offering by adding 1st class backhaul research , base station tear downs, antenna market analysis and much more.
    We are now 7 full time employees in these locations
  • As I mentioned we focus on 3 main areas of RAN, backhaul , core, I want to mention that we also provide the only base station tear downs in the industry by EJL wireless and other unique products such as the ONLY backhaul regulatory database in the market. We also provide research under annual service programs for both the RAN and backhaul.
  • May 27, 2014 Webinar: Macro RAN, Small Cells, and Backhaul Trends

    1. 1. 1Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2014 Webinar: Macro RAN, Small Cells and Backhaul Trends May 27, 2014 Earl Lum Principal Analyst EJL Wiireless Research Caroline Gabriel, Research Director Maravedis-Rethink
    2. 2. May 2014 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014.  Welcome and housekeeping ◦ Adlane Fellah, Maravedis-Rethink (MaRe)  Key findings from latest RAN research ◦ Caroline Gabriel, Research Director, MaRe  Backhaul and RAN Trends ◦ Earl Lum, Principal, EJL Wireless Research  Q&A Agenda www.maravedis-bwa.com
    3. 3. Using the Webinar Interface a) Attendee List (only your name) b) Grab Tab – click arrow to open/close Control Panel. Click square to toggle Viewer Window between full screen/window mode. c) Audio pane – select audio format. Click Audio Setup to select Mic & Speakers. d) You can submit questions and review answers. Type your question and click Send to submit it to the organizer. www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014.
    4. 4. Commonly Asked Questions • Can I obtain the slides? – The slides will be available after the webinar. – This event is also being recorded. You will be sent a link to purchase the recorded webcast within the next 24 hours. • Where can I obtain more information about the research discussed today? – For information, please visit the Maravedis website at http://shop.maravedis-bwa.com/ www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014.
    5. 5. Customer Engagement Miami Video & WiFi London www.maravedis-bwa.com CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Adlane Fellah Caroline Gabriel Research Director London Peter White Claus Hetting Earl Lum Alina Pruner Market ing Ottawa Luis Reyes © Maravedis Inc. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Claus Hetting Earl Lum Alina Pruner Luis Reyes WiFi Copenhagen Marketing Ottawa Regulation Mexico Principal EJL Wireless www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014.
    6. 6. May 2014 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014.  Global Digital PTP Radio Market Analysis and Forecast, 2014-2018, April 2014  Global Microcell Base Station Market Analysis and Forecast, 2014- 2018, April 2014  Pace of NFV uptake accelerates, despite many risks, March 2014  SON is now critical to make LTE economics work, February 2014  Backhaul Regulatory Database, Updated Weekly  The Network is Software Now: Adapting to the new mobile economics 2013-2018, December 2013  Wireless Watch ongoing weekly reports Recent Reports www.maravedis-bwa.com
    7. 7. May 2014 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. SPECIAL PROMOTION FOR WEBINAR ATTENDEES ONLY  WWW.SHOP.MARAVEDIS-BWA.COM  10% off all orders  VALID UNTIL JUNE 10, 2014  USE: WEBINARPROMO CODE AT CHECK OUT www.maravedis-bwa.com
    8. 8. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis- bwa.com 8 Drivers for network density May 2014 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014. www.maravedis-bwa.com • Massive increase in data traffic • Limited ability to cope with traditional models •Spectral efficiency •Higher bandwidth • Combined with cost pressures • Critical to reduce radiated power – battery life, not coverage, limits usage Investment in capacity required, vs incremental revenue generated Source: MaRe RAN Service report 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 $bn Capacity investments Data revenues
    9. 9. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis- bwa.com 9 Many tools are needed for density May 2014 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014 www.maravedis-bwa.com • Operators will use many tools to achieve capacity • Dense in several layers •Small cells •Massive MIMO •New DAS •Cloud-RAN New technology % required capacity increase Y1 % required TCO decrease Y1 % required capacity increase Y4 % required TCO decrease Y4 LTE upgrade 17% 14% 4% 4% Wi-Fi offload 16% 20% 9% 13% Public access small cells 14% 18% 24% 23% Deconstructed RAN (RRH and distributed antennas) 11% 17% 13% 17% New or refarmed spectrum and carrier aggregation 17% 9% 16% 12% SuperMacro/LTE-A eg MIMO, CoMP 14% 10% 18% 15% Adaptive networking/SON 11% 12% 16% 16%
    10. 10. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis- bwa.com 10 Complexity of multilayer HetNet May 2014 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014 www.maravedis-bwa.com • MIMO and small cells need each other • Distributed architectures • Virtualization C-RAN Phantom Cell • SuperMacro Massive MIMO+ CA 3D beamforming CoMP • Small cell layer eICIC, MSA • Some operators are ‘macro-first’, but many advances look forward to multilayer 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 8,000,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 units C-RAN Distributed RAN Traditional Super Macro Small cells Deployments of different types of RAN equipment Source: MaRe RAN Service report
    11. 11. CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Copyright © Maravedis-Rethink 2013 www.maravedis- bwa.com 11 Enablers and next steps May 2014 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014 www.maravedis-bwa.com • Next gen SON • True plug and play • Next gen interference management • Flexible cells Dynamic coordination pCell Cognitive radio Ad hoc viral networks Opportunistic cells • Multiflow • Indoor out, 4G homespots • WiFi and WiGig • Partners eg utilities Premier network priority (% of carriers) Source: MaRe Cloud-Ran report 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Super Macro Metrocells Integrated WiFi Virtualized core Simple' LTE
    12. 12. © 2014 EJL Wireless Research All Rights Reserved A Leading Provider of Proprietary Value Added Wireless Infrastructure Research
    13. 13. Proprietary & Confidential © 2014 EJL Wireless Research All Rights Reserved Macro BTS 2013 Review/Trends BTS Shipments grew 24% Huawei Technologies #1 supplier LTE > 50% of overall market LTE choppy through 2016 and then declining TD-LTE strong through 2015 and the declining 5G R&D test beds created in 2014 and ramping through 2018
    14. 14. Proprietary & Confidential © 2014 EJL Wireless Research All Rights Reserved Small Cell Definitions Femtocell - Subscriber Provisioned, Residential, <50mW, 4-6 users Enterprise Femtocell - Carrier Provisioned, 100-250mW, 16-32 users Picocell - Carrier Provisioned, 1-2W, 64-128 users Microcell - Carrier Provisioned, 5- 10W, 256-512 users
    15. 15. Proprietary & Confidential © 2014 EJL Wireless Research All Rights Reserved Indoor Coverage/Capacity Business Case Decision Tree Single Operator Multi Operator In-Building Enterprise Femtocell/ Picocell Distributed Antenna System Bldg Size <50k Sq.Ft. Bldg Size >50k Sq. Ft.
    16. 16. Proprietary & Confidential © 2014 EJL Wireless Research All Rights Reserved Small Cell Trends Indoor Indoor battleground between Enterprise Femto/Picocells vs. DAS Continued small deployments of picocell solutions for indoor Outdoor Initial microcell deployments Continued field trials for wireless backhaul technologies
    17. 17. Proprietary & Confidential © 2014 EJL Wireless Research All Rights Reserved PTP Radio 2013 Review/Trends #1 PTP Radio Supplier-Ericsson Market declined by 12% in shipment volumes from 2012 Mobile backhaul comprises 80% of total shipments 5Gb/10Gb radios to be introduced within next 3-5 years Small cells will have positive impact to PTP radio shipments Shipments to remain range bound over next 5 years
    18. 18. Don’t miss Avren’s forthcoming Small Cells World Summit Co-located with the Small Cells Backhaul Summit and NEW Carrier Wi-Fi World Summit In Exclusive Partnership with the Small Cells Forum 10-12 June 2014, ExCeL, London Find out more at www.smallcellsworldsummit.com
    19. 19. May 2014 Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2013. SPECIAL PROMOTION FOR WEBINAR ATTENDEES ONLY  WWW.SHOP.MARAVEDIS-BWA.COM  10% off all orders  VALID UNTIL JUNE 10, 2014  USE: WEBINARPROMO CODE AT CHECK OUT www.maravedis-bwa.com
    20. 20. 2020 www.maravedis-bwa.com Copyright © Maravedis Inc 2014 CLIENT CONFIDENTIAL Contact Information https://www.linkedin.com/company/maravedis www.twitter.com/maravedis MaravedisRethink afellah@maravedis-bwa.com http://www.maravedis-bwa.com (305) 865-1006 Adlane Fellah, Customer Engagement http://www.slideshare.net/maravedis

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