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Reading Tea Leaves in
        Pakistan




        Manan Ahmed
           FU-Berlin
   manan.ahmed@fu-berlin.de
      Janu...
We are struggling to fight with and for people with a
different culture, a different language, different custom,
different ...
Turkestan, Afghanistan, Transcaspia, Persia—to many these
words breath only a sense of utter remoteness or a
memory of str...
A Very Brief Long History of Pakistan & Afghanistan




                                                      4
5
6
The 62 years of post-colonial period in Pakistan has been
evenly divided between military dictatorships and military-
    ...
Nuclear Proliferation. Extremism.
Two paradigms that dominate US policy towards Pakistan.


                              ...
Mujahedeen to Taliban
The single paradigm dominating US policy towards Afghanistan
                                       ...
And among the five million refugees who have been forced over the
  borders (one third of Afghanistan’s prewar population),...
How to Read Tea Leaves




                         11
NEXT
       Daily Waqt (Lahore): 22/01/10 - 26/01/10


       Nawa’i Waqt (Lahore): 24/01/10 - 28/01/10


       Daily Jan...
Chief Justice/      Kashmir       Terrorism

Law/N.R.O.              Taliban
                   India            U.S.
 Bla...
Chief      Kashmir         Terrorism


Justice/Law/      Tribals/Taliban
                    India

   N.R.O.
            ...
Select Page   Page No. 1   City   Lahore   Nawaiwaqt ePaper




                                                          ...
Terrorism      Baluchistan
Chief Justice/Law/N.R.O.   Tribals/Taliban
                              Pashtun Issues
       ...
Select Page   Page No. 1   City   Lahore   Nawaiwaqt ePaper




                                                          ...
18
19
Manan Ahmed
        FU-Berlin
manan.ahmed@fu-berlin.de
   January 29th, 2010




                           20
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Reading Tea Leaves in Pakistan

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A talk given to the Model UN assembly at Hildesheim Universität on Jan 29th, 2010.

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Reading Tea Leaves in Pakistan

  1. 1. Reading Tea Leaves in Pakistan Manan Ahmed FU-Berlin manan.ahmed@fu-berlin.de January 29th, 2010 1
  2. 2. We are struggling to fight with and for people with a different culture, a different language, different custom, different history, different religion, if any. And all of those similarities exist. We don't live there. We don't live in the community, in a hamlet, in a small town, pocket, whatever you want to call it. And so we're not there often at night. They are. And the night often rules with insurgencies. The complications are profound in both Pakistan and Afghanistan. - Senator John Kerry (March 2009) 2
  3. 3. Turkestan, Afghanistan, Transcaspia, Persia—to many these words breath only a sense of utter remoteness or a memory of strange vicissitudes and of moribund romance. To me, I confess, they are the pieces on a chessboard upon which is being played out a game for the domination of the world. — George Lord Curzon,Viceroy of India (1892) 3
  4. 4. A Very Brief Long History of Pakistan & Afghanistan 4
  5. 5. 5
  6. 6. 6
  7. 7. The 62 years of post-colonial period in Pakistan has been evenly divided between military dictatorships and military- backed civilian governments. 7
  8. 8. Nuclear Proliferation. Extremism. Two paradigms that dominate US policy towards Pakistan. 8
  9. 9. Mujahedeen to Taliban The single paradigm dominating US policy towards Afghanistan 9
  10. 10. And among the five million refugees who have been forced over the borders (one third of Afghanistan’s prewar population), about 48 percent are children, many of whom are being trained by the resistance to take up the fight to free Afghanistan from “Russian infidels. The Soviets, if successful in their indoctrination of the young, will at best produce a relatively small, elite cadre of Communist sympathizers. The Afghans, on the other hand, are preparing millions of young people for a fight to the finish in a struggle that seems destined to continue for many years. - Jeri Laber, “Afghanistan's Other War”, New York Review of Books, vol. 33, no. 20, December 18, 1986 10
  11. 11. How to Read Tea Leaves 11
  12. 12. NEXT Daily Waqt (Lahore): 22/01/10 - 26/01/10 Nawa’i Waqt (Lahore): 24/01/10 - 28/01/10 Daily Jang (Karachi): 23/01/10 - 27/01/10 Daily Duniya (Quetta): 24/01/10 - 28/01/10 12
  13. 13. Chief Justice/ Kashmir Terrorism Law/N.R.O. Taliban India U.S. Blackwater/U.S. 13
  14. 14. Chief Kashmir Terrorism Justice/Law/ Tribals/Taliban India N.R.O. U.S. Blackwater/U.S. 14
  15. 15. Select Page Page No. 1 City Lahore Nawaiwaqt ePaper Kashmir Terrorism Chief Justice/Law/ Tribals/Taliban N.R.O. U.S. India Blackwater/U.S. Other Publications 15
  16. 16. Terrorism Baluchistan Chief Justice/Law/N.R.O. Tribals/Taliban Pashtun Issues India Blackwater/U.S. 16
  17. 17. Select Page Page No. 1 City Lahore Nawaiwaqt ePaper 17
  18. 18. 18
  19. 19. 19
  20. 20. Manan Ahmed FU-Berlin manan.ahmed@fu-berlin.de January 29th, 2010 20

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