Moores Law

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Moores Law

  1. 1. Moore’s Law “the magic of our time”
  2. 2. 19 th Century Camera – Golden Age
  3. 3. Cameras in early 20 th Century
  4. 4. Cameras over the years
  5. 5. Current SLRs and Digital Cameras
  6. 6. Kids Cameras
  7. 7. Key Chain Cameras
  8. 8. First mobile phone invented by Martin Cooper @ Motorola in 1973
  9. 9. Cellphones in 90’s
  10. 10. LG phones today
  11. 11. 2009 Top Cell Phones
  12. 12. World’s smallest cell phone?
  13. 13. 1962 - IBM 2MB storage disks, weighed 5 pounds each
  14. 14. 1967 IBM Storage System 128 GB – 1M$s
  15. 15. 1980 IBM 3380 storage system 20GB - 150,000$s each
  16. 16. Hard Drives over years
  17. 17. SimpleTech external hard disks
  18. 18. 2009 Kingston DataTraveler ThumbDrives
  19. 19. What’s going on?
  20. 20. First Transistor invented @ Bell Labs in 1947
  21. 21. Replica of First Transistor at CHM
  22. 22. Transistors over the years
  23. 23. 2008 Intel Core i7 – 800M transistors, built on 45nm technology
  24. 24. Gordon Earl Moore
  25. 25. 1965 –Moore’s Original Diagram
  26. 26. Cost per Transistor
  27. 27. Intel Processor Timeline
  28. 28. # transistors produced in 2005 > # of grains of rice produced that year
  29. 29. Storage Capacities at Retail Stores
  30. 30. Pixels per array
  31. 31. Bandwidth Costs
  32. 32. Doubling Times for Various Technologies in Months
  33. 33. What drives all this? <ul><li>In 2005 Moore said, &quot;Moore's law is really about economics.&quot;  </li></ul><ul><li>In the same session Carver Mead made it clearer yet: Moore's Law, he says, &quot;is really about people's belief system, it's not a law of physics, it's about human belief, and when people believe in something, they'll put energy behind it to make it come to pass. </li></ul>
  34. 34. For how much long? <ul><li>Moore in 2005 predicted at least a decade </li></ul><ul><li>In 2009, Intel CEO Craig Barrett said &quot;We can scale it down another 10 to 15 years. Nothing touches the economics of it.&quot; </li></ul><ul><li>Estimates range from another 5 yrs to forever </li></ul><ul><li>Pushing against limits of Physics and Chemistry at atomic level </li></ul>
  35. 35. # of computations per second per $1000 – Ray Kurzweil
  36. 36. Technology Curves – Golden Age is ahead of us
  37. 37. 1969 Kitchen Computer <ul><li>Kitchen Computer 1969, Neiman Marcus, United States </li></ul><ul><li>The Kitchen Computer was featured in the 1969 Neiman Marcus catalog as a $10,600 tool for housewives to store and retrieve recipes. Unfortunately, the user interface was only binary lights and switches. There is no evidence that any Kitchen Computer was ever sold. Inside was a standard Honeywell 316 minicomputer, billed as the first 16-bit machine at that price from a major computer manufacturer. </li></ul><ul><li>Memory Type : Core </li></ul><ul><li>Speed : 0.6 MHz </li></ul><ul><li>Memory Size:16K </li></ul><ul><li>Cost : $10,600 </li></ul><ul><li>Memory Width : (16-bit) </li></ul>

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