Il grande bluff delle                                stime                             Luca Grulla @lucagrulla            ...
Get in touch                            @lucagrulla #iad11                            http://joind.in/4522                ...
EstimatesSunday, 20 November 11
Velocity                         EstimatesSunday, 20 November 11
Simplicity              Velocity                         EstimatesSunday, 20 November 11
Continuous Delivery                         Vision                             Innovation      Simplicity                 ...
Something about you...Sunday, 20 November 11
Sunday, 20 November 11
Sunday, 20 November 11
Sunday, 20 November 11
All these techniques                          are pivotal to the                           project successSunday, 20 Novem...
All these techniques                          are pivotal to the                           project success                ...
Sunday, 20 November 11
Estimates and velocity                         are misusedSunday, 20 November 11
The 4 steps to delivery                        epiphany                         (or how to put estimates on a diet)Sunday,...
The 4 steps to delivery epiphanySunday, 20 November 11
The 4 steps to delivery epiphany               1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a                  contra...
Bargain on team                          commitmentSunday, 20 November 11
The 4 steps to delivery epiphany               1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a                  contra...
The 4 steps to delivery epiphany               1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a                  contra...
Fear-Driven Decision MakingSunday, 20 November 11
The 4 steps to delivery epiphany               1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a                  contra...
The 4 steps to delivery epiphany               1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a                  contra...
High uncertainty                            contextsSunday, 20 November 11
Hang on...Sunday, 20 November 11
Hang on...                         I need trackability !Sunday, 20 November 11
Back to BasicsSunday, 20 November 11
What is agile at its                              root ?Sunday, 20 November 11
What is agile at its                              root ?Sunday, 20 November 11
Control via visibilitySunday, 20 November 11
Velocity as throughput                   measure for signed-off                           storiesSunday, 20 November 11
Signed off but not                  deployed stories is just                   a form of inventorySunday, 20 November 11
Continuos DeliverySunday, 20 November 11
The 4 steps to delivery epiphany               1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a                  contra...
The 4 steps to delivery epiphany               1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a                  contra...
but let’s be pragmaticSunday, 20 November 11
Project InceptionSunday, 20 November 11
When you are a delivery                               partnerSunday, 20 November 11
When your team is starting its                          journeySunday, 20 November 11
Dreyfus model                                                                              Expert                         ...
Dreyfus model                                  ■   holistic view of situation                                  ■   priorit...
Dreyfus model                                  ■   holistic view of situation                                  ■   priorit...
Dreyfus model                                  ■   holistic view of situation                                  ■   priorit...
Simplicity is the keySunday, 20 November 11
Thank You !Sunday, 20 November 11
Questions ?                         feedback: http://joind.in/4522                               @lucagrulla #iad11Sunday,...
Images credits                   •     http://images.cdn.fotopedia.com/flickr-3167236184-original.jpg                   •  ...
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Il grande bluff delle stime

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Il grande bluff delle stime

  1. 1. Il grande bluff delle stime Luca Grulla @lucagrulla IAD 2011 November, 19th RomeSunday, 20 November 11
  2. 2. Get in touch @lucagrulla #iad11 http://joind.in/4522 http://www.lucagrulla.it/Sunday, 20 November 11
  3. 3. EstimatesSunday, 20 November 11
  4. 4. Velocity EstimatesSunday, 20 November 11
  5. 5. Simplicity Velocity EstimatesSunday, 20 November 11
  6. 6. Continuous Delivery Vision Innovation Simplicity Velocity Estimates Feedback loop Decision making Trust Theory of ConstraintsSunday, 20 November 11
  7. 7. Something about you...Sunday, 20 November 11
  8. 8. Sunday, 20 November 11
  9. 9. Sunday, 20 November 11
  10. 10. Sunday, 20 November 11
  11. 11. All these techniques are pivotal to the project successSunday, 20 November 11
  12. 12. All these techniques are pivotal to the project success ...or maybe not...Sunday, 20 November 11
  13. 13. Sunday, 20 November 11
  14. 14. Estimates and velocity are misusedSunday, 20 November 11
  15. 15. The 4 steps to delivery epiphany (or how to put estimates on a diet)Sunday, 20 November 11
  16. 16. The 4 steps to delivery epiphanySunday, 20 November 11
  17. 17. The 4 steps to delivery epiphany 1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a contract over collaboration and trustSunday, 20 November 11
  18. 18. Bargain on team commitmentSunday, 20 November 11
  19. 19. The 4 steps to delivery epiphany 1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a contract over collaboration and trustSunday, 20 November 11
  20. 20. The 4 steps to delivery epiphany 1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a contract over collaboration and trust 2. Understand how estimates can drive fearSunday, 20 November 11
  21. 21. Fear-Driven Decision MakingSunday, 20 November 11
  22. 22. The 4 steps to delivery epiphany 1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a contract over collaboration and trust 2. Understand how estimates can drive fearSunday, 20 November 11
  23. 23. The 4 steps to delivery epiphany 1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a contract over collaboration and trust 2. Understand how estimates can drive fear 3. Acknowledge that velocity-driven delivery kills innovationSunday, 20 November 11
  24. 24. High uncertainty contextsSunday, 20 November 11
  25. 25. Hang on...Sunday, 20 November 11
  26. 26. Hang on... I need trackability !Sunday, 20 November 11
  27. 27. Back to BasicsSunday, 20 November 11
  28. 28. What is agile at its root ?Sunday, 20 November 11
  29. 29. What is agile at its root ?Sunday, 20 November 11
  30. 30. Control via visibilitySunday, 20 November 11
  31. 31. Velocity as throughput measure for signed-off storiesSunday, 20 November 11
  32. 32. Signed off but not deployed stories is just a form of inventorySunday, 20 November 11
  33. 33. Continuos DeliverySunday, 20 November 11
  34. 34. The 4 steps to delivery epiphany 1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a contract over collaboration and trust 2. Understand how estimates can drive fear 3. Acknowledge that velocity-driven delivery kills innovationSunday, 20 November 11
  35. 35. The 4 steps to delivery epiphany 1. Understand how estimates are too often used as a contract over collaboration and trust 2. Understand how estimates can drive fear 3. Acknowledge that velocity-driven delivery kills innovation 4. Embrace the truth that deployed working software is by far the best progress feedbackSunday, 20 November 11
  36. 36. but let’s be pragmaticSunday, 20 November 11
  37. 37. Project InceptionSunday, 20 November 11
  38. 38. When you are a delivery partnerSunday, 20 November 11
  39. 39. When your team is starting its journeySunday, 20 November 11
  40. 40. Dreyfus model Expert Proficient Competent Advanced Beginner NoviceSunday, 20 November 11
  41. 41. Dreyfus model ■ holistic view of situation ■ prioritises importance of aspects ■ "perceives deviations from the normal Expert pattern" ■ employs maxims for guidance, with meanings that adapt to the situation at Proficient hand Competent Advanced Beginner NoviceSunday, 20 November 11
  42. 42. Dreyfus model ■ holistic view of situation ■ prioritises importance of aspects ■ "perceives deviations from the normal Expert pattern" ■ employs maxims for guidance, with meanings that adapt to the situation at Proficient hand ■ transcends reliance on rules, guidelines, Competent ■ and maxims "intuitive grasp of situations based on deep, tacit understanding" ■ has "vision of what is possible" ■ uses "analytical approaches" in new Advanced Beginner situations or in case of problems NoviceSunday, 20 November 11
  43. 43. Dreyfus model ■ holistic view of situation ■ prioritises importance of aspects ■ "perceives deviations from the normal Expert pattern" ■ employs maxims for guidance, with meanings that adapt to the situation at Proficient hand ■ transcends reliance on rules, guidelines, Competent ■ and maxims "intuitive grasp of situations based on deep, tacit understanding" ■ has "vision of what is possible" ■ uses "analytical approaches" in new Advanced Beginner situations or in case of problems NoviceSunday, 20 November 11
  44. 44. Simplicity is the keySunday, 20 November 11
  45. 45. Thank You !Sunday, 20 November 11
  46. 46. Questions ? feedback: http://joind.in/4522 @lucagrulla #iad11Sunday, 20 November 11
  47. 47. Images credits • http://images.cdn.fotopedia.com/flickr-3167236184-original.jpg • http://www.fotopedia.com/items/flickr-4627993735 • http://images.cdn.fotopedia.com/flickr-3110676430-original.jpg • http://images.cdn.fotopedia.com/flickr-2200500024-original.jpg • http://images.cdn.fotopedia.com/raphael-dXB0J5mDZ-M-original.jpgSunday, 20 November 11

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