June 12th S&OP Webinar by Supply Chain Insights, LLC

Lora Cecere
Lora CecereFounder and CEO of Supply Chain Insights at Supply Chain Insights, LLC
TM
S&OP:
State of the Union
June 2013
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 2#sciwebinar
Presenters
Benji Green
Avaya
Lora Cecere
Supply Chain
Insights
Jack Lyon
Enterasys
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 3#sciwebinar
Supply Chain Insights is focused on delivering
independent, actionable and objective
advice for supply chain leaders. A company
dedicated to research, turn to us when you
want the latest insights on supply chain
trends, technologies to know and metrics that
matter.
About Us
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 4#sciwebinar
Sales & Operations Planning:
State of the Union
Jack Lyon
Vice President, Operations
Enterasys Networks
June 2013
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 5#sciwebinar
• Network Powered by INNOVATION
• Delivering the Highest Quality User EXPERIENCE
• Guiding Principles PEOPLE  TECHNOLGY 
SERVICE
• Solutions WI-FI MOBILITY DATA CENTER
UNIFIED MANAGEMENT
5
Leader in Wired and Wireless Network Infrastructure
and Security Solutions
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 6#sciwebinar
Getting To Mature S&OP
• Journey started in 2004
• Faced a number of challenges
• Collaborative approach
• Tools played a big part
• Short time to measured success
• Setting up for the long term
Enterasys in the Cloud: Quote to Demand
6
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 7#sciwebinar
• Stay committed to the process
– Over communicate with
shareholders
• Set aggressive targets
– post mortems & lessons learned
• Continuous Improvement
– Drive initiatives to move the process
forward
7
Driving Towards Orchestrating
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 8#sciwebinar
CUSTOMERS
THEREISNOTHINGMOREIMPORTANTTHANOUR
OUR BELIEF
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 9#sciwebinar
• Avaya is the global business communications expert delivering open and
flexible communication systems, that transform the way people collaborate to
enhance performance and enable growth for companies small to large at
lowest possible total cost of ownership.
Who is Avaya?
Unified
Communications
Call
Center
Data
Networking
Services &
Maintenance
Small & Medium
Enterprise
Enterprise
Gov Solutions Midsize Enterprise
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 10#sciwebinar
Future State
• BIC FA at 85+%
• Balanced Scorecard Fact-Based Decision
Making with Aligned Incentives
• Fully Integrated Supplier & Distributor Co-
Planning & Advanced Funnel Analytics
• Simplified and controlled Portfolio
• Kinaxis driven Scenario Modeling, Decision
Support, and Alert System
49FY13-15 Strategic Planning Avaya – Confidential & Proprietary -- For Internal Use Only
S&OP Maturity Model
Key Takeaways
• S&OP Maturity measured across people, processes, and tools
• Customer collaboration is significant opportunity to improve S&OP process & results
• Transition management (customerproduct)
Organization
Supplier
Collaboration
Customer
Collaboration
Demand
Determination
Tools &
Enablers
Outputs
Measurements
Level 1
Non-existent
Level 2
Developing
Level 3
Basic
Level 4
Advanced
Level 5
World-class
No forecast
accountability
Forecast availability
based on past supply
Multiple forecasts based
on historical data and
current inventorylevels
Based only on historical
sales and simple allocation
to functional areas
No data integrity,
simple tools;
no data mining
Forecasts not
disseminated
Forecast accuracy below
50% or not measured
Centrally managed forecasting
system with decentralized
adjustment process
Vendor managed inventory
(VMI), Profit Sharing
Customer collaboration
(CPFR)
Consensus demand plan based on
key account forecasts and multi-tier
forecasting
Future intelligence historically
based
Consensus forecasts used in
related planning
Defined composite matrix/
Score card that is aligned with
supply chain roles
Bestpractices
AVAYA
AVAYA
AVAYA
AVAYA
AVAYA
AVAYA
AVAYA
Theater
FA, Exp
SFDC
Utilizaton
Disty
Replen Demand
Shaping
Acct Trs
Mngmt
VMI&Prft
Share
Common
Incentive
Consens
Fcst
Kinaxis
RR
Risk
Mngmt
Bottom’s
Up Plan
Metric
Optimize
COE
Supplier
Co-Plan
Environment
• Limited funnel visibility @ code level
• Lack of Disty Collaborative Fcst
• Short customer lead-times; long supplier
lead-times
• Increased Asia sourcing & migration to
ocean in order to lower costs
• Excessive # of SKU’s
• Portfolio Redundancy
• High-mix/low-volume business
• Difficult transition management
Aggressive Portfolio Simplification
- Reduce Code Count by 50%,
- Eliminate Portfolio Redundancy
- Component Standardization
Accelerate Forward Visibility
- Increase SFDC Utilization
- Distributor Co-Planning
- Advanced Funnel Analytics
Integrated S&OP IT Platform
- Single Source of Data
- Multi-variable Statistical modeling
- Integrated Supply/Demand Scenario Analysis
Robust Transition Management
- Sales Supporting ‘Center of Excellence’
- Top 50 Customer Transition Roadmap
- Partner & Customer Demand Shaping
Begin with the End in Mind?
Dynamic Supply Flexibility
- CM Component Flexibility Model
- Vendor Managed Inventory & Logistics Hubbing
- Kinaxis EtoE component to Disty Inventory visibility



Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 11#sciwebinar
Developing S&OP Agility?
Understand
the Risk!
• Forecast are wrong, which way is the greatest volatility
• Operational risk vary dramatically by code
Operational Impact
• Expedited Freight
• Inventory Costs
• Carrying Costs
• PCR Roadmap
• RFMV Risk
• Mfg Transitions
• Supply Flexibility
• Customer Sat
•Sales Margin
Demand Volatility:
• Forecast Accuracy
• Demand Volatility
• Market Trend
• Large Bids
• Lifecycle
• Order Fill to Track
• Disty Sales Out
• Disty Days On Hand
How much and which direction
might my forecast be wrong?!
Which way and how much can I
afford to be wrong?!
Develop a
Playbook!
• What risk mitigation strategy’s can we deploy in advance
• What actions/levers can drive recovery if we’re wrong?
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 12#sciwebinar
Study Overview
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 13#sciwebinar
Study Results
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 14#sciwebinar
Build with the End in Mind
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 15#sciwebinar
Greatest Alignment Opportunity:
Sales & Operations
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 16#sciwebinar
Gaps
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 17#sciwebinar
Top S&OP Challenge
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 18#sciwebinar
Operating Margin Is Among Most Tracked
and Used to Meet Corporate Goals
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 19#sciwebinar
• Important, but progress is inching along
• S&OP improves agility and alignment
• The understanding of the executive team
is a barrier
Conclusion
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 20#sciwebinar
Our Focus
2-DAY PUBLIC
TRAINING
Princeton – June 24-25
Minneapolis – August 8-9
$1500
GLOBAL
SUMMIT
PODCASTS
www.supplychaininsights.com
#sciwebinar
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 21#sciwebinar
PAST SUPPLY CHAIN INDEX WEBINARS:
AVAILABLE ON DEMAND
• From September 24, 2012:
The Supply Chain Index, 20 Years in the Making:
A Focus on Process Industries
• From October 26, 2012:
The Supply Chain Index, 20 Years in the Making:
A Focus on Discrete Industries
Webinars
www.supplychaininsights.com/upcoming-webinars
UPCOMING WEBINARS
• June 27th: Supply Chain Index III, Technology/
Apparel/
• July 11th: Big Data Supply Chains and the Future
of Analytics
• August 15th: State of Supply Chain Talent:
Missing Link in the Supply Chain
1 of 21

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June 12th S&OP Webinar by Supply Chain Insights, LLC

  • 1. TM S&OP: State of the Union June 2013
  • 2. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 2#sciwebinar Presenters Benji Green Avaya Lora Cecere Supply Chain Insights Jack Lyon Enterasys
  • 3. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 3#sciwebinar Supply Chain Insights is focused on delivering independent, actionable and objective advice for supply chain leaders. A company dedicated to research, turn to us when you want the latest insights on supply chain trends, technologies to know and metrics that matter. About Us
  • 4. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 4#sciwebinar Sales & Operations Planning: State of the Union Jack Lyon Vice President, Operations Enterasys Networks June 2013
  • 5. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 5#sciwebinar • Network Powered by INNOVATION • Delivering the Highest Quality User EXPERIENCE • Guiding Principles PEOPLE  TECHNOLGY  SERVICE • Solutions WI-FI MOBILITY DATA CENTER UNIFIED MANAGEMENT 5 Leader in Wired and Wireless Network Infrastructure and Security Solutions
  • 6. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 6#sciwebinar Getting To Mature S&OP • Journey started in 2004 • Faced a number of challenges • Collaborative approach • Tools played a big part • Short time to measured success • Setting up for the long term Enterasys in the Cloud: Quote to Demand 6
  • 7. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 7#sciwebinar • Stay committed to the process – Over communicate with shareholders • Set aggressive targets – post mortems & lessons learned • Continuous Improvement – Drive initiatives to move the process forward 7 Driving Towards Orchestrating
  • 8. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 8#sciwebinar CUSTOMERS THEREISNOTHINGMOREIMPORTANTTHANOUR OUR BELIEF
  • 9. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 9#sciwebinar • Avaya is the global business communications expert delivering open and flexible communication systems, that transform the way people collaborate to enhance performance and enable growth for companies small to large at lowest possible total cost of ownership. Who is Avaya? Unified Communications Call Center Data Networking Services & Maintenance Small & Medium Enterprise Enterprise Gov Solutions Midsize Enterprise
  • 10. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 10#sciwebinar Future State • BIC FA at 85+% • Balanced Scorecard Fact-Based Decision Making with Aligned Incentives • Fully Integrated Supplier & Distributor Co- Planning & Advanced Funnel Analytics • Simplified and controlled Portfolio • Kinaxis driven Scenario Modeling, Decision Support, and Alert System 49FY13-15 Strategic Planning Avaya – Confidential & Proprietary -- For Internal Use Only S&OP Maturity Model Key Takeaways • S&OP Maturity measured across people, processes, and tools • Customer collaboration is significant opportunity to improve S&OP process & results • Transition management (customerproduct) Organization Supplier Collaboration Customer Collaboration Demand Determination Tools & Enablers Outputs Measurements Level 1 Non-existent Level 2 Developing Level 3 Basic Level 4 Advanced Level 5 World-class No forecast accountability Forecast availability based on past supply Multiple forecasts based on historical data and current inventorylevels Based only on historical sales and simple allocation to functional areas No data integrity, simple tools; no data mining Forecasts not disseminated Forecast accuracy below 50% or not measured Centrally managed forecasting system with decentralized adjustment process Vendor managed inventory (VMI), Profit Sharing Customer collaboration (CPFR) Consensus demand plan based on key account forecasts and multi-tier forecasting Future intelligence historically based Consensus forecasts used in related planning Defined composite matrix/ Score card that is aligned with supply chain roles Bestpractices AVAYA AVAYA AVAYA AVAYA AVAYA AVAYA AVAYA Theater FA, Exp SFDC Utilizaton Disty Replen Demand Shaping Acct Trs Mngmt VMI&Prft Share Common Incentive Consens Fcst Kinaxis RR Risk Mngmt Bottom’s Up Plan Metric Optimize COE Supplier Co-Plan Environment • Limited funnel visibility @ code level • Lack of Disty Collaborative Fcst • Short customer lead-times; long supplier lead-times • Increased Asia sourcing & migration to ocean in order to lower costs • Excessive # of SKU’s • Portfolio Redundancy • High-mix/low-volume business • Difficult transition management Aggressive Portfolio Simplification - Reduce Code Count by 50%, - Eliminate Portfolio Redundancy - Component Standardization Accelerate Forward Visibility - Increase SFDC Utilization - Distributor Co-Planning - Advanced Funnel Analytics Integrated S&OP IT Platform - Single Source of Data - Multi-variable Statistical modeling - Integrated Supply/Demand Scenario Analysis Robust Transition Management - Sales Supporting ‘Center of Excellence’ - Top 50 Customer Transition Roadmap - Partner & Customer Demand Shaping Begin with the End in Mind? Dynamic Supply Flexibility - CM Component Flexibility Model - Vendor Managed Inventory & Logistics Hubbing - Kinaxis EtoE component to Disty Inventory visibility   
  • 11. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 11#sciwebinar Developing S&OP Agility? Understand the Risk! • Forecast are wrong, which way is the greatest volatility • Operational risk vary dramatically by code Operational Impact • Expedited Freight • Inventory Costs • Carrying Costs • PCR Roadmap • RFMV Risk • Mfg Transitions • Supply Flexibility • Customer Sat •Sales Margin Demand Volatility: • Forecast Accuracy • Demand Volatility • Market Trend • Large Bids • Lifecycle • Order Fill to Track • Disty Sales Out • Disty Days On Hand How much and which direction might my forecast be wrong?! Which way and how much can I afford to be wrong?! Develop a Playbook! • What risk mitigation strategy’s can we deploy in advance • What actions/levers can drive recovery if we’re wrong?
  • 12. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 12#sciwebinar Study Overview
  • 13. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 13#sciwebinar Study Results
  • 14. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 14#sciwebinar Build with the End in Mind
  • 15. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 15#sciwebinar Greatest Alignment Opportunity: Sales & Operations
  • 16. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 16#sciwebinar Gaps
  • 17. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 17#sciwebinar Top S&OP Challenge
  • 18. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 18#sciwebinar Operating Margin Is Among Most Tracked and Used to Meet Corporate Goals
  • 19. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 19#sciwebinar • Important, but progress is inching along • S&OP improves agility and alignment • The understanding of the executive team is a barrier Conclusion
  • 20. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 20#sciwebinar Our Focus 2-DAY PUBLIC TRAINING Princeton – June 24-25 Minneapolis – August 8-9 $1500 GLOBAL SUMMIT PODCASTS www.supplychaininsights.com #sciwebinar
  • 21. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2013, p. 21#sciwebinar PAST SUPPLY CHAIN INDEX WEBINARS: AVAILABLE ON DEMAND • From September 24, 2012: The Supply Chain Index, 20 Years in the Making: A Focus on Process Industries • From October 26, 2012: The Supply Chain Index, 20 Years in the Making: A Focus on Discrete Industries Webinars www.supplychaininsights.com/upcoming-webinars UPCOMING WEBINARS • June 27th: Supply Chain Index III, Technology/ Apparel/ • July 11th: Big Data Supply Chains and the Future of Analytics • August 15th: State of Supply Chain Talent: Missing Link in the Supply Chain

Editor's Notes

  1. This is the compass that guides us: “There is nothing more important than our customers”We are a customer company. We are a connected, innovative, highly serviceable company and that’s our compass. Thank you!
  2. Every company is at a different place in their S&OP Maturity. It’s very important to understand where you are starting. Some companies will not a baseline, bottom’s up statistical forecasting process and maybe that’s the starting point. Other’s may be ready for advanced integration of forecasting to drive the expense outlooks warehousing, inbound and outbound freight. I recommend external benchmarking at a minimum, potentially a consulting engagement to get a view of where you are starting and expand your ideas of the possible future state.Have a long term strategic vision of where the business needs to go. I agree strongly with Jack, dream big! Have goals big enough to excite the organization. Be sure to have an attainable path to get there, intermediate steps that can be proofs of success along the way. Be very mindful of other parts of the business that may not traditionally be considered in S&OP planning but have a huge impact on the S&OP and overall business results. R&D as an example of component commonality or Procurement for sourcing complexity. It’s critical to develop a strategy to approach each organization to optimize the long term success.