Phoenix and East Valley Real Estate Market Report for October

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Phoenix and East Valley Real Estate Market Report for October

  1. 1. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report October 2013 Phoenix Real Estate Market Report
  2. 2. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – All MLS The market is hurtling towards normality at great speed now. Sellers have had it all their own way for a couple of years but their grip on the controls is loosening. Here are the basic ARMLS numbers for October 1, 2013 relative to October 1, 2012 for all areas & types: Active Listings (excluding UCB): 20,215 versus 15,562 last year - up 29.9% - and up 11.2% from 18,182 last month Active Listings (including UCB): 23,151 versus 21,624 last year - up 7.1% - and up 8.4% compared with 21,359 last month Pending Listings: 6,576 versus 9,714 last year - down 31.8% - and down 9.9% from 7,302 last month Under Contract Listings (including Pending & UCB): 9,512 versus 15,776 last year - down 39.7% - and down 9.2% from 10,479 last month Monthly Sales: 6,307 versus 6,292 last year - up 0.2% - and down 12.9% from 7,240 last month Monthly Average Sales Price per Sq. Ft.: $120.40 versus $101.63 last year - up 18.5% - and up 1.0% from $119.26 last month Monthly Median Sales Price: $184,500 versus $150,000 last year - up 23.0% - and up 2.5% from $180,000 last month Sales volume over the last month remains fairly strong compared with last year, but pending listing counts are collapsing. A fall of 32% from October 2012 can be partly explained by the drop in short sales, but it is clear from the very strong growth in active listing counts that demand is weakening. New listings are being added at a relatively low rate, so it is not a flood of supply that is causing the changed market balance. Instead it is a sudden drop in buying interest that started mid Summer. Some would blame the rise in interest rates, yet a lot of the fall in buyer enthusiasm is among the cash buyers. Phoenix has just got too expensive for many investors and they are off somewhere where there are still plenty of foreclosures going on, such as Atlanta. Phoenix has got too expensive for many ordinary owner-occupiers too. However I doubt that it will get any cheaper. The economy probably has to improve if we are to see demand grow once more. Supply is rising and demand is falling, but pricing pressure will remain upward until they reach a balance. Indeed we are seeing upward movement in prices start again after the usual summer lull. We are on course to reach balance between supply and demand in December with both well below normal levels. If we do, then pressure on prices will be neutral. Momentum and inflation are likely to keep them going for a little while until we hit the long term trend line at around $130 per sq. ft. Look out folks - normality ahead! It could feel quite strange because we haven't had a normal market since 2002.
  3. 3. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – All MLS
  4. 4. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Active Listings – All MLS
  5. 5. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Sales Per Month– All MLS
  6. 6. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Average Sales Price– All MLS
  7. 7. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – Mesa
  8. 8. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Active Listings – Mesa
  9. 9. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Sales Per Month– Mesa
  10. 10. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Average Sales Price– Mesa
  11. 11. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – Gilbert
  12. 12. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Active Listings – Gilbert
  13. 13. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Sales Per Month– Gilbert
  14. 14. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Average Sales Price– Gilbert
  15. 15. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – Chandler
  16. 16. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Active Listings – Chandler
  17. 17. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Sales Per Month– Chandler
  18. 18. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Average Sales Price– Chandler
  19. 19. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – Tempe
  20. 20. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Active Listings – Tempe
  21. 21. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Sales Per Month– Tempe
  22. 22. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Average Sales Price– Tempe
  23. 23. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – Queen Creek
  24. 24. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Active Listings – Queen Creek
  25. 25. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Sales Per Month– Queen Creek
  26. 26. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Average Sales Price– Queen Creek
  27. 27. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – Scottsdale
  28. 28. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Active Listings – Scottsdale
  29. 29. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Sales Per Month– Scottsdale
  30. 30. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Average Sales Price– Scottsdale
  31. 31. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Market Snapshot – Gold Canyon
  32. 32. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Active Listings – Gold Canyon
  33. 33. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Sales Per Month– Gold Canyon
  34. 34. October 2013 Phoenix Market Report Average Sales Price– Gold Canyon

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