Forecasting commercial services from IrSOLaV - Luis Martin (IRSOLAV)

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Forecasting commercial services from IrSOLaV - Luis Martin (IRSOLAV)

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Forecasting commercial services from IrSOLaV - Luis Martin (IRSOLAV)

  1. 1. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  2. 2. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat IrSOLaV company profile Methodology IrSOLaV products and activities IrSOLaV data time series and reports IrSOLaV maps IrSOLaV data services IrSOLaV plant performance IrSOLaV short term forecasting IrSOLaV nowcasting Research and Development IrSOLaV partnership
  3. 3. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat IrSOLaV is a spin-off company founded in 2007.Initially formed by researchers with broadexperience in Solar Energy and solar radiationknowledge. Methodology for solar radiation derived fromsatellite information. Consulting services on solar resourcecharacterization and prediction. Involved into several relevant R&D initiatives: Task46 of IEA/SHC, COST action on solar radiation andwind forecast.
  4. 4. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat IrSOLaV have participated as INDEPENDENTconsultant and data provider in more than 3.4GWof PV and CSP solar energy projects. IrSOLaV customers are governments, mainfinancial institutions, project developers and plantoperators in 4 continents. IrSOLaV is currently headquartered in Madrid withoffices in Santiago de Chile, New Delhi and soon inChina.
  5. 5. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematHEAD OFFICEAdress: Calle Santiago Grisolia 2 (PTM) Tres Cantos -28760 - Madrid - SpainIRSOLAV-ACIRA SOLAR INDIAAdress: 63 Daryagani New Delhi 110002 - IndiaIRSOLAV-WE CONSULTING CHILEAdress: Estoril 120 Oficina 809, Las Condes, Santiago -Chile
  6. 6. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematInputs to algorithm for prediction and estimation solarradiation from satellite images are: ESRA, SOLIS, REST2 clear sky models. DirIndex to obtain DNI from GHI. Global Forecast System and MACC global models. Information about atmospheric constituents.AOD and other components from severalsatellites and models: MODIS, MISR, MACC,AERONET and NCEP. Cloud information from geostationary satellite
  7. 7. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat MPG 1994-2005 and MSG 2006 to the present.EUROPE, AFRICA and MIDDLE EAST. MPG: 5x5km2 spatial and 30 minutestemporal resolution. MSG: 1x1km2 spatial and 15 minutestemporal resolution.
  8. 8. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat MPG 1999 to the present covering MIDDLE EASTand ASIA. MPG: 5x5km2 spatial and 30 minutestemporal resolution.
  9. 9. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat GOES 1999 to 2013 covering NORHT, CENTRALand SOUTH AMERICA GOES: 1x1km2 spatial and 30 minutestemporal resolution.
  10. 10. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat MTSAT 2012 to the present covering EAST ASIAAND PACIFIC MPG: 1x1km2 spatial and 30 minutestemporal resolution.
  11. 11. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Time series of solar irradiance (GHI and DNI)from satellite images covering all the planet. Solar resource analysis reports with statisticalstudy for the long term. Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) of solarradiation components and meteorologicalvariables. Consulting services on measuring solar radiationand quality reports of solar radiation measuredon ground stations.
  12. 12. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  13. 13. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  14. 14. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  15. 15. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  16. 16. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematMonitoring performanceof PV plants and radiometricmeasurementsVirtualPIR, ftp,email, databaseIrSOLaVnear-realtimeSatellite ImagesProcessing
  17. 17. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat
  18. 18. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Analyis of energy production of the plant usingSAM, TRSYS (STEC-library), etc.. Report on energy generation with long termanalysis (probabilities P50, P70, P90)
  19. 19. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematNWP global modelGFS NCEP model.3 hours temporal resolution0.5º spatial resolutionStatistical post-processing(Downscaling)Site local predictionsTemporal interpolation withclear sky model to obtainGHIDirIndex Model to obtainDNI from GHIMACC ECMWF model.AOD and WV predictions1 hourly predictions
  20. 20. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Predictions of hourly solar radiation with atemporal horizon of 72 hours. Predictions are done 4 times per day at: 00:00 UTC 06:00 UTC 12:00 UTC 18:00 UTC Reliability of more than 99%. Delivered by FTP, mail or accessible in ourweb portal www.solarexplorer.info
  21. 21. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematBlockmatchingalgorithmCloud index to Solar RadiationMACC ECMWF model. AOD and WV 1 hourlyDirIndex Model to obtain DNI from GHIForecast cloud index
  22. 22. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Predictions of 15-60 minutes solar radiationwith a temporal horizon of 6 hours. Spatial resolution 1 km. Predictions are updated every hour. Delivered by FTP, mail or accessible in our webportal www.solarexplorer.info
  23. 23. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematTask 46 of Solar Heating and Cooling (IEA). 2011-2015Solar Resource Assessment and ForecastingActivity C.1: Short-term forecasting (up to 7 days ahead)Activity C.2: Integration of solar forecasts into operationsCOST Action WIRE 1002Benchmarking of PV predictionsDNICast 7th Framework Programme
  24. 24. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013Ciemat Global Forecasters: spin-off from CIEMAT. Wind energyservices. Geonica: provision and installation of meteorologicalstations to measure solar radiation.
  25. 25. Applications of Solar Radiation Forecasting, 11 June 2013CiematWeb: www.irsolav.comE-mail: info@irsolav.comIrSOLaV, S.L. c/ Santiago Grisolía, 2Parque Científico de Madrid28760 Tres Cantos, MadridTfno. +34 911263612 / +34 677740918

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