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Smartphone Market Trends
Justin Lee
Players Types at 3G Era
                                        Mobile
                                         33%
                                        Device
                                        Makers
                                           Competitor


                                            Mobile
                                           Internet
                               Co




                                                             r
                                           Services




                                                                o
                                                           etit
                                  m




                        Internet
                                   pe




                                                        mp
                                   tito




                        Service                                 Operator
                                                        Co
                                       r




                       33%                                         33%
                       Providers




Source: IBM Analysis
Content
         Voice

         Data    Service
Device
                 Browser   Internet
Challenge to
  Mobile Device Makers
                    Content
           Voice

           Data      Service
 Device
                    Browser    Internet


      Average selling price down
Challenge to
          Operator
                   Content
           Voice

           Data    Service
 Device
                   Browser   Internet
Challenge to
                   Operator
                                Content
                      Voice

                      Data      Service
     Device
                                Browser   Internet


                   Voice ARPU down
ARPU=average revenue per user
Challenge to
Internet Service Provider
                   Content
           Voice

           Data    Service
 Device
                   Browser   Internet
Challenge to
Internet Service Provider
                       Content
           Voice

            Data       Service
 Device
                      Browser     Internet


Mobile devices have become important nodes
Content
         Voice

         Data    Service
Device
                 Browser   Internet

    Smartphone
What is
  smartphone?
Smartphone
        is a small all-in-one device that is used for

   communication
         & computing
                                        functions.
Source: Tech-faq
Most devices considered

    smartphones
       today use an
          identifiable
                      and
       open operating system ,
   often with the

           ability to add applications.
Source: Wikipedia
OS
Modern Smartphone OS




       Symbian OS
Modern Smartphone OS




       iPhone OS
Modern Smartphone OS




      BlackBerry OS
Modern Smartphone OS




      Windows Mobile
Modern Smartphone OS




        Android
Modern Smartphone OS




        WebOS
Linux Others
                     5% 2%

   Windows Mobile
        14%



                                   Symbian OS
                                      47%

BlackBerry OS
     15%




                iPhone OS
                   17%
Voice, SMS
       Multiple Connection
                      3.5G, WiFi, Bluetooth

Personal Info. Management
  Contacts, Calendar, To Do List

   Internet Browser & Email
 Multimedia
                          GPS
      Photo, Music, Video
On 24 June 1998, Symbian Ltd. was formed to exploit
the convergence between PDAs and mobile phones.

                        NOKIA
         Ericsson               Sony Ericsson


Panasonic                                 Samsung



             Motorola            Psion
User Interface Platforms for Symbian OS


      S60                    UIQ                 MOAP(S)
one hand operation           touch              close platform




 Nokia N Series      Sony Ericsson P Series   NTT DoCoMo FOMA
Nokia N95,
   is’s what
       computers
               have become
    !quot;#$%&'!#$!
S60 Touch launched by Q4, 2008




Nokia Xpress Music 5800   Nokia N97
Nokia to acquire Symbian,
           make it open source by 2010




              unified platform
                 with common UI framework
Symbian Foundation
                     new support
Most popular smartphone platform
Best smartphone features
Large global development community


Too Complicated
Slow
iPhone OS
Mac OS X based Platform for Apple Mobile Device




                    iPhone OS




                                 iPod Touch
     iPhone
Mobile internet & entertainment
    Direct manipulation UI
iPhone OS



   Most attractive and usable smartphone
   Best browser
   App Store

   No copy and paste
   Apple’s control on 3rd party apps
BlackBerry OS
Software Platform for BlackBerry




                  BlackBerry OS




BlackBerry Flip                   BlackBerry Bold
Wireless email
QWERTY Keyboard
BlackBerry Storm with Touch Screen
BlackBerry Storm with Touch Screen
BlackBerry OS



      Best email experience
      Good usability


      Less choice
      Bad web browser
      Not media centric
Win32 based Platform
               combined with basic apps




HTC Touch Diamond          Sony Ericsson XPERIA X1
Sync with Windows PC
Outlook& Office Mobile
Bad User Experience
Windows Mobile 7
    focus on user experience
More choice
Advanced hardware
Design for business user
Special apps

Bad UI
Bad web browser
Linux based Platform for Mobile Device




  T-Mobile G1
Open source platform

Integrated with
          Google service

    Mobile internet
Open Handset alliance
   Handset Manufacturers      Software Companies




 Semiconductor Companies

                               Mobile Operators




Commercialization Companies
No limitation
Ultimate geek phone

Lack of business function
No limitation
Ultimate geek phone

Lack of business function
Can’t sync with PC
webOS
Linux Based Platform
       with Web Technology Display Layer




                    webOS




Palm Pre
Great User Experience
Cards
 multiple activities at once
Information aggregation
 Outlook, Gmail, Facebook contacts
 in one place
webOS




Too early to tell.
Market Trends
smartphones are driving
   above-average growth
                          in global handset shipment
                                        Overall        Smartphone
                    27%
                                                         24%




                                   9%             8%
         7%



                             -2%
           2008               2009                2010
Source: IDC / Dec 2008
Pure-play smartphone vendors
  have become super-profitable

                                                          35%
            Apple


                                                    30%
              RIM


                                              26%
             HTC


                                        21%
            Nokia




Source: Strategy Analytics / Jun 2008
Open Platform vs. Closed Platform
Smartphone vendor ranking
    changed last year.
                                                    Q3 07   Q3 08

                                                            51.4%
  Nokia
                                                  38.9%
                3.6%
  Apple
                                  17.3%
                         10.6%
    RIM
                              15.2%
                    6.6%
Motorola
                   5.8%
               2.7%
    HTC
                  5.8%
                                          25.1%
 Others
                                  17.0%
Source: Canalys estimates / Nov 2008
Apple shows 480% market share gain
                                                    Q3 07   Q3 08

                                                            51.4%
  Nokia
                                                  38.9%
                3.6%
  Apple
                                  17.3%
                         10.6%
    RIM
                              15.2%
                    6.6%
Motorola
                   5.8%
               2.7%
    HTC
                  5.8%
                                          25.1%
 Others
                                  17.0%
Source: Canalys estimates / Nov 2008
BlackBerry sees growth steadily
                                                    Q3 07   Q3 08

                                                            51.4%
  Nokia
                                                  38.9%
                3.6%
  Apple
                                  17.3%
                         10.6%
    RIM
                              15.2%
                    6.6%
Motorola
                   5.8%
               2.7%
    HTC
                  5.8%
                                          25.1%
 Others
                                  17.0%
Source: Canalys estimates / Nov 2008
Apple and RIM are relative
                                             closed platform
Features available

                                                                                Linux
     Whole OS
                                                                              LiMo
                                                                    Android
     Core Apps

                                            Symbian OS
User Experience
                                  Windows Mobile
                               iPhone OS
                      BlackBerry OS
Advanced Apps



    Basic Apps


                   Some Public API   Some Public API   Some Public Code   All Public Code
                                                                      Platform openness
 Source: Telefonica / Dec 2008
77%                 of iPhone purchasers
     described themselves as

             very satisfied
                       with their user   experience.


Source: Adobe / 2008
Why?
Open platform
          are theorically wonderful.
    Open is a key to innovation.
iPhone Killer?
iPhone Killer?
iPhone Killer?
User Experience Matters
Apple and RIM
 have full control of the
  hardware and software
   they use in their systems.
More tight control systems
                          work better at real world.



Source: Business Week Technology and You / Nov 2008
Power of Open Source
 WebKit: open source browser engine
Mobile Application Store
34%                 of Smartphone owners
                   have not added an application to
                                            their phone.




Source: Compete.com / Nov 2008
“I want to install applications on my smartphone,
      but I don’t know where to find them.”

                           Carol, a smartphone owner




Source: Carol / Jan 2009
“If user don’t know how to add applications,
it’s a closed platform.”

      Patrick, a smartphone owner




Source: Patrick / Jan 2009
iPhone owners
        know how to add apps

        34%



                          7%

   Smartphone owner   iPhone owner
Apple provide the
           unified source
                    for iphone applications
Apple provide the
           unified source
                    for iphone applications
“I'm not aware of anything.”

  “We have more applications and more
  phones in the hands of people and that's what
  matters at the end of the day.”



   Scott Horn, a general manager in Microsoft's mobile communications business



Source: Cnet / July 2008
Apps variety is NOT market share
                                         BlackBerry   Windows
Platform Symbian OS          iPhone OS                            Palm OS
                                             OS        Mobile


                                                      HTC, HP,
 Vendor      Nokia etc.        Apple        RIM       Motorola,    Palm
                                                       Asus


  Share         40%            17%         15%          12%         2%


  Apps         >12000         10000                    18000      29000


Source: Canalys / Dec 2008
Microsoft Skymarket

  Apple App Store
                      BlackBerry Storefront

Mobile Application Store
                     Android Marketplace
   Nokia Download!
             Plam App Catalog
Next Generation UI
Touch-Screen Phones
                                           130% last year
                   increased


                                                9.6million


                                  4.2million



                                  Sept. 2007    Sept. 2008




Source: comScore Media Matrix / 2008
Finger is the best stylus
Invisible UI
New Ecosystems Arising
ays of rich-media applications available to the consumer;
ent and brand are critical;

                      Illustration of a hypothetic ‘Apple’ centered ecosystem
em

                                                                           Mac OS X
                 iTunes
                                                         iPhones             Safari
                           iPods
dent
ue                                                                Mac PCs
tion                  TV
                                        Apple TV
ing
alty or
reness                                                               Future
                                                                     Devices
                              Large Developer Community

vice Sales
 nity

                                                                                18
Sep 2008
01 The new role of OEMs and Internet
             players                                                                 APPS
                                                                         UGC
                                             GAMES        NAVIGATION
                   MUSIC

                                                                                    MyNokia
NOKIA                                                                  LifeBlog/
                                                          Nokia Maps
                            Nokia Music
                                                                        Flicker


                                                             ----                     ----
SONY ERICSSON




                                                                       Life Diary
SAMSUNG                                                                               ----



APPLE


                                                                                    Android
GOOGLE                                         ----
                               Amazon
                                                                                     Store


  TELEFÓNICA ESPAÑA
                                                      5
  Application Innovation & Open OS devices
How to Win?
Usability
  Content
    Solutions
“I realized my competition
was pen and paper, not
computers”
 Jeff Hawkins, Founder of Palm Computing
Thank You!

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