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Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē

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Dace Lodziņa
SIA “Latvija Statoil”
Transporta degvielas departamenta vadītāja,
Vadības grupas pārstāve

Published in: Business, Technology
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Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē

  1. 1. Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē Dace Lodziņa SIA “Latvija Statoil” Transporta degvielas departamenta vadītāja, Vadības grupas pārstāve
  2. 2. Pasaules tendences World Population (Billions) Oil Demand (Million BOE/Day) GDP (Trillion 2005 US$) Source: Wood Mackenzie Source: OECD Source: EIA
  3. 3. Pasaules tendences Global Oil Demand by Sector (Million BOE/Day) Percent of Global Oil Demand Source: Wood Mackenzie Source: Wood Mackenzie
  4. 4. Pasaules tendences Source: PFC Energy Strategic Horizons + 500 million LDV in 20 Years Explosive Growth
  5. 5. Alternatīvie degvielas veidi <ul><li>Country specific and dependant on legislation </li></ul><ul><li>Connected with energy supply </li></ul><ul><li>Electricity and LPG/LNG as most growing global alternatives </li></ul>Source: PFC Energy
  6. 6. <ul><li>By 2030, 58% of world oil product demand will come from the transportation sector </li></ul><ul><li>The LDV fleet will grow by 62% by 2030, from 901 million to 1.46 billion vehicles </li></ul><ul><li>Gasoline-powered vehicles will fall from 80% of the world LDV fleet to 62% by 2030 </li></ul><ul><li>Alternative-fueled vehicles will rise from the current level of 5% of the LDV fleet to 17% by 2030 </li></ul>Pasaules tendences – galvenie secinājumi Source: PFC Energy Strategic Horizons
  7. 7. Tendences: degvielas patēriņš samazinās EU Passenger Car Fuel Efficiency (New Vehicles - Litres/100Km) Fuel Efficiency Fleet Average Prognoses: 2010 - 2040 <ul><li>US: from 10 Litres to 4 Litres </li></ul><ul><li>China: from 7.6 Litres to 4 Litres </li></ul><ul><li>EU: from 7.3 Litres to 4 Litres </li></ul>
  8. 8. Eiropas Savienībā - lielākā dizelizācija pasaulē <ul><li>The total passenger cars will grow by 5.3% from 2007 to 2030 or 11,5 million passenger cars </li></ul><ul><li>The dieselisation will reach its peak of over 54% in 2031 </li></ul><ul><li>Eastern Europe and Scandinavia 2010 ~ 23-25% diesel share </li></ul>
  9. 9. Avots: CSP, CSDD Situācija Latvijā
  10. 10. Kas notiks ar smago transportu? <ul><li>These vehicles will run on diesel also in the future - 2020 </li></ul><ul><li>Increased use of biodiesel </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Local use of B100/B30 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>B7 soon to be launched </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Very limited use of other alternative fuels </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Hydrogen, Biomethane , etc. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Mainly demonstration projects </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Some hybridisation </li></ul><ul><ul><li>As a tool for fuel savings </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Focus on reduction of fuel consumption and emissions </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Engine downsizing </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Design optimisation, etc. </li></ul></ul>
  11. 11. Prioritātes šobrīd
  12. 12. Paldies par uzmanību! Degvielas tirgus izaicinājumi nākotnē Dace Lodziņa SIA “Latvija Statoil” Transporta degvielas departamenta vadītāja, Vadības grupas pārstāve

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