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MIT Sloan: Intro to Machine Learning

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These are slides for a guest talk I gave for course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence and Robotics (GBAIR) taught in Spring 2017. Here is the YouTube video (filmed in 360/VR): https://youtu.be/s3MuSOl1Rog

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MIT Sloan: Intro to Machine Learning

  1. 1. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Machine Learning: The Promise, Limitations, and Mystery of Thinking Machines Lex Fridman https://lex.mit.edu
  2. 2. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Artificial Intelligence Technology: Limited or Limitless? Best current answer: We Don’t Know Today’s Lecture: 1. Overview current approaches 2. Highlight limitations 3. Discuss the potential (and marvel at the mystery) Time Today Special Purpose: Can it achieve a well-defined finite set of goals? General Purpose: Can it achieve poorly-defined unconstrained set of goals? Future
  3. 3. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Takeaways • Limits: Machine learning today and tomorrow. • Currently limited (data, compute, methods) • Potentially limitless (end-to-end general intelligence) • Data: • Representation matters (deep learning > representation-agnostic learning) • Human annotation is needed (annotated data > big data) • Impact: Rule of thumb for real-world machine learning: “If it takes one grad student one month to build a good software prototype, you can make a product out of it. Otherwise, it’s still research.”
  4. 4. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Machine Learning from Human and Machine Human “Teachers” “Students” Supervised Learning Human Machine Augmented Supervised Learning Human Machine Semi- Supervised Learning Human Machine Reinforcement Learning Machine Unsupervised Learning
  5. 5. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Machine Learning from Human and Machine Current successes Near-term future successes Long-term future successes
  6. 6. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Better Question: Machine Learning: Limited or Limitless? (PS: for now Machine Learning = Supervised Learning) Input Data Learning System Correct Output Training Stage: New Input Data Learning System Best Guess Training Stage: Open Question: What can’t be learned in this way? (aka “Ground Truth”)
  7. 7. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Input Data Learning System Correct Output • Number • Vector of numbers • Sequence of numbers • Sequence of vectors of numbers • Number • Vector of numbers • Sequence of numbers • Sequence of vectors of numbers
  8. 8. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Input Data Learning System Correct Output • Images • Face • Medical • Text • Conversations • Articles • Questions • Sounds • Voice • Time series • Financial • Physiological • Physical world • Location of self • Actions of others … • Classification • Regression • Sequences • Text • Images • Audio • Actions … • Nearest Neighbor • Naïve Bayes • Support Vector Machines • Hidden Markov Models • Ensemble of Methods • Neural Networks (aka Deep Learning) ...
  9. 9. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Neuron: Biological Inspiration for Computation • Neuron: computational building block for the brain • Human brain: • ~100-1,000 trillion synapses References: [18] • (Artificial) Neuron: computational building block for the “neural network” • (Artificial) neural network: • ~1-10 billion synapses Human brains have ~10,000 computational power than computer brains.
  10. 10. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Neuron: Forward Pass References: [78]
  11. 11. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Combining Neurons into Layers Feed Forward Neural Network Recurrent Neural Network - Have state memory - Are hard to train
  12. 12. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Neural Networks are Amazing References: [62] Universality: For any arbitrary function f(x), there exists a neural network that closely approximate it for any input x Universality is an incredible property!* And it holds for just 1 hidden layer. * Given that we have good algorithms for training these networks.
  13. 13. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) How Neural Networks Learn: Backpropagation Input Data Neural Network Prediction Forward Pass: Backward Pass (aka Backpropagation): Neural Network Measure of Error Adjust to Reduce Error
  14. 14. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) How Neural Networks Learn: Backpropagation Neural Network Cat Forward Pass: Backward Pass (aka Backpropagation): Neural Network Yes!
  15. 15. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) How Neural Networks Learn: Backpropagation Neural Network Cat Forward Pass: Backward Pass (aka Backpropagation): Neural Network No!
  16. 16. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Representation Matters! (Representation aka Features) References: [20] Input Data Learning System Correct Output Feature Extraction
  17. 17. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Deep Learning is Representation Learning References: [20]
  18. 18. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Deep Learning: Scalable Machine Learning References: [20]
  19. 19. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Neural Networks are Amazing: General Purpose Intelligence References: [63] Andrej Karpathy. “Deep Reinforcement Learning: Pong from Pixels.” 2016. • 80x80 image (difference image) • 2 actions: up or down • 200,000 Pong games This is a step towards general purpose artificial intelligence! Policy Network:
  20. 20. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Neural Networks are Amazing: General Purpose Intelligence References: [63] • Every (state, action) pair is rewarded when the final result is a win. • Every (state, action) pair is punished when the final result is a loss. The fact that this works at all is amazing! It could be called “general intelligence” but not yet “human-level” intelligence…
  21. 21. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Takeaways • Limits: Machine learning today and tomorrow. • Currently limited (data, compute, methods) • Potentially limitless (end-to-end general intelligence) • Data: • Representation matters (deep learning > representation-agnostic learning) • Human annotation is needed (annotated data > big data) • Impact: Rule of thumb for real-world machine learning: “If it takes one grad student one month to build a good software prototype, you can make a product out of it. Otherwise, it’s still research.”
  22. 22. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Object Recognition / Image Classification Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [4]
  23. 23. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Image Segmentation Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [96] Original Ground Truth FCN-8
  24. 24. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Video Segmentation Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [127]
  25. 25. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Object Detection / Object Localization Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [97]
  26. 26. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Colorization of Images Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [25, 26]
  27. 27. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Automatic Translation of Text in Images Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [30]
  28. 28. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Handwriting Generation from Text Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [34]
  29. 29. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Character-Level Text Generation Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [35, 39] Life Is About The Weather! Life Is About The (Wild) Truth About Human-Rights Life Is About The True Love Of Mr. Mom Life Is About Where He Were Now Life Is About Kids Life Is About What It Takes If Being On The Spot Is Tough Life Is About… An Eating Story Life Is About The Truth Now The meaning of life is literary recognition. The meaning of life is the tradition of the ancient human reproduction
  30. 30. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? Image Caption Generation Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: [43]
  31. 31. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) What can we do with Machine Learning? End-to-End Learning of the Driving Task Input Data Learning System Correct Output References: http://cars.mit.edu
  32. 32. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Open Question: What can we not do with Machine Learning? Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation
  33. 33. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Formal tasks: Playing board games, card games. Solving puzzles, mathematical and logic problems. Expert tasks: Medical diagnosis, engineering, scheduling, computer hardware design. Mundane tasks: Everyday speech, written language, perception, walking, object manipulation. Human tasks: Awareness of self, emotion, imagination, morality, subjective experience, high-level- reasoning, consciousness.
  34. 34. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation References: [132] Lidar Camera (Visible, Infrared) Radar Stereo Camera Microphone GPS IMU Networking (Wired, Wireless)
  35. 35. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation
  36. 36. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation
  37. 37. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Image Recognition: If it looks like a duck Activity Recognition: Swims like a duck Audio Recognition: Quacks like a duck
  38. 38. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation References: [133]
  39. 39. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Open Question: How much of this AI stack can be learned?
  40. 40. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Open Question: How much of this AI stack can be learned?
  41. 41. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Open Question: How much of this AI stack can be learned?
  42. 42. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Open Question: How much of this AI stack can be learned?
  43. 43. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Open Question: How much of this AI stack can be learned?
  44. 44. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Takeaways • Limits: Machine learning today and tomorrow. • Currently limited (data, compute, methods) • Potentially limitless (end-to-end general intelligence) • Data: • Representation matters (deep learning > representation-agnostic learning) • Human annotation is needed (annotated data > big data) • Impact: Rule of thumb for real-world machine learning: “If it takes one grad student one month to build a good software prototype, you can make a product out of it. Otherwise, it’s still research.”
  45. 45. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Question: Why? Answer: Data References: [6, 7, 11] Hans Moravec (CMU) Rodney Brooks (MIT) Marvin Minsky (MIT) “Encoded in the large, highly evolved sensory and motor portions of the human brain is a billion years of experience about the nature of the world and how to survive in it.… Abstract thought, though, is a new trick, perhaps less than 100 thousand years old. We have not yet mastered it. It is not all that intrinsically difficult; it just seems so when we do it.” - Hans Moravec, Mind Children (1988) Visual perception: 540 millions years of data Bipedal movement: 230+ million years of data Abstract thought: 100 thousand years of data
  46. 46. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Moravec’s Paradox: The “Easy” Problems are Hard Soccer is harder than Chess References: [8, 9]
  47. 47. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Machine Learning: The Promise, Limitations, and Mystery of Thinking Machines (Part 2) Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman
  48. 48. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Artificial Intelligence Technology: Limited or Limitless? Best current answer: We Don’t Know Today’s Lecture: 1. Overview current approaches 2. Highlight limitations 3. Discuss the potential (and marvel at the mystery) Time Today Special Purpose: Can it achieve a well-defined finite set of goals? General Purpose: Can it achieve poorly-defined unconstrained set of goals? Future
  49. 49. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) How Neural Networks Learn: Backpropagation Neural Network Cat Forward Pass: Backward Pass (aka Backpropagation): Neural Network Yes!
  50. 50. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) How Neural Networks Learn: Backpropagation Neural Network Cat Forward Pass: Backward Pass (aka Backpropagation): Neural Network No!
  51. 51. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Representation Matters! (Representation aka Features) References: [20] Input Data Learning System Correct Output Feature Extraction
  52. 52. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Deep Learning: Scalable Machine Learning References: [20]
  53. 53. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Open Question: How much of this AI stack can be learned?
  54. 54. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Question: Why? Answer: Data References: [6, 7, 11] Hans Moravec (CMU) Rodney Brooks (MIT) Marvin Minsky (MIT) “Encoded in the large, highly evolved sensory and motor portions of the human brain is a billion years of experience about the nature of the world and how to survive in it.… Abstract thought, though, is a new trick, perhaps less than 100 thousand years old. We have not yet mastered it. It is not all that intrinsically difficult; it just seems so when we do it.” - Hans Moravec, Mind Children (1988) Visual perception: 540 millions years of data Bipedal movement: 230+ million years of data Abstract thought: 100 thousand years of data
  55. 55. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Moravec’s Paradox: The “Easy” Problems are Hard References: [8, 9]
  56. 56. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Challenge and Opportunity: Real World Application (Robustness)
  57. 57. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Computer Vision for Intelligent Systems References: [120]
  58. 58. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Images are Numbers References: [89]
  59. 59. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Computer Vision is Hard References: [66, 69, 89]
  60. 60. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Object Classification Challenge: Occlusion
  61. 61. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Object Classification Challenge: Occlusion
  62. 62. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Object Classification Challenge: Occlusion
  63. 63. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Object Classification Challenge: Occlusion
  64. 64. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Object Classification Challenge: Occlusion References: [121]
  65. 65. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Robustness: >99.6% Confidence in the Wrong Answer References: [67] Nguyen et al. "Deep neural networks are easily fooled: High confidence predictions for unrecognizable images." 2015.
  66. 66. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Robustness: Fooled by a Little Distortion References: [68] Szegedy et al. "Intriguing properties of neural networks." 2013.
  67. 67. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Sensor Spoofing References: [68, 72] Camera Spoofing LIDAR Spoofing
  68. 68. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Challenge and Opportunity: Sparsely-Labeled Data
  69. 69. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Current Challenges • Lacks Reasoning: Unable to build unconstrained knowledge graphs from small human-defined seed graphs • Inefficient Learners: Every “concept” needs a lot of examples • Label Cost: Supervised data is costly
  70. 70. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Supervised Data Example: Computer Vision Datasets References: [90, 91, 92, 93] MNIST: handwritten digits ImageNet: WordNet hierarchy CIFAR-10(0): tiny images Places: natural scenes
  71. 71. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Machine Learning from Human and Machine Human “Teachers” “Students” Supervised Learning Human Machine Augmented Supervised Learning Human Machine Semi- Supervised Learning Human Machine Reinforcement Learning Machine Unsupervised Learning
  72. 72. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Machine Learning from Human and Machine Memorization Understanding
  73. 73. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Environment Sensors Sensor Data Feature Extraction Machine Learning Reasoning Knowledge Effector Planning Action Representation Image Recognition: If it looks like a duck Activity Recognition: Swims like a duck Audio Recognition: Quacks like a duck
  74. 74. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Challenge and Opportunity: Compute
  75. 75. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR)References: [137]
  76. 76. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) National Academy of Sciences: Clock Speed (MHz) Scaling Hits a Wall References: [137]
  77. 77. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Intel: Innovation Continues (Aggressively Solving Technical Challenges) References: [137]
  78. 78. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Beyond Moore’s Law: Machine Learning Massive Parallelism & Distributed Compute
  79. 79. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Beyond Moore’s Law: Machine Learning Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) Parallelism
  80. 80. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Beyond Moore’s Law: Machine Learning Custom Deep Neural Network Chips Google Tensor Processing Unit IBM True North (Brain-Inspired Chip) Intel Deep Learning Chip (Nervana Acquisition)
  81. 81. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Challenge and Opportunity: Community
  82. 82. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) GitHub Growth
  83. 83. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) http://cars.mit.edu
  84. 84. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) The Road, The Car, The Speed State Representation:
  85. 85. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) “Safety System”
  86. 86. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Learning Input
  87. 87. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Learning Input
  88. 88. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Learning Input
  89. 89. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Deep RL: Q-Function Learning Parameters
  90. 90. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) http://cars.mit.edu We ran a competition, and in one month: • 250 submission from MIT • 10,000+ submissions from outside MIT DeepTraffic
  91. 91. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) http://cars.mit.edu DeepTraffic In MIT Outside MIT
  92. 92. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) http://cars.mit.edu DeepTraffic Challenge to GBAIR Students: Make a neural network that travels 70+ mph.
  93. 93. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Challenge and Opportunity: Reward Function (aka Ethics)
  94. 94. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Defining a Good Reward Function is Difficult This example is popular but is not an engineering challenge as it’s faced by both humans and machines alike. References: [138] Instead, we want to answer the engineering question…
  95. 95. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR)
  96. 96. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Defining a Good Reward Function is Difficult Coast Runners: Discovers local pockets of high reward ignoring the “implied” bigger picture goal of finishing the race. References: [63, 64]
  97. 97. Guest Lecture: Lex Fridman Contact: fridman@mit.edu Feb 22 2017 Course 15.S14: Global Business of Artificial Intelligence (GBAIR) Question? All references cited in this presentation are listed in the following Google Sheets file: https://goo.gl/wDHwnU

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