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How Close Are We to Human Level AI? CPOSC 2019, Richard Everts

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Whether it be chat bots, sex bots, or AI assistants, everyone wants to know how close are we truly to fully autonomous artificial human life.

Follow me down the rabbit hole of the many AI and hardware challenges we face as we discuss Simulcra & Simulation, the Matrix, Elon Musk, Carl Jung, the dangers of Computer Scientists in AI, cortical structures, and where the latest breakthroughs may come next.

Full talk: https://youtu.be/SNIZbClZcF0

Published in: Technology
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How Close Are We to Human Level AI? CPOSC 2019, Richard Everts

  1. 1. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 Richard Everts Co-Founder, CEO, Sugey Founder, Lancaster AI rich@richardeverts.com All opinions are my own and not representative of my companies, organizations, or clients
  2. 2. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019
  3. 3. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 MEANING AND ASSUMPTIONS Human Level Originally Embodied
  4. 4. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 SIMILAR PROBLEM SPACE
  5. 5. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 COMPUTATIONAL EFFICIENCY – MACHINE REQUIREMENTS
  6. 6. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 COMPUTATIONAL EFFICIENCY – HUMAN REQUIREMENTS Neocortex Sparse Info Distribution
  7. 7. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 COMPUTATIONAL EFFICIENCY - COMPARISON 25W 52,000 Hours 1,625 kWh 1920 CPUS 280 GPUs ~60,000+ kWh 35X+ the power taking 500X+ space Can’t order a pizza
  8. 8. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 COMPUTATIONAL EFFICIENCY – COMING TRANSITION Neuromorphic (Intel, IBM) – Up to 50X Memresistor (Analog) – Unknown Custom Chips Not quantum Spiking & Sparse Networks
  9. 9. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 PHYSICAL MATERIALS – MACHINE VS BIO
  10. 10. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 PHYSICAL MATERIALS - BIOLOGICAL ‘
  11. 11. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 PHYSICAL MATERIALS – WHAT’S NEXT Columbia University Aslan Miriyev Columbia Engineering Augmentive Bionics Neuralink FB Brain Mouse Replacement Parts Artificial Stomach Sijo Joseph Agriculture Canada
  12. 12. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 TOO MANY COMPUTER SCIENTISTS IN AI Maybe More Depth PsychologyLess Simulacra & Simulation
  13. 13. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 DEPTH PSYCHOLOGY IN AI? Multiple Layers of Consciousness Thousand Minds Theory Creating sensor meta-networks via YOLO type voting
  14. 14. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 DEPTH PSYCHOLOGY IN AI? Alchemy Symbolic Representations (GOFAI) Malleable Time: Training sets of relational data only
  15. 15. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 AN ANSWER - SUPERINTELLIGENCE Ray Kurzweil, Elon Musk, Stuart Russell, Demis Hassabis, Sam Harris, Nick Bostrom, David Chalmers, Bart Selman, Jaan Tallinn and Max Tegmark. 9 Companies Control the majority of worldwide AI Development US: Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, IBM, and Apple China: Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent.
  16. 16. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 AN ANSWER - TIMELINE 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Embodied Simulacra Achieved Advanced Augmentation Achieved Self-aware Neo-Human Level AI: Independent or Host Simulacra Transfer Possible
  17. 17. HOW CLOSE ARE WE TO HUMAN LEVEL AI? CPOSC 2019 THANK YOU Sugey – Launching MVP soon Lancaster AI – LancasterAI.com – Get on the list ENJOY CPOSC 2019!

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