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An Integrated Transport System for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries   Mohamad K. Hasan Associate Professor Departm...
Safwat, K. N. A., & Hasan, M. K.   (2004). Predicting International Freight Flows for Trade: Simultaneous Multimodal, Mult...
 
Presentation Outlines <ul><li>1.  Problem Definition  </li></ul><ul><li>2.  Integrated Transport System in Arab Mashreq (I...
 
 
2. Integrated Transport System in Arab Mashreq (ITSAM) <ul><li>ITSAM-NETWORK, an integrated transport network </li></ul><u...
ITSAM-NETWORK  an integrated transport network
 
 
 
Traffic Flows Activity System Relationship 1 <ul><ul><li>Main Variables and Relationships in the Methodological Framework ...
 
ITSAM FRAMEWORK
 
ITSAM  DATA BASE
3. IFSTEM Modeling <ul><ul><li>Network Representation </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Model Description and Assumptions </li></...
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Model Solution <ul><li>An equivalent optimization problem </li></ul><ul><li>The solution procedure </li></ul><ul><li>The c...
An equivalent optimization problem and  The solution procedure
4. Application To A Prototype <ul><li>Prototype Network Representation </li></ul><ul><li>Prototype Link Cost Functions </l...
 
 
 
 
 
 
Prototype Output Results
Final Solution for Jeddah-Baghdad O-D pair
Final Solution for Riyadh-Beirut O-D Pair
 
 
Final Solution for Damascus-Kuwait O-D pair
Final Solution for Damascus-Jeddah O-D pair
 
5. Conclusions and Future and Current Activities <ul><li>Conclusions </li></ul><ul><li>Future and Current Activities </li>...
 
 
 
 
<ul><li>Multimodal, Multicommodity International Freight Simultaneous Transportation Network Equilibrium Model  (Recent Im...
Data Collection
Figure 1: Original Network for Goods Flows through the Ports and Lands of   Jordon, Syria, And Lebanon
Figure 2: IFSTEM Basic Network Representation for Goods Flows through the Ports and Lands of   Jordon, Syria, And Lebanon
 
 
 
 
 
Table 1: Adjusted Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Costs for Year 2001 Path O-D 1 cost cost/ton O-D 2 cost cost/t...
Table 1: Adjusted Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Costs for Year 2001 (Cont.) Path O-D 3 cost cost/ton O-D 4 cos...
Table 1: Adjusted Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Costs for Year 2001 (Cont.) Path O-D 5 cost cost/ton O-D 6 cos...
Table 2: Comparison between Observed and Adjusted IFSTEM Final Solution Based on   Legal and Illegal Costs for Year 2001 O...
Table 3: Comparison Between Observed and IFSTEM Final Solution Based on Legal Costs   Only For Year 2001  O-D Observed Ave...
Table 4:  Comparison between IFSTEM Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Cost and   IFSTEM Final Solution Based on Le...
 
Table 5:  Comparison between IFSTEM Final Solution Based On Legal Costs Only For   Year 2001 and IFSTEM Final Solution Bas...
 
 
An Integrated Transport System for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries
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Dr. Mohamad Kamal - an integrated transport system for gulf cooperation council (gcc) countries

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Dr. Mohamad Kamal - an integrated transport system for gulf cooperation council (gcc) countries

  1. 1. An Integrated Transport System for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries   Mohamad K. Hasan Associate Professor Department of Quantitative Methods and Information Systems College of Business Administration, Kuwait University P.O. Box 5486, Safat, 13055, Kuwait Fax: (965) 2483-9406 Tel.: Work: + (965)2498-8453, Home: + (965) 2482-6500, Mobile: + (965)9782-2073 Email: [email_address]
  2. 2. Safwat, K. N. A., & Hasan, M. K. (2004). Predicting International Freight Flows for Trade: Simultaneous Multimodal, Multicommodity, Network Equilibrium Model. Transportation Research Record 1882, pp. 129-139., TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C.,USA. Hasan, M. K. (2009). Multimodal, Multicommodity International Freight Simultaneous Transportation Equilibrium Model. Telecommunication Systems, Volume 40, Numbers 1-2, pp. 39-54, Springer, USA.
  3. 4. Presentation Outlines <ul><li>1. Problem Definition </li></ul><ul><li>2. Integrated Transport System in Arab Mashreq (ITSAM) </li></ul><ul><li>3. International Freight Simultaneous Transportation </li></ul><ul><li>Equilibrium Model ( IFSTEM ) </li></ul><ul><li>Application to a Prototype </li></ul><ul><li>Conclusions and Future and Current Activities </li></ul><ul><li>Recent Implementation of IFSTEM </li></ul>
  4. 7. 2. Integrated Transport System in Arab Mashreq (ITSAM) <ul><li>ITSAM-NETWORK, an integrated transport network </li></ul><ul><li>ITSAM-INFOSYS, an associated information system </li></ul><ul><li>ITSAM-FRAMEWORK, a methodological framework for issue analysis and policy formulation </li></ul>
  5. 8. ITSAM-NETWORK an integrated transport network
  6. 12. Traffic Flows Activity System Relationship 1 <ul><ul><li>Main Variables and Relationships in the Methodological Framework </li></ul></ul>Transport System Relationship 2 Relationship 3
  7. 14. ITSAM FRAMEWORK
  8. 16. ITSAM DATA BASE
  9. 17. 3. IFSTEM Modeling <ul><ul><li>Network Representation </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Model Description and Assumptions </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Delivery Cost (Price) </li></ul><ul><li>Utility Function </li></ul><ul><li>Link Cost Functions </li></ul><ul><li>Accessibility </li></ul><ul><li>Trip Generation </li></ul><ul><li>Trip Distribution </li></ul><ul><li>Modal Split and Trip Assignment </li></ul><ul><li>The IFSTEM Model </li></ul><ul><li> Model Solution </li></ul><ul><ul><li>An Equivalent Optimization Problem </li></ul></ul><ul><li>The Solution Procedure </li></ul><ul><li>The Calibration Process </li></ul><ul><li>Computer Program code </li></ul>
  10. 31. Model Solution <ul><li>An equivalent optimization problem </li></ul><ul><li>The solution procedure </li></ul><ul><li>The calibration process </li></ul><ul><li>Computer program code </li></ul>
  11. 32. An equivalent optimization problem and The solution procedure
  12. 33. 4. Application To A Prototype <ul><li>Prototype Network Representation </li></ul><ul><li>Prototype Link Cost Functions </li></ul><ul><li>Prototype Socio-economic Parameters and </li></ul><ul><li>Variables Assumed Values </li></ul><ul><li>Prototype Output Results </li></ul>
  13. 40. Prototype Output Results
  14. 41. Final Solution for Jeddah-Baghdad O-D pair
  15. 42. Final Solution for Riyadh-Beirut O-D Pair
  16. 45. Final Solution for Damascus-Kuwait O-D pair
  17. 46. Final Solution for Damascus-Jeddah O-D pair
  18. 48. 5. Conclusions and Future and Current Activities <ul><li>Conclusions </li></ul><ul><li>Future and Current Activities </li></ul>
  19. 53. <ul><li>Multimodal, Multicommodity International Freight Simultaneous Transportation Network Equilibrium Model (Recent Implementation </li></ul>
  20. 54. Data Collection
  21. 55. Figure 1: Original Network for Goods Flows through the Ports and Lands of Jordon, Syria, And Lebanon
  22. 56. Figure 2: IFSTEM Basic Network Representation for Goods Flows through the Ports and Lands of Jordon, Syria, And Lebanon
  23. 62. Table 1: Adjusted Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Costs for Year 2001 Path O-D 1 cost cost/ton O-D 2 cost cost/ton 1 99331.74 13751802.13 138.44 80315.67 11769712.28 146.54 2 188800.43 25154062.43 133.23 126280.74 18314620.45 145.03 3 152277.79 19056936.64 125.15 116561.43 16339398.16 140.18 4 191179.57 23961349.44 125.33 149867.62 21196413.13 141.43 5 245317.65 28876156.99 117.71 187379.54 26459731.94 141.21 6 107584.83 27209055.67 252.91 Total 984492.00 138009363.31 892.77 660405.00 94079875.96 714.40 Average cost 140.18   Average cost 142.46
  24. 63. Table 1: Adjusted Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Costs for Year 2001 (Cont.) Path O-D 3 cost cost/ton O-D 4 cost cost/ton 1 55722.54 9675839.89 173.64 250092.78 70311867.12 281.14 2 113027.63 19455563.78 172.13 286652.29 80156859.87 279.63 3 37486.11 5490903.52 146.48 263701.49 66631670.93 252.68 4 64679.05 9555313.85 147.73 327227.55 83094289.80 253.93 5 151551.67 25659096.34 169.31 316068.88 93464466.50 295.71 Total 422467.00 69836717.37 809.30 1443743.00 393659154.22 1363.10 Average cost 165.31   Average cost 272.67
  25. 64. Table 1: Adjusted Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Costs for Year 2001 (Cont.) Path O-D 5 cost cost/ton O-D 6 cost cost/ton 1 189330.04 51134579.13 270.08 183620.45 37009664.49 201.56 2 195085.36 51587036.95 264.43 225795.99 43747963.12 193.75 3 137153.49 26940419.20 196.43 115768.56 33660306.09 290.76 4 140684.24 27606571.92 196.23 5 143230.87 29093463.52 203.12 Total 805484.00 186362070.71 1130.29 525185.00 114417933.71 Average cost 231.37   Average cost 217.86 Total Average Cost 1169.84
  26. 65. Table 2: Comparison between Observed and Adjusted IFSTEM Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Costs for Year 2001 O-D Observed Average cost per ton Predicted Average cost Per ton Observed O-D Flows Saving in the total cost 1 139.7304751 140.1833263 984492 -445,828.44 2 141.3222818 142.4578493 660405 -749,934.47 3 169.4769156 165.3069172 422467 1,761,686.74 4 295.5521543 272.6656713 1443743 33,042,199.65 5 266.8040219 231.3665706 805484 28,544,300.02 6 195.6931669 217.8621509 525185 -11,642,817.83 Total 1208.579016 1169.842485 4841776 50,509,605.67
  27. 66. Table 3: Comparison Between Observed and IFSTEM Final Solution Based on Legal Costs Only For Year 2001 O-D Observed Average cost per ton Predicted Average cost Per ton Observed O-D Flows Saving in the total cost 1 139.0997441 138.5581836 984492 533,161.92 2 141.0280027 140.9379905 660405 59,444.47 3 169.261728 163.8659082 422467 2,279,555.82 4 295.4742529 270.6974938 1443743 35,771,272.61 5 254.6557169 224.6689715 805484 24,153,843.65 6 195.0256607 215.3559631 525185 -10,677,169.88 Total 1194.545105 1154.084511 4841776 52,120,108.58
  28. 67. Table 4: Comparison between IFSTEM Final Solution Based on Legal and Illegal Cost and IFSTEM Final Solution Based on Legal Costs Only For Year 2001 O-D Predicted Average cost per ton Based on legal and illegal costs Predicted flows Based on legal and illegal costs Predicted Average cost per ton Based on legal costs only Predicted flows Based on legal costs only Observed O-D Flows Saving in the total cost 1 140.1833263 752001.06 138.5581836 753489.02 984492 1,599,939.99 2 142.4578493 507237.61 140.9379905 508223.26 660405 1,003,722.33 3 165.3069172 320847.82 163.8659082 321361.64 422467 608,778.73 4 272.6656713 945609.1 270.6974938 945895.2 1443743 2,841,542.49 5 231.3665706 522465.15 224.6689715 523458.71 805484 5,394,808.89 6 217.8621509 344711.23 215.3559631 345608.54 525185 1,316,212.21 Total 1169.842485 3392871.97 1154.084511 3398036.37 4841776 12,765,004.64
  29. 69. Table 5: Comparison between IFSTEM Final Solution Based On Legal Costs Only For Year 2001 and IFSTEM Final Solution Based on Legal Costs Only For Year 2007 O-D Predicted Average cost per ton for year 2007 predicted flows for year 2007 Predicted Average cost per ton for year 2001 predicted flows for year 2001 Estimated- Observed O-D Flows Saving in the total cost 1 138.3074934 1017474.3 138.5581836 753489.02 1396521 350,094.15 2 140.9739634 683701.64 140.9379905 508223.26 936797 -33,699.33 3 162.819756 434408.23 163.8659082 321361.64 599278 626,935.51 4 270.6014559 1342685.2 270.6974938 945895.2 2047977 196,683.23 5 221.8480839 744003 224.6689715 523458.71 1142594 3,223,130.46 6 215.8258424 496942.9 215.3559631 345608.54 744985 -350,052.96 Total 1150.376595 4719215.27 1154.084511 3398036.37 6868151.793 4,013,091.07
  30. 72. An Integrated Transport System for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries
  31. 73. Thank You

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