2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good (FL-DSSG) Big Reveal

1. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 1 Data Science Meets Community Impact

2. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 2 FL-DSSG Team Program Directors Dr. Dan Richard Associate Professor of Psychology, Director of the Center for Community-Based Learning, University of North Florida (UNF) Dr. Karthikeyan Umapathy Associate Professor of Computing, Distinguished FIS Professor, University of North Florida (UNF) Advisory Board Members Arri Landsman-Roos Director of Analytics Jacksonville Jaguars Robert Marsh Chief Technology Officer NLP Logix Candace Dorn Business Strategy and Process Improvement JEA

3. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 3 Naveen Agarwal Principal and Founder, Creative Analytics Solutions Pavi Gupta Senior Director, Global Strategic Insights, Johnson & Johnson Vision Jay Lewis Digital Insights & Analytics Manager, TIAA Bank Victor C. Li Advanced Analytics Developer, Jacksonville Jaguars James Healy Actuarial Analyst / Data Analyst, JEA Industry Sherpas Dr. Robert Morris Chief Scientific Officer, BlueChip Financial James Parks Data Scientist, AgileThought Laurel Wainwright Environmental Services, JEA

4. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 4 Dr. Jody Nicholson-Bell Psychology, UNF Dr. Lakshmi Goel Management, UNF Dr. Haiyan Huang Management Information Systems Flagler College Dr. Beyza Aslan Mathematics & Statistics, UNF Dr. Julie Merten Public Health, UNF Dr. Georgette Dumont Political Science & Public Administration, UNF Dr. Gordon Ratika Anthropology, UNF Dr. Lauri Wright Nutrition & Dietetics, UNF Faculty Leads Dr. Xudong Liu Computing, UNF Dr. Amanda Pascale Higher Education Administration, UNF Dr. Sandeep Reddivari Computing, UNF

5. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 5 2019 FL-DSSG Interns Joseph Allen Computer Science, Master of Science Student, UNF Amitabh Bhattacharya Computer Science, Master of Science Student, UNF Nicholas Cole Public Administration Master of Public Administration Student UNF Abigail Conwell Anthropology, Bachelor of Arts Student UNF Breana Bryant Psychology, Bachelor of Science Student UNF Ashlee Larramore Anthropology & Psychology, Bachelor of Arts Student, UNF Kevin Mea Actuarial Science, Bachelor of Science Student UNF Avinash Namilla Information Systems, Master of Science, 2018 UNF Joseph Free Statistics, Master of Science Student UNF Abhishek Singh Applied Data Science, Master of Science Student, Syracuse University, NY Bridget Stanton Clinical Mental Health Counseling, Master of Science Student UNF

6. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 6 Identify a Nonprofit or Public sector organization with a ”Wicked Problem” Gather Data and Formulate a Plan Analyze the Data Improve Decision Making Process for the Client Data Science for Social Good (DSSG) DSSG concept formed and started at the University of Chicago in 2013.

7. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 7 Gaining actionable insights from data Helping Public Sector and Nonprofit Organizations make data-driven decisions Training data scientists with social conscious Florida Data Science for Social Good (FL-DSSG)

8. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 8 Data Science is Hard! Image source: https://deepconnect.cloud/data-science-is-hard/

9. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 9 DSSG is Fun

10. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 10 Rena Coughlin Nonprofit Center, CEO Dr. George Rainbolt Dean of UNF College of Arts and Sciences Dr. Sherif Elfayoumy Director of School of Computing UNF College of Computing, Engineering & Construction

11. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 11 Starting Point Behavioral Healthcare Children's Services Council of Palm Beach County UNF Foundation

12. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 12 Cory Hodak Vice Chair, Grants Committee UNF Foundation

13. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 13 Dr. Simon J. Rhodes Provost UNF

14. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 14 2019 FL-DSSG Projects 1. GTM Research Reserve - Assessing the Precision and Accuracy of Data Collected by Students 2. Starting Point Behavioral Healthcare - Understanding the Patterns of Recidivism in Mental Health 3. Children's Services Council of Palm Beach County – Determining Services that Contribute to Healthy Child Outcomes 4. Feeding Northeast Florida - Finding Data-Driven Insights in the Fight Against Hunger 5. Cathedral Arts Project - Analyzing Impacts of the Arts Education

15. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 15 GTM Research Reserve Assessing the Precision and Accuracy of Data Collected by Students

16. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 16

17. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 17 Research Education Stewardship GTM Research Reserve

18. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 18 The Education Program Pre-K through College 2012 – present 7 years of data 40 + schools and school groups 400+ water quality samples 300+ biodiversity samples 4 Living Lab Series & Summer Camps

19. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 19 Wicked Problem Unused Data 01 A Need 02 Partnership04 Constraints 03 Wicked Opportunity

20. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 20 PRECISION ACCURACY

21. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 21 GTM Research Reserve

22. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 22 Pine Island NOAA Data Sonde GTMRR Visitor Center

23. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 23 Dam Guana Lake (North) Guana River (South)

24. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 24 Pine Island NOAA Data Sonde GTMRR Visitor Center

25. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 25 Data Challenges Inconsistent Data Entry Collection Processes Volume Data Transformation Missing Data Fragmented Data Sources NOAA – 250,000+ ENTRIES RESEARCHERS – 4704 ENTRIES STUDENTS – 323 ENTRIES

27. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 27 Analysis of Variance Dissolved OxygenWater Temperature pH Turbidity Water Temperature Analysis of Variance

29. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 29 Control Chart - Water Temperature

30. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 30 Student Data Collection By Age Groups

31. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 31 Limitations Recommendations Conclusions Conclusions Student availability and seasonality Proactively train students and create routine schedules Expanding citizen science efforts

32. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 32 Understanding the Patterns of Recidivism in Mental Health

33. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 33 Crisis FacilityRecidivism Stabilized Ned

34. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 34 Opioid Epidemic National Florida Nassau County Nassau County (29 per 100,000) drug related deaths Florida (24 per 100,000) drug related deaths National (21 per 100,000) drug related deaths Source: amfAR (2017). Florida Opioid Epidemic [Webpage]. Retrieved from https://opioid.amfar.org/ FL

35. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 35 $21,313 Source: Baptist Health Hospital System. Gross charges- Not an indication of patient responsibility [Data file]. Average Cost of Care at Baptist Hospital over 8 Million within two years X 383 Patients

36. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 36 Starting Point Behavioral Healthcare Care Coordination

37. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 37 Data Process • Baptist Hospital • MHRC • County Jail • 1046 referrals for 878 clients • 13% population has recidivism • 1.5 year timeframe • Variables given (age, source, notes, and more) • Merged all trackers • Cleaned klinkers, outliers, and typo Data Received Data Description Data Preparation

38. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 38 Data Process • Extracted variables from notes feature • Gained new features; SA, Homelessness, In- Person C/C, etc. • Extracted average time between referrals and facility length of stay • Dataset too small for learning model • Used descriptive model instead Feature Engineering Data Aggregation Data Analysis

39. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 39 Recidivism 01 02 03 04 Facility Length of Stay Location Baker Act SA and MAT 6 days less than non recidivism group North Fernandina Beach X2 more prevalence X2 more prevalence

40. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 40 Under 30 Day Recidivism 01 02 03 04 Location Time Age Pain North Fernandina Beach More Time between Referral and Discharge Person to Person Contact X3 Presence of Pain

41. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 41All Patient Referral Density Scale Low Medium High Recidivism

42. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 42 14 96 8 383 156 221 26 19 20 14% RR 16% RR18% RR Agency Network RR= Recidivism Rate 148 5 9 Care Coordination

43. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 43 Crisis FacilityRecidivism Treatment Person Hope

44. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 44 Determining Services that Contribute to Healthy Child Outcomes

45. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 45 Distribution of Mothers and Children Enrolled in CSC Programs (Palm Beach County)

46. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 46 Pregnancy Prenatal and Motherhood Services Birth Child and Family Programs Kindergarten Funded Programs Counseling Triple P … 42 programs … 29 programs Nurse Family Partnership Centering Healthy Families Prenatal Plus

47. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 47 What combinations of services yield the best outcomesWicked Problem: 27,519 2012-2013 Vital Statistics Prenatal Risk 2012-2013 Infant Risk 27,519 25,282 School District Data 2017-2018 26,958 Mother Enrollment 2012-2013 15,931 Child Enrollment 8,287

48. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 48 RecommendationsChild Outcome Birth OutcomeData Cleaning

49. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 49 CSC Enrolled / Not CSC Enrolled Mothers • Mothers enrolling to CSC programs are at higher risk. • Non-enrolling mothers may not need CSC support. High Risk Low Risk Propensity Score Matching

50. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 50 CSC Non-CSC Selection Bias: Match on Risk

51. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 51 Birth Outcome Features and Metrics Feature Engineering Birth weight • Hospital Distance • Duration of Enrollment in CSC Program Gestation ≥ 2500 grams ≥ 37 weeks Birth Outcome Metrics

52. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 52 Birth Outcome Results 85 % 50 % 60 % 70 % 80 % 90 % 100 % Healthy Birth Not Enrolled / Enrolled Mothers No Enrollment CSC Enrollment 3120 3400 2500 2700 2900 3100 3300 3500 Baby Weight Healthy Weight 2500 – 4000 grams No Enrollment CSC enrollment 85 % 98 % 3120

53. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 53 Program Recommendation in Seven Dimensions Mother’s Education: • Centering program is found most effective • 95% of the less educated mothers are benefitted from this program • Program is organized in groups and mothers are allowed to share their experiences Medical Factors: • Pregnancy risk • Depression • Poor prior birth • First Pregnancy Demographics: • Race • Marriage • Education

55. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 55 Child Outcomes Analysis Pregnancy Prenatal and Motherhood Services Birth Child and Family Programs Kindergarten Language Arts Scores Math Scores Literacy Scores Social- Emotional Skills Kindergarten Ready

56. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 56 Initial Approach to Child Outcomes In the odds of good kindergarten performance 25% reduction • Initial findings not good, but explainable: there is a selection bias – CSC funded programs target at- risk mothers and children. 36% 64% Under-achieving On-target Kindergarten Performance

57. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 57 Different Approaches Risk-adjustment Repeated the initial analysis using Analyzing assessment scores Tried to look at effects of individual CSC child programs directly on assessment score. Synthesis needed… Looking at general enrollment doesn’t tell enough, and looking at specific enrollment tells too much. 01 02 03

58. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 58 1 3 2 4 Program Clustering Risk • Together clusters 3-5 constitute meaningful program enrollment. • Clusters 1 and 2 act as natural comparison groups. • Clusters 3-5 utilized by disadvantaged minorities groups. No Enrollment 1 Screening Services Only 2 Child Programs Only 3 Birth and Child Programs 4 Nurse Family Partnerships 5 5

59. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 59 No Enrollment Screening Services Only Child Programs Only Birth and Child Programs Nurse Family Partnership 1 3 2 4 5 Regression using Program Clusters Risk

60. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 60 Screening Services Child Programs Birth & Child Prog. Nurse Family Partnership 32 4 5 Difference in Language Arts Test Scores Due to Enrollment

62. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 62 Conclusions • Enrollment to CSC programs provides better outcomes than non-enrollment. • We determined clusters of program usage that benefit at-risk children over non- enrolled peers. • Examine the Nurse Family Partnership program improvements. • Analyze the effect of enrollment follow-up. • Future research may focus on the time effects associated with enrollment and the resulting changes in birth and child outcomes. Recommendations

63. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 63 Finding Data-Driven Insights in the Fight Against Hunger

64. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 64 Food Insecurity Source: https://map.feedingamerica.org/ Hunger in America

65. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 65 $1.54B Annual food budget shortage $3.22 Average meal cost Florida: Map the Meal Gap Below SNAP Above SNAP Food Insecurity Rate 13.4% 28% 72% 2.8 M Food Insecure people Food Insecurity

66. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 66 Who Are Feeding Northeast Florida? 14.1 M meals200+ food banks 150+ partners 8 counties Where: Focuses on 8 counties: Baker, Bradford, Clay, Duval, Flagler, Nassau, Putnam, St Johns How: Partners with 150+ grocery stores, retailers, manufacturers, and farms Who: A part of Feeding America, a network of 200+ food banks What: Provided more than 14.1M meals in 2018

67. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 67 Visualize the Data Understand food deserts Where is the greatest need? Understand the community as a whole Questions for FL-DSSG 01 Visualize 02 Support Research 03 Create Strategy 04 Strengthen Overview

68. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 68 Visualize Build an interactive visualization tool Analyze Identify key variables Influencing hunger Transform Data sources into a uniform and analytical format Consolidate Data sources for FNEFL to extract relevant information Our Plan of Action

69. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 69 Let’s talk Data! Data Region Partners Distribution Research Census: Factfinder, QuickFacts, Community Survey ALICE Report ~ United Way of Florida Active Agency information Retail Donors information Distribution by area Yearly Crystal Reports for distribution (4 years) Map the Meal Gap ~ Feeding America Food Access Research Atlas ~ USDA 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

70. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 70 Major Data Challenges Different sources, Lack of an ID system, Missing details Numerous factors influencing demand SAP Crystal Reports difficult to analyze Census Tract and Zip Code Indexing Quantifying Need Data Format Aggregation level

71. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 71 Our Approach 01 02 03 04 Demographics Need Operations Ranking Understand the population Quantify need in regions Look at FNEFL partners and distribution Rank region based on criticality

72. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 72 Demand From research and reports on Need Supply FNEFL’s local distribution Rank Areas based on difference Difference Scale: Number of meals

73. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 73 Putting it all together: FNEFL Dashboard Grants Support Enrich grants with visualizations and insights backed by data Interactive User-friendly and customized Sustainable Add data for relevance and future use Drill down Get details at granular level

78. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 78 Future Outlook… Data Better collection and maintenance Data-driven Grants and operation Hunger Network UNF partnership with FNEFL

79. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 79 Cathedral Arts Project Analyzing the Impacts of Arts Education

81. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 81 Benefits of Arts Education Enroll in College Higher Academic Achievement Better Attendance Complete High School Source: (Hardiman, 2016)

83. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 83 A heart for children and the arts Schools and Partnership Sites requested arts programs to be provided at their locations Serving 29,000 students 53 in-school, out-of-school, and summer art programs Cathedral Arts Project

84. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 84 Title I Schools CAP Target: 40% or more students from low income families

85. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 85 FL- DSSG Focus Investigate the impact CAP programs have on students within DCPS Help tell the story of their impact by using a data dashboard

86. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 86 Data CAP Student Information Pre CAP DCPS Comparison Populations • Demographics • Attendance • Infractions • Test scores • Assessment scores • 2016, 2017 student information before they entered the program • Data dependent on start date • Averaged student information for each school • Overall DCPS student information

87. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 87 Pre & Post • Administered by CAP teachers • Split into general and art skills • Tracks growth Assessments i-Ready & Achieve 3000 • Administered in fall, winter, and spring • Tracks students’ progress over the school year Test Scores Infractions • Class I to IV Discipline Final Quarter • Science, Math, and Language Arts • Standard scale, A-F, converted to numbers Grades Variables of Interest Yearly Percentage • Days attended/180 *100 Attendance

88. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 88 CAP Dashboard Demo

92. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 92 Future Directions Using the dashboard, CAP has access to student information related to programs and schools – which will allow them to target schools and enhance particular programs. Expansion of CAP

93. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 93 This is important because CAP targets students who wouldn’t have access to art education otherwise CAP can use dashboard to monitor students progress Conclusion CAP GOAL: Empower underserved, school-aged children to succeed in all areas of their lives by providing access to instruction in the visual and performing arts CAP benefits students in terms of academic and life achievement

94. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 94 GTM Research Reserve Starting Point Behavioral Healthcare Feeding Northeast Florida Josephine Spearman Dawn Forbes Jess Goodkind Education Coordinator Executive Assistant Grants & Research Manager Cathedral Arts Project Akacia Powell Program Data Specialist Children's Services Council of Palm Beach County Amy Lora Evaluation Lead

95. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 95 If you have a question, please keep your hand up, one of us will get to you with a mic.

97. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 97 Getting Ready for FL-DSSG 2020 Submit Proposal Application in January 2020 Identify Data Sources and associated variables Get Commitment from everyone involved Identify a Wicked Problem and its Social Goodness

99. 2019 Florida Data Science for Social Good Big RevealAugust 20, 2019 99 Resources • Reference Hardiman, M. M. (2016). Education and the Arts: Educating Every Child in the Spirit of Inquiry and Joy. Creative Education, 7(14), 1913-1928. doi:10.4236/ce.2016.714194 • FL-DSSG Website Link http://dssg.unf.edu/ • CAP Project images – Paint kid source: https://www.pexels.com/photo/4k-wallpaper-blur-boy-carefree-1149022/ – Studying kid source: https://www.pexels.com/photo/rear-view-of-boy-sitting-at-home-256548/ – Picture collage is based on pictures provided by CAP. • PowerPoint Template – This presentation was prepared using template developed by Aaron Kneile of DesignSmash. Template is available in Envato Market. – https://graphicriver.net/item/i9-template-system/10955645

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