Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.

BPMNext 2013 Swenson

1,395 views

Published on

Presentation from BPMNext on Antifragility and how that relates

Published in: Technology, Business
  • DOWNLOAD THAT BOOKS INTO AVAILABLE FORMAT (2019 Update) ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... Download Full PDF EBOOK here { http://bit.ly/2m6jJ5M } ......................................................................................................................... Download Full EPUB Ebook here { http://bit.ly/2m6jJ5M } ......................................................................................................................... Download Full doc Ebook here { http://bit.ly/2m6jJ5M } ......................................................................................................................... Download PDF EBOOK here { http://bit.ly/2m6jJ5M } ......................................................................................................................... Download EPUB Ebook here { http://bit.ly/2m6jJ5M } ......................................................................................................................... Download doc Ebook here { http://bit.ly/2m6jJ5M } ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... ................................................................................................................................... eBook is an electronic version of a traditional print book that can be read by using a personal computer or by using an eBook reader. (An eBook reader can be a software application for use on a computer such as Microsoft's free Reader application, or a book-sized computer that is used solely as a reading device such as Nuvomedia's Rocket eBook.) Users can purchase an eBook on diskette or CD, but the most popular method of getting an eBook is to purchase a downloadable file of the eBook (or other reading material) from a Web site (such as Barnes and Noble) to be read from the user's computer or reading device. Generally, an eBook can be downloaded in five minutes or less ......................................................................................................................... .............. Browse by Genre Available eBooks .............................................................................................................................. Art, Biography, Business, Chick Lit, Children's, Christian, Classics, Comics, Contemporary, Cookbooks, Manga, Memoir, Music, Mystery, Non Fiction, Paranormal, Philosophy, Poetry, Psychology, Religion, Romance, Science, Science Fiction, Self Help, Suspense, Spirituality, Sports, Thriller, Travel, Young Adult, Crime, Ebooks, Fantasy, Fiction, Graphic Novels, Historical Fiction, History, Horror, Humor And Comedy, ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... .....BEST SELLER FOR EBOOK RECOMMEND............................................................. ......................................................................................................................... Blowout: Corrupted Democracy, Rogue State Russia, and the Richest, Most Destructive Industry on Earth,-- The Ride of a Lifetime: Lessons Learned from 15 Years as CEO of the Walt Disney Company,-- Call Sign Chaos: Learning to Lead,-- StrengthsFinder 2.0,-- Stillness Is the Key,-- She Said: Breaking the Sexual Harassment Story That Helped Ignite a Movement,-- Atomic Habits: An Easy & Proven Way to Build Good Habits & Break Bad Ones,-- Everything Is Figureoutable,-- What It Takes: Lessons in the Pursuit of Excellence,-- Rich Dad Poor Dad: What the Rich Teach Their Kids About Money That the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!,-- The Total Money Makeover: Classic Edition: A Proven Plan for Financial Fitness,-- Shut Up and Listen!: Hard Business Truths that Will Help You Succeed, ......................................................................................................................... .........................................................................................................................
       Reply 
    Are you sure you want to  Yes  No
    Your message goes here

BPMNext 2013 Swenson

  1. 1. © Copyright 2013 Keith D SwensonKeith D SwensonMarch 2013Antifragile Systems forInnovation and LearningOrganizations
  2. 2. We know whatfragility is.But what isthe opposite?Fragile
  3. 3. ?Fragile Robust
  4. 4. Fragile Robust Antifragile
  5. 5. MusclesareAdaptiveThe Body isAntifragile
  6. 6. Learning is Adaptive
  7. 7. “The only sustainable competitiveadvantage is an organizationsability to learn faster than thecompetition.”- Peter M. Senge,The Fifth Discipline: The Art & Practice of The Learning Organization
  8. 8. IT System Perfection
  9. 9. Enlightenment Bias:- Sub-parts of a complex systemare simpler- A stable system is made fromvery hard & durable sub-parts.
  10. 10. “Stability is a Time Bomb”- Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile
  11. 11. Adaptive Systems crave ExerciseProtected Exposed
  12. 12. Adaptive Systems NEED ExerciseProtected Exposed
  13. 13. Adaptive Systems NEED ExerciseProtected Exposed
  14. 14. Forests are Adaptive
  15. 15. Monocultures are Fragile
  16. 16. “Nature loves small error, humansdon’t — hence when you rely onhuman judgment you are at themercy of a mental bias thatdisfavors antifragility.”- Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile
  17. 17. Enforcing a single bestpractice on the organization,can make it … fragile
  18. 18. “No plan survives contact withthe enemy.”- Helmuth von Moltke the Elder“Planning is essential, plans areworthless.”- Dwight D. Eisenhower.
  19. 19. The Planning Fallacy“The future is uncertain –but this uncertainty is atthe very heart of humancreativity”- Ilya Prigogine
  20. 20. The Planning Fallacy“In an unpredictable world,sometimes the bestinvestments are those thatminimize the importance ofpredictions.”- - Gökçe Sargut and Rita Gunther McGrath
  21. 21. Seven Domains of PredictabilityApplicationDevPDSIntegrationHumanPMPCMACMSBSEmail,Texting,Twitter,TelephoneVariable, UniquePredictable, RepeatableNotesDocuments& UnstructuredDataDatabases &StructuredData
  22. 22. Adaptive Case ManagementApplicationDevPDSIntegrationHumanPMPCMACMSBSEmail,Texting,Twitter,TelephoneVariable, UniquePredictable, RepeatableNotesDocuments& UnstructuredDataDatabases &StructuredData
  23. 23. SummaryOrganizations are antifragileThey improve when stressed.They crave stress (exercise).Planning is a part of workingNot something to be eliminatedI.T. systems should promote variationDemo:Enforcing a single best practicecan make organization fragile.http://www.bpmnext.com/bpmnext-2013-presentations/antifragile-systems-for-innovation-and-learning-organizations/
  24. 24. Keith D SwensonAdaptive Case Managementhttp://social-biz.org/

×