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How to Harness Uncertainty to Catalyze Innovation

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Sunnie Giles Summit Conference 2019 12-13

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How to Harness Uncertainty to Catalyze Innovation

  1. 1. How to Harness Uncertainty to Catalyze Innovation Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 1 2019 Summit Conference December 14, 2019 Dr. Sunnie Giles Quantum Leadership Group
  2. 2. A little about me COPYRIGHT QUANTUM LEADERSHIP GROUP, 2017. 2
  3. 3. 3 A dragon born in a stream
  4. 4. 4 Go game
  5. 5. 5 AlphaGo vs. Lee Sedol
  6. 6. 6 Chess Go # of possible board configurations 10120 10170 The # of possible moves in each turn 35 250 A Whole Different Game
  7. 7. 7
  8. 8. Self-Organization Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 8
  9. 9. 9 Source: Harvard Business Review, March 15, 2016 My Research on Harvard Business Review
  10. 10. 10
  11. 11. 11 AlphaGo’s Simple Rules Source: Nature 2017
  12. 12. Simple Rules Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 12
  13. 13. 13
  14. 14. Trial & Error Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 14 Source: Wiki Media Commons
  15. 15. 15
  16. 16. Deep Expertise Can Be a Penalty Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 16
  17. 17. Specialization vs. Intelligence Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 17
  18. 18. 18
  19. 19. 19 Diversity of Input ◼ $600k prize money ◼ 400 MB of geological data ◼ Identified 110 targets ◼ 50% new; 80% successful ◼ $3 billion gold mined ◼ From $100 million to $9 billion
  20. 20. How AlphaGo Won in Complex Go ◼ Use self-organizing agents ◼ Establish simple rules ◼ Allow lots of trial and error ◼ Use general intelligence ◼ Ensure diversity of input Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 20
  21. 21. DeepBlue vs. Gary Kasparov Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 21
  22. 22. From complicated to complex From chess to Go COPYRIGHT QUANTUM LEADERSHIP GROUP, 2017. 22
  23. 23. ABC Auto Manufacturing Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017.
  24. 24. The Big Picture COPYRIGHT QUANTUM LEADERSHIP GROUP, 2017. 24 Leadership Basis of Competition System Structure Environment Command & control Efficiency Complicated One to many Stable
  25. 25. Industrial Era Resources & Practices COPYRIGHT QUANTUM LEADERSHIP GROUP, 2017. 25 ◼ Input: ◼ Equipment ◼ Raw Materials ◼ People ◼ HR ◼ Legal
  26. 26. Self-driving Car Startup Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017.
  27. 27. The Big Picture COPYRIGHT QUANTUM LEADERSHIP GROUP, 2017. 27 Leadership Basis of Competition System Structure Environment Command & control Efficiency Complicated One to many Stable Unpredictable Quantum Learning & Innovation Complex Many-to-many
  28. 28. A New Organizational Structure COPYRIGHT QUANTUM LEADERSHIP GROUP, 2017. 28
  29. 29. From Complicated to Complex Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 29 ◼ Complicated ◼ Complex
  30. 30. What Led to Brexit? COPYRIGHT QUANTUM LEADERSHIP GROUP, 2017. 30 Source: Wiki Commons Source: Massimo Sestini
  31. 31. How to Win in This New VUCA Era ◼ Use self-organizing agents ◼ Establish simple rules ◼ Allow lots of trial and error ◼ Use general intelligence ◼ Ensure diversity of input Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 31
  32. 32. The Prize of Quantum Leadership: Companies on S&P 500 Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 32 Walmart Exxon Mobile Chevron GE Bank of America ConocoPhillips AT&T Ford JP Morgan Chase HP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2010 ◼ Where will your organization be in 8 years? 2018 Apple Microsoft Amazon Berkshire Hathaway Facebook JP Morgan Chase Johnson & Johnson Exxon Mobile Alphabet Class C Alphabet Class A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
  33. 33. 33 A dragon born in a stream
  34. 34. Sunnie Giles: Radical Innovation, the book + Innovation Training • On Amazon • Three-day workshop • sunnie@sunniegiles.com • Cell: 818-859-6519 • www.sunniegiles.com Copyright Quantum Leadership Group, 2017. 34

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