MD Vision Quest: Scenario Building

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Slides for an online blended learning course for the Maryland Vision Quest group.

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  • Or…we could take a slightly more pessimistic route.Here is where the book starts over again … which allows you to build a new scenario using a different perspective.
  • Method outlined in Foresight article. Page 37 --
  • Each group’s spokesperson needs to share:The group’s perspective (miracle, disaster, status quo)The group’s 3 hypotheses for the future
  • MD Vision Quest: Scenario Building

    1. 1. Scenarios: Very Serious Fiction<br />
    2. 2. Why Build Scenarios<br />
    3. 3. How to Build Scenarios: The Process<br />Select<br />
    4. 4. How to Build Scenarios: Perspectives<br />
    5. 5. How to Build Scenarios: Methods<br />
    6. 6.
    7. 7.
    8. 8. Other Methods: Fortunately / Unfortunately<br />
    9. 9. Other Methods: Scenario Construction for Forecasting<br />Figure 2: The Process of Scenario Formulation, p. 40. Forge, Blackman, Bohlin.<br />
    10. 10. Preparing to Practice<br />Claim your space and use the text tool to share one library trend that you brought with you<br />
    11. 11. Breakout Group Recap<br />
    12. 12. Limitations to Scenario Building<br />

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