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Jp Presentation Bulgaria


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Jp Presentation Bulgaria

  1. 1. Bulgaria in Transition: Training a New Generation of Managers for the Turbulent World John Pourdehnad Dinner Lecture, Tuesday, June 17, 2008 Organizational Dynamics Degree Programs University of Pennsylvania
  2. 2. Where is Bulgaria ?
  3. 3. Area : 110,910 sq. km.
  4. 4. Climate Continental--mild summers and cold, snowy winters.
  5. 5. People
  6. 6. Population(2006): 7,679,290
  7. 7. Growth Rate (2006): -0.51%.
  8. 8. Religion (2001) Bulgarian Orthodox 82.6%, Muslim 12.2%, others
  9. 9. Ethnic groups (2001): Bulgarian 83.94%, Turkish 9.42% Roma 4.68% other 2% (including Macedonian, Armenian, Tatar, Circassian).
  10. 10. Health : Life expectancy (2006)— male 68.68 years; female 76.13 years. Infant mortality rate (2006)--19.85 deaths/1,000 live births.
  11. 11. Work force (2005): 3,34 million Agriculture--11%; industry--32.7%; services--32%
  12. 12. Government <ul><li>Type : Parliamentary democracy. Constitution : Adopted July 12, 1991. Independence : 1908 (from the Ottoman Empire). Branches : Executive --president (chief of state), prime minister (head of government), Council of Ministers (cabinet). Legislative --unicameral National Assembly or Narodno Subranie--240 seats. Members are elected by popular vote of party/coalition lists of candidates for 4-year terms. As of January 2008, seat allocation is as follows: CfB--82, NMSS--36, MRF--34, UDF--16, DSB--16, BND--16, BPU--13, Ataka--11, and independents--16. Judicial --three-tiered system. Administrative divisions : 28 provinces plus the capital region of Sofia. Suffrage : Universal at 18 years of age. </li></ul>
  13. 13. Economy <ul><li>GDP (2006): $31.49 billion. Real GDP growth : 6.1% (2006); 5.5% (2005); 5.7% (2004); 4.3% (2003). Per capita GDP (PPP, 2006): $10,700. Inflation rate : 12.5% (2007), 6.5% (2006); 5% (2005); 6% (2004); 5.6% (2003). Unemployment rate : 6.62% (November 2007), 9.61% (2006 average); 11.5% (2005); 12.7% (2004 average); 14.25% (2003 average). Natural resources : Bauxite, copper, lead, zinc, coal, and timber. Official exchange rate : Lev per $1 U.S.=1.42 (2007 average); 1.56 (2006 average); 1.57 (2005 average); 1.58 (2004 average); 1.73 (2003 average). </li></ul>
  14. 14. Bulgaria's economy contracted dramatically after 1989 with the collapse of the COMECON system and the loss of the Soviet market, to which the Bulgarian economy had been closely tied. The standard of living fell by about 40%. In addition, UN sanctions against Yugoslavia and Iraq took a heavy toll on the Bulgarian economy. The first signs of recovery emerged when GDP grew in 1994 for the first time since 1988, by 1.4% and then by 2.5% in 1995. Inflation, which surged in 1994 to 122%, fell to 32.9% in 1995. During 1996, however, the economy collapsed due to shortsighted economic reforms and an unstable and de-capitalized banking system. Under the leadership of former Prime Minister Ivan Kostov (UDF), who came to power in 1997, an ambitious set of reforms were launched, including introduction of a currency board regime , bringing growth and stability to the Bulgarian economy. The currency board contained inflationary pressures and the three-digit inflation in 1997 was cut to only 1% in 1998. Following declines in GDP in both 1996 and 1997, the Bulgarian Government has delivered strong, steady GDP growth in real terms in recent years. Prime Minister Simeon Saxe-Coburg's economic team of young, Western-educated financiers continued to implement measures that helped sustain stable economic growth and curb unemployment. Measures introduced by the government were targeted at reducing corporate and individual taxes , curtailing corruption , and attracting foreign investment . The government also restructured the country's foreign debt, revived the local stock market, and moved ahead with long-delayed privatization of some major state monopolies . As a result of this progress, in October 2002 the European Commission declared Bulgaria had a &quot;Functioning Market Economy.&quot; Bulgaria's current government has continued these reforms, and in 2007 the country joined the European Union . According to the World Bank, in 2006 Bulgaria attracted the highest levels of foreign direct investment, as a share of GDP, among Eastern European countries. A growing current-account deficit (estimated to have reached 20% of GDP at the end of 2007) and excessive reliance on foreign capital inflow render the economy vulnerable to external shocks. In early 2007, to attract additional foreign investment, the Bulgarian Government lowered corporate tax rates to 10%, reportedly the lowest rate in Europe. A flat-tax rate of 10% for personal income, in place as of January 1, 2008, will further decrease domestic labor costs and help reduce the share of the &quot;gray&quot; economy . In response to local governments' demand for financial independence in 2006, parliament passed fiscal decentralization of municipalities, granting them authority over collection and administration of some taxes, thus further enhancing local economic stability. Despite Bulgaria's many marked successes, organized crime and corruption remain problems.
  15. 15. 75/2008 - 2 June 2008 Europe in Figures – Eurostat Yearbook 2008 The diversity of the EU through statistics
  16. 16. The population of the EU27 reached 495 million in 2007, compared with 479 million in 1997, a growth of 3.4%. The Member State with the highest population growth was Ireland (+18.0%), followed by Cyprus (+16.9%), Luxembourg (+14.2%) and Spain (+12.5%). The population fell in eight Member States, with the largest declines in Bulgaria (-7.9%), Latvia (-6.7%) and Lithuania (-5.7%). In 2005, the world population was 6.5 billion, more than double than the 3.0 billion recorded in 1960. The share of the EU27 has, however, declined from 13.3% in 1960 to 7.5% in 2005. Population change between 1997 and 2007 ranged from -8% in Bulgaria to +18% in Ireland
  17. 17. Expressed in euro, the average hourly labor cost 3 in the EU27 in 2006 was €20.35. Sweden (€32.16) had the highest hourly labor cost in 2006, followed by Denmark (€31.98 in 2005), Luxembourg (€31.98) and Belgium (€31.58). Bulgaria (€1.65), Romania (€2.68), Latvia (€3.41) and Lithuania (€4.21) had the lowest. Within the structure of the labor costs, the highest share of social security costs paid by the employer was found in Sweden (30.6%), followed by Belgium (30.3%) and France (28.6%) and the lowest shares in Malta (6.9%), Denmark (10.9%), Slovenia (13.4%) and Cyprus (15.1%). Labor costs in 2006 varied by one to twenty in the EU27
  18. 18. There were 1.3 billion nights spent in hotels and other collective accommodation establishments by residents in their own countries in the EU27 in 2006. Germany (298 million nights, 22% of the EU27 total) had the highest number, followed by Italy (210 million, 16%), France (192 million, 14%) and the United Kingdom (175 million, 13%). In addition, there were almost 1 billion nights spent by non-residents in hotels and other collective accommodation in the Member States of the EU27 in 2006. Spain (225 million nights, 24% of the EU27 total) recorded the highest number, followed by Italy (160 million, 17%) and France (106 million, 11%). The tourism intensity (total number of nights spent by residents and non-residents per inhabitant) was 4.7 in the EU27 in 2006. The highest intensity was found in Cyprus (18.8), Malta (18.3), Austria (11.9) and Spain (8.7), and the lowest in Lithuania and Romania (both 0.9), Poland (1.3) and Latvia (1.4). Spain, Italy and France had highest numbers of nights spent in hotels by non-residents
  19. 19. Thanks To: Yuri Alakalay – Former Dean, School of Management, Chairman Society for Organizational Excellence Georgi Jadkov – e-learning expert at School of Management; CEO Society for Organizational Excellence Moris Greenberg – Vice-Rector for Quality Management Alexander Pozharliev – Dean School of Management Mike Yanakiev – Former Fulbright Scholar at the Wharton School and USC
  20. 20. New Bulgarian University
  21. 21. New Bulgarian University (Нов български университет, abbreviated as НБУ, NBU ) is a private institution of higher education based in Sofia , the capital of Bulgaria . It was established on 18 September, 1991 by a group of Bulgarian intellectuals aimed at creating a university to modernise Bulgarian higher education yet preserve its traditions. 2,500 students were welcomed during the first year and a test of general education was introduced in 1995 and established as a uniform standard for the reception of students in 1996 . As of 2004 , the university has 7,551 current students and 3,201 graduates. New Bulgarian University
  22. 22. <ul><li>School of Management was established in 1993 in collaboration with the Open University (UK). </li></ul><ul><li>Professional Programs – </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Certificate in General Management 300 students per year </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Diploma in General Management 5 0 students per year </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Both programmes are validated by Open University Validation Services </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Bachelor Program in Business Administration – 50 students per year </li></ul><ul><li>Master's Program in Human Resource Management – 120 students per year. The program is validated be Open University Validation Services </li></ul><ul><li>Master's Program in Management for Organizational Excellence – 50 students per year   </li></ul><ul><li>Certificate Project Management for IT People  </li></ul><ul><li>In-company training – 300-600 people per year </li></ul>School of Management
  23. 23. <ul><li>We define Excellence as the outstanding practice in managing the organisation and achieving results. Truly Excellent organisations are those that strive to satisfy their stakeholders by what they achieve, how they achieve it, what they are likely to achieve and the confidence they have that the results will be sustained in the future. </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Students are mainly executives (CEOs, senior and middle management positions) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Companies – Nestle, Nuclear Power Station, Neftohim Bourgas, Chelopech Mining. </li></ul></ul>Management For Organizational Excellence
  24. 24. Library Administration School of management Students Practitioners Organizational excellence Competition Employers Instructors Alumni Technology Political Environmental Economic Social EU
  25. 25. Design for Master's Program Management for Organizational Excellence Education Research Consulting Management for Organizational Excellence Systems Thinking Design Center
  26. 26. Structure of Master's Program Management for Organizational Excellence Education Value Skill acquisition Mindset change Action learning Continuous learning
  27. 27. Thinking Differently <ul><li>&quot;your people may not have the skills to handle fluid situations. So they do everything in their power to avoid them. It takes a certain mindset and comfort level to deal successfully with risk . That is something that soldiers have long understood. At every military academy, they teach, 'the battle plan is the first casualty of war.' The aphorism means that once the fighting starts, it is almost certain to evolve in a way that no one could foresee.......but if you have the right people , people who have the right mindset , there are specific tools you can use to produce profitable growth..... </li></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Source: Ram Charan, Profitable Growth, (2004) </li></ul></ul></ul></ul></ul>
  28. 28. This Is the Visual Thesaurus Depiction of the Word ”Thinking”, Which Is the Fundamental Cognitive Behavior of OE’s As They Try to Manage Complexity . <ul><li>For example: Outside-the-box-thinking, divergent thinking, logical thinking, free association, etc., all represent thinking “strategies” that we can explore to help reduce complexity and see the “whole” better. </li></ul>
  29. 29. student Process owner Reflection System thinking Learner centered Team player Self-conscious Mindset Change
  30. 30. <ul><li>The EFQM Excellence Model is a practical tool that can be used in a number of different ways: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>As a tool for Self-Assessment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>As a way to Benchmark with other organizations </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>As a guide to identify areas for Improvement </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>As the basis for a common Vocabulary and a way of thinking </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>As a Structure for the organization's management system </li></ul></ul>The EFQM Excellence Model
  32. 32. Skill Acquisition
  33. 33. Action Learning <ul><li>What exactly is action learning? </li></ul><ul><li>Simply described, action learning is a dynamic process that involves a small group of people solving real problems, while at the same time focusing on what they are learning and how their learning can benefit each group member, the group itself and the organization as a whole. Components of an Action Learning Program : </li></ul><ul><ul><li>A problem (project, challenge, opportunity, issue or task) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>An action learning group or team </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>A process that emphasizes insightful questioning and reflective listening </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Taking action on the problem </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>A commitment to learning </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>An action learning coach </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Source: </li></ul>
  34. 34. CONTINUOUS LEARNING <ul><li>Self-control </li></ul><ul><li>Ability to distribute attention over many factors </li></ul><ul><li>Ability to perceive dynamic relationships </li></ul><ul><li>A high level of intellectual development </li></ul><ul><li>A powerful memory for the project vision </li></ul><ul><li>Powers of synthetical thought and imagination </li></ul><ul><li>Cognitive fitness </li></ul><ul><li>Ability to think concretely </li></ul><ul><li>Combinative ability </li></ul><ul><li>A disciplined will </li></ul><ul><li>A highly active intellect </li></ul><ul><li>Disciplined emotions </li></ul>
  35. 35. Competence Standards Achieving results Working with people Change management Providing direction Using recourses Self management Communication skills IT Skills
  36. 36. The role of OE graduates - leader - strategist <ul><li>system </li></ul><ul><li>integrator </li></ul><ul><li>change agent </li></ul>
  37. 37. developing the society for OE!
  38. 38.
  39. 39. Slide 2: Slide 3: Slide 4: jpg Slide 32: Slide 34: Slide 35: Based on Slide 36: Slide 37: References