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Nordledger regtech 2017_02_09.pptx

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#Blockchain Golden Age vision to Regulation 2.0 Government registries

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Nordledger regtech 2017_02_09.pptx

  1. 1. RegTech 2.0
  2. 2. 6 Age of Massive Multiparty ICCT** 2015 2035 a.k.a Blockchain golden age (China) 5 Age of Information 1971 2010 - 2020 2015* & Telcos (USA, Europe, Asia) 4 Age of Oil, Automobile 1908 1960-1970 1974 Mass production (USA, Europe) 3 Age of Steel, Electricity 1875 1904-1914 1920 & Engineering (USA & Germany) 2 Age of Steam 1829 1866-1873 and Railways (Britain & USA) 1 The Industrial 1771 1820 Revolution (Britain) Installation period Deployment periodTechnological revolution *Carlota Perez, Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital, 2003, p.87 Dept cycle ** Information Coordination Computing Technology: Richard Baldwin, The Great Convergence , 2016
  3. 3. attention tech 1918 99 years later: Who has the people now?
  4. 4. The tissue connecting 3bn active users* 0.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 Facebook Messenger WhatsApp Instagram WeChat Baidu Maps iOS Google Android Chinese Android Bn mau* ** mau = monthly active users
  5. 5. The tissue connecting 3bn active users* 0.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 Facebook Messenger WhatsApp Instagram WeChat Baidu Maps iOS Google Android Chinese Android - WeChat - messaging service offers 815 million monthly active users access to 12 million Applications & AI -Chat Bots trying to catch your attention and intent 24/7
  6. 6. 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 mau 2013 2014 2015 2016 WeChat monthly active users (MAUs) & est* revenue *ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) $7 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.9 5.6 $ Bn*
  7. 7. Chinese yuan. Rate: US$1 = RMB 6.5. Tencent Llc owns and develops WeChat and several other Internet Plus Ecosystem companies. They contribute to Massive Multiparty Computing offering a combination of mobile ChatBots + AI + B2C interaction.
  8. 8. WeChat Bots - simple IX-I for B2C service value chain
  9. 9. The tissue connecting 3+bn people mobile monthly active users / devices (Bn) WhatsApp 0.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 Facebook Messenger WhatsApp Instagram WeChat Baidu Maps iOS Google Android Chinese Android - WhatsApp 2017 - enables B2C messaging services - offers businesses access to 1 billion monthly active users
  10. 10. 1B 42B 1 Billion monthly active users 42 Billion messages sent per day 1B 1 Billion groups 57 57 Engineers $1bn estimated revenue 2017 B2C B2C Messaging Facebook David Fehner: Business to customer interaction will bring WhatsA $1bn estimated revenue 2017 $2bn estimated revenue 2018 WhatsApp ...
  11. 11. B2C WhatsApp B2C Messaging Starting this year, we will test tools that allow you to use WhatsApp to communicate with businesses and organizations that you want to hear from. That could mean communicating with your bank about whether a recent transaction was fraudulent, or with an airline about a delayed flight. We all get these messages elsewhere today – through text messages and phone calls – so we want to test new tools to make this easier to do on WhatsApp, while still giving you an experience without third-party ads and spam.” https://blog.whatsapp.com/615/Making-WhatsApp-free-and-more- useful
  12. 12. Multisided Platforms - attention - intent - action (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user 2015 3bn people 2020 5bn people attention / intent
  13. 13. Platforms’ positive externalities User User User User User Users Users Users Users Users
  14. 14. massive multiparty attention & intent coordination platforms (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user (prod) user attention / intent
  15. 15. focusing on: permissions, paying for access gatekeepers, pipe bottlenecks, slow in innovation, 15 years behind in tech Thin reach Gatekeeper Governments FIRM HR CAP CUST FIRM TAX HR LAW HR INFR regulation 1.0 dead registry data / judiciary- provenance- & identity data thin data thin reach thin regulation
  16. 16. Web platform service paradigm 2000 “Coordination” paradigm 2035 Ethereum - GPU - AI 2015 Source: Carlota Perez, Technno-Economic Paradigm Shifts Nick Grossman / Union Square Ventures, Shift 2015 Slides (Slideshare) Richard Baldwin, The Great Convergence , 2016
  17. 17. au revoir Welfare State. Dieu vous bénisse. 歡迎 Leviathan with thousand machine brains! - The Regulation 1.0 Endgame -
  18. 18. 3 Strategic Gov Options - Red, Blue and Black ocean The Dangerous, The Ridiculous, The Impossible Red: Compete until the sea is red of blood. Blue: Find internal non-customers, create new demand there and respond with pseudo action (to spend all that tax money) Black ocean: Change the rules, create new policies, gain unfair advantage (Anne Berner showed this is impossible here)
  19. 19. Massive multiparty attention and intention coordination tech: task-oriented, serverless, small data morphing & blending AI, mobile IX, sharded blockhain backend 5 bn smart phones 2035 Regulation 2.0 - Gov Reg 2020

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